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- Michelle87Michelle87
  ·2021-06-12
  WOW
  Tiger Brokers helped BOSS Zhipin list on Nasdaq, which opened 75% higher on its first day of trading.
  北京时间6月12日，BOSS直聘登陆纳斯达克，首日开涨75%。老虎证券作为互联网承销商，与高盛、摩根士丹利、UBS、华兴、海通等国际知名大行同列BOSS直聘招股书封面，展现出老虎证券作为头部互联网科
  Tiger Brokers helped BOSS Zhipin list on Nasdaq, which opened 75% higher on its first day of trading.
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- Michelle87Michelle87
  ·2021-06-08
  w
  Bank of America: Some Investment Patterns in US Stocks Since 1928
  目前市场对于美股是否“过度繁荣”的讨论非常热烈，有投资者担心美股或因美联储政策变化而出现大规模调整。美国银行试图从历史数据中寻找线索。该行统计显示，自1928年的月度数据表明传统“5月卖出”的股市谚
  Bank of America: Some Investment Patterns in US Stocks Since 1928
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- Michelle87Michelle87
  ·2021-06-08
  ?
  Bank of America: Some Investment Patterns in US Stocks Since 1928
  目前市场对于美股是否“过度繁荣”的讨论非常热烈，有投资者担心美股或因美联储政策变化而出现大规模调整。美国银行试图从历史数据中寻找线索。该行统计显示，自1928年的月度数据表明传统“5月卖出”的股市谚
  Bank of America: Some Investment Patterns in US Stocks Since 1928
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00:43","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Tiger Brokers helped BOSS Zhipin list on Nasdaq, which opened 75% higher on its first day of trading.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156959915","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"北京时间6月12日，BOSS直聘登陆纳斯达克，首日开涨75%。\n老虎证券作为互联网承销商，与高盛、摩根士丹利、UBS、华兴、海通等国际知名大行同列BOSS直聘招股书封面，展现出老虎证券作为头部互联网科","content":"<p>On June 12, Beijing time, BOSS Zhipin listed on Nasdaq, rising 75% on its first day.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57551fd25362c75885fbb928efe43f8a\"></p><p>As an internet underwriter, Tiger Brokers was featured on the cover of BOSS Zhipin's prospectus alongside internationally renowned banks such as Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, UBS, China Renaissance, and Haitong, demonstrating Tiger Brokers' influence as a leading internet technology investment bank.<br></p><p><br></p><p>According to the latest prospectus, BOSS Zhipin will publicly issue 48 million American Depositary Shares (ADSs) at a price of $19 per share, raising approximately $912 million, with a total market capitalization of $7.599 billion at the opening.</p><p>This valuation has surpassed the combined valuation of 51job, which is publicly valued at $5 billion, and Zhaopin.com, which is only valued at $1.7 billion in the private equity market due to delisting, making it the most valuable Chinese recruitment platform.</p><p>Of course, achieving such a high valuation indicates, to some extent, that BOSS Zhipin has also gained recognition from the capital market for its financial performance.</p><p><b>Financial Performance</b></p><p>BOSS Zhipin's recent financial performance can be summarized as follows: strong revenue growth momentum; Gross profit grew strongly, and the gross profit margin remained stable; Although operating profit is low, it has already achieved a turnaround from loss to profit; Operating cash flow surged.</p><p>Specifically, BOSS Zhipin's revenue reached $298 million in 2020, a surge of 95.4% compared to $152 million in 2019. In the first quarter of 2021, the company's revenue reached $120 million, a year-on-year increase of 178.9%.</p><p>BOSS Zhipin's gross profit was $261 million in 2020, a 98.7% increase from $131 million in 2019, while it reached $104 million in the first quarter of 2021, a year-on-year increase of 178.4%. Meanwhile, the company's gross profit margins remained almost unchanged at 86.20%, 87.65% and 86.45% in 2019, 2020 and the first quarter of 2021, respectively.</p><p>In 2019, 2020, and the first quarter of 2021, BOSS Zhipin achieved operating profits of US$392,800, US$1,356,000, and US$350,000 and US$400,000, respectively, with operating profit margins of 0.3%, 0.5%, and 0.3%. During the same period, the company reported net losses of US$112 million, US$188 million and US$40.972 million, respectively.</p><p>In 2019, 2020, and the first quarter of 2021, BOSS Zhipin's operating cash flow was -$16.1318 million, $60.676 million, and $25.235 million, respectively.</p><p>As of March 31, 2021, BOSS Zhipin held $626 million in cash and $332 million in liabilities. During the twelve months ended March 31, 2021, the company had free cash flow of US$102 million.</p><p><b>Research Analysis</b></p><p>BOSS Zhipin hopes to gain support from the US capital market to help them continue their expansion in the Chinese market.</p><p>Judging from the company's financial performance, their revenue and gross profit margin have grown rapidly, and they have achieved a turnaround from loss to profit at the operational level. The free cash flow as of March 31, 2021, exceeded $101 million, which is impressive.