To The Moon

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1.2330 successfully reached, did you enter the buy order?X just few signals, more signals, home page add my contact information! Image2.Gold was blocked lower at 2344 and sell orders continue to take profits! $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$ After the first half of the week's shock, the current gold out of the shock trend! 2342 pressure has been broken, fall back to adjust for a better rise! 2353 will continue to break through!Image3. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Intraday will focus on the United States in March core PCE price index annual rate, the United States in March personal spending rate, the United States in April, the University

Affected by factors such as geopolitical conflicts and fluctuations in the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, the contradiction in risk appetite in the capital market has become increasingly prominent, and commodity prices have also entered a stage of high volatility.Taking gold as an example, the price of gold has experienced a correction after experiencing the "crazy growth" . On April 22 local time, COMEX gold futures for June delivery fell 3.01%, the largest one-day drop since June 2022.Two factors "suppress" precious metalsFor a long time, geopolitics has been the first factor affecting the prices of gold and silver. With the gradual escalation of tensions in the Middle East, the market's demand for safe-haven assets such as gold and silver has also increased simultaneously. Howeve

As speculated, news of the conflict between Israel and Iran has subsided, which has prompted a pullback in gold, and you may have to wait for a while to chase higher. For gold trading this year, the importance of finding a good time and a low position is relatively high, and it is not easy to chase ups and downs.The correction of gold With a long green line on Monday to determine a larger pullback/retracement time span, coupled with the more violent fall of silver (it has also been recommended to short silver and long gold to deal with this round of market), we expect gold to be short in the short term will not Reverse quickly.But how to judge the low point of the callback that everyone is more concerned about? First of all, it is certain that it is likely that it will be difficult for sho

On Friday, Israel appeared to be about to "retaliate" against Iran, causing crude oil and gold prices to soar and US stocks to plummet. Although both Israel and Iran soon came out to clarify, the Iranian side said that it intercepted the drone that attacked and did not cause too much loss, which caused a sharp retreat in the follow-up market.This phenomenon shows that the two sides of the conflict do not want to make things too big, but the financial market does not seem to buy the result, and the price fluctuation suddenly becomes very manic.The impact of the conflict on the US stock indexThe widening situation in the Middle East has weakened the market's sensitivity to news of the Fed's interest rate cut and increased concerns about war fears. Although there was a sharp rebound on Friday

As of the close on April 17, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively closed down. The Nasdaq and S&P fell for the fourth consecutive day, the longest record since January this year.U.S. stocks have outperformed expectations in 2023, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones rising 24.2%, 43.4%, and 13.7%, respectively. The market has also given high expectations for the performance of U.S. stocks in 2024. However, since April, the U.S. stock market has encountered a series of complex factors, causing the market to continue to be under adjustment pressure.So does this mean that the long bull market in US stocks is coming to an end? Will the new round of earnings season bring turmoil to US stocks?As the global banking leader JPMorgan Chase released a mixed quarterly report last

The situation in the Middle East has once again become the focus of the market in recent days, with some concerns about the conflict between Iran and Israel. Although both sides have shown signs of perseverance, it is more likely that there will be “big thunder, little rain”. At the same time, referring to the geopolitical conflicts and small-scale military operations that have occurred several times before, the financial market can basically digest the impact within a week, so short-term fluctuations are difficult to shake the market trend.In theory, gold and crude oil are naturally the most sensitive to this topic. Last Friday's rise and fall seem to have previewed the weekend's soap opera in advance: Compared with a real fight, it seems more cost-effective to make a tough statement to g

The biggest event of the weekend was Iran's attack on Israel. I don't know if you have noticed that many incidents this year tend to happen on weekends, as agreed.If this attack occurs in the middle of the week, I am afraid that financial Market fluctuations are definitely not small. And if it happens on the weekend, there is enough time for countries to appease market sentiment. I believe that when the market opens on Monday, the financial market will be much more rational.Looking back at Iran's attack on Israel, in fact, Iran is also well-known. After all, Israel first attacked the Iranian embassy in Syria, and then it attracted Iran's counterattack. We do not agree with military retaliation, but Iran's attack on Israel is generally expected. Inside the incident, and after the attack, Ir

