SmartReversals
SmartReversals
I care about helping you navigate this market. Nowadays, it's all about permabears & permabulls, I use technical indicators with objectivity. God First.
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SPX Daily Chart: A technical bounce is normal after a bearish engulfing candle

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ A technical bounce like the one seen today is normal after a bearish engulfing candle.With or without green continuation on Tuesday, further decline is expected, there are recent references highlighted in the chart.A bearish MACD cross is around the corner, that would validate the thesis of a healthy pullback coming. If it happens, a visit to the 20 and 50DMA zone is expected.The Bullish crossover in 20 and 50 DMAs looks like the welcome sign for Summer season. Suggesting that a healthy pullback would be a buying opportunity. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2406(ESmain)$
SPX Daily Chart: A technical bounce is normal after a bearish engulfing candle

Russell2000 confirmed a base breakout above $2133-$2100

Russell2000 $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ confirmed a base breakout above $2133-$2100.It indicates potential upside beyond resistances at approximately $2288 and $2350-$2360, as well as surpassing the late 2021 peak of $2459, towards the upper target of $2620. The surge in RTY stocks reaching new 52-week highs suggests that the RTY is likely to sustain this upward breakout. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini Russell 2000 - main 2409(RTYmain)$ Imagehttps://x.com/SmartReversals/status/1816825688319508664
Russell2000 confirmed a base breakout above $2133-$2100

SPX Daily Chart: Bullish Signals Emerging, Key Checkpoints Ahead

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - Daily Chart:Promising move, the inverted hammer had validation, since today’s opening was above the previous day’s body.50DMA was recovered, and Williams%R is showing a move comparable with the last bottom.There are two pending checkpoints: Jumping above the 5DMA, which is still governing the very short term trend, and triggering a bullish crossover in Stochastic.Today’s candle was not an example of conviction, but is not bearish either; and volume was high.$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$Imagehttps://x.com/SmartReversals/status/1816929818224582709
SPX Daily Chart: Bullish Signals Emerging, Key Checkpoints Ahead

Bearish Signals Abound: IWM, SPX, VIX and SPY Under Pressure

1. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ That 50DMA better holds, losing that level usually brings deep declines.Seems that the weekly bearish setup was delayed a week given the $GameStop(GME)$ euphoria.Image2. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ & $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Can we see the drop yesterday as a fake one since we are below 12.95 on the vix and day is hadding down again?I like this question about SPX and VIX. Ans: Possible, but let's pay attention to 5DMA; it's still resistance at this moment.$5288 is a daily support that must hold, it has worked during the last 45 minutes.If that's the case for the day, 5DMA has to be surpass
Bearish Signals Abound: IWM, SPX, VIX and SPY Under Pressure

$PLTR - Exhaustion Signals

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ - Exhaustion Signals: Reversal candles like dojis or shooting stars crossing or at the higher Bollinger band have been followed by a pullback. The setup strengthens with RSI above or close to 70. The latest weekly candle is a hanging man overbought relative to the bands and RSI. Previously 20 weekly average has been the deepest support, in mild cases the 10MA. Like if interested in the monthly setup💚 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $.SPX(.SPX)$ Image
$PLTR - Exhaustion Signals
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ The MACD is brewing a bullish signal that was worked well Nvidia. if that happens... oh boy. Watching carefully, a month ago the signal did not consolidate (Red circle).Imagehttps://x.com/SmartReversals/status/1822999100628914676

Potential Bullish Signals Emerging for $NVDA After Crash

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ - Daily Chart:Two positive factors in the middle of this crash:1) The gap was finally closed2) There is a bullish divergenceOf course, it is very EARLY, and there are more than 4 hours to consider this chart closed. But if it is the case, there would be a third bullish factor which is the candle itself, an extreme reversal setup. Check the bottom of the 2022 bear market.But the day has to end like this, or even better, to continue seeing this as a buying possibility.Imagehttps://x.com/SmartReversals/status/1820480630833967298
Potential Bullish Signals Emerging for $NVDA After Crash

Dollar on the Cusp: Seasonality Coming in April? (Overbought & Indecision)

$USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ on the Cusp: Seasonality Coming in April? (Overbought & Indecision) So far, the seasonality has worked out for $DXY in 2024, rallying between January and March. April is typically a month for the USD to decline, wether if the trend is analyzed from 1970 or from 1999.Image
Dollar on the Cusp: Seasonality Coming in April? (Overbought & Indecision)

NVDA contributing 3.58% to the S&P 500's total market value

The graph illustrates the variation in the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 's total market value, a reliable indicator of SPX's returns.The modest market value rise is 9.16% year-to-date, with $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ contributing 3.58%—equivalent to 39% of the S&P 500's gain.Additionally, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ collectively contribute 1.41% to the S&P 500's gain YTD, representing 15%.Four stocks contribute to 54% of the S&P 500's gain YTD, despite accounting for 19% of the total market capitalization for the S&P 500.NVDA ’s Fundamentals
NVDA contributing 3.58% to the S&P 500's total market value

The thesis of a top being in for SPX is still valid

S/R Levels For Next Week Are OutThe thesis of a top being in for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is still valid (See the $DJIA(.DJI)$ , an index without $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ & $GameStop(GME)$ )This is my golden tool to confirm technical signals, the bullish above / bearish below approach is useful when the levels are set correctly.This week SPX, DJI, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ , $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ and many others broke the central level, showing first signs of turbulence in the market (7 levels are published). $Van
The thesis of a top being in for SPX is still valid

