Michael Esther

    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·04-18 09:40

      SPY Seasonal Cycle Signals Mid-Year Weakness Amid Macro Pressure

      This is 99-year seasonality $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ across the 4-year presidential cycle: This is where you are: 1. Typical pattern:Election year → modest uptrend 2. Post-election → volatility/drawdowns 3. Mid-cycle → weakness / chop (you are here) 4. Pre-election → strong rally This chart shows the peak around April then weakness into Septemer. Then massive rally into pre-election year Here's 4 critical things to pay attention to (if the SPY sells off badly): 1. Rates aren’t coming down and that’s a problem The market rallied on the idea of cuts. 2. Inflation is re-accelerating at the worst time We were trending toward 2%… Now back above 3%. This traps the Fed. They can’t cut. 3. Oil + war = earnings compression If oil keeps pushing high
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      SPY Seasonal Cycle Signals Mid-Year Weakness Amid Macro Pressure
    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·04-18 09:38

      Market Melt-Up Then Selloff? Top 20 Stocks for the Next Dip

      $730 is $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ target right now, but after it will crash 20% says Tom Lee to $580. When ON SALE, I'd add these 20 stocks: 1. $IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ – Quantum computing leader with massive asymmetric upside Buy zone: $20–25 = early-stage value accumulation 2. $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ – Cheap energy + AI compute = powerful margin expansion Buy zone: $25–30 = strong support + cost advantage 3. $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ – Space-based telecom disruptor with global scalability potential Buy zone: $65–70 = high conviction accumulation 4. $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ – AI da
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      Market Melt-Up Then Selloff? Top 20 Stocks for the Next Dip
    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·04-18 09:33

      SPY Breaks Out of Pin, Eyes 710 as Gamma Structure Shifts

      $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ is now at 706 and positioning has shifted from pin to expansion. Here’s the clean read. Net GEX is +10.60B. Still positive, still long gamma, but no longer extreme. This allows price to move with direction instead of being stuck. 707–708 is now the dominant zone. You can see heavy positive GEX stacking here. This becomes your new magnet and control area. Below, 700–702 is your key support band. You can clearly see negative GEX sitting under price. If this breaks, moves can accelerate lower toward 697. Above, 710 is the next level building. Strong positioning there means if momentum continues, price can push quickly into that zone. 3 scenarios: Most likely: slight bullish continuation, range between 705–708 with upw
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      SPY Breaks Out of Pin, Eyes 710 as Gamma Structure Shifts
    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·04-16 08:15

      From AI to Energy: Why TSLA Could Be Undervalued at $330–$350

      $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ For small accounts add TSLL close to $10. And options for June 2026 $400 calls strike. Why it could run: • AI > EVs Robotaxi + FSD could be worth more than the car business • Energy breakout AI/data centers driving massive demand for storage • Bearish sentiment expectations are low (fuel for upside) • Unmatched optionality AI, robots, energy, software in one ticker Buy zone: $330-$350 Add on fear pullbacks + key support retests not strength TSLA 1st time breaking downtrend since its highs $498.83. Expect a retest back at $360 then explosion to $500+ In 2 hours, TSLA calls spiked 5000%-10,000% 4 easy plays to practice for SPY at $700: 1. Dip buys at support ( $Apple(AAPL)$ ) 2. Open
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      From AI to Energy: Why TSLA Could Be Undervalued at $330–$350
    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·04-15

      $SPY US-Iran Narrative: From Breakdown Risk to Rebound Targets

      $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ US-IRAN (trading) analysis for 2026: 1. Explained as soon as 20SMA crosses below 50SMA (a sell off would trigger) 10 days before war. 2. Distribution was forming and key level breakdown and RETEST for confirmation was $680 towards $630 and possibly $620. 3. Pointed out $630-$635 would be a super strong level of buyer and institutional demand to add. 4. Alerted to everyone on March 31 to start going long and BOTTOM of SPY would be EARLY APRIL. 5. Gave key levels for SPY charting and direction of market based on US-IRAN narrative. 6. Shared last week with everyone target for this week is $690 and we'd be bullish too.
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      $SPY US-Iran Narrative: From Breakdown Risk to Rebound Targets
    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·04-15

