Profile - To The Moon

Michelle87

Posts · 96Posts · 96
Following · 0Following · 0
Followers · 0Followers · 0

- Michelle87Michelle87
  ·2021-06-12
  WOW
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
  6.05K 3
  5
  Share
  Report
- Michelle87Michelle87
  ·2021-06-08
  w
  Bank of America: Some Investment Laws of U.S. Stocks Since 1928
  目前市场对于美股是否“过度繁荣”的讨论非常热烈，有投资者担心美股或因美联储政策变化而出现大规模调整。美国银行试图从历史数据中寻找线索。该行统计显示，自1928年的月度数据表明传统“5月卖出”的股市谚
  Bank of America: Some Investment Laws of U.S. Stocks Since 1928
  4.14K Comment
  1
  Share
  Report
- Michelle87Michelle87
  ·2021-06-08
  ?
  Bank of America: Some Investment Laws of U.S. Stocks Since 1928
  目前市场对于美股是否“过度繁荣”的讨论非常热烈，有投资者担心美股或因美联储政策变化而出现大规模调整。美国银行试图从历史数据中寻找线索。该行统计显示，自1928年的月度数据表明传统“5月卖出”的股市谚
  Bank of America: Some Investment Laws of U.S. Stocks Since 1928
  3.48K Comment
  Like
  Share
  Report

Most Discussed

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":"3586139690737893","uuid":"3586139690737893","gmtCreate":1623047089157,"gmtModify":1623118607477,"name":"Michelle87","pinyin":"michelle87","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/429c789d2f4cb22fa57e9febd51117b5","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":7,"headSize":373,"tweetSize":96,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":3,"name":"书生虎","nameTw":"書生虎","represent":"努力向上","factor":"发布10条非转发主帖,其中5条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":"success","userBadges":[{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-3","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":" Tiger Idol","description":"Join the tiger community for 1500 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.07.17","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0}],"userBadgeCount":2,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":188231290,"gmtCreate":1623445529610,"gmtModify":1704203800249,"author":{"id":"3586139690737893","authorId":"3586139690737893","name":"Michelle87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/429c789d2f4cb22fa57e9febd51117b5","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586139690737893","idStr":"3586139690737893"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"WOW","listText":"WOW","text":"WOW","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188231290","repostId":"1156959915","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6052,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114478180,"gmtCreate":1623101677640,"gmtModify":1704195925566,"author":{"id":"3586139690737893","authorId":"3586139690737893","name":"Michelle87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/429c789d2f4cb22fa57e9febd51117b5","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586139690737893","idStr":"3586139690737893"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"w","listText":"w","text":"w","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/114478180","repostId":"2141823276","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2141823276","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1623080428,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2141823276?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-07 23:40","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Bank of America: Some Investment Laws of U.S. Stocks Since 1928","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2141823276","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"目前市场对于美股是否“过度繁荣”的讨论非常热烈，有投资者担心美股或因美联储政策变化而出现大规模调整。\n美国银行试图从历史数据中寻找线索。该行统计显示，自1928年的月度数据表明传统“5月卖出”的股市谚","content":"<p>At present, the market discusses whether U.S. stocks are \"excessively prosperous\" very enthusiastically, and some investors are worried that U.S. stocks may undergo large-scale adjustment due to changes in the Federal Reserve's policy.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Trying to find clues from historical data. According to the bank's statistics, the monthly data since 1928 shows that the traditional stock market proverb of \"selling in May\" is not true, and U.S. stocks will probably experience a summer rise.</p><p><h2>The Stock Market Proverb of \"Sell in May\" Doesn't Hold</h2>Bank of America said that the monthly data since 1928 showed that the traditional \"sell in May\" strategy was not established, and the S&P 500 index was likely to experience a summer rise.</p><p><b>From a monthly perspective, May returns are negative, but it is an excellent monthly buying point in stages</b>: Average returns in June were about 0.77%; July's average return was 1.58%, the highest for the year; Returns were also pretty good in August, averaging 0.7%.</p><p>September was the weakest month of the year, with an average return of-1.03%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffef396fe83da8fb05a1fcf928aca356\" tg-width=\"1095\" tg-height=\"760\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>\"Presidential Quotes\" also confirms the law of the summer market of US stocks.</p><p><b>Statistics show that in the first year of the new US president, the large-scale rebound in US stocks is usually concentrated in July-August</b>: The probability of a correlated uptick reached 65% in July, and the historical average return reached 2.28%. September-October was a relatively weak month.