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Long_Equity
Concentrated Global Equity Fund | ROC + FCF | Linear Compounders | Value Creation + Pricing Power | “There’s never a bad time to buy a compounding machine.”
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07-17 07:57

Not Every Large Cap Makes the S&P 500

Passive investors love the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ . What they don’t realise is that the criteria for entering and exiting the index isn’t quite as passive as you would expect. The distinction between the S&P 500 large caps and the S&P 400 mid caps isn't always clear. Here I plot market cap vs revenue. It’s interesting to see that there are S&P 400 companies that have a larger cap and greater revenue than some S&P 500 companies.
Not Every Large Cap Makes the S&P 500

Could $CW Be the Next S&P 500 Addition?

The distinction between an $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and an S&P 400 company isn't always clear. Here I plot market cap vs revenue. While revenue isn't part of the committe's consideration, it's interesting to see that there are some mid cap companies making more in sales than some large caps. Will $Curtiss-Wright(CW)$ be the next company to graduate from the S&P 400 to the S&P 500? With a market cap of $27.8bn it is already above the $22.7bn threshold to enter the index. Plus, the S&P 500 has an average PE of 33, while the S&P 400 has an average PE of 27. So a graduation could see a re-rating too.
Could $CW Be the Next S&P 500 Addition?

Could 2027 Be the Year Semiconductors Finally Cool Off?

The outperformance of semiconductor $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ companies isn’t a new thing. However, 2-3 years of outperformance are normally met with a mild correction afterwards. 2026 could be the fourth year in a row of outperformance, suggesting 2027 could see a correction - not that markets listen to historic trends! PS: Here’s my framework for determining whether a company is investable: 1. Financials - I look for consistently high returns on capital, high FCFps growth, margin expansion, and affordable debt. 2. Qualitative - Here I look for high market share, a mission critical product, a business not overly reliant on raw materials and expensive to maintain physical assets. 3. Valuation - I infer how much growth the market is pricing in
Could 2027 Be the Year Semiconductors Finally Cool Off?

$AZO & $ORLY Show Why Quality Always Wins

Over the last few years, $AutoZone(AZO)$ and $O'Reilly(ORLY)$ have always consistently appeared fairly high up on my screens. It’s not a sector I would personally invest in, but their levels of compounding have been impressive. Here’s my framework for determining whether a company is investable: 1. Financials - I look for consistently high returns on capital, high FCFps growth, margin expansion, and affordable debt. 2. Qualitative - Here I look for high market share, a mission critical product, a business not overly reliant on raw materials and expensive to maintain physical assets. 3. Valuation - I infer how much growth the market is pricing in, I then analyse whether that’s realistic or not. Most investo
$AZO & $ORLY Show Why Quality Always Wins

Why I don’t invest in the S&P 500

If you're an active investor, why don't you invest in the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ? Why I don’t invest in the S&P 500: - I don’t want to own banks, airlines, energy companies, mining companies, utilities, heavy industrials, REITs, biotechs, alcohol, tobacco or gambling stocks - I don’t want to own anything low quality, highly leveraged or highly cyclical - I don’t want to own anything without pricing power What would you add?
Why I don’t invest in the S&P 500

$KLAC Raises an Important Question: How Much Is Quality Worth?

$KLA-Tencor(KLAC)$ is one of the highest quality companies in the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ . But is it now too expensive? Many investors pay attention to the wrong variables. Here’s a list of what doesn’t matter, what matters somewhat, and what actually drives returns: Doesn’t really matter: •Market cap •Country company is listed •Share price •Dividend yield Matters somewhat: •Sector •FCF yield •Revenue growth •Insider ownership / owner operator Matters the most: •Return on capital •Margin expansion •Pricing power •Reinvestment runway What would you add? 😍 Been eyeing Tiger merch but short on Tiger Coins? Now's your chance. 🎁 We’ve selected 4 high-demand items across practial, lifestyle, and learni
$KLAC Raises an Important Question: How Much Is Quality Worth?

$WM $RSG $WCN proving that “boring businesses” can outperform over decades 🚀

Republic Services $Republic(RSG)$ is a classic example of a quiet compounder. Their FCFps is compounding at 14%, with great linearity. Their returns on capital are modest, but growing. And their buybacks are consistently reducing their share count. Their competitors: Waste Management $Waste Management(WM)$ and Waste Connections $Waste Connections(WCN)$ are also quiet compounders, highlighting that the waste management sector is a fertile market for multi-decade growth. The industry's structural tailwinds are driving a lot of the growth. You don't need hyper growth tech companies to consistently compound capital. Do you invest in the waste sector? How would you define
$WM $RSG $WCN proving that “boring businesses” can outperform over decades 🚀