      $BE $ASTS $IONQ $IREN Setup for Next 500%–1000% Moves

      1 year ago, SNDK ran from $30 to $945 for 900% Here's 4 set-ups with exact 500%-1000% potential: 1. $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ -AI data centers = massive power demand → BE solves energy reliability -Hydrogen + clean baseload = secular tailwind - If margins flip + profitability hits → multiple expansion explodes Buy zone: $120–130 = demand zone / prior base 2. $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ - First real space-based cellular broadband (not hype anymore) - Partnerships with AT&T / Vodafone = distribution solved - If they prove scale → becomes global telecom infra layer Buy zone: $70–80 = high conviction accumulation 3. $IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ - Pure-play quantum computing (
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      $BE $ASTS $IONQ $IREN Setup for Next 500%–1000% Moves
    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·04-13

      $SPY 5 Make-or-Break Zones for This Week

      $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 5 critical levels that decide EVERYTHING this week. Here’s what matters: 1. $690–697 (Institutional Resistance) If we get escalation (military response / Hormuz stays closed), this level likely rejects hard. Only a de-escalation headline gets us acceptance above → squeeze to new highs. 2. $675 (50SMA) This is the battleground. War uncertainty = chop below. Diplomacy signals = reclaim → bulls regain control. 3. $665 (200SMA) Last line for trend structure. If war escalates + oil spikes → lose this = trend flips bearish fast. Hold this = market still pricing this as temporary. 4. $660 Gap (Exhaustion vs Breakaway) This gap tells the truth: • Escalation → gap becomes breakaway down (continuation lower) • Peace → gap be
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      $SPY 5 Make-or-Break Zones for This Week
    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·04-11

      3 Reasons Behind the $MSFT Pre-Earnings Accumulation

      Josh Gottheimer buying LARGE AMOUNT of $Microsoft(MSFT)$ shares before earnings on April 29. 3 Reasons why: 1. Bullish on AI/cloud growth: MSFT's strong financials (16.4% revenue growth, 19 years of dividends) and analyst consensus ("Moderate Buy," $589 target) signal upside. 2. Past expertise: Gottheimer was Microsoft's General Manager of Advertising & Strategy, giving him deep insight into its potential. 3. Strategic bets like TikTok: He's pushed TikTok bans/sales, positioning MSFT (in acquisition talks) for gains. Disclosure filed 4/8/26 (trade 3/25/26); net buying aligns with his $84M annual trading volume.
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      3 Reasons Behind the $MSFT Pre-Earnings Accumulation
    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·04-11

      Every trader must do these 8 things

      Every trader must do these 8 things: 1️⃣ Take Only the Best Trade 👉 Only trade A+ setups 👉 If it’s not clear → don’t trade 2️⃣ Define Risk and Reward Before Entry 👉 Know your: • Entry • Stop loss • Target Rule: 👉 Risk small (e.g. –0.30) 👉 Target bigger (e.g. +0.60 or more) 3️⃣ No Setup = No Trade 👉 Some days you do nothing 👉 Doing nothing is a good decision 4️⃣ Limit Your Trades 👉 Take 1–2 trades max per day 👉 More trades = more mistakes 5️⃣ Cut Losses Quickly 👉 If your trade is wrong → exit fast 👉 Don’t hold and hope 6️⃣ Let Winners Reach Target 👉 Don’t sell just because you’re green 👉 Let the trade play out 7️⃣ No Exceptions 👉 Your rules matter more than your opinions 👉 Discipline > everything 8️⃣ Review Your Trade After you’re done, ask: 👉 “Did I follow my rules?” That’s it. 🧠 The Go
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      Every trader must do these 8 things
    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·04-10

      Why $SPY Is Surging: Ceasefire, Oil Relief, and Risk-On Flows

      $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ bounced 8% from its lows on March 31 $629. Now, there is massive gap it needs to fill from $660-$672 (exhaustion or breakaway gap) 5 reasons why SPY is ripping so hard: 1) Formal ceasefire agreement (biggest signal) US and Iran agreed to a 2-week ceasefire after weeks of conflict. 2) Strait of Hormuz reopening (critical macro shift) Iran agreed to allow shipping through Hormuz again 3) Diplomatic talks scheduled Both sides preparing for negotiations in Pakistan 4) Global leaders backing the truce EU + multiple countries calling it a “step back from the brink” 5) Military campaign paused after objectives claimed US signaling goals achieved + ceasefire window
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      Why $SPY Is Surging: Ceasefire, Oil Relief, and Risk-On Flows
     
     
     
     

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