Chinese ADRs - Still sleeping 😴

Shyon
2023-09-13

Market outlook 

Huawei recently launched its latest smartphone with 5G capabilities and advanced chip technology on a 7nm process. Additionally, the Chinese government has instructed officials to refrain from using iPhones during work hours. I believe that there will be more room for negotiations in the China-U.S. tech arena. However, heavy rainfall in China and Hong Kong last week caused economic disruptions. Both the Hang Seng Index and the A50 Index continue to be in a downward trend. It is necessary to closely monitor these markets. For now, it is not advisable to rush into buying until there are clearer buy signals.

Stocks analysis

For the reasons above, I am generally bearish for Chinese ADRs this week. For $Alibaba(BABA)$ Bearish, it's a dangerous sign to see the stock falls below its lower support of its uptrend channel. This might create further selling pressure from investors. 

BABA daily chart

Simlar to $iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$ Bearish, the chart is so bearish as the candle is well below all the critical ema lines, such as ema50 and ema200. Any rebound will only be a short term movement. The company also didn't delivered good results in its recent earnings call. 

iQiyi daily chart

However, the situation is totally different for $Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$ Bullish. Obviously, from the chart below, the stock is going very well and the uptrend is very healthy like a staircase shape. I believe the stock will breakout very soon despite the weak sentiment in Chinese market. 

PDD daily chart

The next stock to discuss will be $Bilibili Inc.(BILI)$ Bearish. It's a bearish for me since the stock starts to breach its critical neckline support at 14.42 USD. I think the downside will be huge for this stock, it's just a matter of time now. If to look at, the next support will be at 12 and 9 USD. 

Lastly, let's look at $JD.com(JD)$ Bullish. The overall trend is very very weak, therefore nothing much to discuss on this stock. I am bullish with it for a single reason only, that the stock is testing its recent 6 months bottom neckline support. We should expect a minimal rebound from this level this week or early next week. The rebound will not be long lasting, and it will continue to break new low I believe! 

JD daily chart

Conclusion

China has been consistently rolling out a series of policies to stimulate the stock market and the economy during this period. However, it seems that these policies have only provided foreign funds with an opportunity to sell at high levels. The stock market has clearly shown a trend of opening high and then trending lower. I believe China will need some time to assess the progress of its recovery. Although many companies with cheap valuations have emerged, it may take a long time for stock prices to recover.

Will you invest in Chinese stocks now or wait again and again???

@TigerStars  @MillionaireTiger  @Tiger_comments  @TigerEvents  @Daily_Discussion  @CaptainTiger  

Hot Chinese ADRs' Frenzy
As China’s reopening starts to take shape, investor focus is increasingly seen shifting from frenzied stock bets to longer-term plays.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • SiongZ
    2023-09-13
    SiongZ

    we're going directly to the red, AI announcement and this can't go upt even a +0.50$, any other company would do today +20%, longs = losers


    • Shyon
      I wonder when will Chinese stocks rebound? The downtrend is way too long already, maybe 2 years? Haha. 
  • RandyHall
    2023-09-13
    RandyHall

    Alibaba reveals AI model + confirming cloud spinoff is on track. Worth a minimum 5% pop but as usual..


    • Shyon
      Yeah, as usual! I like this description. Always open high, shoot up, and back to square at the end of the day or after a few days. Disappointing.
  • ZOE011
    2023-09-13
    ZOE011

    I am buying the dips and look foward to rationality returning to the markets.

    • Shyon
      Yeah, the value of most of the Chinese stocks are quite attractive right now. Your patience might lead you to the victory! 
  • Hilliton324
    2023-09-13
    Hilliton324

    Its nice to see baba going down and reinforcing the downward trend!!!


    • Shyon
      So that you want to collect more or you going to short it? Haha ~ 
  • JONESTea
    2023-09-13
    JONESTea

    LOL...just keeps getting worse for the bag holders. LOL!!


    • Shyon
      Yeah, disappointing result for their investors. Things might get better one day, but it might be long way to go again. 
  • Newnew
    2023-09-13
    Newnew
    Hi
    • Shyon
      Hi Newnew, welcome to Tiger community ~ 
Leave a comment
12
111