Gold $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$ prices have set a new record for the eighth consecutive trading day, with spot gold prices surging to $2,364.96 per ounce during the session, and US gold futures prices rose even more, touching $2,379.70.Since mid-February, gold prices have rallied by over 18%.The World Gold Council (WGC) recently pointed out that the fundamental factors supporting this surge in gold prices include rising geopolitical risks, steady central bank purchases, and consistent demand for jewelry, gold bars, and coins.But there's something puzzling about this gold rally: it lacks a clear trigger. Right now, the markets are really scratching their heads over the Fed's next move.According to data from the CME Group, the market expects a 5

Driven by the escalation of geopolitical conflicts, market concerns about the tense situation in the Middle East and the interruption of energy supplies such as oil, international crude oil once soared sharply. The picture shows the price trend of the May WTI crude oil futures contract, which is currently hovering at $86.35.PictureFrom the perspective of supply and demand, the sluggish demand has led to no large-scale destocking even though OPEC continued to cut production. However, U.S. crude oil took the opportunity to seize market share and increased production and exports on a large scale. The global crude oil supply is not tight. The rise in crude oil prices is mainly due to the geopolitical crisis and speculative buying under the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut. Looking ah

The bulls in the crude oil market that continued in the first quarter have helped the price return to the central axis level we defined. With the emergence of high pressure and the small deviation between US stocks and stock indexes, we expect that it will be more difficult for oil prices to go up. For low buy/long investments, now may be the time to at least partially lock in profits.At the end of last year and the beginning of this year, we introduced the composition of crude oil price range: above 95/100 is the level of selling crude oil reserves by the US government (Biden made clear), while below 70 US dollars is the level of buying back crude oil reserves. The 84 line in the middle of the two is defined as the central axis because of the obvious change of hands. Under the big shock m

Which nation boasts the largest gold $Gold - Apr 2024(GC2404)$ reserves? 🥇🇺🇸 United States: 8,133🇩🇪 Germany: 3,353 🇨🇳 China: 2,700 *** （This is my estimate data, China adds gold holdings for 17th consecutive month）🇮🇹 Italy: 2,452 🇫🇷 France: 2,437 🇷🇺 Russia: 2,333 🇨🇭 Switzerland: 1,040 🇯🇵 Japan: 846 🇮🇳 India: 804 🇳🇱 Netherlands: 612 🇹🇷 Turkey: 540 🇵🇹 Portugal: 383 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan: 371 🇵🇱 Poland: 359 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia: 323White Gold MoneyGold reserves play a pivotal role in ensuring the economic resilience of a country, serving as a dependable asset during periods of financial instability. During the late 19th and much of the 20th century, the gold standard was a prevailing global practice. Under this system, countries pegged the value of their pape

At the beginning of each month, the focus of the market will always be on non-farm data. Especially recently, everyone has been keeping a close eye on the Fed's interest rate cut path, and the impact of economic data on market fluctuations is very important. Friday night's non-farm data greatly exceeded market expectations. According to the data released by the US Department of Labor, the number of non-farm payrolls in the United States increased by 303,000 in March, far higher than the 200,000 predicted by economists and the 270,000 in February, the largest increase since May last year. But what is even more surprising is that U.S. stocks rose unexpectedly after a short decline, and gold continued to hit a record high, which made many investors feel at a loss. This phenomenon of completel

