To The Moon

1.$Apple(AAPL)$ (-26.4%)

"A peak behind. "

After toping the most valuable companies in the world in 2022, Apple lost the largest market value in 2022 (was more than 3 trillion US dollars, and now less than 2 trillion).

In 2022, Apple released the most new products in history. Whether it is the upgraded Macbook, iPhone14 series or iWatch and AirPods series, it provides users more choices, but still does not surprise the market. However, the update of its chip makes the market excited.

In the year of 2022, strong dollar and raw material appreciation brings headwinds, but it also makes Apple restart. Service revenue is the fastest growing in 2023. After the privacy policy changed, Apple's own advertising business became the most concerned, while the "Apple Tax" is controversial.

Will the products in 2023 amaze the market?

Estimates of FY2023

• Revenue: $405 billion
• EPS: $6.2
• Average target price: $173.6

2.$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ (-65.03%)

"EV's falling"

Tesla has always been the hottest stock in Tiger Forum, and it is an highly active stock in the secondary market. All Longs, shorts and derivatives traders like it.

EV is a strong industry in both Europe and America suffering inflation and China suffering the pandemic. Tesla, as the leading company, also hit a new high in delivery and profit in 2022. However, with the more fierce competition, weaker demand and pessimistic economic vision of 2023, Tesla has also become one of the largest loser in 2022.

Elon Musk, Twitter's top celebrity, who alse became Twitter's boss, has paid tons of cash for the trade, which came from sales of Tesla shares.

Looking forward to 2023, the downward cost of raw materials, the improvement of operational efficiency of many factories, IRA benefits, and the initial scale of fully autonomous driving will all become factors supporting Tesla's performance; At the same time, the decline in demand will beome the headwind.

Expected in 2023

• Revenue: $111.58 billion
• EPS: $5.26
• Average target price: $243

3. Alibaba BABA (-25.84%)

"China's back"

Chinese big techs are in bear earlier than 2022, they suffered a money outflow 2021. Alibaba as the largest Chinese stock in the US stock market, been halved in 2021, is now showing signs of bottom.

Alibaba's market share of Chinese core e-commerce business is facing the challenges, like JD, Pinduoduo or even short video platform Tik Tok and Kuaishou. In 2022, Alibaba has taken advantage of local offline market during the special pandemic time, it works well.

The whole 2022 witness its cost reduction and efficiency increasing. After the recovery from the pandemic, the consumer industry is one of the most potential industry in 2023.The government's support for the "platform economy" also helps.

BABA's current price-earnings ratio of 13x and EV/EBITDA <6x are far lower than its peers. Since the Chinese stocks are in the recovery, it should be one of the top choice in 2023.

Estimate of 2023

• Revenue: 843.4 billion yuan
• EPS: 46.49 yuan
• Average target price: $135.05

4.$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ (-69.2%)

"Competition of EV Industry"

Nio's December deliveries reaches a new high of 15,815, with a total 122,000 deliveries in the year of 2022, an increase of 34% year-on-year, it becomes one of the best EV company in deliveries of high-end vehicles. In addition, three models of the second generation technology platform, ET7, ES7 and ET5, updated ES8, ES6 and EC6 of 2022, continued to update the firmware of intelligent systems, and continued to strengthen the construction of power stations to continue the power network to the end.

International market is the key to success of2022. Nio has provided system-wide services in Germany, the Netherlands, Denmark, Sweden and Norway, and started deliveries. At the same time, its listing in Hong Kong and Singapore also made it the first automobile company in the world to list in three places.$NIO Inc.(NIO.SI)$$NIO-SW(09866)$

However, the competition in the new energy industry is fierce, and the change of supply and demand in 2023 is also the focus of market attention.

Estimate of 2023

• Revenue: 95.79 billion yuan
• EPS:-4.3 yuan
• Average target price: $17.7

5. $Meta Platforms(META)$ (-64.22%)

"The falling star"

Facebook changes its name to Meta platform, with the purpose of being accepted of Metaverse. But Zuckerberg's intention didn't work much. Investors were still selling of its stock.

