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Amy99
Amy99
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2023-03-16
Market down is a good opportunity [Miser]
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Amy99
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2023-01-26
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
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Amy99
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2023-01-26
$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$
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Amy99
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2023-01-19
$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$
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Amy99
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2023-01-15
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
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2023-01-15
$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$
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Amy99
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2022-10-07
$E-mini Dow Jones - main 2212(YMmain)$
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Amy99
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2022-10-07
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Bond King Gross: The Federal Reserve is unlikely to intensify its rate hike; US Treasury yields may be about to peak.
格罗斯认为,令美联储等央行政策工具受限的罪魁祸首是不断上升的杠杆率,美国和其他经济体无法承受更多的加息。
Bond King Gross: The Federal Reserve is unlikely to intensify its rate hike; US Treasury yields may be about to peak.
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Amy99
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2022-10-06
$FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST(J69U.SI)$
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2022-10-06
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2212(YMmain)$</a>Ok","text":"$E-mini Dow Jones - main 2212(YMmain)$Ok","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0ffe9d5ef2bef120c233886bdd378b23","width":"750","height":"1284"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914032823","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5524,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914032961,"gmtCreate":1665126092954,"gmtModify":1676537561858,"author":{"id":"3582630518502280","authorId":"3582630518502280","name":"Amy99","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/30a6e8bf6181e6e692bf171d7eae4528","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582630518502280","idStr":"3582630518502280"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914032961","repostId":"2273314573","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2273314573","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1665099838,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2273314573?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-07 07:43","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Bond King Gross: The Federal Reserve is unlikely to intensify its rate hike; US Treasury yields may be about to peak.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273314573","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"格罗斯认为,令美联储等央行政策工具受限的罪魁祸首是不断上升的杠杆率,美国和其他经济体无法承受更多的加息。","content":"<p><html><body>Can the Federal Reserve continue its aggressive rate hike stance?</p><p>According to Gross, the \"bond king,\" the Federal Reserve's current policy stance is unsustainable. On Thursday, October 6, Gross pointed out that the Federal Reserve cannot continue to rely on continuous rate hike to control inflation because the U.S. economy is now much more leveraged than it was in the 1980s and the global economy is slowing down.</p><p><strong>Gross stated that the current high leverage in the U.S. economy and the macroeconomic environment of a global economic slowdown mean that the yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury Bond is too high, and interest rates across the board have reached a \"temporary\" peak.</strong>He stated that while inflation is currently the Federal Reserve's only overt focus, economic growth and financial stability may soon receive equal attention from the Fed.</p><p>He further stated that the culprit limiting the policy tools of central banks such as the Federal Reserve is rising leverage ratios, and the United States and other economies cannot afford more rate hike.</p><p>On October 6, the yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury Bond reached as high as 4.256%; The yield on the 10-year Treasury Bond reached 3.828%. In mid-2020, the yield on the two-year Treasury Bond in the United States was once below 0.2%, and the yield on the ten-year Treasury Bond was once less than 0.7%.</p><p><img src=\"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/4f2440a7-af4d-41a7-b754-4f45a5b2960c.png\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/b851d8ac-c676-4d1d-86cf-d1607a240bf9.png\"/></p><p>Following the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, due to ultra-low interest rates in the United States, the U.S. government, non-financial sectors, and residents borrowed heavily, leading to a sharp increase in leverage ratios. The U.S. government's leverage ratio exceeded 110%, while non-financial sectors and residents also took advantage of low interest rates to borrow.</p><p>Stanley Druckenmiller, a billionaire and legendary investor, shares similar views with Gross. He said at the end of last month:</p><p>Our core concern is that the US economy will experience a hard landing in 2023. I would be shocked if this hadn't happened. I don't know the exact timing of the hard landing, but it will definitely be before the end of next year, and it won't be an ordinary one.<span>economic crisis</span>。 I don't rule out something really bad happening.</p><p>Druckenmiller believes that the extraordinary quantitative easing and ultra-low interest rates of the past decade have caused asset bubbles:</p><p>All the factors that led to the bull market are not only stopping, but are reversing. We're in big trouble.</p><p><div>RISK WARNINGS AND</div><div>The market is risky; invest with caution. This article does not constitute personal investment advice, nor does it take into account the specific investment goals, financial circumstances, or needs of individual users. Users should consider whether any opinions, views, or conclusions in this article are appropriate to their specific circumstances. Investing accordingly is at your own risk.