SPX-Treasury yields vs Reported earnings

The equity market once again erased the gains of the morning

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which was up 1.3% at 10:20 a.m., ended the day down 90 points, or 0.3%. The S&P 500 fell 0.80% to 3,665.78. The Nasdaq Composite lost 0.61% to close at 10,614.84.

 Stocks faded as Treasury yields rose...

The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield hit a high of 4.239% on Thursday, trading at levels not seen since 2008.

 Note to mention the 2-year Treasury yield reaching 4.6%.

We have here a general context unfavorable to the continuous rise of the equity market:

  • With a rate hike and a Federal Reserve that continues to try to calm inflationary pressures not seen in decades.
  • Without forgetting the dollar which largely beats its peers. (the dollar hit Thursday its highest level against the Japanese yen since 1990).

But all would not be gloomy:

  • Indeed, the major averages are still up more than 2% for the week.
  • Corporate earnings (AT&T and IBM), meanwhile, are generally holding up, with some notable exceptions.
  • 88 S&P 500 companies reported earnings, 75% of which came in above expectations.

In summary, rising Treasury yields...along with the lagged nature of monetary policy, would limit the market to a sustained recovery...

Friday is the monthly expiry, expect volatility and adjust your trading accordingly.

Here are the levels for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ for reference. (no buy/sell advice).

  • 3700 would be the key level.
  • 3600-3650 lower zone
  • 3830-3900 upper zone

Thanks for reading.

@TigerStars 

@Do_Trading twitter for daily update and post.

Modify on 2022-10-21 17:34

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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Comment103

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  • fishinglo
    ·2022-10-21
    TOP
    The recession is still here.And getting more and more serious.No raeson to be bullish.
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    • Tony13141111
      没错,现在因为疫情的影响很多地方货币贬值 物价上涨
      2022-10-24
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    • wjv0204
      wa
      2022-10-22
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  • Do_Trading
    ·2022-10-22
    Fed policy would be partly built into the price. Lower yields could push SPX into 4000. In the meantime watch the wave of results in the coming week
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  • Do_Trading
    ·2022-10-22
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  • Do_Trading
    ·2022-10-26
    Thanks for reading 👍
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  • skiing
    ·2022-10-23
    Tks for sharing!
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  • K734
    ·2022-10-23
    Thanks for sharing
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  • Kyesu
    ·2022-10-22
    Read and thanks
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  • Ninja Turtle
    ·2022-10-28
    hd
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  • 嘞撸虎7
    ·2022-10-24
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  • banana3441
    ·2022-10-24
    nice
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  • 木吉蒂
    ·2022-10-24
    [Like]
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  • AlfonsoDex
    ·2022-10-24
    ok
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  • Timsum
    ·2022-10-24
    k
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  • ElaineTEL
    ·2022-10-24
    Ok
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  • MrKenny
    ·2022-10-24
    C
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  • Kimtan929
    ·2022-10-24
    👍
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  • JH87
    ·2022-10-23
    Oo
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  • Mui fung
    ·2022-10-23
    G ood
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  • JJSIM
    ·2022-10-23
    cool
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  • iris小艺
    ·2022-10-23
    [smile]
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