</p><p>In China, the market for providing online recruitment services for job seekers and employers is huge and has a promising future.</p><p>Goldman Sachs is the lead underwriter for this transaction. Over the past twelve months, the company has led the underwriting of IPO shares with an average return of 42.9%, which is in the middle range compared to the performance of all major underwriters during the same period.</p><p>The number one risk facing BOSS Zhipin is that the company may face a series of competitive pressures, such as talent networks or other mainstream international recruitment companies entering their markets. Once these become a reality, they will threaten their growth prospects or force them to significantly increase marketing spending, suppressing profitability.</p><p>China's various high-margin online businesses often eventually attract a large number of competitors, and the main means of competition is price wars, which is obviously not good news for the future returns of stocks.</p><p>From a valuation perspective, the price BOSS Zhipin offered to US IPO investors implies a company value-to-revenue ratio of around 19.2. Although this figure is higher than the current overall level of software-as-a-service stocks, BOSS Zhipin's revenue growth momentum is stronger. They have already crossed the profitability threshold at the operational level and generated considerable free cash flow.</p><p>Therefore, although BOSS Zhipin's IPO price is not cheap, it is still worth paying attention to for investors interested in the growth prospects of China's online recruitment market.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/361ada34c84eeaafbb2e860b6eb0db6f\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tiger Brokers helped BOSS Zhipin list on Nasdaq, which opened 75% higher on its first day of trading.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTiger Brokers helped BOSS Zhipin list on Nasdaq, which opened 75% higher on its first day of trading.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-12 00:43</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On June 12, Beijing time, BOSS Zhipin listed on Nasdaq, rising 75% on its first day.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57551fd25362c75885fbb928efe43f8a\"></p><p>As an internet underwriter, Tiger Brokers was featured on the cover of BOSS Zhipin's prospectus alongside internationally renowned banks such as Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, UBS, China Renaissance, and Haitong, demonstrating Tiger Brokers' influence as a leading internet technology investment bank.<br></p><p><br></p><p>According to the latest prospectus, BOSS Zhipin will publicly issue 48 million American Depositary Shares (ADSs) at a price of $19 per share, raising approximately $912 million, with a total market capitalization of $7.599 billion at the opening.</p><p>This valuation has surpassed the combined valuation of 51job, which is publicly valued at $5 billion, and Zhaopin.com, which is only valued at $1.7 billion in the private equity market due to delisting, making it the most valuable Chinese recruitment platform.</p><p>Of course, achieving such a high valuation indicates, to some extent, that BOSS Zhipin has also gained recognition from the capital market for its financial performance.</p><p><b>Financial Performance</b></p><p>BOSS Zhipin's recent financial performance can be summarized as follows: strong revenue growth momentum; Gross profit grew strongly, and the gross profit margin remained stable; Although operating profit is low, it has already achieved a turnaround from loss to profit; Operating cash flow surged.</p><p>Specifically, BOSS Zhipin's revenue reached $298 million in 2020, a surge of 95.4% compared to $152 million in 2019. In the first quarter of 2021, the company's revenue reached $120 million, a year-on-year increase of 178.9%.</p><p>BOSS Zhipin's gross profit was $261 million in 2020, a 98.7% increase from $131 million in 2019, while it reached $104 million in the first quarter of 2021, a year-on-year increase of 178.4%. Meanwhile, the company's gross profit margins remained almost unchanged at 86.20%, 87.65% and 86.45% in 2019, 2020 and the first quarter of 2021, respectively.</p><p>In 2019, 2020, and the first quarter of 2021, BOSS Zhipin achieved operating profits of US$392,800, US$1,356,000, and US$350,000 and US$400,000, respectively, with operating profit margins of 0.3%, 0.5%, and 0.3%. During the same period, the company reported net losses of US$112 million, US$188 million and US$40.972 million, respectively.