美联储重磅七月会议下周来袭！应该关注那些重点？

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美联储重磅七月会议下周来袭！应该关注那些重点？

智通财经网2021-07-24

美联储于7月27日和28日召开货币政策会议，虽然股市目前情绪还较乐观，它将在一种不安的气氛中开会。除了市场急需知道鲍威尔目前的态度，更重要的是美联储是否已经有了缩减政策细节。美联储主席鲍威尔最近在国会作证时明确表示，他仍然认为通胀压力在很大程度上是暂时的，没有任何迫切需要发出政策即将转变的信号。毕竟，就业水平仍比疫情开始前低600多万，而最新的新冠疫情增加了另一层不确定性，可以用来为不采取行动...

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Zhengxi
·2021-07-25
要投資一定要了解公司實際情況才下單，共勉！
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1
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Alan6660
·2021-07-25
繼續加油
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Alan6660
·2021-07-25
好
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阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛阿弥陀佛
·2021-07-25
[微笑]
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1
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快乐玩美股
·2021-07-25
[財迷]
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2
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KennyK71
·2021-07-25
贊
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1
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- 快乐玩美股:
  [财迷]
  2021-07-25
  Reply
  Report
CKWAI
·2021-07-25
回覆和點贊，謝謝你
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3
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- 松子5510:
  谢谢
  2021-07-25
  Reply
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- CKWAI:
  谢谢
  2021-07-25
  Reply
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- Johnm:
  谢谢
  2021-07-25
  Reply
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shwan
·2021-07-25
good
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4
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rayhui79
·2021-07-25
[微笑]
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6
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Eck
·2021-07-25
666 up
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Youn7276
·2021-07-25
閱！
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7
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- AndyLiew:
  ?
  2021-07-25
  Reply
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AB_Iphone
·2021-07-25
QE lo
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6
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- Miaw:
  What u mean
  2021-07-25
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Fengjie
·2021-07-24
贊
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- SP2021:
  Zan
  2021-07-25
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Linda2240
·2021-07-24
[微笑]
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4
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- Linda2240:
  [微笑]
  2021-07-24
  Reply
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juanjuanjuan
·2021-07-24
[暗中觀察]
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3
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- juanjuanjuan:
  [思考]
  2021-07-24
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神话者
·2021-07-24
一直起飛
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3
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LLMMYY
·2021-07-24
飛飛飛
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1
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无欲2057
·2021-07-24
美股危險了！
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5
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- shwan:
  yes
  2021-07-25
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一定要成功成为世界未来首
·2021-07-24
飛高高
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mengseng
·2021-07-24
???
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Conference)上，美联储官员将开始为缩减量化宽松做准备，并在9月份的FOMC会议上进一步细化，然后在12月份正式宣布。\n经济正在增长，尽管可能没有今年早些时候一些人预期的那么快。此外许多企业迫切需要工人，但仍有数百万人失业。最近几周，疫苗接种率停滞不前，感染病例数量上升。尽管如此美联储正面临着收紧压力，如缩减QE。但大部分人还是预计美联储不会在下周会议上宣布任何新举措，但焦点是鲍威尔是否会把缩减细节“摆上桌面”来讨论。\n劳动力市场迹象暗示美联储的宽松远没有结束。经济学家和市场观察人士曾希望，到4月份疫苗广泛普及、许多经济限制开始解除的时候，雇主将开始大批雇佣工人。然而，现实却远没有这么乐观。根据美国劳工统计局(Bureau of Labor Statistics)的最新数据显示非农增速在最近数月总体不是很稳定。\n另外一方面，当下通胀环境又让美联储不得不考虑缩减一些已经实施的宽松刺激政策。亚特兰大联邦储备银行的三个月移动平均数据显示，尽管6月份的工资比去年同期高出3.2%，但通货膨胀率却上升得更高。与去年同期相比，6月份消费者价格指数增长了5.4%，这意味着经通胀调整后的收入下降了2%以上。即便是美联储青睐的剔除食品和能源价格波动的核心个人消费支出(Core PCE)指标，5月份也较上年同期上涨了3.4%。\n事实上，一个月前，美联储将2021年的通胀预期从3月份的2.2%上调至3%，但即便如此也可能过于乐观。在今年余下的时间里，通胀可能会持续上升。不过，美联储也未必会不急于介入。在去年8月的一次讲话中，鲍威尔表示，美联储在过去犯了太多的错误，他愿意在收紧之前，让价格在一段适度的时间内超过央行2%的目标。\n不过，美联储最近一次会议的纪要显示，人们对讨论缩减债券购买规模的兴趣有所增加。美联储目前每月购买价值1200亿美元的债券，但短期加息可能仍需数年时间。\nING策略师认为尽管美联储预计在7月份的会议上不会改变政策，但市场可能会听到更多有关6月份开始的缩减购债讨论的消息。在8月份的杰克逊霍尔(Jackson 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