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TheRainmaker
2023-01-23

Retail Traders Are Buoying the Stock Market, but Support Could Prove Fleeting: Analysts

Net inflows into U.S. equities by retail investors continued to climb over the past week as the stoc

Retail Traders Are Buoying the Stock Market, but Support Could Prove Fleeting: Analysts

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TheRainmaker
·2023-01-23
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However, despite the rebound in purchases, the aggregate retail flow has not yet recovered to previous highs, meaning that we’re still in a longer-term downward trajectory when it comes to retail participation,” wrote analysts led by Iachini, in a Thursday note.</p><p>The table below shows ETFs are currently experiencing the biggest flow divergences since 2022. “The three bottom ETFs are the last two years’ more popular vehicles,” said analysts, while the biggest gainers, such as Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3X Bear, have a defensive tilt to them.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c25cb1471d1339f55cafc38284bb8c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"727\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>SOURCE: VANDATRACK</span></p><p>Iachini and his team also expect retail investors to “maintain high participation levels” in single stocks when companies comprising over half the S&amp;P 500‘s market value report results in the next two weeks. That includes Microsoft Corp.,which will step up to deliver its second quarter of fiscal 2023 report Tuesday, followed by Elon Musk’s Tesla Inc. and The International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) on Wednesday and Intel Corp. on Thursday. Apple Inc. and Google-parent Alphabet Inc. will report in the following week, according to FactSet.</p><p>“[Tesla] stock remains a bellwether of overall retail sentiment/health, in our view,” Iachini said. “Retail investors are buying the EV-maker’s shares at one of the widest margins relative to their history and other securities.”</p><p>With 11% of S&amp;P 500 companies reporting actual fourth-quarter results as of Friday, 67% of them have reported earnings per share (EPS) above estimates, while 64% of the companies have reported a positive revenue surprise, said John Butters, senior earnings analyst at FactSet. EPS refers to net income divided by the number of shares outstanding, and could indicate how much money a company makes for each share of stock.</p><p>The blended earnings decline for the S&amp;P 500 for the fourth quarter is 4.6%, said Butters in a Friday note. If that is the actual decline for the quarter, it will mark the first time the index has reported a year-over-year decline in earnings since the third quarter of 2020 which recorded a slump of 5.7%.</p><p>U.S. stocks finished higher on Friday, with help from Netflix Inc. and Alphabet which jumped 8.5% and 5.3%, respectively, oncorporate news. The Nasdaq Composite rallied 2.7%, booking a weekly gain of 0.6%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 330 points, or 1%, to end at 33,375. It fell 2.7% for the week and notched its worst weekly performance since September 2022. The S&amp;P 500 rose 1.9% on Friday, but posting a weekly loss of 0.7%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Retail Traders Are Buoying the Stock Market, but Support Could Prove Fleeting: Analysts</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRetail Traders Are Buoying the Stock Market, but Support Could Prove Fleeting: Analysts\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-23 07:37</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Net inflows into U.S. equities by retail investors continued to climb over the past week as the stock market started the new year in a buoyant mood, but data analysts at Vanda Research said the pace of purchasing could easily slide if bullish momentum stalls.</p><p>Marco Iachini, senior vice president of Vanda Research, attributed the January’s jump in retail purchasing of U.S. stocks to the muted purchases of exchange-traded funds, which indicate a sign of low conviction in the long-term prospects of financial markets (see chart below).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d43fc8a86001218995e029bb2ab6c4c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"419\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>SOURCE: VANDATRACK</span></p><p>“We believe the January market rally is once again stemming from a bout of institutional investor short covering and rising equity demand from retail investors. However, despite the rebound in purchases, the aggregate retail flow has not yet recovered to previous highs, meaning that we’re still in a longer-term downward trajectory when it comes to retail participation,” wrote analysts led by Iachini, in a Thursday note.</p><p>The table below shows ETFs are currently experiencing the biggest flow divergences since 2022. “The three bottom ETFs are the last two years’ more popular vehicles,” said analysts, while the biggest gainers, such as Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3X Bear, have a defensive tilt to them.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c25cb1471d1339f55cafc38284bb8c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"727\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>SOURCE: VANDATRACK</span></p><p>Iachini and his team also expect retail investors to “maintain high participation levels” in single stocks when companies comprising over half the S&amp;P 500‘s market value report results in the next two weeks. That includes Microsoft Corp.,which will step up to deliver its second quarter of fiscal 2023 report Tuesday, followed by Elon Musk’s Tesla Inc. and The International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) on Wednesday and Intel Corp. on Thursday. Apple Inc. and Google-parent Alphabet Inc. will report in the following week, according to FactSet.</p><p>“[Tesla] stock remains a bellwether of overall retail sentiment/health, in our view,” Iachini said. “Retail investors are buying the EV-maker’s shares at one of the widest margins relative to their history and other securities.”</p><p>With 11% of S&amp;P 500 companies reporting actual fourth-quarter results as of Friday, 67% of them have reported earnings per share (EPS) above estimates, while 64% of the companies have reported a positive revenue surprise, said John Butters, senior earnings analyst at FactSet. EPS refers to net income divided by the number of shares outstanding, and could indicate how much money a company makes for each share of stock.</p><p>The blended earnings decline for the S&amp;P 500 for the fourth quarter is 4.6%, said Butters in a Friday note. If that is the actual decline for the quarter, it will mark the first time the index has reported a year-over-year decline in earnings since the third quarter of 2020 which recorded a slump of 5.7%.