</p><p>In 2019, 2020, and the first quarter of 2021, BOSS Zhipin's operating cash flow was -$16.1318 million, $60.676 million, and $25.235 million, respectively.</p><p>As of March 31, 2021, BOSS Zhipin held $626 million in cash and $332 million in liabilities. During the twelve months ended March 31, 2021, the company had free cash flow of US$102 million.</p><p><b>Research Analysis</b></p><p>BOSS Zhipin hopes to gain support from the US capital market to help them continue their expansion in the Chinese market.</p><p>Judging from the company's financial performance, their revenue and gross profit margin have grown rapidly, and they have achieved a turnaround from loss to profit at the operational level. The free cash flow as of March 31, 2021, exceeded $101 million, which is impressive.</p><p>In China, the market for providing online recruitment services for job seekers and employers is huge and has a promising future.</p><p>Goldman Sachs is the lead underwriter for this transaction. Over the past twelve months, the company has led the underwriting of IPO shares with an average return of 42.9%, which is in the middle range compared to the performance of all major underwriters during the same period.</p><p>The number one risk facing BOSS Zhipin is that the company may face a series of competitive pressures, such as talent networks or other mainstream international recruitment companies entering their markets. Once these become a reality, they will threaten their growth prospects or force them to significantly increase marketing spending, suppressing profitability.</p><p>China's various high-margin online businesses often eventually attract a large number of competitors, and the main means of competition is price wars, which is obviously not good news for the future returns of stocks.</p><p>From a valuation perspective, the price BOSS Zhipin offered to US IPO investors implies a company value-to-revenue ratio of around 19.2. Although this figure is higher than the current overall level of software-as-a-service stocks, BOSS Zhipin's revenue growth momentum is stronger. They have already crossed the profitability threshold at the operational level and generated considerable free cash flow.</p><p>Therefore, although BOSS Zhipin's IPO price is not cheap, it is still worth paying attention to for investors interested in the growth prospects of China's online recruitment market.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/361ada34c84eeaafbb2e860b6eb0db6f\"></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aee31599ee7010691cc73f0ff8ac182","relate_stocks":{"BZ":"BOSS直聘"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156959915","content_text":"北京时间6月12日，BOSS直聘登陆纳斯达克，首日开涨75%。\n老虎证券作为互联网承销商，与高盛、摩根士丹利、UBS、华兴、海通等国际知名大行同列BOSS直聘招股书封面，展现出老虎证券作为头部互联网科技投行的影响力。\n\n根据最新招股书信息显示，BOSS直聘将公开发行4800万股美国存托股份（ADS），发行价定为每股19美元，募资约9.12亿美元，总市值开盘时是75.99亿美元。\n而这个估值已经超过公开估值50亿美元的前程无忧和由于退市只能在私募基金市场有估值17亿美元的智联招聘之和，成为估值最高的中国招聘平台。\n当然，能达到如此高额的估值，在一定程度上表明BOSS直聘也有着自己的在财务上的表现得到了资本市场的认可。\n财务表现\nBOSS直聘近期的财务表现大约可以做如下概括：营收增长势头强劲；毛利润增长强劲，毛利润率保持稳定；运营利润虽然低，但是已经实现了扭亏为盈；运营现金流猛增。\n具体而言，BOSS直聘2020年营收达到了2.98亿美元，较之2019年的1.52亿美元猛增95.4%之多，而2021年第一季度，公司营收就达到了1.20亿美元，同比增幅更高达178.9%。\nBOSS直聘毛利润2020年为2.61亿美元，较之2019年的1.31亿美元增长98.7%，而2021年第一季度达到1.04亿美元，同比增幅高达178.4%。与此同时，在2019年、2020年和2021年第一季度当中，公司毛利润率分别为86.20%、87.65%和86.45%，几乎保持不变。\n2019年、2020年和2021年第一季度，BOSS直聘分别实现运营利润39.28万美元、135.60万美元和35、40万美元，运营利润率分别为0.3%、0.5%和0.3%。同期内，公司净亏损分别为1.12亿美元、1.88亿美元和4097.20万美元。\n2019年、2020年和2021年第一季度，BOSS直聘运营现金流分别为-1613.18万美元、6067.60万美元和2523.50万美元。\n截至2021年3月31日，BOSS直聘持有现金6.26亿美元，负债3.32亿美元。截至2021年3月31日的十二个月内，公司自由现金流为1.02亿美元。\n研究分析\nBOSS直聘希望获得美国资本市场的支持，帮助他们在中国市场上继续扩张。\n从公司的财务表现看，他们营收和毛利润率增长迅猛，运营层面已经实现扭亏为盈。截至2021年3月31日的自由现金流超过1.01亿美元，令人印象深刻。\n在中国，为求职者和雇主提供线上招聘服务，市场体量是很巨大的，前景是很可观的。\n高盛是本次交易的领衔承销商，在过去十二个月时间内，该公司领衔承销的IPO股票，平均回报率为42.9%，在所有主要承销商同期业绩的比较当中位于中游水平。\nBOSS直聘面前的头号风险是，该公司可能会面对一系列竞争压力，比如人才网络，或者其他主流国际招聘公司进入他们所在的市场，而这些一旦成为现实，就将威胁到他们的增长前景，或者是迫使他们大幅提升营销支出，打压盈利能力。\n中国各种利润率较高的线上业务，往往最终都会吸引大量竞争者，而最主要的竞争手段就是大打价格战，而这对于股票未来的回报显然不是什么好消息。\n从估值角度看，BOSS直聘为美国IPO投资者开出的价格意味着公司企业价值营收比率为19.2左右，虽然这一数字高于软件即服务股票当前的总体水平，但是BOSS直聘的营收增长势头更为强劲，他们已经在运营层面越过盈利门槛，并且产生了可观的自由现金流。\n因此，虽然BOSS直聘IPO价格称不上低廉，但是对于那些有意于中国线上招聘市场成长前景的投资者而言，这一股票还是值得关注的。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BZ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7247,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114478180,"gmtCreate":1623101677640,"gmtModify":1704195925566,"author":{"id":"3586139690737893","authorId":"3586139690737893","name":"Michelle87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/429c789d2f4cb22fa57e9febd51117b5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586139690737893","authorIdStr":"3586139690737893"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"w","listText":"w","text":"w","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/114478180","repostId":"2141823276","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2141823276","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1623080428,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2141823276?