2024 Outlook: How Will Story Unfold?

With the end of the year approaching, major institutions begin to provide outlook for US stock market in 2024. How do institutions expect for 2024? Will the bull market continue? How about expectations for inflations and rate hike? What's your attitude: Cautious or Bold?

avatarKYHBKO
12-16

Technical Analysis of S&P500 (16Dec2024) - using over 20 indicators

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 16Dec24 Observations: The MACD indicator is showing a downtrend. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. Both MA50 and MA200 lines are below the last candle. Thus, it could be read as bullish for both the mid and the long-term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are on an uptrend but are looking to converge (implying a potential change in trend). Chaikin’s Monetary flow (CMF) shows an uptrend. However, there seems to be more selling momentum than buying. This can lead to a potential trend change. The 20 indicators are pointing to a “Strong Buy” rating for the S&P500 (for Daily interval). 16 indicators recommend a “Buy” and 4 recommend a “Sell” rating. From the candlestick pattern, the latest seems to point
Technical Analysis of S&P500 (16Dec2024) - using over 20 indicators
avatarStoid
09-12
$SOFI 20240913 7.5 PUT$  Like a witch's finger scratching the chalkboard ☕️🏦😜
avatarStoid
09-12
$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$  On the basis of this mass outflow will you buy or sell the stock?
avatarKYHBKO
07-15

Earnings for the week starting 15Jul24 - will BlackRock hit the rise?

Earnings Calendar (15Jul24) Q3/2024 starts and a few earnings are coming in the coming week. There are a few earnings of interest: Goldman Sachs, BlackRock, Bank of America, ASML, United, TSMC, Nokia, Netflix, Intuitive Surgical and American Express. Let us look at BlackRock in detail. Observations: Revenue grew from $11.08B (2014) to $17.8B (2023) Operating Profit grew from $4.52B (2014) to $6.33B (2023) EPS grew from $19.17 (2014) to $36.51 (2023). The year with the best EPS is $38.22 (2021). Dividend per share grew from $7.72 (2014) to $20.00 (2023). Here is some recent news about BlackRock, listing their recent acquisition. At the same time, BlackRock is also in the Bitcoin sector, which has great potential. For the coming earnings, the forecast is $10.04 and $4.85B for EPS and Revenue
Earnings for the week starting 15Jul24 - will BlackRock hit the rise?
avatarKYHBKO
04-14

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 15Apr24

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 15Apr24 Technical observations of the S&P500 1D chart: The MACD indicator is on a downtrend from the past week and this should continue into the coming week. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Interpretation of CMF from the CFI website: When there is a continuous buying period (when the CMF value is sustained above zero), the trend is considered bullish and indicates that price will continue to rise with the trend. When there is continuous selling pressure (CMF value below zero), this points to a bearish trend, indicating price will continue downward.Higher readings, either positive or negative, indicate a stronger trend. Increasing readings indicate gaining momentum.Crosses
Market Outlook of S&P500 - 15Apr24

Precious metals on the move

We have just seen Gold prices rise to all time highs, and continue to make ATH over the past few days. Very exciting to see gold breakout above US$2150 and hoping that this can be well sustained by the significant increase in demand from central banks since 2022. Presumably the key underpinning to the demand is that the position of gold in foreign exchange reserves has always been relatively small but perhaps more importantly it is a perceived need to have greater diversification away from USD in for exchange reserves. In any case when central bankers buy they are probably the least price sensitive kind of customer. Whilst Geo political tensions is a driver but realistically there is nothing new in this aspect. In the days and months ahead I expect the price of gold to continue climbi
Precious metals on the move
Happy New Year 🎊
Good insight!!!
avatargaryfyh
02-05
Well nice indepth analysis

Options Industry 2023 Review: Index Products Lead Growth

Jan 25, 2024As we welcome 2024, let us review how the options industry fared in 2023 and what 2023 performance indicates for the new year.U.S. options volumes industry-wide set another record in 2023 as more investors seek the utility and flexibility derivatives provide to manage risk and generate income. 11.11 billion option contracts traded market-wide in 2023 with daily volume averaging 43.3 million contracts, an increase of 6.8% from one year ago.As inflation persisted in the second half of 2023, many investors became wary of the high valuations of stocks and shifted their portfolios to safer assets such as bonds. The economic outlook also deteriorated, as both the manufacturing and service sectors showed signs of slowing down. Moreover, the leading indicators and the shape of the yiel
Options Industry 2023 Review: Index Products Lead Growth
There is no straight line uptrend. I will continue to do my Dca on strong moat companies. [Smile]

If Invests $1 million, which top hedge fund would you choose?