From Monopoly to Oligopoly | $GOOG $MSFT $NVDA $V Mapping Global Market Control

🏰 Monopolies $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ - advance semi fab $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ – EUV lithography $VeriSign(VRSN)$ - domain name registry $Fair Isaac(FICO)$ – credit scores $Intuit(INTU)$ – tax preparation software $Thermo Fisher Scientific(TMO)$ – ultra-high-end mass spec $Illumina(ILMN)$ – high-throughput DNA sequencing $CoStar(CSGP)$ – U.S. commercial real estate data $Sherwin-Williams(SHW)$
From Monopoly to Oligopoly | $GOOG $MSFT $NVDA $V Mapping Global Market Control

A New Risk-On Cycle? Software, Crypto and Global Equities Start to Reawaken

Weekly Macro Themes Report (preview) - Global Equities, Software stocks, Bitcoin, US Dollar Here's the topics & takeaways from the latest Weekly Macro Themes report: 1. GSV vs ULG: relative value favors Global, Small, Value vs US, Large, Growth, but on all three counts a turning point in relative performance remains elusive (still only stop-start progress). 2. Global ex-US Equities: the global vs US rotation trade has stalled, but remain constructive on global vs US given extremes in relative value, improved earnings, anticipated USD weakness, and technicals. 3. Software: remain bullish on software stocks given bullish technicals and major reset in valuations. 4. Bitcoin: remain bullish given seasonal tailwinds, bullish technicals, supportive leading indicators, and all set against the
A New Risk-On Cycle? Software, Crypto and Global Equities Start to Reawaken

The 8-Tier Framework for Identifying Elite Companies

There are levels to quality investing. Level 1: Profitability - e.g. $Coca-Cola(KO)$ Level 2: Strong band - e.g. Hermes Level 3: Mission-critical product + high switching costs - e.g. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Level 4: High returns on capital - e.g. $Fair Isaac(FICO)$ $Costco(COST)$ Level 5: Strong pricing power - e.g. $Apple(AAPL)$ Level 6: High barriers to entry - e.g. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Level 7: Network effects - e.g. $Visa(V)$
The 8-Tier Framework for Identifying Elite Companies

$ICE, $FICO, and $ZTS Are the Types of Businesses Long-Term Investors Study Closely

All investors should study Fair Isaac $Fair Isaac(FICO)$ Yes, long-term debt is a high percentage of total assets, but their interest expense is a low percentage of operating profit (meaning debt is affordable). And yes, stock-based compensation is a high percentage of operating cash flow, but their FCF per share CAGR is high and their shares outstanding are dropping quickly (meaning there's still great capital allocation). $Zoetis(ZTS)$ has recently seen its FCF yield jump up. The market is clearly pricing in slower long-term growth and some margin pressure versus its historical premium. Yet the core animal health franchise remains highly resilient, with recurring revenue and durable demand from pet owner
$ICE, $FICO, and $ZTS Are the Types of Businesses Long-Term Investors Study Closely

$KLAC, $LRCX & $NVDA: High Demand, Limited Competition

An important screen for finding quality companies lies at the intersection of (I) high global demand for a product, and (II) only a small number of providers serving the market. The semiconductor equipment companies are a great example. There’s huge global demand for compute, which requires semis, which requires the equipment that manufactures them. That’s why I’m long $KLA-Tencor(KLAC)$ $Lam Research(LRCX)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ There’s also huge demand for payments, and $Visa(V)$ and $MasterCard(MA)$ are two of the most important providers of payment services. When high demand and a small
$KLAC, $LRCX & $NVDA: High Demand, Limited Competition

$FTNT, $EXR, $V, $MA, $FICO, $MSCI: 20%+ FCF Growth, Strong Quarter Highlights

$Visa(V)$ $MasterCard(MA)$ $Fair Isaac(FICO)$ $MSCI Inc(MSCI)$ have all compounded their free cash flow per share by ≈ 20%+ over the last 15 years. But it's not just the anti-fragile fintechs that have achieved this, so has the storage company Extra Space Storage $Extra Space Storage(EXR)$ . Which on the list do you own? $Fortinet(FTNT)$ has seen its revenue grow by 20% and its EPS grow by 41%. It's been a fairly good quarter so far for the 10 companies in the Long Equity portfolio. Impressive results for Fortinet I’ve always felt this compan
$FTNT, $EXR, $V, $MA, $FICO, $MSCI: 20%+ FCF Growth, Strong Quarter Highlights