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ac31bf82d51f9dc069f81cb79ee98d7\" tg-width=\"1103\" tg-height=\"790\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>The cross-month rule also shows the rise rule in summer</h2>From the cross-month perspective, the statistics of Bank of America show that June-August is the second best three months in the whole year, with the relevant increase probability reaching 65% and the average return rate reaching 3.18%; The 3 weakest months of the year are August-October, with a 55% probability of upside but an average return of just-0.03%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b723af01581079a022899a5dacf947ed\" tg-width=\"1119\" tg-height=\"816\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>August-October was the weakest three months of the year,<b>This means that there is a risk of a fall correction in U.S. stocks.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b56d223976b66649f0adb71a21b3cce\" tg-width=\"1106\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>Better returns on the first 10 trading days of a month</h2>In short-term trading, monthly data since 1928 show that,<b>Market performance tends to be stronger in the first 10 trading days of a single month than in the last 10 (except December).</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d0204fb5c8b49191b3a1d854be72a01\" tg-width=\"1097\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>June and July are the months with the most obvious relevant laws.</b>The first 10 trading days of June have an average upside probability of 59% and an average return of 0.71%, and the last 10 trading days have an upside probability of 47% and an average return of-0.01%. The first 10 trading days of July have a 68% probability of upside, with an average return of 1.53%, and the last 10 trading days have a 59% probability of upside, with an average return of-0.02%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea32f3689760a04aa567b8b1c2daaaa1\" tg-width=\"1094\" tg-height=\"827\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>U.S. stocks rebound or will continue</h2>Bank of America emphasized that at present, the Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index has broken through a new high, which is precisely the leading indicator for the S&P 500 index to break through a new high. This may suggest that the market will continue to move upward.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d72ba609108e876b7927dd14251dae4\" tg-width=\"1096\" tg-height=\"751\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bank of America predicts that if this indicator continues to rise, the S&P 500 index is expected to gain further upward momentum and move towards the range of 4,400-4,500 points.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c480d60762f6cae516e86860cf3bbbc\" tg-width=\"1112\" tg-height=\"749\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank of America: Some Investment Laws of U.S. Stocks Since 1928</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank of America: Some Investment Laws of U.S. Stocks Since 1928\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-07 23:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>At present, the market discusses whether U.S. stocks are \"excessively prosperous\" very enthusiastically, and some investors are worried that U.S. stocks may undergo large-scale adjustment due to changes in the Federal Reserve's policy.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Trying to find clues from historical data. According to the bank's statistics, the monthly data since 1928 shows that the traditional stock market proverb of \"selling in May\" is not true, and U.S. stocks will probably experience a summer rise.</p><p><h2>The Stock Market Proverb of \"Sell in May\" Doesn't Hold</h2>Bank of America said that the monthly data since 1928 showed that the traditional \"sell in May\" strategy was not established, and the S&P 500 index was likely to experience a summer rise.</p><p><b>From a monthly perspective, May returns are negative, but it is an excellent monthly buying point in stages</b>: Average returns in June were about 0.77%; July's average return was 1.58%, the highest for the year; Returns were also pretty good in August, averaging 0.7%.</p><p>September was the weakest month of the year, with an average return of-1.03%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffef396fe83da8fb05a1fcf928aca356\" tg-width=\"1095\" tg-height=\"760\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>\"Presidential Quotes\" also confirms the law of the summer market of US stocks.</p><p><b>Statistics show that in the first year of the new US president, the large-scale rebound in US stocks is usually concentrated in July-August</b>: The probability of a correlated uptick reached 65% in July, and the historical average return reached 2.28%. September-October was a relatively weak month.