Will Tesla Stock Pop or Drop in 2025?

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Will Tesla Stock Pop or Drop in 2025?

Motley Fool12-23 11:57

Tesla stock has more than doubled in just the last two months.The underlying business is still struggling, but investors see a number of positive catalysts on the horizon.The stock now trades at a sky...

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WolfMyFren
·12-23 20:28
Rise , tesla more than the a EV company. Only idiots think otherwise
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neo26000
·12-23 13:42
Drop.[Cool]
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Additionally, electric vehicle sales growth has slowed as momentum in the sector seems to be plateauing now that early adopters have already purchased an EV, and EV stocks have struggled in general this year.Through Oct. 23, the stock was down 14% year to date, underperforming the S&P 500, which had gained 21%, by a wide margin, as the chart below shows.TSLA data by YChartsHowever, since then, the stock has been on fire. The company first impressed investors with its third-quarter earnings report, which showed strong profit growth, and CEO Elon Musk predicted that vehicle production would increase by 20% to 30% in 2025, a significant improvement from flat growth in 2024.Then, Tesla soared following the election as Musk's big bet on Trump seemed to pay off. Investors seem to be hopeful that the Trump administration will make it easier for Tesla to roll out its new Cybercab, also known as the robotaxi. Tesla is also planning to launch an affordably priced Model Q at under $30,000 in the first half of 2025. As you can see from the chart below, through Dec. 17, the stock is up a whopping 125% in less than two months.TSLA data by YChartsAs you can see, Tesla is bringing a lot of momentum in the new year. So, will the stock keep gaining, or is it destined for a pullback? Here are a few things to watch.Image source: Tesla.High expectations are now baked inTesla stock was already expensive before its recent rally, but its valuation now seems to have fully detached from the underlying business. The stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 200, which is much more expensive than any of its \"Magnificent Seven\" peers, none of which trade at a P/E above 51.At that price, it will be difficult for Tesla to meet expectations as a carmaker alone, as the company is already selling nearly 2 million vehicles a year. Those high expectations seemed to be based on Musk's own predictions for the company's autonomous vehicle business, as he said that Tesla would be the most valuable company in the world if its robotaxi marketplace takes off. Considering that the Cybercab hasn't yet gone into production and that there are regulatory hurdles for the company to overcome, it's certainly not guaranteed that its driverless cars will replace Uber as Musk has envisioned.How much help will Trump really be?Tesla stock has nearly doubled since the election, and Musk's chummy relationship with Trump is a major reason why. Musk spent hundreds of millions of dollars on Trump's campaign and appeared on stage with him several times. He's also been tapped to run the new Department of Government Efficiency, in charge of ferreting out government waste.However, Musk and Trump are unlikely bedfellows in some ways. First, Trump is known to support fossil fuels over green energy, and his administration has already indicated that it will eliminate the $7,500 EV tax credit. Musk has downplayed the effect of such a move, saying it's much worse for EV start-ups than it is for Tesla, but it's likely to shift some demand for EVs back to traditional combustion vehicles for price-sensitive consumers, which would be a negative for Tesla.The real opportunity for the EV maker is in autonomy, and the Trump administration has also indicated that it would ease rules around self-driving cars and establish a national standard, making it easier for Tesla to roll out the Cybercab, which does not have a steering wheel.However, safety will be the ultimate test of any autonomous vehicle, and if the cars are allowed on the road before they're ready, it could be a disaster for both Tesla and the Trump administration.Is Tesla a buy for 2025?Tesla is one of the more unpredictable companies, and its stock is notoriously volatile.However, it's entering the new year essentially priced for perfection at the current valuation. Autonomy is unlikely to have an impact as the company isn't planning on producing the Cybercab in 2026, though signs of progress could give the stock a boost.Instead, investor attention will be on the core business, the Model Q vehicle, and whether the Trump administration will be able to help the company in a material way.With Tesla already trading at a market cap of $1.5 trillion and a P/E ratio of 200, the stock seems more likely to underperform than not next year, despite the current investor enthusiasm.