Profile - To The Moon

Divaker

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- DivakerDivaker
  ·2023-07-19
  $Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.(RXRX)$ To the moon!!!!
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- DivakerDivaker
  ·2023-07-19
  $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
  166 Comment
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- DivakerDivaker
  ·2023-04-13
  $Alibaba(09988)$ Come on. Fundamentals trumps temp news. Eventually this stock will hit 200. No reason to sell now.
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- DivakerDivaker
  ·2023-04-11
  $Alibaba(BABA)$
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- DivakerDivaker
  ·2023-03-29
  $Alibaba(09988)$
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- DivakerDivaker
  ·2023-03-23
  $S&P 500(.SPX)$
  375 Comment
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- DivakerDivaker
  ·2022-01-19
  Nice
  Microsoft Takes Out Activision: Everything You Need To Know
  SummaryMicrosoft will acquire Activision Blizzard for $95 per share.This makes for a hefty premium c
  Microsoft Takes Out Activision: Everything You Need To Know
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- DivakerDivaker
  ·2022-01-13
  Wow
  U.S. Inflation Hits 39-Year High of 7%, Sets Stage for Fed Hike
  U.S. consumer prices soared last year by the most in nearly four decades, illustrating red-hot infla
  U.S. Inflation Hits 39-Year High of 7%, Sets Stage for Fed Hike
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- DivakerDivaker
  ·2022-01-13
  No brainer. Just buy and hodl. No paper hands!!
  Palantir: Worth $10, But I'll Buy At $15
  SummaryPalantir's share price has fallen over 30% in the last 6 months, but fundamentals look strong
  Palantir: Worth $10, But I'll Buy At $15
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- DivakerDivaker
  ·2022-01-10
  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$fundamentals best everything. Buy more with conviction. Sell if you're stupid.
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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RXRX\">$Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.(RXRX)$&nbsp;</a>To the moon!!!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RXRX\">$Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.(RXRX)$&nbsp;</a>To the moon!!!!","text":"$Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.(RXRX)$ To the moon!!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/199612874522640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":137,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":199424181330032,"gmtCreate":1689722784793,"gmtModify":1689722787428,"author":{"id":"4088386203148510","authorId":"4088386203148510","name":"Divaker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e435a4bfc3b2b1a28ed7d3cae0516cf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088386203148510","authorIdStr":"4088386203148510"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Come on.&nbsp; Fundamentals trumps temp news. Eventually this stock will hit 200. No reason to sell now.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>Come on.&nbsp; Fundamentals trumps temp news. Eventually this stock will hit 200. No reason to sell now.&nbsp;","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$ Come on. Fundamentals trumps temp news. Eventually this stock will hit 200. No reason to sell now.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945922275","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9942677100,"gmtCreate":1681222972301,"gmtModify":1681222975314,"author":{"id":"4088386203148510","authorId":"4088386203148510","name":"Divaker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e435a4bfc3b2b1a28ed7d3cae0516cf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088386203148510","authorIdStr":"4088386203148510"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9942677100","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941125913,"gmtCreate":1680068438432,"gmtModify":1680068441410,"author":{"id":"4088386203148510","authorId":"4088386203148510","name":"Divaker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e435a4bfc3b2b1a28ed7d3cae0516cf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088386203148510","authorIdStr":"4088386203148510"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941125913","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":134,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943515437,"gmtCreate":1679554417229,"gmtModify":1679554420069,"author":{"id":"4088386203148510","authorId":"4088386203148510","name":"Divaker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e435a4bfc3b2b1a28ed7d3cae0516cf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088386203148510","authorIdStr":"4088386203148510"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$S&P 500(.SPX)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943515437","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9004872190,"gmtCreate":1642563739515,"gmtModify":1676533723643,"author":{"id":"4088386203148510","authorId":"4088386203148510","name":"Divaker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e435a4bfc3b2b1a28ed7d3cae0516cf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088386203148510","authorIdStr":"4088386203148510"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004872190","repostId":"1145231721","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145231721","pubTimestamp":1642560526,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1145231721?