</p><p>U.S. stocks finished higher on Friday, with help from Netflix Inc. and Alphabet which jumped 8.5% and 5.3%, respectively, oncorporate news. The Nasdaq Composite rallied 2.7%, booking a weekly gain of 0.6%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 330 points, or 1%, to end at 33,375. It fell 2.7% for the week and notched its worst weekly performance since September 2022. The S&amp;P 500 rose 1.9% on Friday, but posting a weekly loss of 0.7%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4529":"IDC概念","BK4516":"特朗普概念","BK4515":"5G概念","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","BK4571":"数字音乐概念","LU1046421795.USD":"富达环球科技A-ACC","LU1691799644.USD":"Amundi Funds Polen Capital Global Growth A2 (C) USD","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0786609619.USD":"高盛全球千禧一代股票组合Acc","LU0061475181.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) AMERICAN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU1064131342.USD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc USD","LU0130103400.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity RA USD","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU0354030511.USD":"ALLSPRING  U.S. LARGE CAP GROWTH \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0149725797.USD":"汇丰美国股市经济规模基金","BK4007":"制药","LU0127658192.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0882574139.USD":"富达环球消费行业基金A ACC","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","IE00BJTD4N35.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Long Short Equity A1  Acc SGD-H","LU1201861249.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity PA SGD-H","LU0957791311.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL FOCUS \"ZU\" (USD) ACC","LU1316542783.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4501":"段永平概念","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","BK4579":"人工智能","SG9999018865.SGD":"United Global Quality Growth Fd Cl Dist SGD-H","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H",".DJI":"道琼斯","LU0889565833.HKD":"FRANKLIN TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","SG9999001077.SGD":"United International Growth Fund SGD",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","LU2237443549.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A MIncA SGD-H","BK4097":"系统软件",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BJJMRY28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD","BK4512":"苹果概念","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU0353189763.USD":"ALLSPRING  US ALL CAP GROWTH FUND \"I\" (USD) ACC"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2305950606","content_text":"Net inflows into U.S. equities by retail investors continued to climb over the past week as the stock market started the new year in a buoyant mood, but data analysts at Vanda Research said the pace of purchasing could easily slide if bullish momentum stalls.Marco Iachini, senior vice president of Vanda Research, attributed the January’s jump in retail purchasing of U.S. stocks to the muted purchases of exchange-traded funds, which indicate a sign of low conviction in the long-term prospects of financial markets (see chart below).SOURCE: VANDATRACK“We believe the January market rally is once again stemming from a bout of institutional investor short covering and rising equity demand from retail investors. However, despite the rebound in purchases, the aggregate retail flow has not yet recovered to previous highs, meaning that we’re still in a longer-term downward trajectory when it comes to retail participation,” wrote analysts led by Iachini, in a Thursday note.The table below shows ETFs are currently experiencing the biggest flow divergences since 2022. “The three bottom ETFs are the last two years’ more popular vehicles,” said analysts, while the biggest gainers, such as Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3X Bear, have a defensive tilt to them.SOURCE: VANDATRACKIachini and his team also expect retail investors to “maintain high participation levels” in single stocks when companies comprising over half the S&P 500‘s market value report results in the next two weeks. That includes Microsoft Corp.,which will step up to deliver its second quarter of fiscal 2023 report Tuesday, followed by Elon Musk’s Tesla Inc. and The International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) on Wednesday and Intel Corp. on Thursday. Apple Inc. and Google-parent Alphabet Inc. will report in the following week, according to FactSet.“[Tesla] stock remains a bellwether of overall retail sentiment/health, in our view,” Iachini said. “Retail investors are buying the EV-maker’s shares at one of the widest margins relative to their history and other securities.”With 11% of S&P 500 companies reporting actual fourth-quarter results as of Friday, 67% of them have reported earnings per share (EPS) above estimates, while 64% of the companies have reported a positive revenue surprise, said John Butters, senior earnings analyst at FactSet. EPS refers to net income divided by the number of shares outstanding, and could indicate how much money a company makes for each share of stock.The blended earnings decline for the S&P 500 for the fourth quarter is 4.6%, said Butters in a Friday note. If that is the actual decline for the quarter, it will mark the first time the index has reported a year-over-year decline in earnings since the third quarter of 2020 which recorded a slump of 5.7%.U.S. stocks finished higher on Friday, with help from Netflix Inc. and Alphabet which jumped 8.5% and 5.3%, respectively, oncorporate news. The Nasdaq Composite rallied 2.7%, booking a weekly gain of 0.6%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 330 points, or 1%, to end at 33,375. It fell 2.7% for the week and notched its worst weekly performance since September 2022. The S&P 500 rose 1.9% on Friday, but posting a weekly loss of 0.7%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":410,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":2,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":105629119,"commentId":"105629119","gmtCreate":1674433278854,"gmtModify":1674433291936,"authorId":3562288345465729,"author":{"id":3562288345465729,"idStr":"3562288345465729","authorId":3562288345465729,"name":"TheRainmaker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2446b188392bb216f8e13ba56e44832","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":9952304999,"objectIdStr":"9952304999","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"<span class=\"s1\">Ok</span>","text":"<span class=\"s1\">Ok</span>","html":"<span class=\"s1\">Ok</span>","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0}],"hasMoreComment":true,"orderType":2}