Macro Trend

Monetary policy, various types of price indices... Here is everything about the macro economy!

MY 3 BIGGEST GROWTH PORTFOLIO MISTAKES

1. Not building size in the pure-play drone names when the window was wide open. I saw the opportunity in $ONDS, bought shares at $0.73 but sold at $3.17 because the move felt too fast. I did restart the position at $5.26 but the hesitation cost me some upside.2. I believed the AI Utility names like $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ & $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ were built for what I call the overflow era which is that brief high-margin window where AI compute demand outstrips what $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ AWS, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Azure & $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Cloud can supply. What I underestimated
MY 3 BIGGEST GROWTH PORTFOLIO MISTAKES

GOLD: Maintain a Sell-first Trading Approach

$Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold Holds $4,000 Level but Struggles to Gain Momentum Gold successfully defended the key $4,000 support level on Friday (November 14) and attracted solid buying interest in the first half of the week. On Thursday, gold briefly rose to a high of $4,243.48 before encountering heavy selling pressure In late U.S. trading, gold settled at $4,085.11, plunging $86.25 or 2.07% intraday, yet still posting a weekly gain of $84.20 or 2.1%. Earlier this week, gold surged after breaking out of its previous consolidation range, but the rally stalled at the $4,200-$4,250 resistance zone. Bears re-entered the market and regained control of the near-term tren
GOLD: Maintain a Sell-first Trading Approach

BTC: What's the Next Direction?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1. $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.HKCC)$ heading toward my $94K target in a 3rd wave of a large W-C [see the chart & wave count posted two weeks ago]. If it gets below $89K, then a larger corrective pattern is at work, with a very uncomfortable LOW target for BTC bulls--I think it is possible, but unlikely.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉
BTC: What's the Next Direction?

GOLD: Resistance Line?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Wishing everyone a pleasant weekend! $Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold has entered a consolidation phase! As expected, it maintained a wide range yesterday between 4047 and 3972.4. This market environment is actually more suitable for short-term trading! Looking ahead to next week: Entering November, we anticipate continued cyclical volatility at the beginning of the month. D1 Chart Analysis: Significant retracement from highs is evident. Gold retreated from its $4381.29 peak, breaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level ($3972.61) but holding above the 0.500 retracement level ($3845.97). MACD forms a
GOLD: Resistance Line?

Add Exposure When Prices Hold Above 150

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ MTN, Vail Resorts. This could take more time to consolidate. (My first trade here failed earlier this year on earnings breakdown in April). I'm taking a second attempt here with an initial entry 153.There is a descending resistance + the long term moving average hanging out together. The weak rallies on the break of the long term range with a 5 - 10% rally. If MTN doesn't stall in this range, there is likely a stronger rally in development at that stage looking to target 205Weak argument for a higher low in this stage, price will need to cross 175 for that to get stronger. At that point 205 is the natural mean on the chart.I will want to add exposure when prices hold above 150. Below 140 this head goes back on the shelf.ImageFo
Add Exposure When Prices Hold Above 150

Powell's Dovish Stance Turns Hawkish: December Rate Cut Probability Plummets Nearly 30%

Powell's Dovish Stance Turns Hawkish: December Rate Cut Probability Plummets Nearly 30% $Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Although the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points to the 3.75%-4.00% target range as expected on Wednesday, Powell's cautious stance on further easing in December thoroughly disappointed the market.The gold market is at a crossroads: Powell's hawkish shift, the strengthening of both the dollar and US Treasury bonds, and the complete overshadowing of the "positive" impact of the end of quantitative tightening. If the US-China-South Korea summit fails to bring substantial benefits, and market expectations for a December rate cut continue to c
Powell's Dovish Stance Turns Hawkish: December Rate Cut Probability Plummets Nearly 30%

Gold Weakens After Sellers Defend $4,160 Resistance Zone!

$Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Technical Analysis: Gold Weakens After Sellers Defend $4,160 Resistance Zone! Gold shows initial signs of consolidation following a strong rebound. The near-term outlook has turned bearish as prices currently trade below the 21-, 50-, and 100-period simple moving averages (SMA) on the 4-hour chart, indicating waning bullish momentum.On the downside, the psychological $4,000 level remains a crucial support zone where dip buyers have been active in recent trading. A decisive break below this area could trigger a deeper pullback toward the $3,900 region.On the upside, the 100-period SMA near $4,090 presents immediate resistance, followed by $4,16
Gold Weakens After Sellers Defend $4,160 Resistance Zone!

.SPX: Retreat Now?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.Two Options: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) both will lead the market eventually lower, but I give their chance of 50/50. (2) one is a complex sideway, W-B, to build the right shoulder of this H&S, before the final breakdown next Monday. (3) the other one would be immediate resolution. Either way, bearish.Image2. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ --released most energy pre-market and the setup has been reset. It may help the market to hold this level and retest 6666 for one day or two.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK,
.SPX: Retreat Now?

.SPX: I Give UVXY the Benefit of the Doubt

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Something is NOT right in the background, and UVXY knows it. Bought some 10/20 & 10/27 calls, just in case a Black Monday does come to visit. You rarely see a green UVXY with SPX rose 0.4% on the same day. Absolutely, one is wrong. Here, I give UVXY the benefit of the doubt.Image2.MPW Mid-week Update Posted: (1) it is hard to imagine and review what has happened over the last three sessions. It felt like weeks. (2) the final resolution will come, and a key indicator gives the strong signal for change. Multiple stock market charts displayed with candlestick patterns, red and green bars indicating price movements, upward and downward arrows marking tren
.SPX: I Give UVXY the Benefit of the Doubt

.SPX: Take a Very Cautious Stance on the Market

1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ All day long. Below 6652, above 6652, below 6652, above 6652. Currently 6654 at time of post19 minutes left in session.For me the session close particularly important being that Friday flashed all three risk-off criteria. A close below confirms it and I take a very cautious stance on the market. Close above and the melt-up narrative can live another day.2.6654 - may the melt-up live on for another day.This session close makes for a missed confirmation signal, and second false alarm this year (last one Aug 1) in my systemFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out
.SPX: Take a Very Cautious Stance on the Market

GOLD: Support Line Is Shining!

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ In 2025, amidst the turmoil in global financial markets, gold's allure as a traditional safe-haven asset has resurfaced. On Wednesday (October 8), gold prices not only broke through $4,000 per ounce for the first time, reaching a record high of $4,059.07 per ounce, but also drove silver prices to a record closing high. However, just as the rally was in full swing, a sudden turn in the geopolitical situation in the Middle East—a ceasefire agreement between Hamas and Israel—quickly cooled market risk aversion, leading to a pullback in gold prices on Thursday (October 9). This warrants investor caution.Investors should monitor further news on the Middle East situation and shifts in risk aversion, wary of the possibility that this
GOLD: Support Line Is Shining!

GOLD: A Triple Bottom Support has been Established!

$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ Looking at the 4-hour gold chart, the 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching overbought territory, currently near 67, suggesting further upside potential in the coming trading sessions.Gold buyers are now targeting the psychologically important $3,950 level; a break above this level could potentially push prices towards $4,000. It has already successfully broken through $3,945! A triple bottom support has been established! European Market Signal: Buy: 3920-24 TP: 3950 SL: 3910 ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. T
GOLD: A Triple Bottom Support has been Established!

BYD: China’s EV industry is going through a turning point

1.How do you measure whether a company is generating its revenue efficiently?One metric stand out - Revenue per employee.What is it?To put it broadly, it is the total revenue of a company divided by how many employees it has.For example, if company A has 100 employees and generated SG$10 million, then the revenue per employee is SG$100,000.How is it useful?It enables investors to determine whether a company is being productive and efficient at using its labour force to generate revenue.A low revenue per employee shows that the company might be hiring too many.A high revenue per employee shows that it is being efficient at doing so.However, this is just one way of looking at this.There are companies which have low revenue per employee but actually generate high profits. They could be food &
BYD: China’s EV industry is going through a turning point

GOLD: Gold Hit a Record High!

$Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ Gold prices fluctuated narrowly in early Asian trading on Thursday (October 2nd), currently trading around $3,862. Gold hit a record high of $3,895.28 during Wednesday's session before closing at $3,865.49 per ounce, a mere 0.19% increase. This underscores the strength of the metal, as the weakening dollar, risk aversion fueled by the US government shutdown, and weak employment data, which reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, all contributed to its upward momentum. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US
GOLD: Gold Hit a Record High!

Trading Ideas: .SPX Climbed Back Over 6637

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you!1.6638: (1) $S&P 500(.SPX)$ climbed back over 6637, the close level Wedn--if it can sustain the gain by EOD, then a more complex bullish pattern may be in play. (2) if it gets back to lower level, then the BLUE ROADMAP may be the right call. (3) Blue PATH, however, will f-k both bulls & bearsImage2.MPW Bamboo Scroll #191 Posted: (1) now, it is THAT time of year, again--it is worth looking above and see some signals there. (2) a few very tradable setups would come up next week, and I laid out what I will do.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US st
Trading Ideas: .SPX Climbed Back Over 6637

GOLD: The London Market Continues to be Dominated by Buying!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ After yesterday's sharp decline, gold has once again broken through 3750! As I explained above, once it breaks through 3750, it will head towards a new all-time high of 3791! The London market continues to be dominated by buying!A financial chart displaying XAUUSD (Gold) price movements over time, with candlestick patterns and red and green lines indicating trends. Horizontal lines mark key price levels at 3713.17 and 3750.00. The chart includes a timestamp from September 2024 and price data on the right side, with values like 37454 and 3791.00. A red trend line traces the price trajectory, and dotted lines highlight resistance and support leve
GOLD: The London Market Continues to be Dominated by Buying!

GOLD: What Happen with Trump's U Here?

1. $Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ GOLD ROCKETS To 5K. With Gold setting another high, I post the VLT roadmap for Gold, heading toward $8500, if not higher [Bamboo 188]. Well, it means a lot is going to unravel in-between, even the current dollar-based global financial system. Of course, BTC is another winner.Image2.Trump's U-turn on Russia/Ukraine. See the latest note from $Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ --that shift of perception/position is as significant & far-reaching to geo-political landscape as you can imagine. It will lead to sea-change of war dynamic & rhetoric, slowly then suddenly spill over to MARKET.A screenshot of a social media post from Donald J. Trump. The post includes text in
GOLD: What Happen with Trump's U Here?

GOLD: The Adjustment is Interim!

$Gold - main 2510(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Technical Analysis: Despite retreating below Wednesday's low of $3,646, gold prices remain biased to the upside. If they hold above $3,600, the upward trend will continue. Although the Relative Strength Index (RSI) dipped below 70, triggering Wednesday's sell-off, price action remains constructive.If gold reclaims $3,650, the next resistance level will be the all-time high of $3,703. A break above $3,750 and $3,800 are the next targets.Conversely, if gold falls below the September 11 low of $3,613, it is expected to challenge $3,600. Based on today's trend, gold is expected to remain range-bound, with a trading range of $3,678-3,626 expected.
GOLD: The Adjustment is Interim!

Still Long NBIS

Goldman Sachs expects $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ to generate over $6 billion revenue in 2026.This means that they are forecasting around 600MW connected capacity at the current GPU/per hour rates and ~70% utilization.Management expects 1GW contracted capacity by the end of next year.Even if the demand slows down a bit, they can easily reach 2GW connected capacity by the end of 2030.At the current rates and assuming 70% utilization, this allows them to generate up to $20 billion revenue.At a conservative 5x sales, we get a $100 billion company.We are still early.Long $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ .For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 co
Still Long NBIS

GOLD: Still Aiming for a New All-Time High

$Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Technical Analysis: Gold Prices Hover Around $3,660, Still Aiming for a New All-Time HighGold prices hit a record high of $3,707.35 per ounce on Wednesday before rapidly declining and consolidating around $3,660 on Thursday. After some sideways trading, the precious metal may still have the momentum to challenge its all-time high again, with upside targets at $3,750 and $3,800.The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to flash overbought signals, suggesting limited short-term upside, but the overall trend remains bullish.If a "buy the anticipation, sell the reality" Fed rally triggers another pullback in gold prices, the primary supp
GOLD: Still Aiming for a New All-Time High