FOMC day! Will this be "Buy the rumour, Sell the news" outcome?


- What a move by the bulls on Tuesday; Gapped up over MA20 and actually even got supported by MA20 in the push up!

- Coming close to MA50 (400); ==> Note that it is a super resistance (confluence of MA50, structural and also a recent downsloping trend line)

- Also can be seen as an ugly but slanted double bottom neckline being at 400


Looking ahead tonight

- Tonight is not just FOMC rate but also SEP (Summary of Economic Projection) where we will see the forecast terminal rates for 2023 and 2024 etc. It will give market an insight into when the pause or rate reduction will happen. 

- 0.25 hike might not be super bearish if SEP is "promising", but will still trigger some initial bearish reaction 

- if pause, might push the bullish price action above MA50 to 407 and 416

- Downside, support at 385 (key) and then 373

- What I continue to look for is the MA5 / MA20 cross (best guiding indicator so far)


@TigerStars  @CaptainTiger  @Deposit  @LMSunshine  @melson  

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 

# Technical Analysis

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  • JC888
    ·2023-03-22
    Which is rumour now and which is news now?
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    • Asphen
      or what Powell says
      2023-03-22
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    • Asphen
      rumour is FED pause/pivot. news is 0 or 0.25 tonight.
      either way there will be a dump in initial reaction. then see what SEP says.
      2023-03-22
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  • boonk
    ·2023-03-22
    sell tonight??? 😂😂
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    • Asphen
      no one will know until 2am statement, and 230am to 330am Powell Q&A
      2023-03-22
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  • Lord Tan
    ·2023-03-22
    Nothing will happen at 0.25 la
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    • Lord Tan
      Side bet 10k sgd if major indexes average drops more than 0.5% at 0.25
      2023-03-22
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    • Asphen
      we shall see 😉
      2023-03-22
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  • LMSunshine
    ·2023-03-25
    @Asphen Buddy, can trouble you to chart NVDA? Tiger App says it’s in downward trend for daily? Wondering if their app is inaccurate or I’m missing sth😅
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  • 陪你去看流星
    ·2023-03-22
    👍
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  • Khikho
    ·2023-03-22
    Ok
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  • melson
    ·2023-03-22
    [Happy]🛩️
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    • Asphen
      haha.. there's that plane again!! 😀
      2023-03-22
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  • SlyvesterNJW
    ·2023-03-22
    👍
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  • AnJ
    ·2023-03-22
    ok
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  • kel0508
    ·2023-03-22
    g
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  • Huathuat
    ·2023-03-22
    ok
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  • DarrenTayCW
    ·2023-03-22
    thanks
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    • Asphen
      you welcome
      2023-03-22
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  • kslee9566
    ·2023-03-22
    ok
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  • Swcs
    ·2023-03-22
    Nice
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  • e13v3n
    ·2023-03-22
    i
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  • hyhop
    ·2023-03-22
    ok
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  • Kimoqi
    ·2023-03-22
    ok
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  • BoJio
    ·2023-03-22
    Great
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  • Celeste03
    ·2023-03-22
    ok
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  • PC711
    ·2023-03-22
    ok
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