GS Just Set the Bar! TSM, NFLX... Who Has "Beat & Pop" Potential This Week?

Tiger_comments
04-14
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$Goldman Sachs(GS)$ just smashed a Wall Street record, yet the stock fell. $Morgan Stanley(MS)$ $Citigroup(C)$ $Bank of America(BAC)$ $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$

We are officially in a "Beat and Fade" market. Everyone is looking through the windshield, not the rearview mirror.

With $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ , $Netflix(NFLX)$ , and the big banks on deck, this week will reprice the rest of 2026.

1. Goldman paradox: record high but fell

Goldman didn't just beat; they obliterated expectations:

  • Equity Trading Rev: $5.33B (All-time Wall Street record).

  • M&A Advisory: Up 89% YoY.

  • The Catch: The stock dropped 1.87% after the print.

In this macro environment, a record-breaking past isn't enough. The market only cares about one thing: Guidance.

2. Bernstein bullish on TSMC: check AI heat 🔥

The revenue is already in (+45% YoY in March). Now, it’s about the "AI moat."

Bernstein has a $351 PT. Why? Because AI demand from Nvidia/Apple is so hungry it’s eating up the slack from weak smartphone sales.

Let's keep an eye on Q2 Guidance. If TSMC flags capacity constraints, the AI trade has more room to run. If they flag energy/helium supply issues, expect volatility.

3. Can Netflix reclaim the crown?

From 45x P/E to 20x, and now back on the hunt. Morgan Stanley is calling it a "re-rated compounder."

  • Ad Tier Growth: On track for 210M+ viewers by mid-2026.

  • FCF projected $14B+ by FY27.

While competitors bleed cash on content, Netflix is moving into live sports (boxing) and massive tent-poles (Narnia).

4. The "deep value" banks 🏦 are good choices?

Banks are trading at a 40% discount to the S&P 500.

Mike Mayo notes that the bond market says bank credit is fine, but equity investors are priced for a crisis.

  • Key Risk: Private Credit ($1.8T market). Watch for management's tone on "cracks in the foundation."

Discussion

  1. Who has the biggest "Beat & Pop" potential this week?

A) $TSM — AI is too strong. B) $NFLX — The king is back. C) $JPM / Banks — The valuation gap closes. D) None — Macro wins, markets fade.

  1. Banks at a 40% discount: Gift or Trap?

  2. Your strategy right now?

  • Drop your comments to win tiger coins!

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Comments

  • Cadi Poon
    04-14
    Cadi Poon
    The revenue is already in (+45% YoY in March). Now, it’s about the "AI moat."

    Bernstein has a $351 PT. Why? Because AI demand from Nvidia/Apple is so hungry it’s eating up the slack from weak smartphone sales.

  • TimothyX
    04-14
    TimothyX
    Goldman didn't just beat; they obliterated expectations:

    Equity Trading Rev: $5.33B (All-time Wall Street record).

    M&A Advisory: Up 89% YoY.

    The Catch: The stock dropped 1.87% after the print.

    In this macro environment, a record-breaking past isn't enough. The market only cares about one thing: Guidance.

  • Shyon
    04-14
    Shyon
    I’m leaning toward A) $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ as my “Beat & Pop” pick. The AI demand from $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Apple(AAPL)$ still looks strong, and this feels more structural than cyclical. As long as guidance stays solid without major supply issues, I think the market rewards that visibility.

    For banks like $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ and $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ , I see more of a gradual re-rating than a sharp pop. The discount is attractive, but macro and private credit risks are still overhangs. Not a trap, but also not a quick win.

    My strategy is to stay selective and forward-looking. In this “Beat & Fade” market, guidance matters more than results. I’ll focus on names with strong visibility and only scale in more if macro conditions stabilize. Risk management still comes first in this kind of environment.

    @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub

  • Bunifa Latif
    04-21
    Bunifa Latif
    D) None


    I am never optimistic about Tesla beating expectations. I think it remains to be seen if the ‘chip strategy’ pivot will really pay off. Where the cars are concerned, competition is too stiff. The rest are making better, cheaper cars with longer lasting batteries.






    Among the magnificent seven, I remain the most bullish on Apple. The iPhones remain popular and demand remains hot in its biggest market ie the Chinese market. The Chinese consumers are willing to pay for the phone. Also, I expect it’s venture into better wearables to pay off.






    I think a 19% EPS growth for the S&P might be a little hard to pull off. This is insanely bullish. This quarter is affected by the war, concerns of inflation as well as a consequently hawkish Fed which has not promised a rate cut. I expect consumers to be more prudent with their money. However, institutions might still be ‘forced’ to spend for their AI investments and growth is expected there.
  • koolgal
    04-18
    koolgal
    🌟🌟 🌟 Today the market is Beat and Pop as there is optimism in the air as Iran has reopened the Strait of Hormuz.

    This has sent oil prices tumbling, easing inflation fears and fueling a broad rally.

    All 3 indices: the S&P500, Dow Jones and Nasdaq closed at record highs.

    $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ and other tech stocks rose too.

    Let's celebrate and be merry 🥰🥰🥰🌈🌈🌈💰💰💰🍾🍾🍾🎉🎉🎉

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG @TigerClub @CaptainTiger

  • BTS
    04-15
    BTS
    Netflix (NFLX) could see upside if it overcomes valuation risks with strong guidance, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and other banks face a narrowing valuation gap amid economic uncertainty, leaving none a possibility if macro concerns outweigh sector strengths, but Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) has the biggest "Beat & Pop" potential this week, driven by AI-driven chip demand, making it the strongest contender
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