From the market situation in the past few years, it is not difficult to find that the current US government has a very strong control over the financial sector, and their trading methods are also comfortable. Since the first quarter of last year, NVIDIA, the first AI concept, is still the leading core variety, and they have also promoted the overall bull market of US stocks. This year, another one pushed to the front desk is BTC, which is well known but not much involved.Once upon a time, many Wall Street giants also said that BTC was defined as a channel for fraud and money laundering. However, this thing has boarded the hall of ETF in a twinkling of an eye. It is obviously unreasonable to say that there is no intentional promotion from Biden administration. Behind this is naturally the f

On Thursday night, the price of gold continued to hit a record high, which indicated that the market fully expected to cut interest rates. However, when the market fully expects, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will come out and pour cold water on the market.After all, expectation management is one of the important tasks of the Federal Reserve, so no matter what he says, the key depends on how the Fed does its follow-up actions. Even if the interest rate cut is really delayed, it is only an adjustment to re-hype the interest rate cut expectation. The market does not think that you will really exceed expectations, unless this week's non-farm data can exceed expectations, which may bring some adjustments to asset prices.First, pay attention to the strength and weakness of the US stock indexS

Why You Fail at Closing Deals In Commodity Trading

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At the end of the month, the news from the terrorist attacks in Moscow shocked the market again, and also caused investors to worry about geopolitical progress. So will this event become a new driving factor and dominate the market in the second quarter? My personal opinion is that the possibility is relatively low. Unless there are more actions and conflicts between the two sides, the market will digest this topic quickly.First of all, from the market feedback, at first glance, there is a certain degree of risk aversion, but in fact, the assets themselves still show signs of "fighting", which shows that the event itself is not of high magnitude. For example, the US dollar did rebound and rise, but as we said before, the US Dollar Index is in the form of diamond, so it is not necessary to

There is no suspense in the results of the Fed's interest rate meeting last week, and Powell's speech after the meeting is also dovish. At present, the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates three times this year and reduce the QT rhythm at the same time. Regardless of whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates as expected by the market, at least the current doves expect already has sufficient pricing, so the sensitivity of the follow-up market to the news of interest rate cuts will be relatively reduced. The integrity of the capital market will be weaker than before.When the expectation of interest rate cut becomes closer and closer, the market's reaction to the news will become more dull, and even fluctuate in reverse (all the good news is bad), so the financial market wil

In the past two years, in order to cope with the problem of high inflation, the central banks of major economies represented by the United States have started the rate hike cycle one after another, but Japan is an exception. As the only remaining "negative interest rate" in the world, Japan has maintained a loose monetary policy for a long time. However, the situation has changed now.A few days ago, the Bank of Japan announced an increase in the policy interest rate, and the negative interest rate policy that lasted for many years came to an end. It is worth mentioning that this is the first rate hike of the Bank of Japan since 2007, and the eight-year "negative interest rate era" in Japan has officially ended.Although the Bank of Japan's move shows its confidence in economic recovery, it

Except for those categories that have been fluctuating for a long time, most assets that performed strongly in the first quarter or even set a new record high have experienced weak upside in the near future. Interestingly, the two leading brothers who lead the rise are unexpectedly in the same pace in the medium and long term. With the emergence of adjustment, compared with the rapid and rapid sharp drop, the way that may be buffered by time is also an option.As we all know, NVIDIA is the standard-bearer of AI concept and the engine of the bull market of US stocks last year, and the crazy performance of Bitcoin in the past few months is obvious to all. Although there is a certain degree of correlation between the two, it is not difficult to find that such a high degree of positive correlat

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1.2330 successfully reached, did you enter the buy order?X just few signals, more signals, home page add my contact information! Image2.Gold was blocked lower at 2344 and sell orders continue to take profits! $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$ After the first half of the week's shock, the current gold out of the shock trend! 2342 pressure has been broken, fall back to adjust for a better rise! 2353 will continue to break through!Image3. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Intraday will focus on the United States in March core PCE price index annual rate, the United States in March personal spending rate, the United States in April, the University