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-19 10:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft Takes Out Activision: Everything You Need To Know","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145231721","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryMicrosoft will acquire Activision Blizzard for $95 per share.This makes for a hefty premium c","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Microsoft will acquire Activision Blizzard for $95 per share.</li><li>This makes for a hefty premium compared to where ATVI traded in recent months, but ATVI traded at higher prices one year ago.</li><li>This deal makes a lot of sense for MSFT, as it will be accretive while there is also a strategic rationale to get gaming IP.</li><li>Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Cash Flow Kingdom get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.</li></ul><p>Activision Blizzard, Inc. (ATVI), a leading gaming company, is getting acquired by Microsoft (MSFT), one of the largest tech companies in the world. The deal allows for compelling share price gains for those that bought into ATVI in the recent past when shares were pretty inexpensive. At the same time, I do believe that the takeover also makes a lot of sense for Microsoft. Not only is the deal immediately accretive thanks to ATVI&#39;s not very demanding valuation, but Microsoft is also able to access strong intellectual properties and will grow its strategic gaming division massively thanks to this takeover.</p><p><b>ATVI Overview</b></p><p>Activision Blizzard is a company that was, in its current form, created in 2007 when Vivendi (which owned Blizzard) and Activision agreed on a merger. Activision Blizzard is one of the largest gaming companies in the world, with annual sales of around $10 billion. Its intellectual property includes many established and sought-after franchises, including the Call of Duty franchise, the Tony Hawk franchise, the Warcraft and StarCraft franchises, the Diablo franchise, and many more. Some of the company&#39;s products utilize a free-to-play approach where in-game upgrades etc. can be purchased, such as Candy Crush. Other titles, such as the CoD franchise, come with a one-time purchase price, while others, such as World of Warcraft, require a monthly subscription fee. Some of the company&#39;s IP can be seen in the following graphic:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f0c27788cd938b9ac5d39da69065280\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"580\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>ATVI IP</p><p><b>ATVI presentation</b></p><p>There is a wide range of products addressing different groups of gamers across age groups, platforms (mobile, PC, gaming consoles), and content. This allows ATVI to address hundreds of millions of gamers with its products, although it should be noted that many of those users are non-paying gamers that play ATVI&#39;s free-to-play mobile games. Still, even the company&#39;s premium products, such as the CoD franchise and the Blizzard products, have monthly users of more than 100 million (in total), per ATVI&#39;s most recent quarterly report.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11e56e2b4367c7533b790c0167186de6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Data byYCharts</p><p>Over the last decade, ATVI has grown its revenue by 100%, and its cash flow by 200%. This makes for an annual growth rate of 7% and 12%, respectively, which I deem attractive. Revenue growth is, at least partially, driven by the growth across the global gaming industry. Playing games across a wide range of platforms is a type of entertainment that is becoming more popular over time, and thatgains shareversus other forms of entertainment, such as watching TV. In this growing market, ATVI didn&#39;t have any problems in generating business growth. Thanks to its strong IP and some takeovers, the company was able to grow its business quite meaningfully. Operating leverage, in turn, allowed the company to grow its profits and cash flow significantly faster than its revenue. Producing a title does come with relatively fixed costs, and selling the title to a growing number of consumers leads to outsized gains in profits and cash flow.