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ac31bf82d51f9dc069f81cb79ee98d7\" tg-width=\"1103\" tg-height=\"790\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>The cross-month rule also shows the rise rule in summer</h2>From the cross-month perspective, the statistics of Bank of America show that June-August is the second best three months in the whole year, with the relevant increase probability reaching 65% and the average return rate reaching 3.18%; The 3 weakest months of the year are August-October, with a 55% probability of upside but an average return of just-0.03%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b723af01581079a022899a5dacf947ed\" tg-width=\"1119\" tg-height=\"816\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>August-October was the weakest three months of the year,<b>This means that there is a risk of a fall correction in U.S. stocks.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b56d223976b66649f0adb71a21b3cce\" tg-width=\"1106\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>Better returns on the first 10 trading days of a month</h2>In short-term trading, monthly data since 1928 show that,<b>Market performance tends to be stronger in the first 10 trading days of a single month than in the last 10 (except December).</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d0204fb5c8b49191b3a1d854be72a01\" tg-width=\"1097\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>June and July are the months with the most obvious relevant laws.</b>The first 10 trading days of June have an average upside probability of 59% and an average return of 0.71%, and the last 10 trading days have an upside probability of 47% and an average return of-0.01%. The first 10 trading days of July have a 68% probability of upside, with an average return of 1.53%, and the last 10 trading days have a 59% probability of upside, with an average return of-0.02%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea32f3689760a04aa567b8b1c2daaaa1\" tg-width=\"1094\" tg-height=\"827\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>U.S. stocks rebound or will continue</h2>Bank of America emphasized that at present, the Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index has broken through a new high, which is precisely the leading indicator for the S&P 500 index to break through a new high. This may suggest that the market will continue to move upward.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d72ba609108e876b7927dd14251dae4\" tg-width=\"1096\" tg-height=\"751\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bank of America predicts that if this indicator continues to rise, the S&P 500 index is expected to gain further upward momentum and move towards the range of 4,400-4,500 points.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c480d60762f6cae516e86860cf3bbbc\" tg-width=\"1112\" tg-height=\"749\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3632326\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/271cfa4439cda1437f20c9b60f7c187d","relate_stocks":{"BAC":"美国银行"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3632326","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2141823276","content_text":"目前市场对于美股是否“过度繁荣”的讨论非常热烈，有投资者担心美股或因美联储政策变化而出现大规模调整。\n美国银行试图从历史数据中寻找线索。该行统计显示，自1928年的月度数据表明传统“5月卖出”的股市谚语并不成立，美股大概率将经历夏季上涨行情。\n“5月卖出”的股市谚语并不成立\n美国银行表示，自1928年的月度数据显示，传统的“5月卖出”的策略并不成立，标普500指数大概率经历夏季上涨行情。\n从月份角度，5月回报率虽然为负但是绝佳的阶段性月度买点：6月的平均回报率约为0.77%；7月的平均回报率为1.58%，为全年最高；8月的回报率也相当不错，平均达到0.7%。\n9月才是全年表现最弱的月度，平均回报率为-1.03%。\n“总统行情”也确认美股夏季行情的规律。\n统计显示在美国新总统上任的第1年，美股的大规模反弹通常集中在7—8月：7月相关上涨概率达到65%，历史平均回报率达到2.28%。9-10月份则是相对疲弱的月份。\n\n跨月规律也显示夏季上涨规律\n在跨月角度，美国银行统计显示，6—8月是全年中表现第2好的3个月，相关上涨概率达到65%，平均回报率达到3.18%；1年中最弱的3个月是8月至10月，上涨概率为55%，但平均回报率仅为—0.03%\n\n而8月—10月则是全年中最弱的3个月，这意味着美股存在秋季回调的风险。\n单月中的头10个交易日回报率更高\n在短线交易方面，自1928年的月度数据显示，单月的前10个交易日市场表现往往比后10个交易日更强（12月除外）。\n6、7月份是相关规律显示最为明显的月份。6月前10个交易日平均上涨概率为59%，平均回报率为0.71%，后10个交易日上涨概率为47%，平均回报率为—0.01%。7月前10个交易日上涨概率为68%，平均回报率为1.53%，后10个交易日上涨概率59%，平均回报率为-0.02%。\n美股反弹或将继续延续\n美国银行强调，目前彭博美国金融状况指数突破新高，而这恰恰是标普500指突破新高的领先性指标。这或许暗示市场将继续上行。美国银行预测认为，如果该指标继续上行，标普500指数有望获得进一步上涨动能，向4400—4500点区间迈进。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BAC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114470713,"gmtCreate":1623101122132,"gmtModify":1704195922772,"author":{"id":"3586139690737893","authorId":"3586139690737893","name":"Michelle87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/429c789d2f4cb22fa57e9febd51117b5","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586139690737893","idStr":"3586139690737893"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/114470713","repostId":"2141823276","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2141823276","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1623080428,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2141823276?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-07 23:40","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Bank of America: Some Investment Laws of U.S. Stocks Since 1928","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2141823276","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"目前市场对于美股是否“过度繁荣”的讨论非常热烈，有投资者担心美股或因美联储政策变化而出现大规模调整。\n美国银行试图从历史数据中寻找线索。该行统计显示，自1928年的月度数据表明传统“5月卖出”的股市谚","content":"<p>At present, the market discusses whether U.S. stocks are \"excessively prosperous\" very enthusiastically, and some investors are worried that U.S. stocks may undergo large-scale adjustment due to changes in the Federal Reserve's policy.