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U.S. stocks ended the holiday-shortened week higher, supported by dovish Fed remarks and soft economic data that strengthened expectations for a December rate cut. Small-caps led gains, with the Russell 2000 up 5.52%. The Nasdaq also rebounded as AI optimism offset valuation concerns. Markets were closed Thursday for Thanksgiving.
Economic data showed cooling momentum. September retail sales rose only 0.2%, and core sales barely grew. Producer inflation remained soft, with core PPI up just 0.1%. Jobless claims fell to a seven-month low, but consumer confidence dropped sharply to its weakest level since April, weighed by concerns over prices, trade, and politics.
The Fed’s Beige Book reported slightly weaker employment, moderate price increases, and softer consumer spending. Treasuries rose modestly as yields declined on rising expectations of a December rate cut. Municipal bonds gained, and both investment-grade and high yield credit outperformed Treasuries on improved risk appetite.
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Comments
Buying the dip couple of weeks ago will pay off.
My trade idea: If volatility stays elevated and rate-cut bets persist, go long a high-conviction tech/A.I. name such as NVIDIA — but hedge with a small-cap or value stock basket (or a broad-market ETF) to mitigate concentration risk. The asymmetry is appealing: a strong Fed pivot could lift the whole market; while a stumble in AI valuations might be cushioned by exposure outside megacaps.