When I see Bridgewater cutting 65% of its Nvidia $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  position right before earnings, I don't immediately jump to the conclusion that Nvidia is "doomed." Big funds rebalance for many reasons—portfolio concentration, risk control, quarter-end window dressing, or simply locking in huge gains after a historic AI rally. Nvidia's long-term fundamentals haven't changed overnight, so I don't interpret this single move as a collapse signal.

I also don't assume institutions have exclusive early access to information about an "AI bubble." What they do have is stricter risk limits and a shorter performance cycle—they may reduce exposure ahead of volatility simply because they can't afford a big drawdown. That timing often looks predictive, but it's usually just disciplined risk management, not secret intel.

SoftBank's liquidation is a different story. To me, that move is more about capital rotation than losing faith in Nvidia. Masayoshi Son is doubling down on AI infrastructure and wants to pour capital into OpenAI and the Stargate super-cluster. Selling Nvidia stock that has already multiplied several times is a rational way to unlock cash for the next bet. It says more about SoftBank's strategy than Nvidia's weakness.

As an individual investor, I remind myself that I don't have the same constraints as institutions. I don't need to rebalance every quarter, and I'm not judged on monthly performance. If my Nvidia position is small and aligned with my long-term belief in AI compute demand, I'm more inclined to hold rather than panic-follow institutional flows. My horizon is simply different.

Ultimately, institutional moves can be a reference, but they shouldn't dictate my decisions. I focus on whether Nvidia's thesis—explosive demand for compute, leadership in GPUs, and expanding data center dominance—remains intact. As long as that long-term story still makes sense to me, I'm comfortable staying invested through volatility instead of trying to time what every hedge fund is doing.

As a retail investor, I focus mainly on the US and Singapore markets, combining a mix of technical trading and long-term investing strategies. I enjoy analyzing charts, spotting patterns, and making calculated moves based on both market sentiment and fundamentals. While I'm not a professional, I treat my portfolio seriously and continue to learn and grow with each trade. If you're also navigating the markets and enjoy discussing stocks, options, or market trends, feel free to follow me. Let's learn and grow together as a community.

@Tiger_comments  @TigerStars  @Tiger_SG  

# Challenge NVIDIA: Buy Dip of NVDA or AMZN?

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