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0},"commentList":[{"id":384684035973592,"gmtCreate":1734956919830,"gmtModify":1734958707733,"author":{"id":"3557891754083819","authorId":"3557891754083819","name":"WolfMyFren","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c997f2483bc522379c036e25e760fe0","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3557891754083819","authorIdStr":"3557891754083819"},"htmlText":"Rise , tesla more than the a EV company. Only idiots think otherwise&nbsp;","listText":"Rise , tesla more than the a EV company. Only idiots think otherwise&nbsp;","text":"Rise , tesla more than the a EV company. Only idiots think otherwise","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/384684035973592","repostId":2493262841,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2493262841","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1734926232,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2493262841?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-12-23 11:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Tesla Stock Pop or Drop in 2025?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2493262841","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla stock has nearly doubled since the election, and Musk's chummy relationship with Trump is a major reason why. Musk spent hundreds of millions of dollars on Trump's campaign and appeared on stage with him several times. He's also been tapped to run th","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Tesla stock has more than doubled in just the last two months.</p></li><li><p>The underlying business is still struggling, but investors see a number of positive catalysts on the horizon.</p></li><li><p>The stock now trades at a sky-high P/E ratio of 200.</p></li></ul><p><strong>Tesla</strong> has been one of the biggest surprises of 2024.</p><p>The stock lagged the market for much of the year as the company reported disappointing quarterly results, including sluggish growth and falling profits. Additionally, electric vehicle sales growth has slowed as momentum in the sector seems to be plateauing now that early adopters have already purchased an EV, and EV stocks have struggled in general this year.</p><p>Through Oct. 23, the stock was down 14% year to date, underperforming the <strong>S&amp;P 500</strong>, which had gained 21%, by a wide margin, as the chart below shows.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b57e7c4c5de1b241aba67e1034d89d3c\" alt=\"TSLA data by YCharts\" title=\"TSLA data by YCharts\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"456\"/><span>TSLA data by YCharts</span></p><p>However, since then, the stock has been on fire. The company first impressed investors with its third-quarter earnings report, which showed strong profit growth, and CEO Elon Musk predicted that vehicle production would increase by 20% to 30% in 2025, a significant improvement from flat growth in 2024.</p><p>Then, Tesla soared following the election as Musk&#39;s big bet on Trump seemed to pay off. Investors seem to be hopeful that the Trump administration will make it easier for Tesla to roll out its new Cybercab, also known as the robotaxi. Tesla is also planning to launch an affordably priced Model Q at under $30,000 in the first half of 2025. As you can see from the chart below, through Dec. 17, the stock is up a whopping 125% in less than two months.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4ae1bef9a19091899c9504ab489106b7\" alt=\"TSLA data by YCharts\" title=\"TSLA data by YCharts\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"456\"/><span>TSLA data by YCharts</span></p><p>As you can see, Tesla is bringing a lot of momentum in the new year. So, will the stock keep gaining, or is it destined for a pullback? Here are a few things to watch.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6e1f183d2da6094a52c83e265bc1f2be\" alt=\"Image source: Tesla.\" title=\"Image source: Tesla.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"/><span>Image source: Tesla.</span></p><h2 id=\"id_313353489\">High expectations are now baked in</h2><p>Tesla stock was already expensive before its recent rally, but its valuation now seems to have fully detached from the underlying business. The stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 200, which is much more expensive than any of its &#34;Magnificent Seven&#34; peers, none of which trade at a P/E above 51.</p><p>At that price, it will be difficult for Tesla to meet expectations as a carmaker alone, as the company is already selling nearly 2 million vehicles a year. Those high expectations seemed to be based on Musk&#39;s own predictions for the company&#39;s autonomous vehicle business, as he said that Tesla would be the most valuable company in the world if its robotaxi marketplace takes off. Considering that the Cybercab hasn&#39;t yet gone into production and that there are regulatory hurdles for the company to overcome, it&#39;s certainly not guaranteed that its driverless cars will replace <strong>Uber</strong> as Musk has envisioned.</p><h2 id=\"id_3145429089\">How much help will Trump really be?</h2><p>Tesla stock has nearly doubled since the election, and Musk&#39;s chummy relationship with Trump is a major reason why. Musk spent hundreds of millions of dollars on Trump&#39;s campaign and appeared on stage with him several times. He&#39;s also been tapped to run the new Department of Government Efficiency, in charge of ferreting out government waste.