SeptemBEAR is here: Are Your Portfolio Ready for Volatility?

In September, the VIX may fly as we may see September Effect hit again. ------- 1. Is the market in danger with September effect approaching? 2. What's your strategy to cope with risks?

My plan: trim stretched names, keep a cash buffer, stagger buys on red days, and hedge tactically (index puts/DLCs) into data/Fed weeks.  Focus on Q3 earnings set-ups into Oct. Defense first, then buy quality dips.
Replying to @koolgal:Haha same. I’m just holding on to my losing stocks. One fine day when my portfolio is big enough tat I don feel anything to realize the losses, then only I might cut haha. For now, I’m just ignoring it n moving on 😅//@koolgal:Top Glove is My Bagholder Badge of Honour.  I am down 90%. That is not a typo.  That is a latex laced lesson in humility. A bagholder is someone who clings to a stock long after its glory days are gone, watching it tumble while whispering sweet nothings like maybe it will bounce. It is the financial equivalent of holding the bouquet after the wedding has been called off. I was that person.  I believed in Top Glove.  I
When there is volatility, its the best time to earn money. Surf when the waves are big. Its more fun.
avatarxc__
09-03

September Effect Strikes: VIX Spike Ahead—Buy the Dip or Run?

Hedge funds are shorting the VIX at record levels, betting on continued calm, but as August fades, the notorious September effect looms, with historical average returns of -0.8% since 1950. The S&P 500 at 6,512.34 reflects optimism, but the VIX at 14.12 signals potential storms, fueled by Fed-Trump tensions and tariff escalations (30-35% on Canada/EU/Mexico). Oil holds at $74.50/barrel, Bitcoin at $123,456, but short VIX positions have hit extremes, per CFTC data, up 20% from July. Is the market in danger, or is this a buy point? Will you follow the trend or hedge risks? How did your portfolio fare in August? This deep dive unpacks the September effect, market dynamics, and strategies to decide: cash out, double down, or hedge. The September Effect: Historical Curse or 2025 Opportunity
September Effect Strikes: VIX Spike Ahead—Buy the Dip or Run?

The Bear’s Shadow: Why September Could Be the Market’s Toughest Month

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ September has long carried a reputation among investors as one of the most difficult months for the stock market. Historically, the so-called “September Effect” has been a seasonal headwind, with equity markets underperforming compared to other months. While seasonality alone doesn’t dictate market direction, the combination of elevated volatility, tightening liquidity, shifting central bank policy, and investor positioning often makes September a treacherous period for portfolios. With the VIX already threatening to spike, the question remains: are investors truly prepared for the bear-like risks that could emerge this September? The September Effect: More
The Bear’s Shadow: Why September Could Be the Market’s Toughest Month

Daily Scoop🍨 : Trump Hogs The Headlines For Supreme Court Ruling On Tariffs

$Biogen(BIIB)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$   Wall Street started off September on a sharply lower note on Tuesday as investors weighed the future of President Donald Trump's tariffs after a federal appeals court ruled most of his sweeping tariffs illegal. Market Snapshot The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 249.07 points, or 0.55%, to 45,295.81, the S&P 500 lost 44.72 points, or 0.69%, to 6,415.54 and the Nasdaq Composite lost 175.92 points, or 0.82%, to 21,279.63. Market Movers Shares of Alphabet surged as much as 7% in extended trading following the release of the judge’s ruling. Apple shares climbed as much as 2.78%. Alphabet Inc.’s Google will be required to share o
Daily Scoop🍨 : Trump Hogs The Headlines For Supreme Court Ruling On Tariffs
avatarToNi
09-03
Seizing the September Surge: Why the Market is Poised for a Bullish Run Introduction The markets are bracing for the much-discussed “September Effect,” a historical period often marked by increased volatility and potential declines. With whispers of a rising VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) and seasonal uncertainties, some investors may feel cautious. However, this perceived turbulence is not a signal of doom but a golden opportunity for those ready to embrace it. The market’s underlying strength, bolstered by anticipated Federal Reserve actions and resilient economic indicators, sets the stage for a bullish outlook across short, medium, and long-term horizons. Here’s why now is the time to be aggressively optimistic. The Bullish Case Amid September Volatility The “September Effect,” while root
avatarYeeshen
09-03
What a red day
TLT

BABA's rally is not done yet

$Alibaba(BABA)$ The key highlights of its Q1 earnings report are twofold: a robust recovery in its cloud business and a significant ramp-up in capital expenditures. In contrast, domestic e-commerce performance remained stable but offered no surprises. While the cash-burning food delivery wars did impact profits, the market has largely priced this in, making it less of a current focus.Cloud Services: The True Growth Engine Powered by AIAlibaba Cloud's revenue grew by 26% year-over-year, not only exceeding market expectations (22%-23%) but also maintaining the same growth rate as external cloud services. This demonstrates that even amid policy headwinds and overseas chip restrictions, the explosive demand for domestic AI computing power has been suf
BABA's rally is not done yet

Morgan Stanley predicts that the Fed is about to be "dovish". Is it time to go long on U.S. debt?