</p><p>The global gaming market will, according to most forecasts, continue to grow rapidly for the foreseeable future. Some experts forecast that revenues will grow by10%+through the 2020s. Even if that turns out to be a too aggressive estimate, it seems pretty clear that global gaming sales will rise in the future. Current consensus estimates see ATVI grow its revenue from a little more than $9 billion this year to $18 billion in 2027, while its earnings per share are forecasted to grow from $3.80 this year to more than $9 over the same time frame. These analyst estimates may not be 100% precise, but they should be in the ballpark of where ATVI&#39;s actual results will land. Clearly, Activision Blizzard is thus a company with a compelling longer-term growth outlook, thanks primarily to strong macro tailwinds for its industry.</p><p><b>The Deal With Microsoft</b></p><p>Microsoft agreed to acquire Activision Blizzard for$95 per share, which makes for a 45% premium to the price per share before the deal was announced. This will be an all-cash deal, thus Microsoft will not issue any new shares to finance the acquisition - investors thus don&#39;t have to worry about dilution.</p><p>At the time of writing, ATVI trades at $86 per share, there thus is considerable room left versus the takeover price of $95. The takeover process will take some time, however, and management has guided that the deal will likely close in 2023. Investors will thus have to wait quite some time if they want to hold out for $95 per share, which is why I believe that selling in the high $80s or low $90s could make sense, as funds could be deployed elsewhere. Investors should also consider the risk that the acquisition could fall through, although I do not deem this particularly likely. It should be noted that it is also possible that another suitor comes out with a competing bid in the coming months, although I do not deem this especially likely, either.</p><p>Based on a share count of around 780 million, the deal values the company at $74 billion. We should adjust this for ATVI&#39;s net cash position, however, which stands at $6 billion. The actual price that Microsoft will pay for Activision Blizzard, net of cash and debt acquired, is thus $68 billion. For a company with around $3 billion in operating cash flow that isn&#39;t a low amount of money, but it isn&#39;t especially much, either. In fact, ATVI&#39;s cash flow multiple (at the takeover price) of around 23 is lower than Microsoft&#39;s current cash flow multiple of 28.</p><p>Microsoft is thus acquiring a company that is cheaper than Microsoft itself, even factoring in the takeover premium. At the same time, ATVI is forecasted to grow faster than MSFT, thus this deal looks pretty good for Microsoft: Microsoft can use a portion of its (non-productive) cash pile to acquire a company that is growing faster than itself and that trades at a lower valuation.</p><p>At the same time, there is also a strong strategic rationale for Microsoft to do this takeover. Microsoft&#39;s gaming franchise is solid, but lacking scale and strong/attractive intellectual property. By acquiring ATVI, with its established huge franchises, such as CoD or Diablo, Microsoft can strengthen its position in an area where it is currently looking relatively weak. At the same time, with Microsoft&#39;s massive resources, investments in ATVI&#39;s franchises could be increased, which would possibly allow for a better output when it comes to class A titles in the future. Since Microsoft already owns one of the major gaming platforms (Xbox), getting a stronger hold on the software side will make Microsoft a stronger player in the gaming industry overall. I wouldn&#39;t be surprised to see Microsoft develop more exclusive Xbox titles in the future, using ATVI&#39;s IP, which should also drive sales for Microsoft&#39;s gaming hardware side.</p><p><b>What It Means For ATVI And MSFT Shareholders</b></p><p>For Microsoft&#39;s shareholders, this seems like a huge win - which is why I was surprised to see MSFT&#39;s shares decline initially. Microsoft gets to deploy cash in an accretive way (more accretive than buybacks) while strengthening the company&#39;s position in a huge growth market. There is, from Microsoft&#39;s side, nothing to dislike about this deal, I believe. I personally think that it makes more sense than the LinkedIn acquisition, for example.</p><p>For Activision Blizzard&#39;s shareholders, the acquisition looks pretty solid as well - especially for those that bought when shares were pretty inexpensive over the last couple of months. Those that bought in early 2021, when shares traded at as much as $100, might feel that the takeover price is too low. A case could be made that ATVI deserves a higher takeover price based on its future growth outlook, but I believe that ATVI&#39;s shareholders are getting a pretty reasonable payment here.</p><p>I own shares in both companies, with the ATVI position being a relatively new one, bought in late 2021 at around $65 per share (missing the bottom, which was at $56). I am happy to bag a 30%+ return for a couple of months and plan to sell my shares in the near term, even though I won&#39;t receive the full $95 per share by doing so. I might deploy some of the proceeds into MSFT, although not all of them, as I deem Microsoft pretty expensive right now. MSFT is, after all, trading at more than 33x this year&#39;s net profits (ATVI, for reference, was trading at just 17x forward profits when I bought my stake).