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-07 23:40","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Bank of America: Some Investment Patterns in US Stocks Since 1928","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2141823276","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"目前市场对于美股是否“过度繁荣”的讨论非常热烈，有投资者担心美股或因美联储政策变化而出现大规模调整。\n美国银行试图从历史数据中寻找线索。该行统计显示，自1928年的月度数据表明传统“5月卖出”的股市谚","content":"<p>There is currently a heated discussion in the market about whether the US stock market is \"overprosperous,\" with some investors worried that the US stock market may experience a large-scale correction due to changes in the Federal Reserve's policies.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Trying to find clues from historical data. The bank's statistics show that monthly data since 1928 indicates that the traditional stock market adage of \"selling in May\" is not true, and US stocks are likely to experience a summer rally.</p><p><h2>The stock market proverb \"sell in May\" does not hold true</h2>Bank of America stated that monthly data since 1928 shows that the traditional \"May sell\" strategy does not hold true, and the S&P 500 is likely to experience a summer rally.</p><p><b>From a monthly perspective, although the return in May was negative, it was an excellent monthly buying opportunity.</b>The average return in June was approximately 0.77%; The average return in July was 1.58%, the highest of the year; The return in August was also quite good, averaging 0.7%.</p><p>September was the weakest month of the year, with an average return of -1.03%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffef396fe83da8fb05a1fcf928aca356\" tg-width=\"1095\" tg-height=\"760\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The \"presidential rally\" also confirms the pattern of the summer rally in US stocks.</p><p><b>Statistics show that in the first year of a new US president's term, large-scale rebounds in US stocks are typically concentrated in July and August.</b>The probability of a rise in July reached 65%, with a historical average return of 2.28%. September and October were relatively weak months.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ac31bf82d51f9dc069f81cb79ee98d7\" tg-width=\"1103\" tg-height=\"790\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>The cross-month pattern also reflects the summer upward trend.</h2>From a monthly perspective, Bank of America statistics show that June-August was the second best-performing three months of the year, with a 65% probability of an increase and an average return of 3.18%. The weakest three months of the year are August to October, with a 55% probability of an increase, but an average return of only -0.03%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b723af01581079a022899a5dacf947ed\" tg-width=\"1119\" tg-height=\"816\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>August to October are the three weakest months of the year.<b>This means that there is a risk of a correction in US stocks in the fall.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b56d223976b66649f0adb71a21b3cce\" tg-width=\"1106\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>The first 10 trading days of a month yield higher returns</h2>In terms of short-swing trading, monthly data since 1928 shows that<b>The market tends to perform better in the first 10 trading days of a month than in the last 10 trading days (except in December).</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d0204fb5c8b49191b3a1d854be72a01\" tg-width=\"1097\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>June and July are the months when the relevant patterns are most obvious.</b>The average probability of an increase in the first 10 trading days of June was 59%, with an average return of 0.71%, and the probability of an increase in the last 10 trading days was 47%, with an average return of -0.01%. The probability of an increase in the first 10 trading days of July is 68%, with an average return of 1.53%, and the probability of an increase in the last 10 trading days is 59%, with an average return of -0.02%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea32f3689760a04aa567b8b1c2daaaa1\" tg-width=\"1094\" tg-height=\"827\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>The rebound in US stocks may continue.</h2>Bank of America emphasized that the Bloomberg U.S. Financial Conditions Index has reached a new high, which is precisely the leading indicator for the S&P 500's record high. This may indicate that the market will continue to rise.