What is your household's dollar asset allocation ratio?Aside from individual stock investments, do you also invest in insurance, U.S. debt, or hedge fund products?If you had $1 million, would you prefer investing in Warren Buffett's approach, the ARKK Fund, or have other investment preferences?The New York Stock Exchange building is seen from Wall Street in Lower Manhattan in New YorkBelow are the Top 20 overseas hedge funds making money in 2023: TCI ranks first, followed by CitadelAccording to the hedge fund ranking data released by LCH Investments, the FOF agency of the Rothschild family, the hedge fund industry will bring a total of nearly US$218 billion in net income to investors in 2023, of which the top 20 companies contributed US$67 billion.That is to say, the asset management scale
If Invests $1 million, which top hedge fund would you choose?

Strong US Economy May Delay the Rate Cut, 4 Industries Poised to Thrive

The robust surge in the U.S. economy may halt expectations of a rate cut!The U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at an annualized rate of 3.3% in the fourth quarter, and the core inflation rate, upon which the Federal Reserve relies most, is currently at 2.9%, the lowest level since March 2021. As of now, the probability of a rate cut in March is approximately 50%, according to the interest rate market.CNBC Daily Open: Fed rate cut path in sharp focusDavid Wilcox, an economist at Bloomberg Economics, remarked, "If I were in his shoes, I'd try to dodge the press conference and keep things basically undisturbed. The likelihood of a rate cut in March is 50%... seems good to me. Any action by the Fed depends on specific data.Matthew Luzzetti, Chief U.S. Economist at Deutsche Bank, indicated
Strong US Economy May Delay the Rate Cut, 4 Industries Poised to Thrive

Why US stock and bonds still in favored-liquidity?

Takeaways📈 Economic Indicators: December data, including ISM Manufacturing PMI, Non-farm Payrolls, CPI, PCE, housing starts, and retail sales, exceeded expectations, indicating resilience in U.S. households and manufacturing.🔄 Market Reassessment: Probability of a rate cut in March decreased to around 50%, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rebounded to 4.1% as the market reevaluated interest rate expectations.💧 Liquidity Abundance: Abundant liquidity in the market is attributed to fiscal policies injecting funds, maintaining overall liquidity despite the Federal Reserve reducing its assets.💰 Fiscal Policy Impact: The fiscal deficit expansion, increased short-term bond issuances, and higher risk tolerance in an election year contribute to the liquidity surplus.🗓 Policy Path in 2024: The p
Why US stock and bonds still in favored-liquidity?
It will be a good investing year and i will be doing DCA throughout this year 2024
PCT: $Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund ETF Shares(VGT)$ & $Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF(SCHD)$ v10.0 : PCT = Pandas Coffee Talk. VGT will go higher because Tech Stocks will go higher. SCHD is because now SCHD will buy Value Dividends Stocks at bargains prices giving SCHD solid dividends yields. What you think?

🚀📈 Seize Two Sector Opportunities in a Strong Bull Market in 2024

In 2023, overseas markets excelled, especially in the U.S., where major broad-based indices in the stock market achieved remarkable results. As 2024 begins, the technology sector in the U.S. experiences an upward trend due to exceptional macroeconomic performance, driven by the AIGC concept and ample liquidity, resulting in strong performances from various software and semiconductor technology stocks.Closelook@US Stock MarketsLooking ahead to 2024, the US macroeconomic environment seems poised for a "soft landing." Factors contributing to the robust economic performance include resilient consumer spending, technological advancements stimulating corporate investments, and the US government's efforts to bring manufacturing back, fosterin
🚀📈 Seize Two Sector Opportunities in a Strong Bull Market in 2024
2024’s theme will be rate cuts. Market will over react as usual. So trade cautiously at the extremes of sentiment. When too many cuts are priced in, dont be too bullish. When too few cuts priced in, dont be too bearish. Bear in mind fed has already said 3 cuts for 2024.
Good post! Thank you