Affected by factors such as geopolitical conflicts and fluctuations in the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, the contradiction in risk appetite in the capital market has become increasingly prominent, and commodity prices have also entered a stage of high volatility.Taking gold as an example, the price of gold has experienced a correction after experiencing the "crazy growth" . On April 22 local time, COMEX gold futures for June delivery fell 3.01%, the largest one-day drop since June 2022.Two factors "suppress" precious metalsFor a long time, geopolitics has been the first factor affecting the prices of gold and silver. With the gradual escalation of tensions in the Middle East, the market's demand for safe-haven assets such as gold and silver has also increased simultaneously. Howeve

As speculated, news of the conflict between Israel and Iran has subsided, which has prompted a pullback in gold, and you may have to wait for a while to chase higher. For gold trading this year, the importance of finding a good time and a low position is relatively high, and it is not easy to chase ups and downs.The correction of gold With a long green line on Monday to determine a larger pullback/retracement time span, coupled with the more violent fall of silver (it has also been recommended to short silver and long gold to deal with this round of market), we expect gold to be short in the short term will not Reverse quickly.But how to judge the low point of the callback that everyone is more concerned about? First of all, it is certain that it is likely that it will be difficult for sho

On Friday, Israel appeared to be about to "retaliate" against Iran, causing crude oil and gold prices to soar and US stocks to plummet. Although both Israel and Iran soon came out to clarify, the Iranian side said that it intercepted the drone that attacked and did not cause too much loss, which caused a sharp retreat in the follow-up market.This phenomenon shows that the two sides of the conflict do not want to make things too big, but the financial market does not seem to buy the result, and the price fluctuation suddenly becomes very manic.The impact of the conflict on the US stock indexThe widening situation in the Middle East has weakened the market's sensitivity to news of the Fed's interest rate cut and increased concerns about war fears. Although there was a sharp rebound on Friday

As of the close on April 17, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively closed down. The Nasdaq and S&P fell for the fourth consecutive day, the longest record since January this year.U.S. stocks have outperformed expectations in 2023, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones rising 24.2%, 43.4%, and 13.7%, respectively. The market has also given high expectations for the performance of U.S. stocks in 2024. However, since April, the U.S. stock market has encountered a series of complex factors, causing the market to continue to be under adjustment pressure.So does this mean that the long bull market in US stocks is coming to an end? Will the new round of earnings season bring turmoil to US stocks?As the global banking leader JPMorgan Chase released a mixed quarterly report last

The situation in the Middle East has once again become the focus of the market in recent days, with some concerns about the conflict between Iran and Israel. Although both sides have shown signs of perseverance, it is more likely that there will be “big thunder, little rain”. At the same time, referring to the geopolitical conflicts and small-scale military operations that have occurred several times before, the financial market can basically digest the impact within a week, so short-term fluctuations are difficult to shake the market trend.In theory, gold and crude oil are naturally the most sensitive to this topic. Last Friday's rise and fall seem to have previewed the weekend's soap opera in advance: Compared with a real fight, it seems more cost-effective to make a tough statement to g

The biggest event of the weekend was Iran's attack on Israel. I don't know if you have noticed that many incidents this year tend to happen on weekends, as agreed.If this attack occurs in the middle of the week, I am afraid that financial Market fluctuations are definitely not small. And if it happens on the weekend, there is enough time for countries to appease market sentiment. I believe that when the market opens on Monday, the financial market will be much more rational.Looking back at Iran's attack on Israel, in fact, Iran is also well-known. After all, Israel first attacked the Iranian embassy in Syria, and then it attracted Iran's counterattack. We do not agree with military retaliation, but Iran's attack on Israel is generally expected. Inside the incident, and after the attack, Ir

Driven by the escalation of geopolitical conflicts, market concerns about the tense situation in the Middle East and the interruption of energy supplies such as oil, international crude oil once soared sharply. The picture shows the price trend of the May WTI crude oil futures contract, which is currently hovering at $86.35.PictureFrom the perspective of supply and demand, the sluggish demand has led to no large-scale destocking even though OPEC continued to cut production. However, U.S. crude oil took the opportunity to seize market share and increased production and exports on a large scale. The global crude oil supply is not tight. The rise in crude oil prices is mainly due to the geopolitical crisis and speculative buying under the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut. Looking ah

