2022Q1 Earnings Season speculation guide (II)
@OptionsDelta:
Us March CPI was released before the market today, rising 8.5% y/y, continuing to hit a 40-year high, expected 8.4% vs. 7.9% last. The market quickly rallied after the CPI data, with Nasdaq futures up as much as 2 per cent.Analysts explained this by saying that while headline inflation was in line with expectations, rising to a 40-year high, core inflation was lower than expected; Treasury yields are falling and the initial reading of the CPI data is that price pressures do not look as white-hot as feared. My explanation for this is that the market has been anticipating the CPI data since Brainard was already warned about it. This data is only abstractly scary, and last week the vice chairman of the Federal Reserve said at the meeting that the people can barely afford to eat is the real sc