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d72ba609108e876b7927dd14251dae4\" tg-width=\"1096\" tg-height=\"751\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bank of America predicts that if the indicator continues to rise, the S&P 500 is expected to gain further upward momentum and move towards the 4,400-4,500 point range.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c480d60762f6cae516e86860cf3bbbc\" tg-width=\"1112\" tg-height=\"749\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank of America: Some Investment Patterns in US Stocks Since 1928</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank of America: Some Investment Patterns in US Stocks Since 1928\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-07 23:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>There is currently a heated discussion in the market about whether the US stock market is \"overprosperous,\" with some investors worried that the US stock market may experience a large-scale correction due to changes in the Federal Reserve's policies.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Trying to find clues from historical data. The bank's statistics show that monthly data since 1928 indicates that the traditional stock market adage of \"selling in May\" is not true, and US stocks are likely to experience a summer rally.</p><p><h2>The stock market proverb \"sell in May\" does not hold true</h2>Bank of America stated that monthly data since 1928 shows that the traditional \"May sell\" strategy does not hold true, and the S&P 500 is likely to experience a summer rally.</p><p><b>From a monthly perspective, although the return in May was negative, it was an excellent monthly buying opportunity.</b>The average return in June was approximately 0.77%; The average return in July was 1.58%, the highest of the year; The return in August was also quite good, averaging 0.7%.</p><p>September was the weakest month of the year, with an average return of -1.03%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffef396fe83da8fb05a1fcf928aca356\" tg-width=\"1095\" tg-height=\"760\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The \"presidential rally\" also confirms the pattern of the summer rally in US stocks.</p><p><b>Statistics show that in the first year of a new US president's term, large-scale rebounds in US stocks are typically concentrated in July and August.</b>The probability of a rise in July reached 65%, with a historical average return of 2.28%. September and October were relatively weak months.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ac31bf82d51f9dc069f81cb79ee98d7\" tg-width=\"1103\" tg-height=\"790\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>The cross-month pattern also reflects the summer upward trend.</h2>From a monthly perspective, Bank of America statistics show that June-August was the second best-performing three months of the year, with a 65% probability of an increase and an average return of 3.18%. The weakest three months of the year are August to October, with a 55% probability of an increase, but an average return of only -0.03%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b723af01581079a022899a5dacf947ed\" tg-width=\"1119\" tg-height=\"816\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>August to October are the three weakest months of the year.<b>This means that there is a risk of a correction in US stocks in the fall.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b56d223976b66649f0adb71a21b3cce\" tg-width=\"1106\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>The first 10 trading days of a month yield higher returns</h2>In terms of short-swing trading, monthly data since 1928 shows that<b>The market tends to perform better in the first 10 trading days of a month than in the last 10 trading days (except in December).</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d0204fb5c8b49191b3a1d854be72a01\" tg-width=\"1097\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>June and July are the months when the relevant patterns are most obvious.</b>The average probability of an increase in the first 10 trading days of June was 59%, with an average return of 0.71%, and the probability of an increase in the last 10 trading days was 47%, with an average return of -0.01%. The probability of an increase in the first 10 trading days of July is 68%, with an average return of 1.53%, and the probability of an increase in the last 10 trading days is 59%, with an average return of -0.02%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea32f3689760a04aa567b8b1c2daaaa1\" tg-width=\"1094\" tg-height=\"827\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>The rebound in US stocks may continue.