Meta is the first big tech showing no upside momentum and started to collapes by terrible earnings results. Apple's change private policy did hurt Facebook familiy, and advertisers are reducing their spent in the recession period, whichi makes Meta ever harder.

Besides, Tik tok's taking user's time, and the market share of communication apps, which makes Facebook family under pressure, that's why Mark insists Tik tok be punished.

If that could help facebook, investors could accept. Well the fact is, Tik tok's even more popular.

Let's see what Mark could do in 2023.

Estimates of 2023

• Revenue: 26.53 billion yuan
• EPS:-10.41 yuan
• Average target price: $23.9

6.$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$(-50.26%)

"Chips not in demand"

In 2021, the whole semiconductor industry was in short supply, but in 2022, the situation changed. With the collapes in cryptos, a huge decline in demand makes the semiconductor industy suffer.

Nvidia has been affected by the decline in demand. In addition, the rising cost of raw materials and the strong dollar have also hit its profit margin against the wind. I'm afraid this impact will last until the end of 2023. Therefore, the company's share price began to adjust back in the first half of 2022.

As long as the demand of semiconductor market does not pick up, the market sentiment is still not optimistic.

Expected in 2023

• Revenue: $29.51 billion
• EPS: $4.34
• Average target price: $199.6

7.$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ (-54.84%)

"SPAC's sin"

Grab has lost 54% of its market value during 2022, with a better performance presented. The weird thing happen due to the high valuation of is SPAC company.

In the last three quarters, Grab has narrowed its loss, with GMV keeps growth in early 30% stage. A recovery of mobility and deliveries survice in 2022 makes Grab solid in all business. Market doesn't prefer companies with losses. So it still needs time.

The breakeven point should be the most excited thing to be expected.

Estimates of 2023

• Revenue: $19.7 billion
• EPS: $-0.26
• Average target price: $4.18

8.$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ (-49.62%)

"Inflation counts"

Inflation is the key topic for every consumption company. Amazon's recovery was affected by 2022's inflation. The stock is arguably oversold and is trading below COVID-19 lows.

Physical stores performs better in the first half of 2022, but online stores on the contrary. but that's not what changes its earning. In fact, Amazon's investment played a vital role in its quarterly earnings ,makes it unpredictable.

AWS sales growth keep at 30% level, while estimate in 2023 could fall to 20%. And the unfavored sales date in black Friday, all of the signals makes investors perssimistic.

As long as the demand of semiconductor market does not pick up, the market sentiment is still not optimistic.

Estimate of 2023

• Revenue: $562.1 billion
• EPS: $1.69
• Average target price: $135.69

9.$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ (-64.74%)

"No miracles"

PLTR stock had a miserable 2022, stock down near 65%. 

It's service makes it more political than other peers in software. High rely on government orders limited its growth. But unfortunately, its valuation is still high. 

During 2022, palantir has already taken advantages in soaring geopolitical tensions, like Russian and Ukraine, which expected to extend in 2023. But that doesn't always happen. When recession estimates rises, enterprises' demand falls, makes its suffer more.

Also, the company is not generating any profits, still not prefered by the market. Whether its selling off overdone, or just the begining of debubbling, 2023 could be an important year.

Estimate of 2023

• Revenue: $2.3billion
• EPS: $0.16
• Average target price: $9.13

10.$Sea Ltd(SE)$ (-76.74%)

"Cutting cost"

Gaming, E-commerce and Finance services were both affected in inflation. Sea limited had it all, but still keeps notable growth rate in 2022.

Games suffers more, cause it's new games just launched and not that popular as FreeFire. E-commerce keeps the growth rate around 30%, and turning EBITDA positve. 

Sea Limited's latest cost-cutting measures likely weren't expected and highlighted more challenges in meeting its outlook to take Shopee toward profitability. In 2023, a company level EBITDA breakeven is being expected.

Estimates of 2023

• Revenue: $13.9 billion
• EPS: $-1.93
• Average target price: $87.65