Macro analysis of Oil Supply/Demand-Nov 3, 2022

1.44 weeks into the year:
-Commercial crude oil inventories are up ~18.9m bbls
-SPR inventories are down ~ 193.9m bbls
-Gasoline inventories are down ~26.1m bbls
-Distillates are down ~18.5m bbls
-Jet Fuel inventories are up ~1.4m bbls
-Propane is up ~22.4m bbls

Compare to 43th weeks:
-Commercial crude oil inventories are up ~22.1m bbls
-SPR inventories are down ~ 192m bbls
-Gasoline inventories are down ~24.8m bbls
-Distillates are down ~18.9m bbls
-Jet Fuel inventories are up ~1.1m bbls
-Propane is up ~21m bbls

2.For the week ending October 28/22.
-Small Propane build (Neutral)
-Tiny Distillates build (Bullish)
-Gasoline draw (Bullish)
-Tiny Jet Fuel build (Neutral)

Overall (including a healthy crude draw), a bullish report3.Demand for total products remained strong and was ~0.35% higher than the 2015-2019 average.
However, Gasoline demand remained weak.
Gasoline demand for the week ending Oct 21/2022.
~8% below the 2015-2019 Average
~1.3% higher than in 2020
~11.5% below 20194.Refinery throughput jumped by ~400k bbls/d mainly driven by PADD 3. PADD 1 was back operating at ~103% of capacity.

https://twitter.com/Gugo907/status/1587817472631005186

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  • DannDann
    ·2022-11-04
    Excellent! Thanks for the insightful sharing. Thumbs up 👍🏻👍
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  • logostauros
    ·2022-11-03
    oknthanks sir sounds good
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  • SPGoh
    ·2022-11-05
    Nice sharing
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  • Ztradee
    ·2022-11-05
    Excellent. Thank you.
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  • Wolfenstein118
    ·2022-11-03
    Thx for sharing
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  • zerolih
    ·2022-11-05
    thanks for the analysis
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  • WHJW
    ·2022-11-05
    Good
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  • Punk_dy
    ·2022-11-05
    Good read
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  • kevin chang
    ·2022-11-05
    👍
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  • Aizhen lin
    ·2022-11-05
    [开心]
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  • GreenMan123
    ·2022-11-05
    o
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  • Prohui
    ·2022-11-05
    Ok
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  • Hangmau
    ·2022-11-05
    1
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  • CHoe
    ·2022-11-05
    ooooo
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  • KayHK
    ·2022-11-05
    👏
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  • MarcusChan
    ·2022-11-05
    how
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  • ken2020
    ·2022-11-05
    [Like]
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  • Kenwen
    ·2022-11-05
    k
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  • Retsel
    ·2022-11-05
    ok
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  • Ivansjy
    ·2022-11-05
    k
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