At the beginning of each month, the focus of the market will always be on non-farm data. Especially recently, everyone has been keeping a close eye on the Fed's interest rate cut path, and the impact of economic data on market fluctuations is very important. Friday night's non-farm data greatly exceeded market expectations. According to the data released by the US Department of Labor, the number of non-farm payrolls in the United States increased by 303,000 in March, far higher than the 200,000 predicted by economists and the 270,000 in February, the largest increase since May last year. But what is even more surprising is that U.S. stocks rose unexpectedly after a short decline, and gold continued to hit a record high, which made many investors feel at a loss. This phenomenon of completel

The bulls in the crude oil market that continued in the first quarter have helped the price return to the central axis level we defined. With the emergence of high pressure and the small deviation between US stocks and stock indexes, we expect that it will be more difficult for oil prices to go up. For low buy/long investments, now may be the time to at least partially lock in profits.At the end of last year and the beginning of this year, we introduced the composition of crude oil price range: above 95/100 is the level of selling crude oil reserves by the US government (Biden made clear), while below 70 US dollars is the level of buying back crude oil reserves. The 84 line in the middle of the two is defined as the central axis because of the obvious change of hands. Under the big shock m

Gold $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$ prices have set a new record for the eighth consecutive trading day, with spot gold prices surging to $2,364.96 per ounce during the session, and US gold futures prices rose even more, touching $2,379.70.Since mid-February, gold prices have rallied by over 18%.The World Gold Council (WGC) recently pointed out that the fundamental factors supporting this surge in gold prices include rising geopolitical risks, steady central bank purchases, and consistent demand for jewelry, gold bars, and coins.But there's something puzzling about this gold rally: it lacks a clear trigger. Right now, the markets are really scratching their heads over the Fed's next move.According to data from the CME Group, the market expects a 5

On Thursday night, the price of gold continued to hit a record high, which indicated that the market fully expected to cut interest rates. However, when the market fully expects, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will come out and pour cold water on the market.After all, expectation management is one of the important tasks of the Federal Reserve, so no matter what he says, the key depends on how the Fed does its follow-up actions. Even if the interest rate cut is really delayed, it is only an adjustment to re-hype the interest rate cut expectation. The market does not think that you will really exceed expectations, unless this week's non-farm data can exceed expectations, which may bring some adjustments to asset prices.First, pay attention to the strength and weakness of the US stock indexS

From the market situation in the past few years, it is not difficult to find that the current US government has a very strong control over the financial sector, and their trading methods are also comfortable. Since the first quarter of last year, NVIDIA, the first AI concept, is still the leading core variety, and they have also promoted the overall bull market of US stocks. This year, another one pushed to the front desk is BTC, which is well known but not much involved.Once upon a time, many Wall Street giants also said that BTC was defined as a channel for fraud and money laundering. However, this thing has boarded the hall of ETF in a twinkling of an eye. It is obviously unreasonable to say that there is no intentional promotion from Biden administration. Behind this is naturally the f

There is no suspense in the results of the Fed's interest rate meeting last week, and Powell's speech after the meeting is also dovish. At present, the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates three times this year and reduce the QT rhythm at the same time. Regardless of whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates as expected by the market, at least the current doves expect already has sufficient pricing, so the sensitivity of the follow-up market to the news of interest rate cuts will be relatively reduced. The integrity of the capital market will be weaker than before.When the expectation of interest rate cut becomes closer and closer, the market's reaction to the news will become more dull, and even fluctuate in reverse (all the good news is bad), so the financial market wil