</p><p>However, Musk and Trump are unlikely bedfellows in some ways. First, Trump is known to support fossil fuels over green energy, and his administration has already indicated that it will eliminate the $7,500 EV tax credit. Musk has downplayed the effect of such a move, saying it&#39;s much worse for EV start-ups than it is for Tesla, but it&#39;s likely to shift some demand for EVs back to traditional combustion vehicles for price-sensitive consumers, which would be a negative for Tesla.</p><p>The real opportunity for the EV maker is in autonomy, and the Trump administration has also indicated that it would ease rules around self-driving cars and establish a national standard, making it easier for Tesla to roll out the Cybercab, which does not have a steering wheel.</p><p>However, safety will be the ultimate test of any autonomous vehicle, and if the cars are allowed on the road before they&#39;re ready, it could be a disaster for both Tesla and the Trump administration.</p><h2 id=\"id_152590145\">Is Tesla a buy for 2025?</h2><p>Tesla is one of the more unpredictable companies, and its stock is notoriously volatile.</p><p>However, it&#39;s entering the new year essentially priced for perfection at the current valuation. Autonomy is unlikely to have an impact as the company isn&#39;t planning on producing the Cybercab in 2026, though signs of progress could give the stock a boost.</p><p>Instead, investor attention will be on the core business, the Model Q vehicle, and whether the Trump administration will be able to help the company in a material way.</p><p>With Tesla already trading at a market cap of $1.5 trillion and a P/E ratio of 200, the stock seems more likely to underperform than not next year, despite the current investor enthusiasm.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Tesla Stock Pop or Drop in 2025?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Tesla Stock Pop or Drop in 2025?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-12-23 11:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/21/will-tesla-stock-pop-or-drop-in-2025/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla stock has more than doubled in just the last two months.The underlying business is still struggling, but investors see a number of positive catalysts on the horizon.The stock now trades at a sky...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/21/will-tesla-stock-pop-or-drop-in-2025/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","SG9999015945.SGD":"LionGlobal Disruptive Innovation Fund A SGD","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","LU1145028129.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AQ\" (USD) INC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","IE00BK4W5M84.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (HKD) ACC","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","BK4516":"特朗普概念","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4555":"新能源车","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/21/will-tesla-stock-pop-or-drop-in-2025/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2493262841","content_text":"Tesla stock has more than doubled in just the last two months.The underlying business is still struggling, but investors see a number of positive catalysts on the horizon.The stock now trades at a sky-high P/E ratio of 200.Tesla has been one of the biggest surprises of 2024.The stock lagged the market for much of the year as the company reported disappointing quarterly results, including sluggish growth and falling profits. Additionally, electric vehicle sales growth has slowed as momentum in the sector seems to be plateauing now that early adopters have already purchased an EV, and EV stocks have struggled in general this year.Through Oct. 23, the stock was down 14% year to date, underperforming the S&P 500, which had gained 21%, by a wide margin, as the chart below shows.TSLA data by YChartsHowever, since then, the stock has been on fire. The company first impressed investors with its third-quarter earnings report, which showed strong profit growth, and CEO Elon Musk predicted that vehicle production would increase by 20% to 30% in 2025, a significant improvement from flat growth in 2024.Then, Tesla soared following the election as Musk's big bet on Trump seemed to pay off. Investors seem to be hopeful that the Trump administration will make it easier for Tesla to roll out its new Cybercab, also known as the robotaxi. Tesla is also planning to launch an affordably priced Model Q at under $30,000 in the first half of 2025. As you can see from the chart below, through Dec. 17, the stock is up a whopping 125% in less than two months.TSLA data by YChartsAs you can see, Tesla is bringing a lot of momentum in the new year. So, will the stock keep gaining, or is it destined for a pullback? Here are a few things to watch.Image source: Tesla.High expectations are now baked inTesla stock was already expensive before its recent rally, but its valuation now seems to have fully detached from the underlying business. The stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 200, which is much more expensive than any of its \"Magnificent Seven\" peers, none of which trade at a P/E above 51.At that price, it will be difficult for Tesla to meet expectations as a carmaker alone, as the company is already selling nearly 2 million vehicles a year. Those high expectations seemed to be based