PeterDiCarlo

Quant Trader 💻 NEVER FINANCIAL ADVICE

    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·07:52

      $MSFT and $META Drop as Bear Cycles Persist, $GOOGL Holds Strong

      Earnings season is exposing a clear divide between confirmed bull cycles and trap-driven bounces. While some mega caps are rolling over under bearish structure, others continue to trend cleanly within established systems—reinforcing the importance of waiting for confirmation, not chasing narratives. 1. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $MSFT -5% 🔻 This is why we stick to the system. Long-term support held, but Monthly BX is still dark red. Sellers still in control. I expect another leg into 380–360. Until $MSFT meets Bull Cycle criteria, it stays out of the fund. 2. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $META -10% 🔻 Classic trap. This is why we stayed out into earnings. When MBX is dark red and 33FVB is red, ~70% of bounces are r
      371Comment
      Report
      $MSFT and $META Drop as Bear Cycles Persist, $GOOGL Holds Strong
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-30 15:51

      $META vs $MSFT: Earnings Reaction Depends on Structural Confirmation, Not Narrative

      Earnings volatility and crypto sentiment extremes are highlighting the same underlying theme: market positioning matters more than narrative. While mega-cap tech approaches key earnings triggers with mixed cycle signals, Bitcoin sentiment is again exposing how crowd euphoria and cycle structure often diverge sharply from price reality. 1. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $META earnings today 🚨 Monthly BX still shows buying pressure, but the 33 FVB is red. Last time we saw this combo, it was a trap. If price reclaims the 33 FVB after earnings and it flips green, I’ll add to the fund. Until then, I stay patient and out. 2. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $MSFT earnings today 📢 Price bottomed where expected, but I’m not tradi
      794Comment
      Report
      $META vs $MSFT: Earnings Reaction Depends on Structural Confirmation, Not Narrative
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-30 15:44

      Mixed Cycle Signals: $SOFI Weak, $COIN Neutral, $SPY Bullish, $NFLX Bearish

      Markets are entering a highly selective phase where cycle confirmation matters more than momentum. While broad indices show early signs of a potential multi-month bull structure, individual names remain split between bearish continuation, trap-driven rebounds, and early accumulation zones. The key distinction is no longer direction alone—but whether buying pressure confirms the move or not. 1. $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ This is why we wait for Bull Cycles to confirm $SOFI When the MBX is 🔴, most bounces are traps, but wouldn’t surprise me if $SOFI sells off to $12.50 2. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $COIN sitting at major Smart Money support, but I won’t touch it until we confirm buying pressure on th
      478Comment
      Report
      Mixed Cycle Signals: $SOFI Weak, $COIN Neutral, $SPY Bullish, $NFLX Bearish
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-28 18:17

      IREN, META, AMD — Bullish Signals Building, But No Entries Yet

      1. $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ Watching $IREN for the next bull cycle. MBX increasing but I need the 33 FVB to flip green again before I treat this as a new trend. MBX shows buying pressure, but short-term trend must reverse first. If we get the flip, I’ll add $IREN back to my fund. Till then, no trade 2. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Big week for $META with earnings Wed. Short-term trend still down. Monthly BX shows buyers, but price must break and hold above this smart money zone. If not, likely another trap. I’ll wait for a clear bullish flip before adding it back to the fund. 3. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Short-term $AMD model just hit final take profit at +67%. 🚨 Long
      744Comment
      Report
      IREN, META, AMD — Bullish Signals Building, But No Entries Yet
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-25

      AI & High-Beta Update: $NVDA Bull Setup Forms as $INTC Surges +250% and $HUT Breaks Out

      Markets are showing a clear split between mature extended trends and emerging setup phases. While $INTC and $HUT continue strong momentum-driven expansions, $NVDA is building conditions for a potential new bull cycle, and $TSLA remains stuck in a defined institutional resistance zone. 1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ I’m still NOT in $TSLA. So far this rejection is happening right inside my Institutional Sell Zone. 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $NVDA is setting up for a massive bull cycle. When this setup confirms, historically there’s ~60% odds of a +100% move within 12–18 months. 3. $Intel(INTC)$ Last year we called the bull cycle on $INTC. It’s now up +250% and blew past every exp
      4.57K1
      Report
      AI & High-Beta Update: $NVDA Bull Setup Forms as $INTC Surges +250% and $HUT Breaks Out
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-25