</div></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bond King Gross: The Federal Reserve is unlikely to intensify its rate hike; US Treasury yields may be about to peak.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBond King Gross: The Federal Reserve is unlikely to intensify its rate hike; US Treasury yields may be about to peak.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-10-07 07:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>Can the Federal Reserve continue its aggressive rate hike stance?</p><p>According to Gross, the \"bond king,\" the Federal Reserve's current policy stance is unsustainable. On Thursday, October 6, Gross pointed out that the Federal Reserve cannot continue to rely on continuous rate hike to control inflation because the U.S. economy is now much more leveraged than it was in the 1980s and the global economy is slowing down.</p><p><strong>Gross stated that the current high leverage in the U.S. economy and the macroeconomic environment of a global economic slowdown mean that the yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury Bond is too high, and interest rates across the board have reached a \"temporary\" peak.</strong>He stated that while inflation is currently the Federal Reserve's only overt focus, economic growth and financial stability may soon receive equal attention from the Fed.</p><p>He further stated that the culprit limiting the policy tools of central banks such as the Federal Reserve is rising leverage ratios, and the United States and other economies cannot afford more rate hike.</p><p>On October 6, the yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury Bond reached as high as 4.256%; The yield on the 10-year Treasury Bond reached 3.828%. In mid-2020, the yield on the two-year Treasury Bond in the United States was once below 0.2%, and the yield on the ten-year Treasury Bond was once less than 0.7%.</p><p><img src=\"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/4f2440a7-af4d-41a7-b754-4f45a5b2960c.png\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/b851d8ac-c676-4d1d-86cf-d1607a240bf9.png\"/></p><p>Following the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, due to ultra-low interest rates in the United States, the U.S. government, non-financial sectors, and residents borrowed heavily, leading to a sharp increase in leverage ratios. The U.S. government's leverage ratio exceeded 110%, while non-financial sectors and residents also took advantage of low interest rates to borrow.</p><p>Stanley Druckenmiller, a billionaire and legendary investor, shares similar views with Gross. He said at the end of last month:</p><p>Our core concern is that the US economy will experience a hard landing in 2023. I would be shocked if this hadn't happened. I don't know the exact timing of the hard landing, but it will definitely be before the end of next year, and it won't be an ordinary one.<span>economic crisis</span>。 I don't rule out something really bad happening.</p><p>Druckenmiller believes that the extraordinary quantitative easing and ultra-low interest rates of the past decade have caused asset bubbles:</p><p>All the factors that led to the bull market are not only stopping, but are reversing. We're in big trouble.</p><p><div>RISK WARNINGS AND</div><div>The market is risky; invest with caution. This article does not constitute personal investment advice, nor does it take into account the specific investment goals, financial circumstances, or needs of individual users. Users should consider whether any opinions, views, or conclusions in this article are appropriate to their specific circumstances. Investing accordingly is at your own risk.</div></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671836\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/b77d8302-2361-413d-805e-f8373b0877ee.jpg?imageView2/1/w/340/h/340","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671836","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273314573","content_text":"在美联储能继续激进加息路线吗?\n在“债王”格罗斯看来,美联储当前的政策立场是不可持续的。10月6日周四,格罗斯指出,美联储无法继续依靠不断加息来控制通胀,因为美国经济现在的杠杆率比上世纪80年代要高得多,而且全球经济正在放缓。\n格罗斯称,当前美国经济的高杠杆和全球经济放缓的宏观环境,意味着2年期美国国债收益率太高,利率全线已经达到“临时”峰值。他表示,虽然通胀是美联储目前明面上唯一的关注焦点,但经济增长和金融稳定可能很快就会获得美联储的同等关注。\n他进一步称,令美联储等央行政策工具受限的罪魁祸首是不断上升的杠杆率,美国和其他经济体无法承受更多的加息。\n10月6日,美国两年期国债收益率高达4.256%;十年期国债收益率达3.828%。而在2020年中,美国两年期国债收益率一度低于0.2%,十年期国债收益率一度不足0.7%。\n\n\n在新冠疫情爆发后,由于美国处于超低利率状态,美国政府、非金融部门和居民大量举债,杠杆率大幅攀升,美国政府杠杆率超过110%,而非金融部门和居民也利用低利率来借贷。\n和格罗斯持类似观点的还有亿万富翁、传奇投资者Stanley Druckenmiller。他在上个月底曾表示:\n\n我们担忧的核心是,2023年美国经济将硬着陆。如果这件事儿没发生,我会感到震惊。我不知道硬着陆发生的具体时间,但是肯定是明年年底之前,而且不是普通的经济危机。我不排除真的很糟糕的事情会发生。\n\nDruckenmiller认为,过去十年非同寻常的量化宽松和超低利率造成了资产泡沫:\n\n所有导致牛市的因素,它们不仅在停止,而且正在逆转。我们陷入了大麻烦。\n风险提示及免责条款\n\n 市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,".IXIC":1,"SH":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"QID":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"SPY":1,"DDM":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,".DJI":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915563207,"gmtCreate":1665071279709,"gmtModify":1676537552987,"author":{"id":"3582630518502280","authorId":"3582630518502280","name":"Amy99","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/30a6e8bf6181e6e692bf171d7eae4528","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582630518502280","idStr":"3582630518502280"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/J69U.SI\">$FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST(J69U.SI)$</a>Good","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/J69U.SI\">$FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST(J69U.SI)$</a>Good","text":"$FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST(J69U.SI)$Good","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c6421167b30a63be44f82af1c4bcbe60","width":"750","height":"1648"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915563207","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5019,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915563010,"gmtCreate":1665071180631,"gmtModify":1676537552972,"author":{"id":"3582630518502280","authorId":"3582630518502280","name":"Amy99","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/30a6e8bf6181e6e692bf171d7eae4528","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582630518502280","idStr":"3582630518502280"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915563010","repostId":"2273807683","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":true}