核心观点春节假期期间全球风险资产较节前略有回暖,但流动性指标的“喜忧参半”预示着资产价格波动依然较大。预计实际美债利率未来震荡上行至0附近,其对高估值板块依然是主要风险之一。本轮疫情外部冲击下的全球经济周期与以往周期不太可比,未来美联储紧缩预期的回摆幅度可能相对有限。因此,整体配置上,我们仍建议以防御为上,等待3月多项CPI数据和欧美央行货币政策细节落地。摘要春节假期期间全球风险资产较节前略有回暖...
Source LinkCS宏观研究2022-02-06
核心观点春节假期期间全球风险资产较节前略有回暖,但流动性指标的“喜忧参半”预示着资产价格波动依然较大。预计实际美债利率未来震荡上行至0附近,其对高估值板块依然是主要风险之一。本轮疫情外部冲击下的全球经济周期与以往周期不太可比,未来美联储紧缩预期的回摆幅度可能相对有限。因此,整体配置上,我们仍建议以防御为上,等待3月多项CPI数据和欧美央行货币政策细节落地。摘要春节假期期间全球风险资产较节前略有回暖...
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