The Market Doesn’t Care About Your Fancy Excel Formula

Shernice軒嬣 2000
05-09 13:22

Don’t really understand why people subscribe to StockOracle and make investing look so complicated.

Today, ChatGPT can already handle most of the heavy lifting for research and analysis.

The problem is some people focus too much on churned-out numbers and spreadsheet models — tweaking Excel cells until the outcome matches what they already want to believe. That’s not investing, that’s just fitting the narrative to the conclusion.

You manually key in Year 1–5 growth at 18%, then slow it to 12% for Years 6–10, and suddenly the software spits out a $220 target price for ORCL.

The outcome was already determined the moment you chose conservative growth assumptions. Of course the intrinsic value comes out low.

This is classic garbage in, garbage out — nothing magical, nothing intelligent. It’s basically just an Excel-style DCF calculator wrapped in an “AI” label.

@Ah_Meng  

Modified in.05-09 20:26
💰Stocks to watch today?(11 May）
1. What news/movements are worth noting in the market today? Any stocks to watch? 2. What trading opportunities are there? Do you have any plans? 🎁 Make a post here, everyone stands a chance to win Tiger coins!
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Ah_Meng
    05-10 11:40
    Ah_Meng
    Btw, what's in it that I need to pay attention for this article? Just because it has a "oracle" in its name? [Tongue] Hmm 🤔... you suspect I know that Adam Khoo guy? Nah, we didn't keep in contact. I doubt he remembers me, so... can't link up [Sly] [Tongue] [Evil]
    • Shernice軒嬣 2000ReplyAh_Meng: 
      Daily trading could become very expensive because of the massive computational power required. It may make more sense to run the AI bot on a weekly basis instead, focusing on research to generate buy and sell recommendations rather than executing constant high-frequency trades.
    • Shernice軒嬣 2000ReplyAh_Meng: 
      Daily trading could become very expensive because of the massive computational power required. It may make more sense to run the AI bot on a weekly basis instead, focusing on generating buy and sell recommendations rather than executing constant high-frequency trades.
    • Ah_MengReplyShernice軒嬣 2000: 
      Ahhh... how much does you little boy charge? little Muthu, maybe you are what Siri girl look-like? [Tongue] [Silence]
    • Shernice軒嬣 2000ReplyAh_Meng: 
      1) Basic rule-based bot (RSI/MACD only)
      <$1 per day

      2) AI-assisted swing trading bot
      $5–$50 per day

      3) AI bot scanning hundreds of stocks + news
      $50–$300 per day

      4) Multi-agent institutional-style AI system
      $500–$5,000+

    • Ah_MengReplyShernice軒嬣 2000: 
      They are… round the clock trading… but they are quite ex… and need time to learn and train
  • InverseCramer
    05-10 11:43
    InverseCramer
    I only know Adam khoo made many secondary school students cry 🤣🤣🤣🤣 including myself
  • 1PC
    05-10 19:00
    1PC
    Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @koolgal @Shyon @JC888 @Barcode @Aqa
  • InverseCramer
    05-09 14:23
    InverseCramer
    Adam khoo?
    • WayneqqReplyShernice軒嬣 2000: 
      Not everyone out there is able to do what you said.. some people do not even know how to use excel.. most people have no idea what is conservative growth assumptions.. how to make then.. what is intrinsic value etc..
      Most importantly.. they may not wan to think that much or they have other things to worry about.. they rather outsource the thinking to someone else.. and pay for it...
    • Ah_MengReplyShernice軒嬣 2000: 
      Adam Khoo is from my time... classmate I think but can't really remember him well. He is from the old school. Have already made his keep... yup, perhaps like me, a dinosaur 🦕 in AI times... I won't be bothered
    • Shernice軒嬣 2000ReplyWayneqq: 
      The outcome was already determined the moment you manually chose conservative growth assumptions.  The intrinsic value comes out low — there’s nothing “AI” about it.
      A simple Excel spreadsheet can perform the exact same calculation. No need to waste money. ChatGPT is  good enuff.
    • InverseCramerReplyShernice軒嬣 2000: 
      😱
    • WayneqqReplyShernice軒嬣 2000: 
      That is how they make $$
Leave a comment
24
6