OptionPlus
OptionPlus
把交易修炼成自己喜欢的样子,在市场中从容的活下去。
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$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Wall Street banks raise price targets on Nvidia, across the board after earnings beat despite the stock falling.Morgan Stanley Raises Target to $150 from $144Wells Fargo Raises Target to $165 from $155Goldman Sachs Raises Target to $135Mizuho Raises Target to $140 from $132BofA Securities Raises Target to $165 from $150JPMorgan Raises Target to $155 from $115Needham Raises Target to $145 from $120Bernstein Raises Target to $155 from $130Raymond James Raises Target to $140 from $120

[Options] Goldman Sachs gives attractive straddle options for July earnings season

Goldman Sachs is once again recommending straddle options, a strategy where investors buy both call and put options. Goldman believes that with U.S. stocks reaching new highs this year, options might be a more attractive alternative to owning the stock outright.Goldman Sachs identified 25 companies where they believe the implied volatility (IV) underestimates the potential stock price movement on earnings day, making straddle options appealing. Among these, notable picks include $Meta Platforms(META)$ $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ and $Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$Meta Platforms (META): With earnings set for July 31, Goldman suggests buying straddles before IV spikes. T
[Options] Goldman Sachs gives attractive straddle options for July earnings season
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ 365 experienced service disruptions, affecting users worldwide. Microsoft dropped nearly 2% in after-hours trading, now priced at $433.If Microsoft opens around $435 tonight, I will sell a put option at $400, holding through the earnings report, with an expiration date of August 2nd.
$GameStop(GME)$ Tiger have opened GME call options all the way up to the 100 strike. The $GME 20230616 100 CALL$  with 3.5 days to expiry is trading for $3. With high liquidity, I sold 1 contract of call at the strike of $100, expiring this Friday, to earn premium of $3. I bet the share price will not reach $100 this week.But a word of caution for those looking to sell options - be mindful of the margin requirements and risks involved!

[Options] Goldman Sachs gives attractive straddle options for April earnings season

Goldman Sachs once again recommends straddle options for the upcoming earnings season. Goldman Sachs has released a list of 20 companies, believing that investors are underestimating the earnings day volatility of these targets. Buying straddles is particularly attractive, especially for $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ , $Netflix(NFLX)$ , $Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ and $American Express(AXP)$ META options imply a move of +/-7.8% on earnings-day, well below its 8Q average earnings-day move of +/-14.1%. One-month normalized put-call skew is in its 10th percentile relative to the past year, indicating bullish positioning by option
[Options] Goldman Sachs gives attractive straddle options for April earnings season

Reviewing Yesterday's NVDA Trades and Outline Today's Trading Plans

$英伟达(NVDA)$ As what I noted yesterday : NVDA Pre-Earnings Plunge: Will the Surge in Implied Volatility Trigger a Sell-Off?"My plan was to sell calls at $800 if the stock rebounded, otherwise to sell puts at $580-600 if the stock price dropped 3-4%. However, my actual trade that to sell puts at $580 when NVDA stock price was $680. Last night, IV continued to surge, reaching 170% for at-the-money options, compared to the previous day's 140%+. With the stock price at $680 and seeing a put premium of over $3 for the expiring options at a $580 strike, thus I sold puts expiring this week.Regarding the financial report, it beats all expectations. The annual revenue for 2023 surpassed
Reviewing Yesterday's NVDA Trades and Outline Today's Trading Plans

NVDA Pre-Earnings Plunge: Will the Surge in Implied Volatility Trigger a Sell-Off?"

$英伟达(NVDA)$ stock had a big drop last, before its earnings, seemingly influenced by two pieces of news: 1) Microsoft is developing a new product to reduce dependence on NVIDIA graphics cards, and 2) Silicon Valley startup Groq, with its self-developed LPU chips, claiming the LPU chip is 10 times faster than NVIDIA GPUs.While these announcements may not immediately impact NVIDIA's sales for the current year, they have tempered investors' enthusiasm, serving as a reminder to the investors of the competition and challenges that NVIDIA faces.There's already been plenty of analysis on its earnings, I won't delve into it. I currently don't hold any positions in NVIDIA due to the rapid rise in stock prices.Before, I had considered selling some calls ahea
NVDA Pre-Earnings Plunge: Will the Surge in Implied Volatility Trigger a Sell-Off?"

