$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold 1-Hour Chart: Down About 1.47% Today! The current market is clearly in a short-term bearish phase, with price showing signs of breaking below key technical support levels. The price is currently moving downward along the lower Bollinger Band (LB: 4260.79), and the Bollinger Bands are showing signs of widening (i.e., “spreading”), which typically indicates that the downtrend is accelerating or that momentum is building. The price has now broken below the bottom of the previous consolidation range at 4310–4320. Until a strong bullish reversal signal emerges, the prevailing trend is expected to continue with a

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! September 23 Gold Technical Analysis: $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold has shifted from its previous one-sided bull market (peaking near 4369.25) into a medium-term, wide-range consolidation phase, either forming a bottom or consolidating to build momentum. Short-term rallies on the hourly chart may at any time face strong resistance from the dense moving average zone at 4,347–4,353 on the 4-hour chart. Key resistance zone: 4,350–4,360! The current trading strategy should focus on “selling on rallies” after the European session opens, or patiently waiting for a pullback to

On Monday (September 21), spot gold traded in a range before falling, briefly breaking below the key support level of 4,335 and hitting an intraday low of around $4,322 per ounce. It ultimately closed at $4,343.70, down 0.78%. Gold futures also weakened, closing down nearly 0.9%. The U.S. Dollar Index continued its upward trend, driven by expectations of further monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve, becoming the primary force weighing on gold prices. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continued to escalate, and the interplay between energy price volatility and inflation expectations significantly eroded gold’s appeal as a traditional safe-haven and anti-inflation asset in a high-interest-rate environment. In early Asian trading on Tuesday (September 22), easing infla

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Technical Analysis: Gold prices previously experienced a pronounced corrective decline (hitting a low near 4,334.31), after which they found strong support at the lows and staged a sharp “V-shaped reversal.” Currently, the price has broken through the middle band and is testing resistance near the upper Bollinger Band at $4,404. The H1 chart has shifted to bullish dominance, with strong rebound momentum. Monday Forecast: Given the strong bullish momentum at Friday’s close, and assuming there is no significant easing of tensions in the Middle East

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 The New York market opens at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time! Given the breakout with heavy volume on the 4-hour chart, any blind attempt to short the market by guessing the top without considering momentum is extremely dangerous. The trading strategy for the U.S. session must strictly adhere to the main principle of “buying on dips.” Currently, the middle Bollinger Band (4,382) serves as the “line of life and death” for bulls and bears in the U.S. session. Once the market breaks above 4,382 with strong volume during the U.S. session, the bears will collapse completely, triggering a massive short squeeze rally. If the shakeout early in the U.S. session brings the price back to the 4350–4355 range—near the high of the previous con

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 A "buyable dip" at 7520--as I outlined a few days ago. Now, if you bought the low at 7507 around 3:00pm, as my marked target area--yeah, I missed that spot by 13 points--then you may have pocketed 140 points within a few hours. Now, back inside the gap zone--as I noted earlier $S&P 500(.SPX)$

Key Scenario: The Fed’s Decision Will Determine Gold’s Fate The crux of the matter regarding the decision does not lie in whether or not interest rates will be raised, but rather in the updated economic forecast dot plot and the Fed Chair’s remarks on the future interest rate path during the press conference. A: Dovish reassurance (e.g., implying that current inflation is under control and the tightening cycle is nearing its end) Market Outlook: This would immediately trigger a “gold bull run” as bearish expectations are realized. Technical Development: 4-hour bulls will ignore resistance from moving averages above, breaking through the middle Bollinger Band at $4,436.41 with a large bullish candle, rapidly recouping lost ground in a short time, and making a frantic push toward the 4-hour

(XAUUSD) The 1-hour chart currently shows a clear bearish trend and a consolidation phase at low levels. After a series of consecutive declines, the gold price has stabilized near $4,288.54 and is attempting to form a short-term support shelf; however, the overall rebound momentum is facing strong resistance from multiple moving averages above and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. As this week coincides with the highly anticipated September Federal Reserve interest rate decision (FOMC), market expectations for a Fed rate hike have surged significantly to over 85%. The macroeconomic environment poses a bearish risk to gold, a non-interest-bearing asset, in the medium term. Therefore, the trading strategy must follow the trend, focusing primarily on selling on rallies, while supplement

Futures are pricing an 85% chance of a hike Wednesday, and decades of data says the rate decision still won't move this market $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has done this 44 times since 1997, and the vote itself barely registers The decision day averages a 0.94% move with a 1.23% intraday range. A normal session is 1.06%. That's 1.16x. 86% of hike days moved LESS than 2%. The median is flat because the market moves hard in BOTH directions and they cancel out They don't cancel evenly, though: Up weeks average +1.10% Down weeks average -2.02% Red price action runs roughly 2x the greens through the first week Here's the tradeable part: It isn't Wednesday that sets the week. It's THURSDAY When the session after the decision closes green, the wee

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Filling up the GAP ZONE--see the black hand on chart--for the last week and today, waiting for FOMC and Warsh's gesture. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Expect a hike, and minor plunge to the Red Spot, and spike higher to ruin both Bulls and Bears' plan. Follow me to learn more about analysis!!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Technical Analysis: $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ The current gold price is consolidating within a narrow range near the bottom of a key downtrend channel and the 4,330 level! In terms of technical structure, the downtrend channel continues, with lows gradually rising (potential double bottom?). After facing resistance above 4,450 earlier, gold has been trading within an overall downward-sloping channel. Current key price defense zone: strong resistance at 4,350–4,355; strong support at 4,309–4,322. In the short term (over the next few hours), it is highly likely that gold wi

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ The current gold price is in a technical pattern characterized by a rebound from a bottom and wide-range volatility. On the H4 chart, the moving averages have formed a very standard and perfect bearish alignment. Even if gold prices rebound, the upside will be extremely limited, as the resistance zone at $4,345–$4,350 will act as an insurmountable barrier. A break below yesterday’s low of $4,311 will trigger a technical sell-off, with downside potential extending directly to $4,250 or even near $4,200. For today, firmly exe

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Following the U.S. military strike on Iranian oil tankers, Brent crude briefly approached the $100 mark. In the past, an escalation of war has often been a direct positive for gold; however, against the current backdrop of monetary tightening, the surge in oil prices has intensified market fears of a global “reflation.” Investors have realized that high oil prices will force the Federal Reserve to adopt a more aggressive interest rate policy. This has caused the U.S. dollar to rise and gold to continue falling. The key support level is currently at 4,375; if this level cannot be held, gold will continue to seek support at 4,350! Short-term sell positions continue to generate profits!