The Fed is hawkish, U.S. stocks and gold are about to usher in a new round of correction
There were not many big events last week, but the market was not small at all. Since the US election, nothing in the financial market has risen smoothly except the US dollar and Bitcoin, and even the varieties that Trump intends to suppress have fallen one after another. At present, the market is still in the honeymoon period when the market expects the effectiveness of Trump's policies, and the main line has not changed much, which means that before Trump really takes office, strong varieties will continue to be strong, while weak varieties are more likely to continue to fall. Everyone should pay attention to it.The chairman of the Federal Reserve said at an event in Dallas last week that the current recovery momentum of the U.S. economy is good, the labor market is stable, and although i
What does Trump’s 2024 election win mean for global markets?
In last week's US election, Trump finally won, and the market entered the honeymoon period of Trump's trading. Although Trump will not officially take office until January next year, his remarks and preparatory actions have made the market full of expectations. The recent market fluctuations are all related to his words and deeds, so everyone should pay attention to tracking them. The following is a slight list of the relevant trading opportunities after Trump won the election for your reference.The U.S. stock index differentiates, keeping a close eye on the Dow RussellBefore the election, I analyzed with you that Trump's relevant policies will be relatively beneficial to small and medium-sized enterprises and traditional industries, so the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Russell 2000
The Final Day of Voting in the US Is Here,What to Watch in Markets?
The U.S. election has entered the final stage. Although the last voting day is November 6th, there are already a lot of voting data for reference due to mail-in ballots and early voting. Generally speaking, no candidate can win shoo-in at present. Let's wait for the results on Tuesday to observe the final changes in the market and whether supporters of both parties are satisfied with the process of the results after the final results are released. If they are dissatisfied, there may be riots similar to those in 2020, which may bring further turmoil to the market, and this turmoil may be global.The impact of U.S. stock indexesAfter the presidential election in the United States, the motivation to maintain the stability of the American stock market will gradually disappear. The continuation
How a war between Israel and Iran could impact oil prices and the whole market?
After the U.S. stock market closed over the weekend, it was suddenly reported that Israel's retaliation plan for the Iranian attack had been implemented. Judging from the time when it occurred, it was obvious that Israel chose to close the financial market because it did not want things to expand. This is related to the approaching time of the U.S. election. Not unrelated. At the same time, the focus of Israel's retaliation is to attack Iran's related military facilities, avoiding crude oil and nuclear facilities, which is lower than market expectations. Therefore, if Iran does not take further actions after Israel's retaliation, the market will return to calm. But the question is, will Iran suck it up?Profound impact on the crude oil marketIf this "retaliation cycle" does not have a stron
Why you should consider investing in gold before November
There are only more than two weeks left before the US general election on November 5th. There are various opinions on American polls, and the results of different polls are that which candidate is ahead by a large proportion, which makes the poll results have little reference significance. It seems that we will have to wait until the last polling day to know the results. Therefore, any current "Trump" or "Harris" transactions may be revised at any time. Everyone should pay attention to the market swing, and the general direction has not changed much.The "Israel-Iraq conflict" boosts gold to a record high?Current news points out that Israel plans to strike back against Iran, and it is rumored that the specific implementation time will take place before the US election, that is, further mili
How Presidential Elections Affect the Stock Market
The U.S. general election will enter the voting stage on November 5th, and it is less than a month before the polling day. Looking at the current U.S. general election situation, there is still no candidate who can win.It is conceivable that there may still be many unexpected events affecting the election situation in the follow-up. Therefore, I suggest you wait and see what happens, and there is no need to speculate too much. However, because the platforms of the two candidates in this general election are quite different, whoever is elected will at least affect the policy changes in the next four years. Impact on U.S. stock indexes during the election periodFor the U.S. stock index, the general trend depends on the Federal Reserve. After all, it has entered a cycle of interest rate cuts,
Here's how Iran's missile strikes could impact markets
During the National Day, the biggest thing in the external market was that Iran launched a large number of missile attacks on Israel on October 1 in response to a series of previous deaths of Iran's close leaders, which plunged the entire situation in the Middle East into a "cycle of revenge" and once again changed market expectations. The focus is reversed. As everyone in China is still immersed in the joy of the skyrocketing A-shares, there is little attention to the news of the external market. Therefore, it is estimated that except for a few commodities closely related to the external market, other commodities are expected to continue to run after the holiday.·1. U.S. stocks fluctuate at high levelsAlthough the escalation of the conflict between Iran and Israel has no direct impact on
The National Day holiday is coming,What should we pay attention to?
The National Day holiday begins, and because the holiday time is too long, there will often be gaps in the domestic market. In order to make the domestic market gap sharply, it is necessary for the external market to fluctuate greatly during the National Day holiday. Therefore, the external market rarely spends it calmly during the National Day holiday. Everyone needs to look at the external market after the holiday. Trends, pay attention to sudden large fluctuations.The main economic event in the external market next week is the release of non-agricultural data. Since the Federal Reserve has opened the channel to cut interest rates, the focus of the market's attention has become the change in the speed of interest rate cuts. According to market expectations, they always like to go to extr
Fed goes with half-point interest rate cut. What that means.
After a long-awaited call, the Federal Reserve finally began to enter the interest rate cut cycle after two years, and the rate of interest rate cut was 50 basis points slightly exceeding market expectations, which made the market full of expectations for the speed of future interest rate cuts. Regardless of the speed of interest rate cuts in the future, the interest rate cut cycle has already started, and the market will re-enter the game of inflation and recession in the future. Since there is still a lot of room for interest rate cuts, the market will still be relatively optimistic in the short term. Despite the fears of recession, under the expectation that the Fed will cut interest rates more the recession, the risk of the U.S. stock index is still controllable, so there is no need to
Market Volatility Will Be Back Soon, It`s Not The Best Time to Buy Gold
The Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision at 2 a.m. this Thursday night. The market has made it clear that the path of interest rate cuts has started. However, there are still differences on whether this meeting will be 25 basis points or 50 basis points. This is also the focus of market fluctuations this week. 25 basis points is considered as a bad news. 50 basis points are considered bullish, and the market will react to this to a certain extent. As for between recession and interest rate cut, the market will make a choice during the movement. In fact, recession is more of a short-term worry. After all, the Federal Reserve still has a lot of room to cut interest rates, so I still think that if it falls too much, it is an opportunity to buy bottoms, whether it is commoditie