To The Moon

How Nebius Came Onto My Radar

When I first discovered Nebius Group $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ , it was not by accident. I had been actively scanning the AI and cloud infrastructure landscape, looking for companies that were not only growing but also positioned to become essential in the AI-driven economy. Nebius, headquartered in Amsterdam, immediately stood out. The company is building cloud infrastructure and software platforms purpose-built for AI's demanding computing needs — workloads that require immense processing power, high efficiency, and global scale.

Its story became even more compelling when I learned that Nebius is the rebranded successor of Yandex's non-Russian assets. After exiting the Russian market, the management team repositioned the business entirely around AI cloud infrastructure, shedding legacy operations and embracing a high-growth path. That transformation caught my attention because it demonstrated agility, ambition, and a willingness to make bold moves in pursuit of a bigger opportunity.

Nebius

Why Nvidia-Linked Stocks Deserve a Premium in My Portfolio

Over the past few years, I have noticed a recurring pattern: companies with deep strategic or financial ties to Nvidia tend to outperform. Nvidia is not just a chip maker; it is the engine behind much of the AI revolution. When Nvidia invests in a company, it often signals that the business has the technology, scalability, and market potential to be a key piece of the AI ecosystem.

Nebius joined this“Nvidia ecosystem”late last year when it secured $700 million in private funding from a group of investors that included Nvidia itself. This is not a casual endorsement — it is capital that can accelerate data center expansion, research and development, and geographic growth. For me, this puts Nebius in the same thematic basket as other AI infrastructure plays that have the potential to ride Nvidia's coattails in the AI arms race.

The Strength I See in Nebius Today

Nebius is not just riding the AI hype; it is executing with speed. The company is expanding its data center footprint aggressively, with a clear goal to secure over 1 gigawatt of power capacity by the end of 2026. This level of scale is critical because AI workloads — especially training large language models — require massive energy resources and specialized infrastructure.

The company is also strategically targeting both European and U.S. markets, which gives it geographic diversification and the ability to serve global clients. It has already announced data centers in Kansas City and New Jersey, adding to its European facilities. In my view, this dual-market strategy increases resilience and creates more opportunities for growth compared to being concentrated in just one region.

Nebius AI Infrastructure 

Risks and Challenges on My Radar

As bullish as I am, I cannot overlook the competitive and operational risks. Nebius is going up against well-established giants like Amazon Web Services $Amazon.com(AMZN)$  and Microsoft Azure $Microsoft(MSFT)$  , which have deep pockets, mature platforms, and massive customer bases. There is also rising competition from nimble AI-focused infrastructure players such as CoreWeave, which went public recently and is rapidly scaling.

Financially, Nebius remains unprofitable, with its net loss widening in Q2. High volatility is another factor — its 21-day average true range shows that price swings are large, making it unsuitable for short-term investors who dislike turbulence. Execution risk is also a factor: scaling data centers at the planned speed will require flawless supply chain management, talent acquisition, and operational discipline.

Breaking Down Nebius' Q2 2025 Earnings

The second quarter results were a turning point for my confidence in the stock. Nebius delivered $105.1 million in revenue, representing a staggering 625 percent increase year-on-year and a 106 percent jump quarter-on-quarter. This was ahead of analyst expectations of about $101 million.

Nebius Earnings

The company did report a net loss of 91.5 million USD, wider than the 61.6 million USD loss a year earlier, but importantly, its core business achieved positive adjusted EBITDA ahead of plan. This shows that its operational model can generate profitability even as overall growth investments weigh on the bottom line.

Most notably, management raised its year-end 2025 annualized run-rate revenue guidance from $750 million–$1 billion to $900 million–$1.1 billion. This is a strong signal that demand for Nebius' AI infrastructure services is exceeding their earlier forecasts.

Nebius Earnings Highlights

Could Nebius Be Another Palantir?

When I look at Nebius, I see shades of Palantir $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$  in its early growth phase. Both companies operate in critical parts of the technology stack — Palantir in data analytics and Nebius in AI cloud infrastructure. Both serve high-value clients that depend on them for mission-critical operations. And both have the potential to scale into globally recognized technology leaders.

The main difference is that Nebius is at an earlier stage, meaning the upside potential could be even greater if it captures significant market share in AI cloud services. Just like early Palantir, the road will likely be volatile, but for investors with patience, the payoff could be substantial.

Why I Am Staying Bullish

There are a few reasons I remain committed to my Nebius position. First, the company's growth trajectory is exceptional, and the raised guidance confirms that momentum is accelerating. Second, Nvidia's strategic involvement gives Nebius a credibility boost and potential technology advantages. Third, the AI infrastructure market is still in its early innings, and demand is only going to increase as new AI applications emerge across industries.

My Positioning and Strategy

I had started accumulating Nebius shares before the recent surge, guided by my conviction in its long-term story. The earnings release validated my thesis, and the stock's sharp rally reinforced my belief that the market is beginning to recognize its potential. My current plan is to monitor the stock closely and take advantage of any meaningful pullbacks to average up. I prefer to build my position gradually rather than chase momentum spikes, ensuring that I manage risk while staying exposed to the upside.

NBIS

Final Thoughts

Nebius is, in my view, one of the most exciting emerging players in the AI infrastructure space. It is growing revenue at a pace rarely seen in public markets, expanding globally, and aligning itself with Nvidia's AI leadership. The competitive landscape is intense, and profitability is still a work in progress, but the raised revenue guidance and early signs of operational leverage give me confidence that the company is on the right track.

For me, this is a high-conviction, long-term bet. I am prepared for volatility, but I believe that with patience, Nebius could become a cornerstone holding in my AI-focused portfolio — much like Palantir was for early believers.

As a retail investor, I focus mainly on the US and Singapore markets, combining a mix of technical trading and long-term investing strategies. I enjoy analyzing charts, spotting patterns, and making calculated moves based on both market sentiment and fundamentals. While I'm not a professional, I treat my portfolio seriously and continue to learn and grow with each trade. If you're also navigating the markets and enjoy discussing stocks, options, or market trends, feel free to follow me. Let's learn and grow together as a community.

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