Short term oversold pressures could trigger a mild bounce
The charts point to mainly bad news. The Straits Times Index fell by 106 points week-on-week during Oct 10-14 to end at 3,039. The major negative development is that quarterly momentum has fallen below a support and its equilibrium line. At the same time, the STI fell below three times tested 3,120 level and also the twice-tested 3,090 level. In addition, the 50-, 100- and 200-day moving averages, currently at 3,212, 3,187 and 3,244 respectively, are likely to turn down at their current levels.
In the short term, as short term oversold pressures build with 21-day RSI testing 31, the STI could rebound albeit temporarily, with the previous support of 3,120 acting as a mild resistance area.
Elsewhere, the uptrend in the yield on the 10-year US Treasuries remains intact. To-date, the yield -as at Oct 14 is at 3.92%. This is a tad below the high of around 3.97%. The negative divergence between yield and short term indicators continues. In addition, ADX has flattened at very high levels. These indicators continue to suggest that the largest gains could be over for yields on the 10-year treasuries.
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