Reward 500 Tiger-coinsUS stocks are once again caught in a sell-off.
Rhys Williams, Chief Investment Officer of Wayve Capital, stated that the market will remain volatile until April 2nd. The April 2nd date he refers to marks the implementation of Trump's so-called "reciprocal tariffs," with tariffs on agricultural products also taking effect on the same day.
The market is awaiting the FOMC decision, but it seems unlikely there will be any positive news.
Probability of Rate Cut Only 1%?
Tiger US Securties Analysts believe:
Powell is likely to continue with data-driven statements.
Currently, the trend of economic weakness is not yet obvious, and combined with the uncertainty of the tariff policies' impact on inflation, the Fed has no reason to cut rates at this point. Therefore, tomorrow's market focus will be on the dot plot and Powell's speech.
Data from 2025 suggests that, on one hand, economic data does show signs of weakness, and the stock market has already experienced a certain level of correction.
On the other hand, inflation has not shown a clear slowdown, and with significant uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariff policies, the possibility of an early dovish shift is small.
Mag 7 Valuations Fall Back to Pre-ChatGPT Levels: But Still Too Expensive?
The valuations of the "Mag 7" tech stocks have returned to levels seen when ChatGPT was first launched. Meta dropped 3.7% yesterday, and all MAG 7 stocks have turned negative year-to-date.
Tiger Securities Analyst believe the valuations remain high:
Currently, $S&P 500(.SPX)$’s NTM P/E is 20.3, which is at the 81.76th percentile historically. Despite recent declines, US stocks are still not cheap. Even if valuations only drop to the 75th percentile, it suggests that the market could still face a 10% downside.
S&P 500’s NTM PEG is 1.9, which is at the 88.6th percentile. Market's expectations for future EPS growth are not particularly high and cannot justify the current high valuations.
Are they too expensive now or entering a fair valuation zone?
Which MAG 7 stock do you favor? Or are you looking to buy the dip in MAGS?
Do you agree with analysts’ view on US stock valuations?
What’s your trade plan under current circumstances?
Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~
Comments
MAG 7 valuations remain elevated, with the S&P 500’s NTM P/E at the 81st percentile. While some big tech stocks have pulled back, weak earnings growth expectations make current prices hard to justify. I’d prefer to wait for better entry points rather than chasing the dip too early.
Given the uncertainty, I’m staying cautious and watching for a deeper correction. If valuations compress further, stronger buying opportunities could emerge. For now, I’m focusing on macroeconomic trends and the Fed’s outlook before making any moves. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerGPT
US stocks are once again caught in a sell-off.
Rhys Williams, Chief Investment Officer of Wayve Capital, stated that the market will remain volatile until April 2nd. The April 2nd date he refers to marks the implementation of Trump's so-called "reciprocal tariffs," with tariffs on agricultural products also taking effect on the same day.
The market is awaiting the FOMC decision, but it seems unlikely there will be any positive news.
Are they too expensive now or entering a fair valuation zone?
Which MAG 7 stock do you favor? Or are you looking to buy the dip in MAGS?
Do you agree with analysts’ view on US stock valuations?
What’s your trade plan under current circumstances?
Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~
2025年的數據表明，一方面，經濟數據確實出現疲軟跡象，股市也已經出現了一定程度的回調。
另一方面，通脹並未出現明顯放緩，且特朗普關稅政策存在重大不確定性，提前轉向鴿派的可能性較小。