on Musk's own predictions for the company's autonomous vehicle business, as he said that Tesla would be the most valuable company in the world if its robotaxi marketplace takes off. Considering that the Cybercab hasn't yet gone into production and that there are regulatory hurdles for the company to overcome, it's certainly not guaranteed that its driverless cars will replace Uber as Musk has envisioned.How much help will Trump really be?Tesla stock has nearly doubled since the election, and Musk's chummy relationship with Trump is a major reason why. Musk spent hundreds of millions of dollars on Trump's campaign and appeared on stage with him several times. He's also been tapped to run the new Department of Government Efficiency, in charge of ferreting out government waste.However, Musk and Trump are unlikely bedfellows in some ways. First, Trump is known to support fossil fuels over green energy, and his administration has already indicated that it will eliminate the $7,500 EV tax credit. Musk has downplayed the effect of such a move, saying it's much worse for EV start-ups than it is for Tesla, but it's likely to shift some demand for EVs back to traditional combustion vehicles for price-sensitive consumers, which would be a negative for Tesla.The real opportunity for the EV maker is in autonomy, and the Trump administration has also indicated that it would ease rules around self-driving cars and establish a national standard, making it easier for Tesla to roll out the Cybercab, which does not have a steering wheel.However, safety will be the ultimate test of any autonomous vehicle, and if the cars are allowed on the road before they're ready, it could be a disaster for both Tesla and the Trump administration.Is Tesla a buy for 2025?Tesla is one of the more unpredictable companies, and its stock is notoriously volatile.However, it's entering the new year essentially priced for perfection at the current valuation. Autonomy is unlikely to have an impact as the company isn't planning on producing the Cybercab in 2026, though signs of progress could give the stock a boost.Instead, investor attention will be on the core business, the Model Q vehicle, and whether the Trump administration will be able to help the company in a material way.With Tesla already trading at a market cap of $1.5 trillion and a P/E ratio of 200, the stock seems more likely to underperform than not next year, despite the current investor enthusiasm.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":384633196372256,"gmtCreate":1734932569476,"gmtModify":1734932573284,"author":{"id":"4131703342800552","authorId":"4131703342800552","name":"neo26000","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/11d50ec0d6202770a8629aa7f06a5d4f","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c5ceab71416b120bab4604c0754b52a","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4131703342800552","authorIdStr":"4131703342800552"},"htmlText":"Drop.[Cool]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"Drop.[Cool]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"Drop.[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/384633196372256","repostId":2493262841,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2493262841","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1734926232,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2493262841?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-12-23 11:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Tesla Stock Pop or Drop in 2025?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2493262841","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla stock has nearly doubled since the election, and Musk's chummy relationship with Trump is a major reason why. Musk spent hundreds of millions of dollars on Trump's campaign and appeared on stage with him several times. He's also been tapped to run th","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Tesla stock has more than doubled in just the last two months.</p></li><li><p>The underlying business is still struggling, but investors see a number of positive catalysts on the horizon.</p></li><li><p>The stock now trades at a sky-high P/E ratio of 200.</p></li></ul><p><strong>Tesla</strong> has been one of the biggest surprises of 2024.</p><p>The stock lagged the market for much of the year as the company reported disappointing quarterly results, including sluggish growth and falling profits. Additionally, electric vehicle sales growth has slowed as momentum in the sector seems to be plateauing now that early adopters have already purchased an EV, and EV stocks have struggled in general this year.</p><p>Through Oct. 23, the stock was down 14% year to date, underperforming the <strong>S&amp;P 500</strong>, which had gained 21%, by a wide margin, as the chart below shows.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b57e7c4c5de1b241aba67e1034d89d3c\" alt=\"TSLA data by YCharts\" title=\"TSLA data by YCharts\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"456\"/><span>TSLA data by YCharts</span></p><p>However, since then, the stock has been on fire. The company first impressed investors with its third-quarter earnings report, which showed strong profit growth, and CEO Elon Musk predicted that vehicle production would increase by 20% to 30% in 2025, a significant improvement from flat growth in 2024.