</h2>Bank of America emphasized that the Bloomberg U.S. Financial Conditions Index has reached a new high, which is precisely the leading indicator for the S&P 500's record high. This may indicate that the market will continue to rise.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d72ba609108e876b7927dd14251dae4\" tg-width=\"1096\" tg-height=\"751\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bank of America predicts that if the indicator continues to rise, the S&P 500 is expected to gain further upward momentum and move towards the 4,400-4,500 point range.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c480d60762f6cae516e86860cf3bbbc\" tg-width=\"1112\" tg-height=\"749\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3632326\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/271cfa4439cda1437f20c9b60f7c187d","relate_stocks":{"BAC":"美国银行"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3632326","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2141823276","content_text":"目前市场对于美股是否“过度繁荣”的讨论非常热烈，有投资者担心美股或因美联储政策变化而出现大规模调整。\n美国银行试图从历史数据中寻找线索。该行统计显示，自1928年的月度数据表明传统“5月卖出”的股市谚语并不成立，美股大概率将经历夏季上涨行情。\n“5月卖出”的股市谚语并不成立\n美国银行表示，自1928年的月度数据显示，传统的“5月卖出”的策略并不成立，标普500指数大概率经历夏季上涨行情。\n从月份角度，5月回报率虽然为负但是绝佳的阶段性月度买点：6月的平均回报率约为0.77%；7月的平均回报率为1.58%，为全年最高；8月的回报率也相当不错，平均达到0.7%。\n9月才是全年表现最弱的月度，平均回报率为-1.03%。\n“总统行情”也确认美股夏季行情的规律。\n统计显示在美国新总统上任的第1年，美股的大规模反弹通常集中在7—8月：7月相关上涨概率达到65%，历史平均回报率达到2.28%。9-10月份则是相对疲弱的月份。\n\n跨月规律也显示夏季上涨规律\n在跨月角度，美国银行统计显示，6—8月是全年中表现第2好的3个月，相关上涨概率达到65%，平均回报率达到3.18%；1年中最弱的3个月是8月至10月，上涨概率为55%，但平均回报率仅为—0.03%\n\n而8月—10月则是全年中最弱的3个月，这意味着美股存在秋季回调的风险。\n单月中的头10个交易日回报率更高\n在短线交易方面，自1928年的月度数据显示，单月的前10个交易日市场表现往往比后10个交易日更强（12月除外）。\n6、7月份是相关规律显示最为明显的月份。6月前10个交易日平均上涨概率为59%，平均回报率为0.71%，后10个交易日上涨概率为47%，平均回报率为—0.01%。7月前10个交易日上涨概率为68%，平均回报率为1.53%，后10个交易日上涨概率59%，平均回报率为-0.02%。\n美股反弹或将继续延续\n美国银行强调，目前彭博美国金融状况指数突破新高，而这恰恰是标普500指突破新高的领先性指标。这或许暗示市场将继续上行。美国银行预测认为，如果该指标继续上行，标普500指数有望获得进一步上涨动能，向4400—4500点区间迈进。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BAC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114470713,"gmtCreate":1623101122132,"gmtModify":1704195922772,"author":{"id":"3586139690737893","authorId":"3586139690737893","name":"Michelle87","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/429c789d2f4cb22fa57e9febd51117b5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586139690737893","authorIdStr":"3586139690737893"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/114470713","repostId":"2141823276","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2141823276","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1623080428,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2141823276?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-07 23:40","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Bank of America: Some Investment Patterns in US Stocks Since 1928","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2141823276","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"目前市场对于美股是否“过度繁荣”的讨论非常热烈，有投资者担心美股或因美联储政策变化而出现大规模调整。\n美国银行试图从历史数据中寻找线索。该行统计显示，自1928年的月度数据表明传统“5月卖出”的股市谚","content":"<p>There is currently a heated discussion in the market about whether the US stock market is \"overprosperous,\" with some investors worried that the US stock market may experience a large-scale correction due to changes in the Federal Reserve's policies.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Trying to find clues from historical data. The bank's statistics show that monthly data since 1928 indicates that the traditional stock market adage of \"selling in May\" is not true, and US stocks are likely to experience a summer rally.</p><p><h2>The stock market proverb \"sell in May\" does not hold true</h2>Bank of America stated that monthly data since 1928 shows that the traditional \"May sell\" strategy does not hold true, and the S&P 500 is likely to experience a summer rally.</p><p><b>From a monthly perspective, although the return in May was negative, it was an excellent monthly buying opportunity.</b>The average return in June was approximately 0.77%; The average return in July was 1.58%, the highest of the year; The return in August was also quite good, averaging 0.7%.</p><p>September was the weakest month of the year, with an average return of -1.03%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffef396fe83da8fb05a1fcf928aca356\" tg-width=\"1095\" tg-height=\"760\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The \"presidential rally\" also confirms the pattern of the summer rally in US stocks.</p><p><b>Statistics show that in the first year of a new US president's term, large-scale rebounds in US stocks are typically concentrated in July and August.