From $FICO to $NVDA: Ranking 2026’s Must-Own Compounders

The Q2 ‘26 earnings season continues, with portfolio companies $KLA-Tencor(KLAC)$ and $MasterCard(MA)$ announcing results over the last couple of days. Massive acceleration is appearing: • FICO: 16% ➡️ 39% Rev Growth • Comfort Systems: 121% EPS growth Here's a full breakdown of the results so far for the Long Equity portfolio. Which one of these is a "must-own" asset for the rest of 2026? $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Visa(V)$ $MasterCard(MA)$ $Fair Isaac(FICO)$ $Cadence Design(CDNS)$ PS: Having a barrier to entry
From $FICO to $NVDA: Ranking 2026’s Must-Own Compounders

Portfolio Update: +10.6% YTD as $FIX, $LRCX Drive Outperformance

LONG EQUITY - APRIL UPDATE A strong start to 2026 with double-digit returns, driven by high-quality compounders and semiconductor exposure. Solid cash returns and robust free cash flow growth continue to underpin portfolio performance and reinforce a disciplined long-equity strategy. Performance YTD: +10.6% Top performers: $Comfort Systems USA(FIX)$ & $Lam Research(LRCX)$ Top detractors: $Fair Isaac(FICO)$ Cash ROC =39% FCF CAGR = 26% 😍 Been eyeing Tiger merch but short on Tiger Coins? Now's your chance. 🎁 We’ve selected 4 high-demand items across practial, lifestyle, and learning, now with a lower redemption threshold!
Portfolio Update: +10.6% YTD as $FIX, $LRCX Drive Outperformance

2026 Must-Own Stocks: $NVDA, $FICO, $CDNS with $V and $MA as Core

The Q2 ‘26 earnings scoreboard is looking incredibly green. Massive acceleration appearing in the latest results: • FICO: 16% ➡️ 39% Rev Growth • Cadence: 6% ➡️ 19% Rev Growth • Comfort Systems: 129% EPS growth Here's a full breakdown of the heavy hitters in the Long Equity portfolio. Which one of these is a "must-own" for the rest of 2026?👇 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Fortinet(FTNT)$ $MasterCard(MA)$ $KLA-Tencor(KLAC)$ $Fair Isaac(FICO)$ $Visa(V)$ $Cadence Design(CDNS)$ $C
2026 Must-Own Stocks: $NVDA, $FICO, $CDNS with $V and $MA as Core

$CNSWF: Valuation Framework—6 Key Metrics + Capital Allocation Edge

$Constellation Software, Inc.(CNSWF)$ There are two fundamental questions when valuing a company (IMO). 1. What do I think the company’s future growth looks like? 2. What does the market think its future growth looks like? If you think the market is being overly pessimistic, then the company is in undervalued. How do you approach valuation? I've been working on my dashboard, capturing what I see as the 6 most important numbers for determining business quality. What would you add?
$CNSWF: Valuation Framework—6 Key Metrics + Capital Allocation Edge

Beating the Market Year After Year: APH, ANET, AVGO, FIX Stand Out

Here's a list of US equities sorted by how frequently they have outperformed the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ year-on-year. Amphenol, Arista Networks, Broadcom and Comfort Systems are all in the lead. Which on the list do you own? $Amphenol(APH)$ $Arista Networks(ANET)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Comfort Systems USA(FIX)$ $KKR & Co LP(KKR)$ $Monolithic Power(MPWR)$ $Arthur J. Gallagher(AJG)$ $Dover(DOV)$
Beating the Market Year After Year: APH, ANET, AVGO, FIX Stand Out

$ASML $KLAC $SNPS — Mapping Semiconductor Bottlenecks and Moats

The global semiconductor supply chain is built on a handful of "unblockable" monopolies. My infographic attempts to map out the bottlenecks in the supply chain. What’s currently the best investment opportunity in the sector? $Synopsys(SNPS)$ $Cadence Design(CDNS)$ $TE Connectivity(TEL)$ $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ $Lam Research(LRCX)$ $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ $KLA-Tencor(KLAC)$ My views: 1.Many investors new to semis jump straight to ASML. I think it’s worth digging into as many semi companies as y
$ASML $KLAC $SNPS — Mapping Semiconductor Bottlenecks and Moats

What Actually Drives Returns Beyond Valuations to Quality & Compounding

Many investors pay attention to the wrong variables. Here’s a list of what doesn’t matter, what matters somewhat, and what actually drives returns: Doesn’t really matter: •Market cap •Country company is listed •Share price •Dividend yield Matters somewhat: •Sector •FCF yield •Revenue growth •Insider ownership / owner operator Matters the most: •Return on capital •Margin expansion •Pricing power •Reinvestment runway What would you add? For examples: 1. $Qualys(QLYS)$ Qualys is just one of a number of companies now seeing an all time high FCF yield. The market is pricing in less future growth and a lot of uncertainty. But are they mistaken? 2. $Adobe(ADBE)$ Adobe's free cash flow yield is significantly abov
What Actually Drives Returns Beyond Valuations to Quality & Compounding

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