Everyone saw the headline:
SPT Holding Sarl sold 10M+ shares (~$206M)
But the real story isn’t the sell.
It’s what the market did after.
This is what absorption actually looks like:
A single-day block equal to ~1 full trading day of volume didn’t crash the stock.
Instead:
Price held a wide range (~$19–$21)
Heavy volume traded through the tape
Buyers consistently stepped in below $20
Sellers failed to force a clean breakdown
That is not panic selling.
That is distribution being absorbed in real time.
Think of price action as 3 stacked zones:
🔴 Upper Supply Zone: $21.5 – $23
Where sellers still “lean on the tape”
Rallies get sold into
Intraday spikes fail quickly
This is the last visible overhang area
👉 If price keeps rejecting here, supply is not fully cleared
🟡 Core Absorption Zone: $19.5 – $21
This is where the 10M-share block is being digested
Highest volume concentration sits here
Market is doing “trade-for-trade” clearing:
Share price gap down
passive funds absorbing
shorts recycling
dip buyers stepping in
👉 Key signal:
High volume + no breakdown = absorption in progress
🟢 Demand Support Zone: $18 – $19.5
Where strong hands typically accumulate
Downside momentum slows sharply here
Any visit here tends to trigger:
value buying
short covering
stabilization flows
👉 If price holds here after heavy volume → most supply is gone
📌 What yesterday actually did
Yesterday didn’t “finish the job” — it:
cleared a large portion of supply (~60–80%)
but left a residual overhang near $21–23
That’s why price looks:
stable, but capped
🧠 The key takeaway
Absorption is not a moment — it’s a zone process.
And right now $FLNC is transitioning:
From supply-driven volatility
Into neutral digestion
Before potentially shifting into demand-led trend
How long absorption really takes (for THIS size)
For a 20–23M secondary in a mid-cap like FLNC:
Scenario A — strong demand market
3–7 trading days
Scenario B — normal conditions (most likely)
1–3 weeks
Scenario C — weak sentiment / capped momentum
3–6 weeks
🎯 What confirms completion
You’ll know absorption is done when:
Volume fades below normal
$19.5 holds effortlessly
$21.5 breaks cleanly without rejection
That’s when the “seller ceiling” disappears.
@TigerPM @Daily_Discussion @TigerStars @TigerClub @TigerObserver
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