According to Morgan Stanley's forecast, the Fed could cut interest rates more than the market currently expects. Economists on the bank's interest rate strategy team came to the above view after updating their forecast scenario from now until the end of next year.Their current base forecast is that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its meeting this month and make similar cuts at every other meeting until December 2026.However, after assessing other possibilities for the U.S. economy, Morgan Stanley believes that the "balance point" of these possibilities should be more dovish.Regarding Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's previous speech at the "Global Central Mothers Annual Meeting", the market generally interprets that the Federal Reserve will adopt a looser stance in th
Morgan Stanley predicts that the Fed is about to be "dovish". Is it time to go long on U.S. debt?

Crucial HPE Earnings To See If Growing Demand For AI Infrastructure Still Persist

$Hewlett Packard Enterprise(HPE)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q3 2025 earnings after the market closes on Wednesday, September 3, 2025. This report comes at a crucial time for the company, as it navigates a competitive market and aims to capitalize on the growing demand for AI infrastructure. Revenue: Approximately $8.85 billion to $8.88 billion, which would represent a significant year-over-year increase of around 14-15%. This anticipated growth is largely driven by a strong order backlog and demand for AI servers. Earnings Per Share (EPS): The consensus for adjusted EPS is in the range of $0.18 to $0.44. The wide range and the fact that most analysts expect a decline in EPS year-over-year suggest concern about profitability and margins. Hew
Crucial HPE Earnings To See If Growing Demand For AI Infrastructure Still Persist
avatarShyon
09-02
I have been closely monitoring the market as September approaches, and the post you shared certainly raises some valid concerns. The idea that hedge funds and large speculators are betting on continued calm by shorting the VIX is intriguing, yet the mention of the potential September Effect has me on edge. Given my own experience with volatility, I can see why this might signal trouble ahead. My portfolio in August was quite a rollercoaster. The majority of my stocks experienced significant pullbacks, which led to an overall loss by the end of the month. It was a challenging period, and I found myself reevaluating my strategy as the market shifted unexpectedly. The reference to the Fed-Trump drama in the post resonates with me, as I have noticed how such uncertainties can impact market sen
avatarMichane
09-02
My most ashamed stock of all: $JPX Global, Inc.(JPEX)$ The pain of holding it FOuR years and on till it's GONE FOuRVER MORE.. I couldn't carry on & DECEIVE myself ANYMORE Presenting to you ALL So you shall NEVER follow the same mistake AS I DID AS one of the BIGGEST BAGHOLDER of ALL [Smug]

THE NEW MAG 7 OF AGENTIC AI

Stage one of AI was all about hardware -- servers, GPUs, and the scaffolding. Stage two is applications: embedding intelligence directly into the workflows, infrastructures, and physical systems that run trillion-dollar economies. This is where true economic capture happens. And it’s where a different Mag 7 is emerging -- not just $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ , $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ , $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ , $Broadcom(AVGO)$ , or $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM
THE NEW MAG 7 OF AGENTIC AI
avatarAdobo
09-01
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avatarYuhnan
09-01
Donald trump the man the mythctbe kegend

What Assets Are Favored In 2025? Dollar Index -9.8% While China Equity +22%

Asset Performance: Gold Leads the Way, China Rides the Tailwind, Dollar Under PressureOver the past year, asset classes have shown significant divergence in performance. Gold $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ led the pack with a 30.5% annual return, reflecting robust safe-haven demand; European equities $iShares Europe ETF(IEV)$ (24.5%) and Chinese equities (21.9%) $iShares China Large-Cap ETF(FXI)$ followed closely, while Bitcoin (19.5%) exhibited greater volatility.In contrast, the U.S. Dollar Index $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ fell 9.8%, while crude oil prices declined 10.3%, highlighting pressures in commodity and curren
What Assets Are Favored In 2025? Dollar Index -9.8% While China Equity +22%
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