</p><p>Then, Tesla soared following the election as Musk&#39;s big bet on Trump seemed to pay off. Investors seem to be hopeful that the Trump administration will make it easier for Tesla to roll out its new Cybercab, also known as the robotaxi. Tesla is also planning to launch an affordably priced Model Q at under $30,000 in the first half of 2025. As you can see from the chart below, through Dec. 17, the stock is up a whopping 125% in less than two months.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4ae1bef9a19091899c9504ab489106b7\" alt=\"TSLA data by YCharts\" title=\"TSLA data by YCharts\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"456\"/><span>TSLA data by YCharts</span></p><p>As you can see, Tesla is bringing a lot of momentum in the new year. So, will the stock keep gaining, or is it destined for a pullback? Here are a few things to watch.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6e1f183d2da6094a52c83e265bc1f2be\" alt=\"Image source: Tesla.\" title=\"Image source: Tesla.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"/><span>Image source: Tesla.</span></p><h2 id=\"id_313353489\">High expectations are now baked in</h2><p>Tesla stock was already expensive before its recent rally, but its valuation now seems to have fully detached from the underlying business. The stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 200, which is much more expensive than any of its &#34;Magnificent Seven&#34; peers, none of which trade at a P/E above 51.</p><p>At that price, it will be difficult for Tesla to meet expectations as a carmaker alone, as the company is already selling nearly 2 million vehicles a year. Those high expectations seemed to be based on Musk&#39;s own predictions for the company&#39;s autonomous vehicle business, as he said that Tesla would be the most valuable company in the world if its robotaxi marketplace takes off. Considering that the Cybercab hasn&#39;t yet gone into production and that there are regulatory hurdles for the company to overcome, it&#39;s certainly not guaranteed that its driverless cars will replace <strong>Uber</strong> as Musk has envisioned.</p><h2 id=\"id_3145429089\">How much help will Trump really be?</h2><p>Tesla stock has nearly doubled since the election, and Musk&#39;s chummy relationship with Trump is a major reason why. Musk spent hundreds of millions of dollars on Trump&#39;s campaign and appeared on stage with him several times. He&#39;s also been tapped to run the new Department of Government Efficiency, in charge of ferreting out government waste.</p><p>However, Musk and Trump are unlikely bedfellows in some ways. First, Trump is known to support fossil fuels over green energy, and his administration has already indicated that it will eliminate the $7,500 EV tax credit. Musk has downplayed the effect of such a move, saying it&#39;s much worse for EV start-ups than it is for Tesla, but it&#39;s likely to shift some demand for EVs back to traditional combustion vehicles for price-sensitive consumers, which would be a negative for Tesla.</p><p>The real opportunity for the EV maker is in autonomy, and the Trump administration has also indicated that it would ease rules around self-driving cars and establish a national standard, making it easier for Tesla to roll out the Cybercab, which does not have a steering wheel.</p><p>However, safety will be the ultimate test of any autonomous vehicle, and if the cars are allowed on the road before they&#39;re ready, it could be a disaster for both Tesla and the Trump administration.</p><h2 id=\"id_152590145\">Is Tesla a buy for 2025?</h2><p>Tesla is one of the more unpredictable companies, and its stock is notoriously volatile.</p><p>However, it&#39;s entering the new year essentially priced for perfection at the current valuation. Autonomy is unlikely to have an impact as the company isn&#39;t planning on producing the Cybercab in 2026, though signs of progress could give the stock a boost.</p><p>Instead, investor attention will be on the core business, the Model Q vehicle, and whether the Trump administration will be able to help the company in a material way.</p><p>With Tesla already trading at a market cap of $1.5 trillion and a P/E ratio of 200, the stock seems more likely to underperform than not next year, despite the current investor enthusiasm.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Tesla Stock Pop or Drop in 2025?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Tesla Stock Pop or Drop in 2025?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-12-23 11:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/21/will-tesla-stock-pop-or-drop-in-2025/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla stock has more than doubled in just the last two months.The underlying business is still struggling, but investors see a number of positive catalysts on the horizon.The stock now trades at a sky...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/21/will-tesla-stock-pop-or-drop-in-2025/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","SG9999015945.SGD":"LionGlobal Disruptive Innovation Fund A SGD","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","LU1145028129.