</p><p>For those ATVI investors that want to have exposure to ATVI&#39;s IP, buying MSFT is a logical choice, although they should be clear about the fact that ATVI will only be a relatively small part of the much bigger MSFT. For those that want to deploy their money into a 100% gaming-focused pick, Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) could be a reasonable choice - its shares have become less expensive following the announcement of the Zynga (ZNGA) deal, and TTWO owns strong IP as well (e.g., GTA).</p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft Takes Out Activision: Everything You Need To Know</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft Takes Out Activision: Everything You Need To Know\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-19 10:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4480128-msft-takes-out-atvi><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryMicrosoft will acquire Activision Blizzard for $95 per share.This makes for a hefty premium compared to where ATVI traded in recent months, but ATVI traded at higher prices one year ago.This ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4480128-msft-takes-out-atvi\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ATVI":"动视暴雪","MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4480128-msft-takes-out-atvi","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145231721","content_text":"SummaryMicrosoft will acquire Activision Blizzard for $95 per share.This makes for a hefty premium compared to where ATVI traded in recent months, but ATVI traded at higher prices one year ago.This deal makes a lot of sense for MSFT, as it will be accretive while there is also a strategic rationale to get gaming IP.Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Cash Flow Kingdom get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.Activision Blizzard, Inc. (ATVI), a leading gaming company, is getting acquired by Microsoft (MSFT), one of the largest tech companies in the world. The deal allows for compelling share price gains for those that bought into ATVI in the recent past when shares were pretty inexpensive. At the same time, I do believe that the takeover also makes a lot of sense for Microsoft. Not only is the deal immediately accretive thanks to ATVI's not very demanding valuation, but Microsoft is also able to access strong intellectual properties and will grow its strategic gaming division massively thanks to this takeover.ATVI OverviewActivision Blizzard is a company that was, in its current form, created in 2007 when Vivendi (which owned Blizzard) and Activision agreed on a merger. Activision Blizzard is one of the largest gaming companies in the world, with annual sales of around $10 billion. Its intellectual property includes many established and sought-after franchises, including the Call of Duty franchise, the Tony Hawk franchise, the Warcraft and StarCraft franchises, the Diablo franchise, and many more. Some of the company's products utilize a free-to-play approach where in-game upgrades etc. can be purchased, such as Candy Crush. Other titles, such as the CoD franchise, come with a one-time purchase price, while others, such as World of Warcraft, require a monthly subscription fee. Some of the company's IP can be seen in the following graphic:ATVI IPATVI presentationThere is a wide range of products addressing different groups of gamers across age groups, platforms (mobile, PC, gaming consoles), and content. This allows ATVI to address hundreds of millions of gamers with its products, although it should be noted that many of those users are non-paying gamers that play ATVI's free-to-play mobile games. Still, even the company's premium products, such as the CoD franchise and the Blizzard products, have monthly users of more than 100 million (in total), per ATVI's most recent quarterly report.Data byYChartsOver the last decade, ATVI has grown its revenue by 100%, and its cash flow by 200%. This makes for an annual growth rate of 7% and 12%, respectively, which I deem attractive. Revenue growth is, at least partially, driven by the growth across the global gaming industry. Playing games across a wide range of platforms is a type of entertainment that is becoming more popular over time, and thatgains shareversus other forms of entertainment, such as watching TV. In this growing market, ATVI didn't have any problems in generating business growth. Thanks to its strong IP and some takeovers, the company was able to grow its business quite meaningfully. Operating leverage, in turn, allowed the company to grow its profits and cash flow significantly faster than its revenue. Producing a title does come with relatively fixed costs, and selling the title to a growing number of consumers leads to outsized gains in profits and cash flow.The global gaming market will, according to most forecasts, continue to grow rapidly for the foreseeable future. Some experts