$Alibaba(09988)$$Alibaba(BABA)$A simple analogy on Baba 1 year daily chartokok, at least from Jun 2021 (not marked) Baba has been challenging the 50EMA as arrow pointed but fails and dump lower time after time until 16 Mar 2022 onwards, average 80s to 150s of million shares transacted (or make it simple average 100 million) to simply put at an average price of $100 That's 10,000 million (10 billion ??) turnover! Who the hell able to chunk such HUGH transactions consistantly for many days and not just one single day ?? But well, it fails to hold and fell again (this time without breaking prior low) on 8 Jun 2022, once again the super heavy volume returns (90 million!)
$AMTD Digital Inc.(HKD)$$GameStop(GME)$AMTD vs GME, they have similar movesGME Initial Meme stage that breaks All Time High after High1. crazy UP move in two weeks (Jan 2021)2. collapse > 90% thereafter (Feb 2021)3. another UP thrust that follows (late Feb 2021) and gradually ended in Mar 2021 (though it remained volatile throughout the rest of the year)Back to AMTD (and YES! only if you think the moves very similar)1. GOD move in two weeks (Jul 2022 initial IPO trading)2. collapse > 90% thereafter (Aug-Sep 2022)3. another UP thrust that follows (currently in progress)The ONLY significant difference between them - VolumeAMTD is thinly traded as opposed to GMEResist - $800 ~ $1000 (multi-bagger!)Suppor
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$A simple Technical Analysis on NVDA weekly chart1. steep downtrend putting in Parallel channel (actually can ignore the lower channel line if you want)2. steep falling 20 SMA (simple moving average). Check how share price react when SMA was falling steep, and when SMA turned flat, as well as how long the whole "process" lasted as an estimate (before the next major move happens)From Volume Profile, immediately $125 ~ $136 appears to be a support zone (much more volume traded than surrounding yellow/blue & red/blue barsIf this support fails, then the stock could drop back along $70+/- (the next most volume traded area)If you find this analysis helpful, please like and comment. Thank you[love you]
$COSCO SHIP HOLD(01919)$Cosco Shipping Monthly log scale chartStock is approaching End of Run1. the last Super Bull Run was back in Nov 2006 and ended Oct 20072. the current Super Bull Run begins Jul 2020 and probably already ended Jul 20213. 14 years apart, not many investors can experience once or twice in their trading lifetime4. main point in this chart - share price has crossed below 20 SMA (Simple Moving Average)The current situation could be a repeat of Aug 2008 (sharp fall) or a delayed scenario like Nov 2010. Very scary, but it might turn out to be true.If you think this analysis is useful, please like and comment, thanks[love you]
$Ford(F)$ $General Motors(GM)$ $Tata Motors(TTM)$ Ford Weekly Chart [$11.36] - possible bearish symmetrical breakout Selling volume increasing, not a good sight as well. Support - $9.00 +/- Resist - $13.50 5 years Volume Profile POC (purple horizontal), most volume traded along $9.00 If you like the above analysis, kindly reply and like [Love you]
$ThaiBev(Y92.SI)$ Thai Beverage (Y92) daily chart - bullish divergence - trend resist breakout with good volume 1st TP along $0.525 or even $0.545 if volume stays strong
$Frasers Cpt Tr(J69U.SI)$ Weekly Chart [$2.05] present a 5 year weekly chart, highlighting past occurrence of RSI dipping below 40 1. week of 9/3/20 , the first dump, extraordinary deep ended sharp rebound 2. week of 26/10/20 , sharp dip of 10% ended quick rebound 3. week of 10/5/21 , dip of 4.6% ended quick rebound 4. week of 27/9/21 , minor dip of 1.3% ended quick rebound 5. week of 26/9/22 , dip of 4.4% , went 37 cents lower from High of first dip candle 6. week of 2/10/23 , dip of 5.9% and ongoing Latest scenario is more similar to occurrence 5, RSI retest below 40 after a minor rebound, estimating an equivalent 37 cents drop from High ($2.19) of first dip candle S1 - $1.82 | R1 - $2.13 | R2 - $2.26
$Adobe(ADBE)$ 🎨 Adobe — Inflection Analysis The stock is pricing in an AI death spiral. The numbers say otherwise. Adobe has stabilized and is quietly improving, with cash flow, margins, and ARR all decoupling from the bearish AI-disruption narrative. 📊 Inflection status: STABILIZING → IMPROVING Fundamentals are turning while sentiment remains fearful. Atomic signals: • FY25 operating cash flow >$10B, +28% vs FY23 • ARR $25.2B, +11.5% YoY — growth intact • Document Cloud +18% YoY (AI Assistant uptake) • GAAP operating income +29% YoY • FY26 ARR growth guide >10% 💰 Valuation at price: • Price: $303 (14 Jan 2026) • ~17x FY26 GAAP EPS vs >30x historical • Heavy buybacks confirm internal conviction • RPO $22.5B supports cash
$Masco(MAS)$ Is Masco a value trap? 🚩 The "7 quarters of margin expansion" narrative just broke. Q3 2025 data reveals the "Good Business, Bad Investment" reality: 📉 Volume: -12% (Decorative Segment) 🔻 Margins: -220 bps reversal ⚠️ Narrative: Shifted from "Transformation" to "Tariff Mitigation" The efficiency cycle is exhausted. Don't get caught in the "adjusted" earnings gap.
