Market Outlook of S&P500 - 15Apr24 Technical observations of the S&P500 1D chart: The MACD indicator is on a downtrend from the past week and this should continue into the coming week. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has hit below the zero line. This can be seen as a bearish signal with more selling volume. Interpretation of CMF from the CFI website: When there is a continuous buying period (when the CMF value is sustained above zero), the trend is considered bullish and indicates that price will continue to rise with the trend. When there is continuous selling pressure (CMF value below zero), this points to a bearish trend, indicating price will continue downward.Higher readings, either positive or negative, indicate a stronger trend. Increasing readings indicate gaining momentum.Cro

Jan 25, 2024As we welcome 2024, let us review how the options industry fared in 2023 and what 2023 performance indicates for the new year.U.S. options volumes industry-wide set another record in 2023 as more investors seek the utility and flexibility derivatives provide to manage risk and generate income. 11.11 billion option contracts traded market-wide in 2023 with daily volume averaging 43.3 million contracts, an increase of 6.8% from one year ago.As inflation persisted in the second half of 2023, many investors became wary of the high valuations of stocks and shifted their portfolios to safer assets such as bonds. The economic outlook also deteriorated, as both the manufacturing and service sectors showed signs of slowing down. Moreover, the leading indicators and the shape of the yiel

Takeaways📈 Economic Indicators: December data, including ISM Manufacturing PMI, Non-farm Payrolls, CPI, PCE, housing starts, and retail sales, exceeded expectations, indicating resilience in U.S. households and manufacturing.🔄 Market Reassessment: Probability of a rate cut in March decreased to around 50%, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rebounded to 4.1% as the market reevaluated interest rate expectations.💧 Liquidity Abundance: Abundant liquidity in the market is attributed to fiscal policies injecting funds, maintaining overall liquidity despite the Federal Reserve reducing its assets.💰 Fiscal Policy Impact: The fiscal deficit expansion, increased short-term bond issuances, and higher risk tolerance in an election year contribute to the liquidity surplus.🗓 Policy Path in 2024: The p

In 2023, overseas markets excelled, especially in the U.S., where major broad-based indices in the stock market achieved remarkable results. As 2024 begins, the technology sector in the U.S. experiences an upward trend due to exceptional macroeconomic performance, driven by the AIGC concept and ample liquidity, resulting in strong performances from various software and semiconductor technology stocks.Closelook@US Stock MarketsLooking ahead to 2024, the US macroeconomic environment seems poised for a "soft landing." Factors contributing to the robust economic performance include resilient consumer spending, technological advancements stimulating corporate investments, and the US government's efforts to bring manufacturing back, fosterin