The new Sept FOMC is more hawk

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LimLS
2022-09-22

The new Sept FOMC is more hawkish than the June FOMC. The terminal rate for 2022, 2023 is increased and from the dot plot, there is no plan to decrease the rates until 2024, which match with what Powell talks about holding the higher rates for a longer time. The GDP growth is also revised downwards while the unemployment rate is revised upwards. Generally, all these are bad news for the market. As usual, short term market movement for the next few days will be unpredictable. Basically it will depends on how the media wanted to interpret the FOMC data and Powell speech. But for the next 3 months, at least we can be sure the rates will go up another 1-1.25%. Not favourable for the market and may cause the market to test the low in June or even break lower... Be cautious if one is buying the dip. Control your allocation and practice risk management.

US STOCKS-Wall Street Slumps As Investors Absorb Hawkish Fed Rate Message

* Fed raises rates by 75 bps to 3-3.25% range* Terminal rate seen hitting 4.6% in 2023* Investors ha

US STOCKS-Wall Street Slumps As Investors Absorb Hawkish Fed Rate Message

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WendyDelia
·2022-09-23
I agree "Be cautious if one is buying the dip." there is no dip at all
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ChrisColeman
·2022-09-23
Watch, learn and think! Better than long or short now.
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EvanHolt
·2022-09-25
It seems they will do anything to ease inflation.
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HilaryWilde
·2022-09-25
You're right. Now is the time to be risk averse.
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Maria_yy
·2022-09-25
No one expected DOMC to take such a hard line.
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greyGrey
·2022-09-22
lim ls handsome boy
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CherryPang
·2022-09-22
[shy] [shy]
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SmallBlack
·2022-09-22
[Smile]
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AnT
·2022-09-22
wow
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SimonChan
·2022-09-22
👍🏻
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Alfred8189
·2022-09-22
ok
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老鼠林
·2022-09-22
ok
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MarLar
·2022-09-22
👍
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kcwang4982
·2022-09-22
k
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As usual, short term market movement for the next few days will be unpredictable. Basically it will depends on how the media wanted to interpret the FOMC data&nbsp;and Powell speech. But for the next 3 months, at least we can be sure the rates will go up another 1-1.25%. Not favourable for the market and may cause the market to test the low in June or even break lower... Be cautious if one is buying the dip. Control your allocation and practice risk management.</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>The new Sept FOMC is more hawkish than the June FOMC. The terminal rate for 2022, 2023 is increased and from the dot plot, there is no plan to decrease the rates until 2024, which match with what Powell talks about holding the higher rates for a longer time. The GDP growth is also revised downwards while the unemployment rate is revised upwards. Generally, all these are bad news for the market. As usual, short term market movement for the next few days will be unpredictable. Basically it will depends on how the media wanted to interpret the FOMC data&nbsp;and Powell speech. But for the next 3 months, at least we can be sure the rates will go up another 1-1.25%. Not favourable for the market and may cause the market to test the low in June or even break lower... Be cautious if one is buying the dip. Control your allocation and practice risk management.</body></html>","text":"The new Sept FOMC is more hawkish than the June FOMC. The terminal rate for 2022, 2023 is increased and from the dot plot, there is no plan to decrease the rates until 2024, which match with what Powell talks about holding the higher rates for a longer time. The GDP growth is also revised downwards while the unemployment rate is revised upwards. Generally, all these are bad news for the market. As usual, short term market movement for the next few days will be unpredictable. Basically it will depends on how the media wanted to interpret the FOMC data and Powell speech. But for the next 3 months, at least we can be sure the rates will go up another 1-1.25%. Not favourable for the market and may cause the market to test the low in June or even break lower... Be cautious if one is buying the dip. Control your allocation and practice risk management.","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":14,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919508412","repostId":2269969281,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269969281","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1663800880,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2269969281?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-22 06:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Slumps As Investors Absorb Hawkish Fed Rate Message","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269969281","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Fed raises rates by 75 bps to 3-3.25% range* Terminal rate seen hitting 4.6% in 2023* Investors ha","content":"<html><head></head><body>* Fed raises rates by 75 bps to 3-3.25% range* Terminal rate seen hitting 4.6% in 2023* Investors had expected 75 bps, but not higher for longer* Sharp decline in final half-hour of trading* Indexes down: Dow 1.7%, S&amp;P 1.71%, Nasdaq 1.79%Sept 21 (Reuters) - Wall Street&#39;s main indexes see-sawed before slumping in the final 30 minutes of trading to end Wednesday lower, as investors digested another supersized Federal Reserve hike and its commitment to keep up increases into 2023 to fight inflation.All three benchmarks finished more than 1.7% down, with the Dow posting its lowest close since June 17, with the Nasdaq and S&amp;P 