【Options】my opinion for selling put on TLT

Update on recent trading strategies for $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ and $Direxion Daily 20 Year Plus Treasury Bull 3x Shares(TMF)$ For the background on my trading opinions on TLT and TMF, please refer to the three previous articles:Is Selling Puts on TLT the Best Strategy Right Now?Why do I sell TMF calls, not TLT?Reviewing Options Trading on U.S. Treasury ETFsI began selling puts on TLT in early November. In December, I added selling calls on TMF. At that time, the trading logic was
【Options】my opinion for selling put on TLT
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2023-12-11

【Opitons】Why do I sell TMF calls, not TLT?

$3倍做多20年期以上国债ETF-Direxion(TMF)$ is an ETF which is daily 3X $20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$. I am not really bearish on US Treasury bonds. Actually, I have sold TLT puts, as I mentioned before, Treasury bond bottoms are certain, and selling puts can be a good choice for a while.But TLT rose as much as 10% in November and it was one of the most crowded trades. It continued to rise in December. If I keep selling TLT at a safe exercise price, the premiums will be little. If I raise the exercise price of selling puts to $90, I don’t think it is safe. Since long-term U.S. bonds do not have such an increase, TLT has room for correction.I am willing to sell TLT puts at an exercise price of $87-89. I think it should c
【Opitons】Why do I sell TMF calls, not TLT?
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2023-11-21
Tomorrow the deal is close, tonight the iv crash, all the sell put has been successfully landed, this year two super mergers and acquisitions have been unexpectedly completed.
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2023-10-19

[Options] Sell VMW‘s Puts as the Broadcom-VMware deal concern

$威睿(VMW)$ stock price plunged during last two days, and It fell another 7% in the pre-market trading.As concerns over the last leg of the Broadcom-VMware deal intensified over a snag in China. Broadcom and VMware set Oct. 23 as the deadline for VMware holders to elect the form of merger consideration they will take. The companies reiterated that they expect to close the transaction by Oct. 30, subject to the receipt of regulatory approvals and other customary closing conditions, according to a statement on Wednesday.However, the stock price is honest. Traders have some concern despite sources saying the deal should close without major issue. Traders are focused on China amid a report that China's antitrust approval for the megadeal may be delayed.
[Options] Sell VMW‘s Puts as the Broadcom-VMware deal concern
avatarOptionPlus
2023-09-22

Sell put to earn premium and prepare for Oct. rebound! My target price for AAPL, MSFT, TSLA, NVDA

Let's review the overall market and the trading opportunities in the stocks I've been monitoring. The interest rate decision lands, and it's as hawkish as expected, which is also in line with common sense. Anyone claiming it's unexpected must have their own problems. The 'higher for longer' stance was set as early as last year, why didn't they believe it?This basically confirms that there will be another interest rate hike in November this year, and it's time to start pricing it in. The current market adjustment also aligns with historical patterns seen in September. For those who are unsure or confused about the market's direction, I sincerely recommend keeping most of your funds in Tiger Vault for now.Another currently focused event is the government shutdown. Personally, I don't think t
Sell put to earn premium and prepare for Oct. rebound! My target price for AAPL, MSFT, TSLA, NVDA
avatarOptionPlus
2023-09-13

【Options】Sell Put AAPL after Apple event!

$苹果(AAPL)$ I don’t want to talk about the new products. Let’s move to how to trade. I sold puts at the strike price of $160 last night. That means I would like to buy the shares at $160.Why is $160?We can see from the chart below. There is a gap at $165-170, which need to make up. The MA200-day line is around $164, and the MA50-week line is around $162. So I chose the price of $160.It is worth mentioning that the 200-day line and 50-week line did not act supports in history. However, I personally still have confidence in Apple's solid moat, I am willing to buy the shares at this price.Although Apple have fallen a lot in the past few days, it has dropped 13% from its highs. But the stock price still rise as high as 35% year-to-date. In March, there
【Options】Sell Put AAPL after Apple event!
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2023-08-17

