7月科技股季報後表現小結:仍不遜色
一、Q3科技季報後表現
我們選取標普500成分裏面的信息技術、通訊服務這兩個科技類的行業作爲樣本來觀察,七月以來已有42家公司公佈業績,這裏面有20家季報後交易日上漲,平均漲幅爲3.9%,值得一提的是這些季報後上漲的公司裏面,盈利全部超出預期;在這之外,22家季報後交易日下跌,平均跌幅爲3.3%,不過這裏面也僅有3家盈利遜於預期。二、大型科技股年初至今表現仍不遜色
儘管季報後漲跌不一,但如果從全年來看,在今年成長與價值交錯對抗、流動性若即若離的年份,大型成長股整體表現仍不遜色,甚至在年內流動性脆弱的階段,體現了一定的防禦性。(年初至今,$蘋果(AAPL)$ +10%,$谷歌(GOOG)$ +54%,$Facebook(FB)$ 30%+)
我們認爲這和成長性是分不開的,一般來講,收入能不能持續高速增長,毛利率能不能保持穩定擴張,是衡量成長股是否具備投資價值最直接的財務指標,也是必要條件,前者體現的是公司市場份額擴張的能力,後者反應的是公司的產品的競爭力,議價權,在市場機制下,大型科技企業往往正好具備這兩點。$高科技指數ETF-SPDR(XLK)$ $納指ETF(QQQ)$ $納斯達克(.IXIC)$
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