      $AMD, $INTC, $NVDA, $NOW: AI Cycle Leaders Extend Gains

      The market continues to reward trend persistence across key AI and tech leaders, with established bull cycles in AMD and Intel extending strongly, while NVIDIA approaches a critical breakout zone after prolonged compression. In contrast, ServiceNow remains in a structurally weak phase where timing entries depends on clear reversal signals rather than reactive dips. 1. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Last year we called the start of the $AMD bull cycle. Since then it’s rallied +130% and just hit our final long‑term target of $320. These cycles average 44 weeks and +120%. That doesn’t mean this one is over, but the premium up here is very rich. 2. $Intel(INTC)$ $INTC is now up +236% since Monthly BX flipped gr
      4.55K2
      Report
      $AMD, $INTC, $NVDA, $NOW: AI Cycle Leaders Extend Gains
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-23

      DVN, LMT, ENPH, MU & JACK: Bull Cycles and Breakout Zones

      Several names across energy, defense, solar, semiconductors, and consumer sectors are showing constructive setups after strong moves. With smart money zones holding and bullish cycles intact, the focus now shifts to whether these stocks can extend gains or build new bases for the next leg higher. 1. $Devon(DVN)$ $DVN tapped the Smart Money Zone and held. Calls are up about 117% from entry. Now I’m watching to see if price can work into the gap near 50. 2. $Lockheed Martin(LMT)$ Watching $LMT over the next couple weeks. Monthly BX is in a bull cycle and price is pulling back into the discount zone. In most cases, this is where we see price base and then push to higher highs within about 9–12 days, if the zon
      791Comment
      Report
      DVN, LMT, ENPH, MU & JACK: Bull Cycles and Breakout Zones
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-21

      Momentum vs Rejection: PLUG, HIMS Rally; NFLX, META Face Resistance; TSLA at Inflection

      The market is showing a clear split between momentum leaders and names running into key resistance. Stocks like PLUG and HIMS have delivered strong upside from Smart Money Zones, while others such as NFLX and META continue to struggle at major rejection levels. Meanwhile, TSLA sits at a critical inflection point, and late-cycle names like AEHR are increasingly extended. This is a tape where selectivity matters—chasing strength blindly carries risk, while waiting for confirmation remains key. 1. $Plug Power(PLUG)$ $PLUG is up 83% since we highlighted it here on February 16. Price respected the Smart Money Zone with Monthly BX in a bull cycle. Weekly BX then flipped bullish, making this an A+ setup in our system. Next target $3.60 -> $4 🎯 2.
      1.60KComment
      Report
      Momentum vs Rejection: PLUG, HIMS Rally; NFLX, META Face Resistance; TSLA at Inflection
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-18

      Bullish Structure Intact Across ENPH TSLA ULTA COIN Setups

      Several high-profile stocks are showing early signs of institutional accumulation, with key “smart money zones” holding and technical structures beginning to shift bullish across names like ENPH, TSLA, ULTA, and COIN. 1. $Enphase Energy(ENPH)$ $ENPH is building a strong base right above the Smart Money Zone. Point of control support is holding. 70% of the time when this setup forms price rallies back to recent highs within 90 to 120 days. That puts the upside target at $54 by August. 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $TSLA has cleared this resistance level on the daily Great sign for the bulls and congrats if you held 🤝🥳 3. $ulta beauty(ULTA)$ $ULTA is pushing out of the S
      5.06K2
      Report
      Bullish Structure Intact Across ENPH TSLA ULTA COIN Setups
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-17

      AMD Rally Continues, CAVA Quietly Builds, OKLO Reacts

      Different phases of the cycle are showing up across these names—momentum, consolidation, and early accumulation. The opportunity lies in recognizing where each one sits. 1. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $AMD is up 44% since we first flagged it. Sold earlier this week. The stock kept running. Congrats to everyone who held through it. If price continues to hold above $280 the next target is $300 to $320. This is what riding a bull cycle looks like. 2. $CAVA Group Inc.(CAVA)$ $CAVA is compressing right now. But strength is quietly building on the monthly chart. Long term bull cycle is confirmed on this setup. 6 to 12 month target is $140 to $170. This is what early looks like before it becomes obvious. 3.
      1.41KComment
      Report
      AMD Rally Continues, CAVA Quietly Builds, OKLO Reacts
     
     
     
     

    Most Discussed