</b>The probability of a rise in July reached 65%, with a historical average return of 2.28%. September and October were relatively weak months.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ac31bf82d51f9dc069f81cb79ee98d7\" tg-width=\"1103\" tg-height=\"790\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>The cross-month pattern also reflects the summer upward trend.</h2>From a monthly perspective, Bank of America statistics show that June-August was the second best-performing three months of the year, with a 65% probability of an increase and an average return of 3.18%. The weakest three months of the year are August to October, with a 55% probability of an increase, but an average return of only -0.03%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b723af01581079a022899a5dacf947ed\" tg-width=\"1119\" tg-height=\"816\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>August to October are the three weakest months of the year.<b>This means that there is a risk of a correction in US stocks in the fall.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b56d223976b66649f0adb71a21b3cce\" tg-width=\"1106\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>The first 10 trading days of a month yield higher returns</h2>In terms of short-swing trading, monthly data since 1928 shows that<b>The market tends to perform better in the first 10 trading days of a month than in the last 10 trading days (except in December).</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d0204fb5c8b49191b3a1d854be72a01\" tg-width=\"1097\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>June and July are the months when the relevant patterns are most obvious.</b>The average probability of an increase in the first 10 trading days of June was 59%, with an average return of 0.71%, and the probability of an increase in the last 10 trading days was 47%, with an average return of -0.01%. The probability of an increase in the first 10 trading days of July is 68%, with an average return of 1.53%, and the probability of an increase in the last 10 trading days is 59%, with an average return of -0.02%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea32f3689760a04aa567b8b1c2daaaa1\" tg-width=\"1094\" tg-height=\"827\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>The rebound in US stocks may continue.</h2>Bank of America emphasized that the Bloomberg U.S. Financial Conditions Index has reached a new high, which is precisely the leading indicator for the S&P 500's record high. This may indicate that the market will continue to rise.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d72ba609108e876b7927dd14251dae4\" tg-width=\"1096\" tg-height=\"751\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bank of America predicts that if the indicator continues to rise, the S&P 500 is expected to gain further upward momentum and move towards the 4,400-4,500 point range.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c480d60762f6cae516e86860cf3bbbc\" tg-width=\"1112\" tg-height=\"749\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank of America: Some Investment Patterns in US Stocks Since 1928</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank of America: Some Investment Patterns in US Stocks Since 1928\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-07 23:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>There is currently a heated discussion in the market about whether the US stock market is \"overprosperous,\" with some investors worried that the US stock market may experience a large-scale correction due to changes in the Federal Reserve's policies.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Trying to find clues from historical data. The bank's statistics show that monthly data since 1928 indicates that the traditional stock market adage of \"selling in May\" is not true, and US stocks are likely to experience a summer rally.</p><p><h2>The stock market proverb \"sell in May\" does not hold true</h2>Bank of America stated that monthly data since 1928 shows that the traditional \"May sell\" strategy does not hold true, and the S&P 500 is likely to experience a summer rally.</p><p><b>From a monthly perspective, although the return in May was negative, it was an excellent monthly buying opportunity.</b>The average return in June was approximately 0.77%; The average return in July was 1.58%, the highest of the year; The return in August was also quite good, averaging 0.7%.</p><p>September was the weakest month of the year, with an average return of -1.03%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffef396fe83da8fb05a1fcf928aca356\" tg-width=\"1095\" tg-height=\"760\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The \"presidential rally\" also confirms the pattern of the summer rally in US stocks.