Which nation boasts the largest gold $Gold - Apr 2024(GC2404)$ reserves? 🥇🇺🇸 United States: 8,133🇩🇪 Germany: 3,353 🇨🇳 China: 2,700 *** （This is my estimate data, China adds gold holdings for 17th consecutive month）🇮🇹 Italy: 2,452 🇫🇷 France: 2,437 🇷🇺 Russia: 2,333 🇨🇭 Switzerland: 1,040 🇯🇵 Japan: 846 🇮🇳 India: 804 🇳🇱 Netherlands: 612 🇹🇷 Turkey: 540 🇵🇹 Portugal: 383 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan: 371 🇵🇱 Poland: 359 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia: 323White Gold MoneyGold reserves play a pivotal role in ensuring the economic resilience of a country, serving as a dependable asset during periods of financial instability. During the late 19th and much of the 20th century, the gold standard was a prevailing global practice. Under this system, countries pegged the value of their pape

In the past two years, in order to cope with the problem of high inflation, the central banks of major economies represented by the United States have started the rate hike cycle one after another, but Japan is an exception. As the only remaining "negative interest rate" in the world, Japan has maintained a loose monetary policy for a long time. However, the situation has changed now.A few days ago, the Bank of Japan announced an increase in the policy interest rate, and the negative interest rate policy that lasted for many years came to an end. It is worth mentioning that this is the first rate hike of the Bank of Japan since 2007, and the eight-year "negative interest rate era" in Japan has officially ended.Although the Bank of Japan's move shows its confidence in economic recovery, it

With the release of various economic data in the United States and the speeches of the Federal Reserve Chairman and major officials, the market's expectation for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in June has been extremely extreme.When we have been used to the good news, the small bad news will be particularly dazzling, which is exactly the case in the current market. March-May is another pricing of the Fed's interest rate cut path. The rate cut is not as fast as expected, and the market will also fall into shock, with different impacts on various commodities.First, the price of varieties with sufficient interest rate cut expectations began to fluctuateThe varieties whose price fluctuation is closely related to the expectation of interest rate cut are the varieties that have fully

At the end of the month, the news from the terrorist attacks in Moscow shocked the market again, and also caused investors to worry about geopolitical progress. So will this event become a new driving factor and dominate the market in the second quarter? My personal opinion is that the possibility is relatively low. Unless there are more actions and conflicts between the two sides, the market will digest this topic quickly.First of all, from the market feedback, at first glance, there is a certain degree of risk aversion, but in fact, the assets themselves still show signs of "fighting", which shows that the event itself is not of high magnitude. For example, the US dollar did rebound and rise, but as we said before, the US Dollar Index is in the form of diamond, so it is not necessary to

Except for those categories that have been fluctuating for a long time, most assets that performed strongly in the first quarter or even set a new record high have experienced weak upside in the near future. Interestingly, the two leading brothers who lead the rise are unexpectedly in the same pace in the medium and long term. With the emergence of adjustment, compared with the rapid and rapid sharp drop, the way that may be buffered by time is also an option.As we all know, NVIDIA is the standard-bearer of AI concept and the engine of the bull market of US stocks last year, and the crazy performance of Bitcoin in the past few months is obvious to all. Although there is a certain degree of correlation between the two, it is not difficult to find that such a high degree of positive correlat

At 20:30 Beijing time on Thursday, March 14th, the US Department of Labor released the PPI data for February, which exceeded expectations in terms of year-on-year, month-on-month and core PPI year-on-year data. Relaying the previous CPI data, it further continued to imply the stubbornness of inflation.Data show that the PPI of the United States warmed up beyond expectations in February, rising by 1.6% year-on-year, and the previous value was 1.2%.Far exceeding the expected 0.9%; PPI accelerated by 0.6% month-on-month,It is twice the expected value，The previous value is 0.3%.PictureThe core PPI excluding food and energy prices increased by 2% year-on-year, which was the same as the previous value.Exceeding expectations by 1.9%;The core PPI rose by 0.3% month-on-month, which was less than th