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AQ\" (USD) INC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","IE00BK4W5M84.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (HKD) ACC","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","BK4516":"特朗普概念","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4555":"新能源车","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/21/will-tesla-stock-pop-or-drop-in-2025/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2493262841","content_text":"Tesla stock has more than doubled in just the last two months.The underlying business is still struggling, but investors see a number of positive catalysts on the horizon.The stock now trades at a sky-high P/E ratio of 200.Tesla has been one of the biggest surprises of 2024.The stock lagged the market for much of the year as the company reported disappointing quarterly results, including sluggish growth and falling profits. Additionally, electric vehicle sales growth has slowed as momentum in the sector seems to be plateauing now that early adopters have already purchased an EV, and EV stocks have struggled in general this year.Through Oct. 23, the stock was down 14% year to date, underperforming the S&P 500, which had gained 21%, by a wide margin, as the chart below shows.TSLA data by YChartsHowever, since then, the stock has been on fire. The company first impressed investors with its third-quarter earnings report, which showed strong profit growth, and CEO Elon Musk predicted that vehicle production would increase by 20% to 30% in 2025, a significant improvement from flat growth in 2024.Then, Tesla soared following the election as Musk's big bet on Trump seemed to pay off. Investors seem to be hopeful that the Trump administration will make it easier for Tesla to roll out its new Cybercab, also known as the robotaxi. Tesla is also planning to launch an affordably priced Model Q at under $30,000 in the first half of 2025. As you can see from the chart below, through Dec. 17, the stock is up a whopping 125% in less than two months.TSLA data by YChartsAs you can see, Tesla is bringing a lot of momentum in the new year. So, will the stock keep gaining, or is it destined for a pullback? Here are a few things to watch.Image source: Tesla.High expectations are now baked inTesla stock was already expensive before its recent rally, but its valuation now seems to have fully detached from the underlying business. The stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 200, which is much more expensive than any of its \"Magnificent Seven\" peers, none of which trade at a P/E above 51.At that price, it will be difficult for Tesla to meet expectations as a carmaker alone, as the company is already selling nearly 2 million vehicles a year. Those high expectations seemed to be based on Musk's own predictions for the company's autonomous vehicle business, as he said that Tesla would be the most valuable company in the world if its robotaxi marketplace takes off. Considering that the Cybercab hasn't yet gone into production and that there are regulatory hurdles for the company to overcome, it's certainly not guaranteed that its driverless cars will replace Uber as Musk has envisioned.How much help will Trump really be?Tesla stock has nearly doubled since the election, and Musk's chummy relationship with Trump is a major reason why. Musk spent hundreds of millions of dollars on Trump's campaign and appeared on stage with him several times. He's also been tapped to run the new Department of Government Efficiency, in charge of ferreting out government waste.However, Musk and Trump are unlikely bedfellows in some ways. First, Trump is known to support fossil fuels over green energy, and his administration has already indicated that it will eliminate the $7,500 EV tax credit. Musk has downplayed the effect of such a move, saying it's much worse for EV start-ups than it is for Tesla, but it's likely to shift some demand for EVs back to traditional combustion vehicles for price-sensitive consumers, which would be a negative for Tesla.The real opportunity for the EV maker is in autonomy, and the Trump administration has also indicated that it would ease rules around self-driving cars and establish a national standard, making it easier for Tesla to roll out the Cybercab, which does not have a steering wheel.However, safety will be the ultimate test of any autonomous vehicle, and if the cars are allowed on the road before they're ready, it could be a disaster for both Tesla and the Trump administration.Is Tesla a buy for 2025?Tesla is one of the more unpredictable companies, and its stock is notoriously volatile.However, it's entering the new year essentially priced for perfection at the current valuation. Autonomy is unlikely to have an impact as the company isn't planning on producing the Cybercab in 2026, though signs of progress could give the stock a boost.Instead, investor attention will be on the core business, the Model Q vehicle, and whether the Trump administration will be able to help the company in a material way.With Tesla already trading at a market cap of $1.5 trillion and a P/E ratio of 200, the stock seems more likely to underperform than not next year, despite the current investor enthusiasm.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":13,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}