Ning19

    • Ning19Ning19
      ·2022-02-07
      Huat ah

      期權覆盤:猴市忌賣Put,用備兌做好頭寸保護!

      @OptionPlus
      虎友們新年好,虎年大吉,給大家拜年啦!😬 這一週大盤的波動比春晚還精彩,亞馬遜、谷歌這種萬億巨頭集體暴漲暴跌我也是沒見過,說明市場爭議太大了,這種市場多空都有錢賺,但是小散很容易被埋。 萬幸,在大財報的拯救下,三大指數週線級別收了兩根陽線,但還並未收復失地,也不應該覺得後市高枕無憂。目前我持有蘋果、特斯拉、行權接盤了暴雪,由於特斯拉的波動也導致我們這兩週賬戶波動劇烈,跟去年三月有點像。 我個人認爲,幾家對指數舉足輕重的萬億企業基本面沒有大問題,美股不會發生系統性崩盤。市場本輪暴跌的誘因是美聯儲貨幣政策“意外”轉鷹,預計首次加息將發生在3月,緊接着年中將縮表。美債收益率接近2%,直接對風險資產造成負向影響。不可否認,宏觀利率影響會階段性造成美股混亂,但我認爲美股長期決定因素是是企業基本面和估值水平。本輪迴調後,標普500指數的12月動態估值已經迴歸到20倍左右,屬於基本合理偏高一點的水平,隨着企業業績落地,盈利貢獻會再次驅動估值,並非放水帶來的虛高。 短期而言,越是臨近3月FOMC議息會議,市場可能還是會非常波動,我就標普指數做了覆盤和推演,標普早前跌破年線,最低到4222,在這個位置盤整了5天,我會認爲這個支撐還是很牢靠的,5天的多空確認的點位應該不至於很快破了。然後反彈強勢收回年線,週五又跌到年線位置纔開啓一波反彈。我當然是希望下週繼續向上,或者就在年線附近震盪。但是加息前,單邊多頭或者小幅波動不太現實,寬幅震盪更可能。前期跌了這麼多,會不會去4200的附近走另一條腿?還挺有可能的,但市場是走出來的,我不是技術專家,不要聽我的。比較有意思的是,羅素2000這這個小盤股指數早前跌破了牛熊線,但從圖上看根本沒有看到支撐,最近大家一定要多觀察羅素2000,因爲先跌的往往都是它的成分股,悲觀的說,他要繼續到175一線才能找到一個支撐。雖然是虎年,市場確是猴市,上躥下跳的,我1月底
      期權覆盤:猴市忌賣Put,用備兌做好頭寸保護!
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    • Ning19Ning19
      ·2022-02-04
      Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

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    • Ning19Ning19
      ·2022-02-04
      #ilaohuyou
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    • Ning19Ning19
      ·2022-02-03
      Hi please choose me
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