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Trying to find clues from historical data. According to the bank's statistics, the monthly data since 1928 shows that the traditional stock market proverb of \"selling in May\" is not true, and U.S. stocks will probably experience a summer rise.</p><p><h2>The Stock Market Proverb of \"Sell in May\" Doesn't Hold</h2>Bank of America said that the monthly data since 1928 showed that the traditional \"sell in May\" strategy was not established, and the S&P 500 index was likely to experience a summer rise.</p><p><b>From a monthly perspective, May returns are negative, but it is an excellent monthly buying point in stages</b>: Average returns in June were about 0.77%; July's average return was 1.58%, the highest for the year; Returns were also pretty good in August, averaging 0.7%.</p><p>September was the weakest month of the year, with an average return of-1.03%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffef396fe83da8fb05a1fcf928aca356\" tg-width=\"1095\" tg-height=\"760\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>\"Presidential Quotes\" also confirms the law of the summer market of US stocks.</p><p><b>Statistics show that in the first year of the new US president, the large-scale rebound in US stocks is usually concentrated in July-August</b>: The probability of a correlated uptick reached 65% in July, and the historical average return reached 2.28%. September-October was a relatively weak month.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ac31bf82d51f9dc069f81cb79ee98d7\" tg-width=\"1103\" tg-height=\"790\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>The cross-month rule also shows the rise rule in summer</h2>From the cross-month perspective, the statistics of Bank of America show that June-August is the second best three months in the whole year, with the relevant increase probability reaching 65% and the average return rate reaching 3.18%; The 3 weakest months of the year are August-October, with a 55% probability of upside but an average return of just-0.03%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b723af01581079a022899a5dacf947ed\" tg-width=\"1119\" tg-height=\"816\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>August-October was the weakest three months of the year,<b>This means that there is a risk of a fall correction in U.S. stocks.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b56d223976b66649f0adb71a21b3cce\" tg-width=\"1106\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>Better returns on the first 10 trading days of a month</h2>In short-term trading, monthly data since 1928 show that,<b>Market performance tends to be stronger in the first 10 trading days of a single month than in the last 10 (except December).</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d0204fb5c8b49191b3a1d854be72a01\" tg-width=\"1097\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>June and July are the months with the most obvious relevant laws.</b>The first 10 trading days of June have an average upside probability of 59% and an average return of 0.71%, and the last 10 trading days have an upside probability of 47% and an average return of-0.01%. The first 10 trading days of July have a 68% probability of upside, with an average return of 1.53%, and the last 10 trading days have a 59% probability of upside, with an average return of-0.02%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea32f3689760a04aa567b8b1c2daaaa1\" tg-width=\"1094\" tg-height=\"827\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>U.S. stocks rebound or will continue</h2>Bank of America emphasized that at present, the Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index has broken through a new high, which is precisely the leading indicator for the S&P 500 index to break through a new high. This may suggest that the market will continue to move upward.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d72ba609108e876b7927dd14251dae4\" tg-width=\"1096\" tg-height=\"751\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bank of America predicts that if this indicator continues to rise, the S&P 500 index is expected to gain further upward momentum and move towards the range of 4,400-4,500 points.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c480d60762f6cae516e86860cf3bbbc\" tg-width=\"1112\" tg-height=\"749\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank of America: Some Investment Laws of U.S. Stocks Since 1928</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank of America: Some Investment Laws of U.S. Stocks Since 1928\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-07 23:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>At present, the market discusses whether U.S. stocks are \"excessively prosperous\" very enthusiastically, and some investors are worried that U.S. stocks may undergo large-scale adjustment due to changes in the Federal Reserve's policy.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Trying to find clues from historical data. According to the bank's statistics, the monthly data since 1928 shows that the traditional stock market proverb of \"selling in May\" is not true, and U.S. stocks will probably experience a summer rise.</p><p><h2>The Stock Market Proverb of \"Sell in May\" Doesn't Hold</h2>Bank of America said that the monthly data since 1928 showed that the traditional \"sell in May\" strategy was not established, and the S&P 500 index was likely to experience a summer rise.