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Tesla (TSLA) Monthly chart log-scale This will make Tesla chart going "smooth" (ignore lots of noise) Since 2010, there are 3 occasions with Top-ceiling consolidation (flat top) before the next Bull Run (Super bull in 2013 & 2020) - Monthly RSI never goes below 40 (except May 2019) - Range-bound trade for >24 months (2 damn long years!!!) At very best, Tesla probably repeating the same 20++ months "process" ($200+ to $380+) But if monthly RSI hit below 40, Tesla might go into a prolong downtrend Of course for those really looking at a timeframe more than 5 years and have lots of cash to hold, you can ignore this chart[Heart]
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$SPY Daily chart [$393.10], ETF could drop to $3551. main downtrend constructed based on three peaks as shown (red arrows)2. parallel projected lower channel drawn, connecting 2 troughs (black arrows)3. a similar move spotted back in Apr where share price rebounded to briefly touch 20 SMA (Simple Moving Average) and hammered much lower4. at the momemt, share price rebounded and touches 20 SMA, and gap down yesterday on similar heavy volume (123 million vs 132 million on previous occasion)Increased in selling volume, together with a near full sell-down bar, and a hugh -4.35% drop which have not seen throughout the past one year (visually check) , more downside is likely to be expected.Resist
$Astera Labs, Inc.(ALAB)$ 🧩 Astera Labs (ALAB) — Inflection Analysis This is the moment many IPOs fail to reach. Astera Labs has crossed from “AI promise” into **real, GAAP-profitable execution** — and the inflection is now confirmed. ALAB sits at the center of hyperscaler AI clusters, supplying the **connectivity backbone** (retimers, switches, modules) that makes large-scale AI compute actually work. 📈 Inflection status: CONFIRMED POSITIVE Profitability, cash flow, and scale efficiency have all flipped. Atomic evidence: • Q3’25 revenue $230.6M, +104% YoY • GAAP net income $91.1M vs loss last year • Diluted EPS $0.50 vs $(0.05) • YTD operating cash flow $224M • Gross margin ~76% while scaling hardware • R&D intensity fell to 34%
$Visa(V)$$MasterCard(MA)$Digital payment stocks, Visa & Mastercard both having a "Big Headache" On weekly chart: - both gap down, closing down -4% & -7% respectively - both sell off on increased volume - both break down from right shoulder Rough road ahead, expecting another 15~20% downside
$Singtel(Z74.SI)$ Is the +50% run in Singtel ($Z74.SI) sustainable? The data points to a textbook structural turnaround. 🔄 We are witnessing a "Positive Cycle Handoff." The defensive phase of FY23-24—marked by "kitchen sink" impairments at Optus and shedding loss-makers like Trustwave—is largely complete. Now, Singtel is weaponizing its balance sheet. By aggressively recycling capital from legacy asset sales (Airtel stakes, Comcentre), they are funding a massive offensive pivot. The focus has shifted squarely to scaling AI-ready data centers via Nxera, capitalizing on structural ARPU growth at Airtel, and executing a S$2B share buyback program. The narrative has moved from "restructuring for survival" to "structural value realization."
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$Bitcoin going back to 12500pt, simplified with Weekly chart.A dead cat bounce is a temporary, short-lived recovery of asset prices from a prolonged decline or a bear market that is followed by the continuation of the downtrend. (Abstract from Investopedia)1. Point A - bearish pennant (dead cat bounce)2. Point B - bearish pennant (dead cat bounce)3. Point C - potential bearish pennant?As of now, it looks like another dead cat bounce is on the way, smashing below 19000 would bring it down back to 12500pt, a level not seen since Oct 2020$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ If you fi
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$$NIO Inc.(NIO)$A simple Technical Analysis on NIO weekly chart1. observed that 20 SMA (simple moving average) has once again turned flat (previous occured around Jul~Oct 2022 (red arrows)2. caused by share price crossing up & down the SMA, abid on lower volatility as compared to previous3. a major downtrend trendline exist throughtout way back Jan 2021From Volume Profile, most volume traded between $12.40 ~ $23 (visual estimation). Expect share price to consollidate between this range before the next major moveSupport - $12.40Resist - $23.00