500, respectively, at their lowest point since July 1, and June 30.At the end of its two-day meeting, the Fed lifted its policy rate by 75 basis points for the third time to a 3.00-3.25% range. Most market participants had expected such an increase, with only a 21% chance of a 100 bps rate hike seen prior to the announcement.However, policymakers also signaled more large increases to come in new projections showing its policy rate rising to 4.40% by the end of this year before topping out at 4.60% in 2023. This is up from projections in June of 3.4% and 3.8% respectively.Rate cuts are not foreseen until 2024, the central bank added, dashing any outstanding investor hopes that the Fed foresaw getting inflation under control in the near term. The Fed&#39;s preferred measure of inflation is now seen slowly returning to its 2% target in 2025.In his press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said U.S. central bank officials are &#34;strongly resolved&#34; to bring down inflation from the highest levels in four decades and &#34;will keep at it until the job is done,&#34; a process he repeated would not come without pain.&#34;Chairman Powell delivered a sobering message. He stated that no one knows if there will be a recession or how severe, and that achieving a soft landing was always difficult,&#34; said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment strategist at BMO Wealth Management.Higher rates and the battle against inflation was also feeding through into the U.S. economy, with the Fed&#39;s projections showing year-end growth of just 0.2% this year, rising to 1.2% in 2023.&#34;Markets were already braced for some hawkishness, based on inflation reports and recent governor comments,&#34; said BMO&#39;s Ma.&#34;But it&#39;s always interesting to see how the market reacts to the messaging. Hawkishness was to be expected, but while some in the market take comfort from that, others take the position to sell.&#34;The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 522.45 points, or 1.7%, to 30,183.78, the S&amp;P 500 lost 66 points, or 1.71%, to 3,789.93 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 204.86 points, or 1.79%, to 11,220.19.All 11 S&amp;P sectors finished lower, led by declines of more than 2.3% by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.03 billion shares, compared with the 10.79 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.The S&amp;P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 70 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 446 new lows.</body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Slumps As Investors Absorb Hawkish Fed Rate Message</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Slumps As Investors Absorb Hawkish Fed Rate Message\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\nReuters \n2022-09-22 06:54\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body>* Fed raises rates by 75 bps to 3-3.25% range* Terminal rate seen hitting 4.6% in 2023* Investors had expected 75 bps, but not higher for longer* Sharp decline in final half-hour of trading* Indexes down: Dow 1.7%, S&amp;P 1.71%, Nasdaq 1.79%Sept 21 (Reuters) - Wall Street&#39;s main indexes see-sawed before slumping in the final 30 minutes of trading to end Wednesday lower, as investors digested another supersized Federal Reserve hike and its commitment to keep up increases into 2023 to fight inflation.All three benchmarks finished more than 1.7% down, with the Dow posting its lowest close since June 17, with the Nasdaq and S&amp;P 500, respectively, at their lowest point since July 1, and June 30.At the end of its two-day meeting, the Fed lifted its policy rate by 75 basis points for the third time to a 3.00-3.25% range. Most market participants had expected such an increase, with only a 21% chance of a 100 bps rate hike seen prior to the announcement.However, policymakers also signaled more large increases to come in new projections showing its policy rate rising to 4.40% by the end of this year before topping out at 4.60% in 2023. This is up from projections in June of 3.4% and 3.8% respectively.Rate cuts are not foreseen until 2024, the central bank added, dashing any outstanding investor hopes that the Fed foresaw getting inflation under control in the near term. The Fed&#39;s preferred measure of inflation is now seen slowly returning to its 2% target in 2025.In his press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said U.S. central bank officials are &#34;strongly resolved&#34; to bring down inflation from the highest levels in four decades and &#34;will keep at it until the job is done,&#34; a process he repeated would not come without pain.&#34;Chairman Powell delivered a sobering message. He stated that no one knows if there will be a recession or how severe, and that achieving a soft landing was always difficult,&#34; said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment strategist at BMO Wealth Management.Higher rates and the battle against inflation was also feeding through into the U.S. economy, with the Fed&#39;s projections showing year-end growth of just 0.2% this year, rising to 1.2% in 2023.&#34;Markets were already braced for some hawkishness, based on inflation reports and recent governor comments,&#34; said BMO&#39;s Ma.&#34;But it&#39;s always interesting to see how the market reacts to the messaging. Hawkishness was to be expected, but while some in the market take comfort from that, others take the position to sell.&#34;The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 522.45 points, or 1.7%, to 30,183.78, the S&amp;P 500 lost 66 points, or 1.71%, to 3,789.93 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 204.86 points, or 1.79%, to 11,220.19.All 11 S&amp;P sectors finished lower, led by declines of more than 2.3% by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.03 billion shares, compared with the 10.79 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.The S&amp;P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 70 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 446 new lows.