Fed balance sheet expansion is responsible for 51% of the SPX returns

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Fed balance sheet expansion is responsible for 51% of the SPX returns

DavidMarlin
2023-03-31

It’s all about liquidity.

According to BofA $Bank of America(BAC)$ , Fed balance sheet expansion is responsible for 51% of the SPX $S&P 500(.SPX)$ returns since the GFC, by far the biggest driver of returns.

Earnings account for 23%, and multiple expansion most of the remaining. $Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ)$ $DJIA(.DJI)$

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According to GS Prime data, hedge fund net exposure remains near 5 year lows and has not moved meaningfully in the last 4 months.

Image

https://twitter.com/Marlin_Capital/status/1641417917999767553

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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MojoStellar
·2023-04-01
thanks for sharing
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88wlam88
·2023-03-31
Thanks for sharing
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SiFu
·2023-03-31
thanks for sharing
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ramondk
·2023-03-31
Good information
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nerdbull1669
·2023-03-31
thanks for sharing
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boo1234
·2023-04-02
go
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TeoHY
·2023-04-02
Ok
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phantom74
·2023-04-02
ok
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ekwee75
·2023-04-02
[Happy]
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雨后就是彩虹
·2023-04-01
OK
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MarketWizard
·2023-03-31
thanks
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blankblank
·2023-03-31
K
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klimkh
·2023-03-31
ok
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MBE
·2023-03-31
Ok
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Boonie77
·2023-03-31
ok
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Steventeo
·2023-03-31
ok
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Nick K
·2023-03-31
good
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aozora
·2023-03-31
Ik
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Sweatheart
·2023-03-31
[Smile]
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Tigress02
·2023-03-31
🌷❤️
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According to BofA <a data-mention-id=\"BAC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Bank of America\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BAC\">$Bank of America(BAC)$</a> , Fed balance sheet expansion is responsible for 51% of the SPX <a data-mention-id=\".SPX\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"S&amp;P 500\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> returns since the GFC, by far the biggest driver of returns. Earnings account for 23%, and multiple expansion most of the remaining. <a data-mention-id=\"QQQ\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Invesco QQQ Trust\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ)$</a> <a data-mention-id=\".DJI\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"DJIA\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> <img alt=\"Image\" title=\"Image\" src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/88466213d601b744cf394736da2b895e\" tg-width=\"596\" tg-height=\"405\">ImageAccording to GS Prime data, hedge fund net exposure remains near 5 year lows and has not moved meaningfully in the last 4 months. <img alt=\"Image\" title=\"Image\" src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bde09e269813069af086727f7b9e3e2a\" tg-width=\"679\" tg-height=\"371\">Imagehttps://twitter.com/Marlin_Capital/status/1641417917999767553</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>It’s all about liquidity. According to BofA <a data-mention-id=\"BAC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Bank of America\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BAC\">$Bank of America(BAC)$</a> , Fed balance sheet expansion is responsible for 51% of the SPX <a data-mention-id=\".SPX\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"S&amp;P 500\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> returns since the GFC, by far the biggest driver of returns. Earnings account for 23%, and multiple expansion most of the remaining. <a data-mention-id=\"QQQ\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Invesco QQQ Trust\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ)$</a> <a data-mention-id=\".DJI\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"DJIA\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> <img alt=\"Image\" title=\"Image\" src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/88466213d601b744cf394736da2b895e\" tg-width=\"596\" tg-height=\"405\">ImageAccording to GS Prime data, hedge fund net exposure remains near 5 year lows and has not moved meaningfully in the last 4 months. <img alt=\"Image\" title=\"Image\" src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bde09e269813069af086727f7b9e3e2a\" tg-width=\"679\" tg-height=\"371\">Imagehttps://twitter.com/Marlin_Capital/status/1641417917999767553</body></html>","text":"It’s all about liquidity. According to BofA $Bank of America(BAC)$ , Fed balance sheet expansion is responsible for 51% of the SPX $S&P 500(.SPX)$ returns since the GFC, by far the biggest driver of returns. Earnings account for 23%, and multiple expansion most of the remaining. $Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ)$ $DJIA(.DJI)$ Image According to GS Prime data, hedge fund net exposure remains near 5 year lows and has not moved meaningfully in the last 4 months. 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