A serious reminder: both SP500 and Nasdaq fell below 50-day MA

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ it is seriously fell below MA50-day line. the index is expected to go around 4300 something, where is the high point in Last August. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell below the MA50-day line last Friday, and the rebound in the previous two trading days was suppressed by the MA50-day line, which proves the above view of continuing to be bearish.I would like to remind that investors should hedge and protect when the indexes bounce, even reduce your positions. If you want to hedge, options are better choices. If you hold some stocks, the best options strategy is selling covered calls for your holdings. You can choice an OTM strike price to sell calls, that probably no to be exercised when the market
A serious reminder: both SP500 and Nasdaq fell below 50-day MA
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2023-08-14
$动视暴雪(ATVI)$ Sell puts at the strike price of $85, expiring Sep.15.
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2023-08-11

[Options] My Apple's buying strategy, by selling puts

$Apple (AAPL) $ The stock price pulled back by 10%, and some investors are eager to buy. Apple stock was once my biggest position, and I sold it by the covered calls exercising First, I think the market is still on a correction. Apple stock has a 36% increase, despite the recent correction of 10%. Let's review its Q2 report. If the stock price does not rise so much, the result can be described as being solid and strong. However, the stock price rises so much, it can only be said that it is moderate or insipid. Everything follows expectations and sentiments.The iPhone's quarterly revenue was $39.7 billion, down 2% year-on-year. If without the impact of the US dollar exchange rate considered, the iPhone's revenue is obviously increasing. Still, the pro
[Options] My Apple's buying strategy, by selling puts
avatarOptionPlus
2023-07-26

Sell Put of MSFT! I choose $285 as the first strike price

Finally, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ pulls back! The earnings is great! However, the market's short-term expectations for cloud services and AI were too high, causing MSFT's stock price to rise too much. As a result, in-line-with expectations is considered as “missed estimates“. Anyway, this pullback is an opportunity to add.I plan to to buy the underlying stock of $Microsoft(MSFT)$ through “Sell Put”. The first strike price of my sell put plan is $285, but currently, the premium for this strike price is too low. The premium for the option expiring on August 18th is only $0.5, so there's no need to sell the Put at this point. If the premium for the $285 strike price reaches $0.75 or more in the next few days, I wil
Sell Put of MSFT! I choose $285 as the first strike price
avatarOptionPlus
2023-07-24
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ I saw some investors buy in TSLA or Sell its puts last week, I plan to start sell its puts this week. TSLA has fallen below the 20-day moving average, and it may continue to pull back in the short term. At the same time, some bearish voices came last week. I plan to do sell puts at the strike price of $225 and $200.I think TSLA has a high probability of callback to the 50-day moving average, that is, the position of $235. However, the 50-day line has never been a strong support. So, we probably look down to the position of $205. This position is a double bottom last May, and it is also a relatively large resistance in February and March. This position is much stronger and safer. At present, the put premium of the strike price
avatarOptionPlus
2023-07-20

I was wrong! A big options mistake. How can I remedy?

In regards to my previous post about an option opportunity with 99% winning rate with $VMware(VMW)$ , it was totally wrong. The VMW stock price has already surpassed the total $69 billion acquisition price.The reason for this mistake is that I didn't carefully read the transaction details. It's a meaningful lesson. Let me explain how to calculate the price and how I plan to remedy my wrong.Reviewing the announcement, the most crucial part is not the first paragraph on the first page but rather the transaction details on the second page.Highlight of VMware shareholders will elect to receive either $142.50 in cash or 0.2520 shares of Broadcom common stock for each VMware share. This deal is a cash-and-stock transaction. Shareholders can convert 50% o
I was wrong! A big options mistake. How can I remedy?
avatarOptionPlus
2023-07-18

TSLA's options signal: will shares touch $300?

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ will release its results tomorrow after market close. Gross profit margin is the main concern.In Q1,Tesla’s gross margin fell below 20% for the first time, reaching only 19.3%. That caused the stock price to plummet by 10% on the day after the report. There is also a price cut in Q2, so the analysts expect a gross profit of 18.7% in Q2.I have some options views. The current main entanglement price is the $300. The option data shows that TSLA may touch $300. As for whether it arrives before or after the report? I don't know. A large number of sell calls showed, however, indicating that many profit-seekers intend to take profits, which may result in the stock price falling back since the profits will be exhausted.The Put/Call Ra
TSLA's options signal: will shares touch $300?

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