Chase Rally After a 10x Increase or Buy Undervalued Assets?

Tiger_comments
09-26
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$Micron Technology(MU)$’s earnings report far exceeded expectations, with fourth-quarter revenue growing 93% year-over-year. Management attributed the strong growth to the robust demand for AI, which drove significant growth in their data center DRAM products and industry-leading HBM chips.

This earnings report undoubtedly reassures those who have been skeptical about AI over the past two months. Nvidia's stock rose 2% pre-market, and SOXL surged 10%.

Will this rebound push Nvidia back to $140 or even higher?

Market opinions are divided. However, the most important aspect of investing is to follow your own beliefs and style.

Many people are hesitant to chase Nvidia's rise, feeling that it’s too expensive, given that Nvidia has already increased tenfold over the past year.

But how have companies that achieved a tenfold increase within 1-2 years performed historically?

  1. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ : When Amazon went public in 1997, its stock was about $5, and by the peak of the dot-com bubble in 1999, it had soared to over $100, a more than 20x increase. While the stock saw a significant drop after the dot-com bubble burst, the short-term rise in just two years was remarkable.

  2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ : Tesla's stock was around $30 (split-adjusted) in 2020, and by early 2021, it had reached nearly $300, a tenfold increase within a year—similar to Nvidia's surge over the past year.

  3. $Zoom(ZM)$ : Zoom's stock price was around $60 when it went public in 2019, and during the pandemic in 2020, it skyrocketed to over $560, a nearly tenfold increase. However, Zoom’s stock is now back down to just $67.

If you're hesitant to buy into Nvidia after its significant rise, would you consider undervalued Chinese assets?

After a slight pullback yesterday, $Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X Shares(YINN)$ surged 24% pre-market today. Looking at its yearly performance, YINN hit its lowest point of $13.4 in January 2023 since its inception in 2011.

Goldman Sachs Trading Desk notes that "Long China" is currently the most crowded trade on Wall Street.

However, many investors still believe that the rise in Chinese assets is short-lived and unsustainable.

Do you believe that top-performing stocks will always be winners, while declining stocks will continue to fall?

Which asset will you choose?

Or will you stay out of this speculative frenzy altogether?

Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~

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Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
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Comments

  • MHh
    09-26
    MHh
    Win 30 Tiger-coins
    There is no guarantee. Even Tupperware can go bankrupt. Im long China but I will not rule out taking profit. After all, no need to be greedy. Better to have some money in the pocket than to be in the red. I’m staying away from Nvidia for now though I believe in the AI play. The risk is too high for the potential benefit. Never a believer of Tesla as there are better companies like BYD. The problem with BYD is that it is also in the same category as China stocks and so has the same risks associated with the Chinese market plus trade restrictions imposed by the Western.
  • Shyon
    09-26
    Shyon
    Win 25 Tiger-coins
    I believe that top-performing stocks can be strong contenders, but they won’t always guarantee future success. Market conditions change, and even high-performing stocks can face challenges. Similarly, declining stocks may eventually recover if the underlying issues are addressed.

    When it comes to choosing an asset, I would prefer to invest in fundamentally strong companies with solid growth potential and a sustainable business model. However, I would also consider diversifying my portfolio to mitigate risks.

    As for staying out of the speculative frenzy, I think it's essential to approach the market with caution. While speculative investments can offer high rewards, they also come with significant risks. A balanced strategy that combines some level of risk with stable investments seems prudent.

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerGPT @CaptainTiger @MillionaireTiger

    • TigerGPT

      Based on the available information for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU), here's an analysis of the stock:

      Company Overview: Micron Technology is a leading provider of memory and storage solutions. The company's business is driven by the increasing demand for artificial intelligence (AI) and data center products.

      Latest Earnings and Forecast: In the fourth quarter, Micron reported a 93% year-over-year revenue growth, exceeding expectations. The robust demand for AI contributed to the strong performance, particularly in the data center DRAM products. Looking ahead, the company's earnings forecast shows solid growth potential with estimated EPS of $12.37 in 2027FY and $8.92 in 2025FY.

      Recent Trend: As of September 25, the stock price of MU was $95.77 (USD). The support price is reported at $88.42, while the resistance price is at $131.12. The average cost is $114.6. Over the past five days, there has been a mixed capital flow, with a total inflow of 1.24 billion and a total outflow of 1.37 billion.

      Analyst Viewpoints: Analysts have a positive outlook for Micron Technology, with 11 recommending, 23 buying, 3 holding, and 1 suggesting underperforming the stock. The mean target price estimate by analysts is $155.00833, with a low estimate of $67.0 and a high estimate of $427.13.

      Movement Reason: There are several news articles related to Micron Technology's recent performance. The company's strong guidance and revenue growth have impressed Wall Street, with praise for its AI storage support and exceeding expectations. These positive factors have likely contributed to the stock's movement.

      Risk Disclaimer: It's important to note that investing in stocks involves risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. The decision to buy or sell stocks should be based on thorough research, analysis, and consideration of one's own risk tolerance.

      Based on the provided information, Micron Technology appears to be a fundamentally strong company with solid growth potential. However, it's critical to conduct further research and analysis to make an informed investment decision. Diversifying your portfolio and considering your risk tolerance are also essential aspects to consider.

      Please note that the information provided is for reference purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice.

  • Success88
    09-26
    Success88
    Win 10 Tiger-coins
    Yes $Micron Technology(MU)$doing HBM need a lot chip for memory for AI. Is good to invest
  • SR050321
    09-26
    SR050321
    Win 10 Tiger-coins
    I believe top performer stocks will always be the winner $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ just some of them
  • MicroStrategist
    09-26
    MicroStrategist
    Win 5 Tiger-coins
    definitely crypto
  • highhand
    09-26
    highhand
    Win 20 Tiger-coins
    it all boils down to the company's fundamentals and growth. just buy the strong companies you have conviction on, hold them through the ups and downs, let them compound. lousy weak companies can buy and sell for trading but you need to know technicals.
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