</p><p><b>From a monthly perspective, May returns are negative, but it is an excellent monthly buying point in stages</b>: Average returns in June were about 0.77%; July's average return was 1.58%, the highest for the year; Returns were also pretty good in August, averaging 0.7%.</p><p>September was the weakest month of the year, with an average return of-1.03%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffef396fe83da8fb05a1fcf928aca356\" tg-width=\"1095\" tg-height=\"760\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>\"Presidential Quotes\" also confirms the law of the summer market of US stocks.</p><p><b>Statistics show that in the first year of the new US president, the large-scale rebound in US stocks is usually concentrated in July-August</b>: The probability of a correlated uptick reached 65% in July, and the historical average return reached 2.28%. September-October was a relatively weak month.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ac31bf82d51f9dc069f81cb79ee98d7\" tg-width=\"1103\" tg-height=\"790\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>The cross-month rule also shows the rise rule in summer</h2>From the cross-month perspective, the statistics of Bank of America show that June-August is the second best three months in the whole year, with the relevant increase probability reaching 65% and the average return rate reaching 3.18%; The 3 weakest months of the year are August-October, with a 55% probability of upside but an average return of just-0.03%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b723af01581079a022899a5dacf947ed\" tg-width=\"1119\" tg-height=\"816\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>August-October was the weakest three months of the year,<b>This means that there is a risk of a fall correction in U.S. stocks.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b56d223976b66649f0adb71a21b3cce\" tg-width=\"1106\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>Better returns on the first 10 trading days of a month</h2>In short-term trading, monthly data since 1928 show that,<b>Market performance tends to be stronger in the first 10 trading days of a single month than in the last 10 (except December).</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d0204fb5c8b49191b3a1d854be72a01\" tg-width=\"1097\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>June and July are the months with the most obvious relevant laws.</b>The first 10 trading days of June have an average upside probability of 59% and an average return of 0.71%, and the last 10 trading days have an upside probability of 47% and an average return of-0.01%. The first 10 trading days of July have a 68% probability of upside, with an average return of 1.53%, and the last 10 trading days have a 59% probability of upside, with an average return of-0.02%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea32f3689760a04aa567b8b1c2daaaa1\" tg-width=\"1094\" tg-height=\"827\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>U.S. stocks rebound or will continue</h2>Bank of America emphasized that at present, the Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index has broken through a new high, which is precisely the leading indicator for the S&P 500 index to break through a new high. This may suggest that the market will continue to move upward.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d72ba609108e876b7927dd14251dae4\" tg-width=\"1096\" tg-height=\"751\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bank of America predicts that if this indicator continues to rise, the S&P 500 index is expected to gain further upward momentum and move towards the range of 4,400-4,500 points.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c480d60762f6cae516e86860cf3bbbc\" tg-width=\"1112\" tg-height=\"749\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3632326\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/271cfa4439cda1437f20c9b60f7c187d","relate_stocks":{"BAC":"美国银行"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3632326","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2141823276","content_text":"目前市场对于美股是否“过度繁荣”的讨论非常热烈，有投资者担心美股或因美联储政策变化而出现大规模调整。\n美国银行试图从历史数据中寻找线索。该行统计显示，自1928年的月度数据表明传统“5月卖出”的股市谚语并不成立，美股大概率将经历夏季上涨行情。\n“5月卖出”的股市谚语并不成立\n美国银行表示，自1928年的月度数据显示，传统的“5月卖出”的策略并不成立，标普500指数大概率经历夏季上涨行情。\n从月份角度，5月回报率虽然为负但是绝佳的阶段性月度买点：6月的平均回报率约为0.77%；7月的平均回报率为1.58%，为全年最高；8月的回报率也相当不错，平均达到0.7%。\n9月才是全年表现最弱的月度，平均回报率为-1.03%。\n“总统行情”也确认美股夏季行情的规律。\n统计显示在美国新总统上任的第1年，美股的大规模反弹通常集中在7—8月：7月相关上涨概率达到65%，历史平均回报率达到2.28%。9-10月份则是相对疲弱的月份。\n\n跨月规律也显示夏季上涨规律\n在跨月角度，美国银行统计显示，6—8月是全年中表现第2好的3个月，相关上涨概率达到65%，平均回报率达到3.18%；1年中最弱的3个月是8月至10月，上涨概率为55%，但平均回报率仅为—0.03%\n\n而8月—10月则是全年中最弱的3个月，这意味着美股存在秋季回调的风险。\n单月中的头10个交易日回报率更高\n在短线交易方面，自1928年的月度数据显示，单月的前10个交易日市场表现往往比后10个交易日更强（12月除外）。\n6、7月份是相关规律显示最为明显的月份。6月前10个交易日平均上涨概率为59%，平均回报率为0.71%，后10个交易日上涨概率为47%，平均回报率为—0.01%。7月前10个交易日上涨概率为68%，平均回报率为1.53%，后10个交易日上涨概率59%，平均回报率为-0.02%。\n美股反弹或将继续延续\n美国银行强调，目前彭博美国金融状况指数突破新高，而这恰恰是标普500指突破新高的领先性指标。这或许暗示市场将继续上行。美国银行预测认为，如果该指标继续上行，标普500指数有望获得进一步上涨动能，向4400—4500点区间迈进。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BAC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}