Dair Sansyzbayev

    • Dair SansyzbayevDair Sansyzbayev
      ·11-06

      SCHG: In America We Trust

      The Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF is a compelling opportunity due to its focus on the largest U.S. corporations with intact fundamentals. AI is a global megatrend, expected to reach $1.8 trillion by 2030. U.S. companies like Nvidia, Broadcom, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Tesla lead in processors, cloud infrastructure, and the real world. The ETF's 50% exposure to the Technology sector and strong performance history make it superior to peers and the S&P 500 Index. Despite potential market volatility and geopolitical 
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      SCHG: In America We Trust
    • Dair SansyzbayevDair Sansyzbayev
      ·11-06

      Celestica: The Unsung AI Champion

      Celestica's stock has surged 50% in three months, driven by AI and data center tailwinds. Recent earnings report showed over 20% YoY revenue growth for three consecutive quarters, with record adjusted EPS of $1.04. The company's CCS segment, benefiting from data center investments, saw 42% YoY revenue growth, enhancing profitability and free cash flow. Despite a 191% stock rally in the past year, Celestica's valuation remains attractive, with a DCF model indicating a 141% upside potential. JHVEPhoto Investment thesis My previous bullish thesis about Celestica's stock (NYSE:CLS) aged extremely well as the stock gained 50% over the la
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      Celestica: The Unsung AI Champion
    • Dair SansyzbayevDair Sansyzbayev
      ·11-05

      Albemarle: Navigating Stormy Seas With Limited Visibility

      Albemarle Corporation's stock remains a “Sell” due to declining revenue, profitability issues, and significant overvaluation despite a 17% price drop since January. Lithium prices have halved over the past year, leading to an oversupply and negative sentiment for Albemarle's upcoming earnings release on November 6. Valuation models [DDM and DCF] indicate substantial downside potential, with DDM suggesting a fair value of $35.24 per share, far below the current price. Just_Super Investment thesis My initial bearish thesis about Albemarle Corporation (NYSE:ALB) aged well, as the stock became cheaper by around 17% since late January
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      Albemarle: Navigating Stormy Seas With Limited Visibility
    • Dair SansyzbayevDair Sansyzbayev
      ·11-04

      Altria: A Prime Pick For Value Seekers

      Altria Group, Inc.'s strong financial performance, new product traction, and compelling valuation support a “Strong Buy” rating, with a safe 7.6% forward dividend yield. Recent earnings showed positive revenue and EPS surprises, with NJOY and on! nicotine pouches demonstrating significant growth and consumer satisfaction. The “Optimize & Accelerate” initiative aims to streamline operations and achieve $600 million in cost savings, reinforcing Altria's robust fundamentals. Despite Wall Street's cautious stance, Altria remains attractively valued with substantial upside potential, even under conservative discount rate assumptions. BalkansCat Investment thesis My previous bullish thesis
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      Altria: A Prime Pick For Value Seekers
    • Dair SansyzbayevDair Sansyzbayev
      ·11-03

      PayPal: New Products Driving The Profitability Agenda

      PayPal's current stock price does not reflect its true market potential, offering investors a rare chance to capitalize on its undervaluation. The company's strategic focus on launching innovative products and initiatives is set to drive substantial profitability growth. With its strong market position and forward-thinking strategies, PayPal is poised for significant upside, making it an attractive investment opportunity. Michael Vi Investment thesis My previous bullish thesis about PayPal's (NASDAQ:PYPL) stock aged well, as the stock rallied by more than 21% since August. The company recently released its Q3 2024 earnings, which I have ana
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      PayPal: New Products Driving The Profitability Agenda
    • Dair SansyzbayevDair Sansyzbayev
      ·09-21

      Broadcom: More Growth Ahead

      Summary Easing monetary policy and significant investments in data centers from major players like BlackRock, Microsoft, and Nvidia position Broadcom to benefit from AI infrastructure demand. Stellar recent financial performance, coupled with a strong full-year AI revenue guidance boost, suggests that the integration of VMware is progressing well. AVGO's valuation is attractive compared to peers, with a fair value estimated at $865 billion. G0d4ather Investment thesis My previous bullish thesis about Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) aged extremely well as the stock delivered a 27% return since early June. To add context, the S&P 500 grew by 8%
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      Broadcom: More Growth Ahead
    • Dair SansyzbayevDair Sansyzbayev
      ·09-18

      Nvidia: Time To Load Up

      Summary The market might not be ready enough to see a $4 trillion market cap company, but a mix of bullish catalysts makes NVDA well-prepared to break through the $3 trillion level. Valuation analysis reveals Nvidia is attractively valued with a fair capitalization near $5 trillion, offering substantial upside even with conservative growth estimates. Nvidia is miles ahead of its closest rivals in terms of capturing AI tailwinds which we can see from its immense pricing power and unparalleled financial position. Nvidia's Q2 earnings showed 122% YoY revenue growth, highlighting its ability to capitalize on AI industry tailwinds, unlike AMD and Intel. Antonio Bordunovi Investment thesis My pr
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      Nvidia: Time To Load Up
    • Dair SansyzbayevDair Sansyzbayev
      ·09-17

      Apple: Brand Power As The Only Growth Driver

      Summary Without delving into the details, Apple's financial performance may appear solid, with consistent improvements in profitability. However, the company's brand power remains its sole growth driver, as it secures pricing power in its Services segment. Meanwhile, in FY 2024 so far, the Products segment has shown a decline across all categories, and the company's latest innovative product represents a significant strategic misstep. Despite Apple's high profitability, the stock is overvalued with a fair value around $2.3 trillion, significantly lower than its current market cap. PhillDanze Investment thesis My previous bearish thesis about Apple's stock (NASDAQ:
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      Apple: Brand Power As The Only Growth Driver
    • Dair SansyzbayevDair Sansyzbayev
      ·09-13

      Medical Properties Trust: Catalysts In Motion

      Summary MPW remains a "Strong Buy" for risk-tolerant investors with its attractive 6.6% dividend yield and compelling valuation. Positive developments around Steward and the expected Fed policy pivot are strong catalysts for MPW's growth and market sentiment. Despite recent challenges, MPW's balance sheet has improved, with net debt decreasing significantly, and the fair share price estimated to be 22% higher. MPW's low P/B ratio suggests potential for significant upside, but the stock is best suited for high-risk, high-reward investors. Jae Young Ju/iStock via Getty Images Investment thesis My previous bullish thesis about Medical Properties Trust (NYSE:
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      Medical Properties Trust: Catalysts In Motion
    • Dair SansyzbayevDair Sansyzbayev
      ·09-12

      Super Micro Computer Stock Is Dirt Cheap Again

      Summary SMCI remains a "Strong Buy" for long-term investors despite recent volatility, offering significant potential and attractive valuation after a 49% nosedive since June. The hardware industry for generative AI is thriving, with strong technological partnerships and soaring revenue growth, positioning SMCI to capitalize on AI momentum. Despite concerns over margins, SMCI's strategic investments in infrastructure, R&D, and talent acquisition are expected to pay off, ensuring sustainable growth. Valuation ratios show SMCI as dirt cheap compared to AI peers like NVDA and AMD, with a DCF model suggesting a fair value nearly four times higher. JHVEPhoto Investment thesis My previous bullish thesis</
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      Super Micro Computer Stock Is Dirt Cheap Again
       
       
       
       

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