Some random guessing.

$Alibaba(09988)$is likely to be range bound between 120-90 until next positive earnings or end of the year whichever is earlier before a rally may happen with Low target of $135 and higher target of $180.

Reason being, $120 is strong resistance level, and the price action seems to be muted after reaching it. There's lack of strength to carry through. 

In addition, the catalyst is also weird, I dun see the link between gaming approval and Alibaba. Tencent yes, Alibaba no. Markets seema to be finding a reason for pent up rally to rally. 

Alibaba is definitely still growing and will continue to do better, however likely will need more solid and relevant news for more investors to pile in and start their FOMO investing. 

Hence, I am of the opinion that unless there's real gd news to power Alibaba up, it will have to depend on positive earnings report orthe feel good rally before and after China party congress in November.

https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/China-to-hold-party-congress-in-November-report

I was already having a riot adjusting my $Alibaba(BABA)$$Alibaba(09988)$options these few days... the sudden and aggressive rally threw my positions all over the place. 

Busy rolling both my call and put options [LOL] [Facepalm] 

Hope that Alibaba give me some time to settle the Happy problems that it's giving me now. 

[Cool] 

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Report

Comment

  • Top
  • Latest
  • bwjx
    ·2022-06-11
    Lol. Are you holding baba for long term are trading it. Kind of confuse after looking at the portfolio but good luck managing it. [Happy] [Happy]
    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    • Bonta
      It does deviate from conventional buying and selling. Maybe thats y it looks confusing
      2022-06-11
      Reply
      Report
    • Bonta
      [Thinking] its a mix of trading and investing. [Grin] i dun want to own baba shares directly. I own baba through option as proxy. As baba doesnt give dividends, the options become a form of income.
      2022-06-11
      Reply
      Report
  • charlito
    ·2022-06-10
    its a great company
    Reply
    Report
  • Wgey
    ·2022-06-11
    Alicloud is next area of growth.
    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    • Bonta
      Agreed. [Cool]
      2022-06-11
      Reply
      Report
  • seejay
    ·2022-06-11
    are those naked/spread?
    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    • Bonta
      My baba positions are short strangles. Sell calls and sell puts at the same time.
      2022-06-11
      Reply
      Report
  • 88wlam88
    ·2022-06-10
    Baba will need the genie & the flying carpet to fly high…..
    Reply
    Report
  • Lynn098
    ·2022-06-10
    Looks like you are professional in option spreads
    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    • Bonta
      [Blush] thanks hahac but i am far from it. I dun really like spreads unless its for short term trades as its harder to adjust and needs more monitoring, better returns though
      2022-06-11
      Reply
      Report
  • CY Tan
    ·2022-06-11
    For Alibaba, the authority’s direction is key for the stock to move up further.
    Reply
    Report
  • YK Lim
    ·2022-06-11
    with inflation soaring, all stocks incl Baba will be hit
    Reply
    Report
  • Vgreen
    ·2022-06-11

    [Thinking] 

    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    • 愛我幸福满满
      [微笑]
      2022-06-11
      Reply
      Report
    • Vgreen
      [lovely]
      2022-06-11
      Reply
      Report
    • Vgreen
      [Glance] [lovely] [Smug] [lovely] [Glance] [Smug]
      2022-06-11
      Reply
      Report
    View more 13 comments
  • GinOng
    ·2022-06-11
    120 is only a while
    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
  • Serene70
    ·2022-06-11
    688 coming up.  so should do well
    Reply
    Report
  • SilentWarrio
    ·2022-06-11
    Interesting... thank you!
    Reply
    Report
  • 小虎和小孩
    ·2022-06-11
    开放边境如果是真的,那确实是好消息了
    Reply
    Report
  • xuero
    ·2022-06-11
    seems like it has shed the falling knife status for now [Like]
    Reply
    Report
  • Tangen
    ·2022-06-11
    Great article! I would like to share it.
    Reply
    Report
  • Nanamoney
    ·2022-06-11
    drop alot since last year and momentum to pick up is slow
    Reply
    Report
  • LesterTan
    ·2022-06-11
    Baba is a definite buy. Need patience.
    Reply
    Report
  • OldCat
    ·2022-06-11
    Please like this comment
    Reply
    Report
  • DoggoFan
    ·2022-06-11
    Thank you Bonta for the insights!
    Reply
    Report
  • 喬志明
    ·2022-06-11

    Good stuff

    Reply
    Report