SPX - Consolidation process has started

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Price action is suggesting a horizontal entrance to the Bollinger range, today's first step held above $5409, a S/R level.As long as $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ continues below its 20DMA, the consolidation can be horizontal, even with a hot RSI (see previous occurrences). Needless to say that $5409 has to remain as support for SPX.CPI injected fuel to the rally, in my previous post I indicated the access to a publication for everyone (free) related to inflation and interest rates.Like and repost for more open for everyone publications. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$
SPX - Consolidation process has started

SPX - Right at the Point of Control

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ A big move coming is likely, price closed at the very edge (Point of Control) of the current volume shelf.RSI at 71 is considered overbought, the candle is not a reversal one, so any breakout or breakdown just need the right catalyst.5DMA was recovered, which is good, but that moving average is flat.There are few factors suggesting direction in the daily chart, the weekly suggests a top and that timeframe will be closed tomorrow at 4PM EST. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ Imagehttps://x.com/SmartReversals/status/1806422633094734026
SPX - Right at the Point of Control

Bullish Momentum Builds: TSLA & GME Will Surge Upward

1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Bullish signs brought by the recent crossover between 20 and 50DMA, price holding above $173.6; the potential bullish crossovers in Stochastic and ROC appear imminent.Image2. $GameStop(GME)$ Would you buy this chart?Asking for a friend.The Money Flow Index indicates many people jumped in.Will this time be different than 2021?Do technicals or Fundamentals matter?Imagehttps://x.com/SmartReversals/status/1791967453993377898
Bullish Momentum Builds: TSLA & GME Will Surge Upward

SP500 - Correction Looming or Bullish Replay?

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ recently was 11% above its 125-day moving average (MA), that's a significant component of the Fear and Greed Index. However, a historical perspective offers some context. While not the highest on record (September 2020 saw 19% and May 2021 reached 11.5%), it is noteworthy. Historically, such overextensions have often led to a "visit" to the 125-day MA, a potential correction. However, there have also been instances where the 50-day MA served as a temporary bounce point (marked by green arrows) before the rally resumed to new highs with a lower degree of overextension and a subsequent visit to the 125-day MA at a higher price point. Given current technicals, supportive breadth indicators, and a RSI below 50 (similar to the p
SP500 - Correction Looming or Bullish Replay?

$SPX - The index closed in bullish mode

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - Daily Chart:The index closed in bullish mode, there is an indecision candle in the latest 4H and 2H timeframes, a breather can come on Monday, but the Stochastic has not completed its move, lately it has made it to overbought levels.$5478 was the key level to surpass this week to validate a bullish move, the central weekly level for the week ahead has been published with the S/R levels (link in bio⬆️).There is a bullish signal triggered today by another technical indicator, that is presented for everyone in the latest publication. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ <
$SPX - The index closed in bullish mode

$156 is the new support to watch for Tesla

Hard to visualize +13% After Hours vanishing tomorrow for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Worth noting: It will open a gap, and #Tesla has closed them all during the recent months.Yes, there are gaps above as well.$156 is the new support to watch.If the bottom is in (I hope so, but gaps are usually filled), the target shared in Newsletter since a couple of weeks ago, was just $5 below the current one 🎯https://twitter.com/SmartReversals/status/1782931588252160113
$156 is the new support to watch for Tesla

SPX Soars Onward

As expected yesterday, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ price action had bullish continuation today, and $5215 is in a better position to be a stronger support.Fast oscillators (Stochastic and Williams%R) have been invalidated, now it's time to use RSI, which closed today at 69.3, nearing overbought levels.Price action ideally should take it easy for the bullish continuation, so the Bollinger high is not crossed. In the recent past, sooner or later, crossing the higher band has sent the price to the 20DMA at least.That said, it's worth noting that 20DMA sits today at $5120.I have emphasized during all this year that $4600 is not a scenario, my recent expectation for a soft pullback did
SPX Soars Onward

TSLA Daily Chart - 20DMA is the usual reaction

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ During the last two weeks I mentioned that a breakout was the most possible outcome for the Bollinger squeeze. Subs know why.After a decent rally, Tesla set a daily shooting star on Friday, with overbought Stochastic and above the higher Bollinger band.20DMA is the usual reaction.Click in bio for more references of the key lines to watch. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2409(NQmain)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2409(ESmain)$ Imagehttps://x.com/S
TSLA Daily Chart - 20DMA is the usual reaction

S&P 500 Soars: $5,110 Support Fortified, $5,277 Next Stop?

The 7th attempt was the charm The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 's breakout today has fueled the rally and appears to be solidifying $5,110 as a key support level for the rest of the year. The consolidation expected is reminiscent of past instances where the index crossed the Bollinger Bands in a significant proportion of the daily candle. Here's the good news: the resistance at $5,190 has flipped and is now acting as support. Adding to the bullish sentiment, the oscillator's crossover provides further confirmation, and the MACD's attempt at a bullish crossover aims to seal the deal. The next target would be $5,277 if $5,190 holds during the week. This level can serve as a reference point for a stop-loss order, making it a more strategic option compared to
S&P 500 Soars: $5,110 Support Fortified, $5,277 Next Stop?

SPX Daily Chart - It's too early to call a bottom

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The $5250 gap has been filled, and the $5215 S/R level provided support, coinciding with the 20DMA zone.A bounce or muted session tomorrow is possible, but it's too early to call a bottom, it would be better to see Williams%R completing the move to oversold zone.The bearish MACD crossover is confirmed, and unlike February and March when it was constantly invalidated, this MACD appears when the three major indexes reached strong annual resistance levels. In the case of the SP500, this level is $5304, as presented over the weekend with the Fibonacci extension analysis. $DJIA(.DJI)$ was also presented during the weekend, showing perfect rejection at $39,835; a resistance anticipated since
SPX Daily Chart - It's too early to call a bottom

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