To The Moon

$Expedia(EXPE)$

$Expedia (EXPE) +1.81% — Bullish Momentum Building, $313 Resistance in Sight 🚀📈

Latest Close Data: EXPE closed at $293.08 (+1.81%) on Sept 16, 2026, with a session high of $294.84. The stock sits 14.3% below its 52-week high of $342.00 and is now attempting to reclaim the $295 pre-market/after-hours zone.

Core Market Drivers: Travel-sector sentiment is stabilizing after August's sharp pullback. Evercore ISI raised its EXPE target to $430 in late August following a strong Q2 beat (EPS $5.76, revenue $43.15B), with Wedbush, Citigroup, and Jefferies also lifting targets. The stock is recovering from the Sept 9 low as dip buyers return to online travel.

Technical Analysis:

• Volume: 2.062M shares, Volume Ratio 0.93 — participation remains slightly below average, suggesting this rebound is still early-stage and needs confirmation.

• MACD: DIF at -5.73, DEA at -1.36, histogram improving to -8.73 (from -15.82 five sessions ago). The narrowing negative MACD signals bearish momentum is fading, though a bullish crossover has not yet occurred.

• RSI: RSI(6) at 49.74, RSI(12) at 45.70, RSI(24) at 49.52 — all have recovered sharply from oversold readings near 17–31 earlier in the sequence. The RSI(6) is now right at the neutral 50 line, confirming the rebound attempt.

Key Price Levels:

• Primary Support: $284.73 (today's low; 5-day consolidation floor)

• Immediate Pivot: $287.86 (yesterday's close; now acting as intraday pivot)

• Strong Resistance: $313.26 (Sept 14 swing high; aligns with 9/11 breakdown zone)

Valuation Perspective: TTM P/E stands at 18.22, while Forward P/E is 13.99 (vs. historical average 13.25, +1 Std.Dev 15.47). P/S TTM is 2.24. The forward multiple sits within one standard deviation of its own history, leaving room for expansion if estimates hold — but the 18x trailing P/E is not cheap relative to slower travel peers.

Analyst Targets: 33 institutions cover EXPE with an average target of $338.81 (range: $245–$417). Ratings: 8 Strong Buy, 8 Buy, 23 Hold (~16% upside to average target from current price).

Weekly Outlook: Expect a $284–$313 trading range over the next week. A decisive close above $295 (after-hours level) opens a path toward $305, then $313. Failure to hold $284 would invalidate the rebound and expose $270–$275 support. The fading MACD downtrend and RSI recovery favor an upward bias, but volume must expand above the 0.93 ratio to confirm real accumulation.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Technical analysis reflects historical patterns only and may not predict future performance. All trading involves risk.

🎯 $Expedia (EXPE) Options Strategy: Bull Call Spread (Debit Spread)

• Underlying: EXPE

• View: Cautiously bullish / short-term oversold bounce; price testing $295 with path to $305–$313

• Strategy Type: Debit spread (defined risk, positive Theta decay on short leg vs. long leg)

• Option Contract Portfolio (simulated):

  • Buy 1x EXPE 2026-09-25 $290 Call @ $9.65 (mid) — Delta ≈ 0.58

  • Sell 1x EXPE 2026-09-25 $305 Call @ $4.35 (mid) — Delta ≈ 0.32

  • Net Debit: $5.30 per spread

• Max Gain & Loss:

  • Max Gain: ($305 − $290 − $5.30) × 100 = $970 per spread (at expiry if EXPE ≥ $305)

  • Max Loss: $530 per spread (at expiry if EXPE ≤ $290)

• Initial Cost/Credit: $5.30 Debit per spread

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