Shyon
01-21
From my perspective, today’s sell-off shows how deceptive headline gains can be. The S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ may be up since Trump returned, but the path has been volatile, with tariffs and policy uncertainty once again pressuring mega-cap tech and risk sentiment.

In a Trump midterm election year, I’m not rushing to add risk. I’m staying selective with quality exposure while leaning more on hedges like gold $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ —not because I’m bearish, but because inflation risks are being delayed and policy swings are intensifying. Capital preservation matters more to me when policy direction is this unstable.

As for TACO, I still see a high short-term probability. Tough rhetoric often fades once markets react, but even if it happens this week, volatility remains. I’m watching rates and liquidity closely for confirmation.

@Tiger_comments @TigerClub @TigerStars

S&P 500 Breaks 7,000 Ahead of First 2026 FOMC Decision!
S&P 500 opened above 7,000 for the first time, just hours before the Federal Reserve delivers its first rate decision of 2026. Markets overwhelmingly expect no change, with the CME pricing a 97.2% probability of a hold after three rate cuts in 2H 2025. Attention shifts to guidance on how long rates stay steady—and whether policy clarity can fuel further upside or trigger profit-taking after a historic breakout. After clearing 7,000, does the S&P 500 still have room to run? At record highs, do you lock in profits—or position for the next leg of a new bull market?
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