</p><p><b>Statistics show that in the first year of a new US president's term, large-scale rebounds in US stocks are typically concentrated in July and August.</b>The probability of a rise in July reached 65%, with a historical average return of 2.28%. September and October were relatively weak months.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ac31bf82d51f9dc069f81cb79ee98d7\" tg-width=\"1103\" tg-height=\"790\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>The cross-month pattern also reflects the summer upward trend.</h2>From a monthly perspective, Bank of America statistics show that June-August was the second best-performing three months of the year, with a 65% probability of an increase and an average return of 3.18%. The weakest three months of the year are August to October, with a 55% probability of an increase, but an average return of only -0.03%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b723af01581079a022899a5dacf947ed\" tg-width=\"1119\" tg-height=\"816\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>August to October are the three weakest months of the year.<b>This means that there is a risk of a correction in US stocks in the fall.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b56d223976b66649f0adb71a21b3cce\" tg-width=\"1106\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>The first 10 trading days of a month yield higher returns</h2>In terms of short-swing trading, monthly data since 1928 shows that<b>The market tends to perform better in the first 10 trading days of a month than in the last 10 trading days (except in December).</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d0204fb5c8b49191b3a1d854be72a01\" tg-width=\"1097\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>June and July are the months when the relevant patterns are most obvious.</b>The average probability of an increase in the first 10 trading days of June was 59%, with an average return of 0.71%, and the probability of an increase in the last 10 trading days was 47%, with an average return of -0.01%. The probability of an increase in the first 10 trading days of July is 68%, with an average return of 1.53%, and the probability of an increase in the last 10 trading days is 59%, with an average return of -0.02%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea32f3689760a04aa567b8b1c2daaaa1\" tg-width=\"1094\" tg-height=\"827\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><h2>The rebound in US stocks may continue.</h2>Bank of America emphasized that the Bloomberg U.S. Financial Conditions Index has reached a new high, which is precisely the leading indicator for the S&P 500's record high. This may indicate that the market will continue to rise.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d72ba609108e876b7927dd14251dae4\" tg-width=\"1096\" tg-height=\"751\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bank of America predicts that if the indicator continues to rise, the S&P 500 is expected to gain further upward momentum and move towards the 4,400-4,500 point range.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c480d60762f6cae516e86860cf3bbbc\" tg-width=\"1112\" tg-height=\"749\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3632326\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/271cfa4439cda1437f20c9b60f7c187d","relate_stocks":{"BAC":"美国银行"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3632326","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2141823276","content_text":"目前市场对于美股是否“过度繁荣”的讨论非常热烈，有投资者担心美股或因美联储政策变化而出现大规模调整。\n美国银行试图从历史数据中寻找线索。该行统计显示，自1928年的月度数据表明传统“5月卖出”的股市谚语并不成立，美股大概率将经历夏季上涨行情。\n“5月卖出”的股市谚语并不成立\n美国银行表示，自1928年的月度数据显示，传统的“5月卖出”的策略并不成立，标普500指数大概率经历夏季上涨行情。\n从月份角度，5月回报率虽然为负但是绝佳的阶段性月度买点：6月的平均回报率约为0.77%；7月的平均回报率为1.58%，为全年最高；8月的回报率也相当不错，平均达到0.7%。\n9月才是全年表现最弱的月度，平均回报率为-1.03%。\n“总统行情”也确认美股夏季行情的规律。\n统计显示在美国新总统上任的第1年，美股的大规模反弹通常集中在7—8月：7月相关上涨概率达到65%，历史平均回报率达到2.28%。9-10月份则是相对疲弱的月份。\n\n跨月规律也显示夏季上涨规律\n在跨月角度，美国银行统计显示，6—8月是全年中表现第2好的3个月，相关上涨概率达到65%，平均回报率达到3.18%；1年中最弱的3个月是8月至10月，上涨概率为55%，但平均回报率仅为—0.03%\n\n而8月—10月则是全年中最弱的3个月，这意味着美股存在秋季回调的风险。\n单月中的头10个交易日回报率更高\n在短线交易方面，自1928年的月度数据显示，单月的前10个交易日市场表现往往比后10个交易日更强（12月除外）。\n6、7月份是相关规律显示最为明显的月份。6月前10个交易日平均上涨概率为59%，平均回报率为0.71%，后10个交易日上涨概率为47%，平均回报率为—0.01%。7月前10个交易日上涨概率为68%，平均回报率为1.53%，后10个交易日上涨概率59%，平均回报率为-0.02%。\n美股反弹或将继续延续\n美国银行强调，目前彭博美国金融状况指数突破新高，而这恰恰是标普500指突破新高的领先性指标。这或许暗示市场将继续上行。美国银行预测认为，如果该指标继续上行，标普500指数有望获得进一步上涨动能，向4400—4500点区间迈进。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BAC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4918,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":true}