To The Moon

$TSM CEO just issues a letter to all employees to take more vacation and spend more time with family except 3nm process and 2nm R&D. Chip recession is coming. $50 incoming… Why is this negative when everything semi is positive.$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$

It is a happy monday today, stocks have rebounded. However, this does not bring hope to investors as it would end flat or lower by the end of the week. Recession at this rate is inevitable, worst scenario will be a stagflation by 2023. Many of thestocks have reached a new 52 weeks low and investors are questioning have we reached thebottom? With the rising interest rate and the upcoming 75bps rate, it will not resolve any of the inflation issue and more people like you and me will be badly affected, ranging from dailylife to the commodities that we buy. Our portfolio will be greatly affected too. In order to survive this tough time, a PUT option can be purchase so that even the stock that we like drops, we still can earn some premium back so that we can re-invest. In addition, ihave added

The charts point to mainly bad news. The Straits Times Index fell by 106 points week-on-week during Oct 10-14 to end at 3,039. The major negative development is that quarterly momentum has fallen below a support and its equilibrium line. At the same time, the STI fell below three times tested 3,120 level and also the twice-tested 3,090 level. In addition, the 50-, 100- and 200-day moving averages, currently at 3,212, 3,187 and 3,244 respectively, are likely to turn down at their current levels. In the short term, as short term oversold pressures build with 21-day RSI testing 31, the STI could rebound albeit temporarily, with the previous support of 3,120 acting as a mild resistance area. Elsewhere, the uptrend in the yield on the 10-year US Treasuries remains intact. To-date, the yield -as

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ is the bellwether of the global semiconductor industry, as it commands over 50% of the semiconductor foundry market, manufacturing and supplying more than half of the chips to semiconductor design companies for various electronic components for automotive to telecommunications. This is particularly true of the state-of-the-art technologies featuring the smallest feature sizes that only TSMC and its nearest competitor Samsung Foundry are capable of delivering. Given the scarcity of the latest and greatest chip supplies, TSMC enjoys much better margins compared to its peers. With its enormous size, it also wields significant bargaining powers against its customers and suppliers. Nevertheless, TSMC is not

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$Q3 earning released on Thursday, with the same day of Sep CPI. TSM has rebounded 4%, with the intraday high of 9%,According to WSJ, TSMC and $Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.(SSNLF)$, have received a one-year license to keep their chip production in China, where they have factories, and continue to expand their business there. That maybe the reason to keep it rebound.Of course, America's

Tech earnings to show if 'awful few months' will linger into next year With the next big round of tech earnings on the horizon, Wall Street is already preparing itself for a raft of quarterly reports that reflect a sense of negativity unlike any seen in the sector in more than a decade. A combination of the Federal Reserve's mixed efforts to tamp down inflation, ongoing evidence that a recession could be on the way and spending reductions by both consumers and enterprises has resulted in months of weakness across the tech sector. For example, in the last week of September alone, tech bellwethers such as Intel (NASDAQ:INTC), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Alphabet (GOOG) and Meta Platforms (META) all saw their shares fall to 52-week-lows, and are now just barely above those ignoble l

Earning will be less compare to the previous flying result due to graphic card price and sales is dropping as crypto currency has drop a lot. I believe will rebound like yesterday but will continue down trend again.

Worse is yet to come.  With usa China spat ongoing, it can only work negatively unless a new production source is found that defies whatever new upcoming sanctions.

Always link to the dot, waiting the good season back soon ? 

Opportunity or Crisis?? U.S. officials have banned the export of computing chips for artificial intelligence work to China. This is a huge news as it would definitely weaken the sales revenue of US semi-conductor companies in the upcoming quarters. The ban on Nvidia's chip export to China affects its A100 and H100 chips designed to speed up machine learning tasks, could interfere with the completion of developing the H100 (Nvidia's flagship chip). The announcement signals a major escalation of the technology tensions between the United States and China. Without American chips from companies like $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ and its rival $AMD(AMD)$ , Chinese organizations will be unable to cost-effectively carry out the kind of advanced computing used image and speech recognition, among many other

Federal Reserve officials committed to raising interest rates to a restrictive level in the near term and holding them there to curb inflation, though several said it would be important to calibrate hikes to mitigate risks. “Several participants noted that, particularly in the current highly uncertain global economic and financial environment, it would be important to calibrate the pace of further policy tightening with the aim of mitigating the risk of significant adverse effects on the economic outlook,” according to minutes from their Sept. 20-21 gathering released Wednesday in Washington. During the meeting, US central bankers agreed to boost the benchmark lending rate 75 basis points for the third straight time, lifting it to a target range of 3% to 3.25% as they combat stubborn infla

The semiconductor industry suffered in Q3, and the headwinds of supply chain and demand, and irresponsible policy brought this industry unprecedented challenges. From the financial report released at the end of September which is as of August 31, 2020, $Micron Technology(MU)$ has became the first company to warn the decline in global demand for personal computers and smartphone chips in Q3. According to the management, Customers in various industries are cutting orders and reducing the chip inventory accumulated before, and the chip industry is in a difficult pricing situation at present. Yet, MU is not the worst performing in the secondary market.Coincidentally, TSMC (Asia Pacific) hit the

The International Monetary Fund warned of a worsening outlook for the global economy, highlighting that efforts to manage the highest inflation in decades may add to the damage from the war in Ukraine and China’s slowdown. The IMF cut its forecast for global growth next year to 2.7%, from 2.9% seen in July and 3.8% in January, adding that it sees a 25% probability that growth will slow to less than 2%. The risk of policy miscalculation has risen sharply as growth remains fragile and markets show signs of stress, the IMF said Tuesday in its World Economic Outlook. About one third of the global economy risks contracting next year, it said, with the US, European Union and China all continuing to stall. The impact of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy tightening will be felt globally, with

Chips has become cheap. Don't buy on the cheap.

It's a bear market 

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ Here's the history of the PE ratio for MSFT. You see where it dipped below 10? Does anyone else believe you could see that again? If it did, the indexes would be ripped to shreds. That's why so many are bearish on the markets in general. Fed is forcing a decrease in money supply globally and I don't believe there will be enough money in the system to keep this a growth stock. This and a few other stocks that haven't yet taken their medicine. You should see Aapl.

Likely more red days ahead for semicon stocks