</body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COMP":"Compass, Inc.","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","NDX":"纳斯达克100指数","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","BK4539":"次新股","IVV":"标普500指数ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269969281","content_text":"* Fed raises rates by 75 bps to 3-3.25% range* Terminal rate seen hitting 4.6% in 2023* Investors had expected 75 bps, but not higher for longer* Sharp decline in final half-hour of trading* Indexes down: Dow 1.7%, S&P 1.71%, Nasdaq 1.79%Sept 21 (Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes see-sawed before slumping in the final 30 minutes of trading to end Wednesday lower, as investors digested another supersized Federal Reserve hike and its commitment to keep up increases into 2023 to fight inflation.All three benchmarks finished more than 1.7% down, with the Dow posting its lowest close since June 17, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500, respectively, at their lowest point since July 1, and June 30.At the end of its two-day meeting, the Fed lifted its policy rate by 75 basis points for the third time to a 3.00-3.25% range. Most market participants had expected such an increase, with only a 21% chance of a 100 bps rate hike seen prior to the announcement.However, policymakers also signaled more large increases to come in new projections showing its policy rate rising to 4.40% by the end of this year before topping out at 4.60% in 2023. This is up from projections in June of 3.4% and 3.8% respectively.Rate cuts are not foreseen until 2024, the central bank added, dashing any outstanding investor hopes that the Fed foresaw getting inflation under control in the near term. The Fed's preferred measure of inflation is now seen slowly returning to its 2% target in 2025.In his press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said U.S. central bank officials are \"strongly resolved\" to bring down inflation from the highest levels in four decades and \"will keep at it until the job is done,\" a process he repeated would not come without pain.\"Chairman Powell delivered a sobering message. He stated that no one knows if there will be a recession or how severe, and that achieving a soft landing was always difficult,\" said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment strategist at BMO Wealth Management.Higher rates and the battle against inflation was also feeding through into the U.S. economy, with the Fed's projections showing year-end growth of just 0.2% this year, rising to 1.2% in 2023.\"Markets were already braced for some hawkishness, based on inflation reports and recent governor comments,\" said BMO's Ma.\"But it's always interesting to see how the market reacts to the messaging. Hawkishness was to be expected, but while some in the market take comfort from that, others take the position to sell.\"The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 522.45 points, or 1.7%, to 30,183.78, the S&P 500 lost 66 points, or 1.71%, to 3,789.93 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 204.86 points, or 1.79%, to 11,220.19.All 11 S&P sectors finished lower, led by declines of more than 2.3% by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.03 billion shares, compared with the 10.79 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.The S&P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 70 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 446 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":640,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["VIX",".SPX"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":702,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":104047315,"commentId":"104047315","gmtCreate":1663880766039,"gmtModify":1663880770159,"authorId":9000000000000350,"author":{"id":9000000000000350,"idStr":"9000000000000350","authorId":9000000000000350,"name":"WendyDelia","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36f25b4af7998a90a0205e568a910bb3","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9919508412,"objectIdStr":"9919508412","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"I agree \"Be cautious if one is buying the dip.\" there is no dip at all","text":"I agree \"Be cautious if one is buying the dip.\" there is no dip at all","html":"I agree \"Be cautious if one is buying the dip.\" there is no dip at all","likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":104047320,"commentId":"104047320","gmtCreate":1663880814158,"gmtModify":1663880818312,"authorId":9000000000000168,"author":{"id":9000000000000168,"idStr":"9000000000000168","authorId":9000000000000168,"name":"ChrisColeman","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c61226b13dc84ab3139a9fa00b20782","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9919508412,"objectIdStr":"9919508412","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Watch, learn and think! Better than long or short now.","text":"Watch, learn and think! Better than long or short now.","html":"Watch, learn and think! Better than long or short now.","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":104074086,"commentId":"104074086","gmtCreate":1664046390885,"gmtModify":1664046394640,"authorId":9000000000000592,"author":{"id":9000000000000592,"idStr":"9000000000000592","authorId":9000000000000592,"name":"EvanHolt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cd57814a32b0b71cd3970e95d101105","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9919508412,"objectIdStr":"9919508412","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"It seems they will do anything to ease inflation.","text":"It seems they will do anything to ease inflation.","html":"It seems they will do anything to ease inflation.","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":104074085,"commentId":"104074085","gmtCreate":1664046383552,"gmtModify":1664046387372,"authorId":9000000000000562,"author":{"id":9000000000000562,"idStr":"9000000000000562","authorId":9000000000000562,"name":"HilaryWilde","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a24bcc27dc29a6d8ea2018519aa88251","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9919508412,"objectIdStr":"9919508412","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"You're right. Now is the time to be risk averse.","text":"You're right. Now is the time to be risk averse.","html":"You're right. 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