To The Moon

2 weeks ago analysts thought this war was about missiles. It isn’t. It’s about energy, materials, and the invisible infrastructure of AI (chips). $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ broke distribution finally after 3 months so key support levels to are at $650 now and then below that $625-$630 area for a big bounce. Oil was the first signal. Nearly 20% of global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. When conflict threatens that area, energy prices spike immediately and inflation follows. But the real danger isn’t just oil. It’s the AI supply chain. The Middle East supplies critical materials used in semiconductor manufacturing including helium used to cool chip fabrication systems. Disruptions there could slow production for companies that produce

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ distribution on break $680 and $676 rejection is confirmed. Distribution happens after a strong move up when smart money begin selling to late buyers. Price stops trending up past $697 moves sideways near the highs, forming a range between resistance $697 and support $677. Many traders believe the market is simply consolidating before another breakout, but institutions are actually selling into the buying pressure. 3 key signs of distribution: #1. Failed breakouts. Price may briefly push above resistance but quickly falls back into the range. This means buyers tried to push higher, but sellers absorbed the demand. #2. Momentum weakens. Even within the range, price struggles to make strong new highs and starts formi

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ LESSON OF THE DAY (wait for confirmation): There are 3 candles here. Only 1 is confirmation that this has reversed towards. Which one is it? It is 3. The first candle to CLOSE above the key level at 675. CANDLE close is confirmation, candle moving up and down is information about what is happening but it is not confirmation. If the CANDLE doesn't close above the the KEY LEVEL its still bearish and sellers are in control. Being patient means waiting for the close. Yes, you will get a HIGHER PRICE but the probability is higher when a candle closes especially on the BIGGER time frame like 5mins or 10min. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimit

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ crashes 5–10% in the next 30 days. 5 reasons this could happen: 1. The Iran war is dragging past 5 weeks. Markets priced in a surgical strike and a clean exit. What they are getting is an active conflict with no defined end date. Uncertainty causes chaos. 2. China and Russia are circling. Sri Lanka just allowed an Iranian Navy vessel to dock at Trincomalee one of the most strategically vital deep-water harbors in the Indian Ocean. 48 hours ago Sri Lanka was a bystander. Today it is a party. Every neutral nation that picks a side widens this war. 3. Oil is spiking and infrastructure is burning. Every $10 rise in oil adds 20 basis points to CPI. Oil is already up $15 from recent lows. When refineries, pipelines, and

THIS IS NOT NORMAL. Korea’s KOSPI nearly erased all its gains for the year in a single day. Down ~20%. Not a correction. Not profit taking. Everyone says the reason is this: • Iran tensions • Strait of Hormuz threats • Oil spiking But that’s only the surface story. Something deeper just cracked. The AI supply chain. Samsung and SK Hynix control the backbone of AI memory. → ~70% of global DRAM → ~80% of high-bandwidth memory Every AI model. Every hyperscaler buildout. Every NVDA cluster. They all depend on it. And those fabs depend on energy. Energy flowing through a 21-mile strait now under military threat. 3 shocks hit at the same time: 1️⃣ AI funding concentrated in the Middle East 2️⃣ Memory supply risk if Hormuz closes 3️⃣ Oil spike pushing inflation higher One event US and IRAN fighti

IRAN is blowing up DUBAI. This means BUY THE DIP: For every major war since 1990 the market has bounced up hard! You need to understand what the data says. August 1990. Iraq invades Kuwait. The $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ drops −16.9% over 71 days. Every headline screams sell. Every pundit says it's over. The people who sold at the bottom locked in a 16.9% loss. The people who bought at the bottom made 24.2% in under 5 months. September 11, 2001. The worst attack in American history. Markets close for 4 days. SPY drops −11.6% in a single week. The world feels like it is ending. The market bottomed on September 21st. By December it had recovered +21.2% from that low. In 10 weeks. March 2003. The U.S. invades Iraq. The market had already sold o

8 types of traders in the market. You're at least 3-4 of them too: And most traders don’t fail from lack of knowledge. They fail from lack of discipline. 1️⃣ The Overtrader • Thinks more trades = more money • Confuses activity with progress • Exhausted by 10:15am This trader equates motion with productivity. They’re glued to the screen, clicking out of boredom more than edge. Studies from broker data show that high-frequency retail traders underperform low-frequency traders by a wide margin often reducing returns by over 6% annually due to overtrading. 2️⃣ The Revenge Trader • “I’ll make it back.” • Doubles down emotionally • Learns the same lesson weekly This trader isn’t trading the market they’re trading their ego. Losses feel personal, so risk increases at the worst time. One red trade

Iran fired missiles at 5 countries at the same time. This shocks global markets. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ bleeds next week. Here’s how I’d trade it same setup, same discipline every time. This is the kind of geopolitical trigger markets use to reprice risk before FOMC on March 18. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ just posted record earnings and still sold off hard. That tells you positioning was crowded. SPY could flush below $680. If it DOES, my target is $670. Near that level I’d look at SPY calls. Panic drops often reverse fast. Headline inflation is still running around 3% year-over-year, above the Fed’s 2% target. Core services remain sticky. Unemployment rate sits near 4%, and monthly job gains have averaged

This set-up is extremely easy to spot every day. This lesson is all you need to start right away. You'll learn: What this set-up is and how to wait for confirmation How to enter and exit the trades 3 GOLDEN RULES TO REMEMBER (for new traders) First, I will explain the rules of the set-up. You always need to draw your support levels. Only enter when support is proven to hold this means buyers are winning at support. One way to know is the CANDLE needs to close above the level of support to show that bulls are in control. The longer or bigger the time frame the more confirmation it is. The more candles there is closing above the support level the more confirmation and higher probability it will hold. Most new traders are not waiting for confirmation to get in. They are getting in because the

Every stage for a millionaire trader: Stage 1 – The Gambler Right now you’re trading outcomes, not structure. Your decisions are emotional, inconsistent, and heavily influenced by P&L. There’s no stable process yet just reactions. To move to Stage 2 (The Student): commit to one market, one setup, and journal every trade. Your goal is to replace chaos with structure. Stage 2 – The Student You’re learning aggressively, but execution is inconsistent. You believe more knowledge will fix the problem it won’t. The issue isn’t information anymore, it’s application. To move to Stage 3 (The Emotional Trader): stop adding strategies and master one setup. Track execution quality, not profits. Stage 3 – The Emotional Trader You know what you should do, but you don’t always do it. Discipline breaks