forecast that revenues will grow by10%+through the 2020s. Even if that turns out to be a too aggressive estimate, it seems pretty clear that global gaming sales will rise in the future. Current consensus estimates see ATVI grow its revenue from a little more than $9 billion this year to $18 billion in 2027, while its earnings per share are forecasted to grow from $3.80 this year to more than $9 over the same time frame. These analyst estimates may not be 100% precise, but they should be in the ballpark of where ATVI's actual results will land. Clearly, Activision Blizzard is thus a company with a compelling longer-term growth outlook, thanks primarily to strong macro tailwinds for its industry.The Deal With MicrosoftMicrosoft agreed to acquire Activision Blizzard for$95 per share, which makes for a 45% premium to the price per share before the deal was announced. This will be an all-cash deal, thus Microsoft will not issue any new shares to finance the acquisition - investors thus don't have to worry about dilution.At the time of writing, ATVI trades at $86 per share, there thus is considerable room left versus the takeover price of $95. The takeover process will take some time, however, and management has guided that the deal will likely close in 2023. Investors will thus have to wait quite some time if they want to hold out for $95 per share, which is why I believe that selling in the high $80s or low $90s could make sense, as funds could be deployed elsewhere. Investors should also consider the risk that the acquisition could fall through, although I do not deem this particularly likely. It should be noted that it is also possible that another suitor comes out with a competing bid in the coming months, although I do not deem this especially likely, either.Based on a share count of around 780 million, the deal values the company at $74 billion. We should adjust this for ATVI's net cash position, however, which stands at $6 billion. The actual price that Microsoft will pay for Activision Blizzard, net of cash and debt acquired, is thus $68 billion. For a company with around $3 billion in operating cash flow that isn't a low amount of money, but it isn't especially much, either. In fact, ATVI's cash flow multiple (at the takeover price) of around 23 is lower than Microsoft's current cash flow multiple of 28.Microsoft is thus acquiring a company that is cheaper than Microsoft itself, even factoring in the takeover premium. At the same time, ATVI is forecasted to grow faster than MSFT, thus this deal looks pretty good for Microsoft: Microsoft can use a portion of its (non-productive) cash pile to acquire a company that is growing faster than itself and that trades at a lower valuation.At the same time, there is also a strong strategic rationale for Microsoft to do this takeover. Microsoft's gaming franchise is solid, but lacking scale and strong/attractive intellectual property. By acquiring ATVI, with its established huge franchises, such as CoD or Diablo, Microsoft can strengthen its position in an area where it is currently looking relatively weak. At the same time, with Microsoft's massive resources, investments in ATVI's franchises could be increased, which would possibly allow for a better output when it comes to class A titles in the future. Since Microsoft already owns one of the major gaming platforms (Xbox), getting a stronger hold on the software side will make Microsoft a stronger player in the gaming industry overall. I wouldn't be surprised to see Microsoft develop more exclusive Xbox titles in the future, using ATVI's IP, which should also drive sales for Microsoft's gaming hardware side.What It Means For ATVI And MSFT ShareholdersFor Microsoft's shareholders, this seems like a huge win - which is why I was surprised to see MSFT's shares decline initially. Microsoft gets to deploy cash in an accretive way (more accretive than buybacks) while strengthening the company's position in a huge growth market. There is, from Microsoft's side, nothing to dislike about this deal, I believe. I personally think that it makes more sense than the LinkedIn acquisition, for example.For Activision Blizzard's shareholders, the acquisition looks pretty solid as well - especially for those that bought when shares were pretty inexpensive over the last couple of months. Those that bought in early 2021, when shares traded at as much as $100, might feel that the takeover price is too low. A case could be made that ATVI deserves a higher takeover price based on its future growth outlook, but I believe that ATVI's shareholders are getting a pretty reasonable payment here.I own shares in both companies, with the ATVI position being a relatively new one, bought in late 2021 at around $65 per share (missing the bottom, which was at $56). I am happy to bag a 30%+ return for a couple of months and plan to sell my shares in the near term, even though I won't receive the full $95 per share by doing so. I might deploy some of the proceeds into MSFT, although not all of them, as I deem Microsoft pretty expensive right now. MSFT is, after all, trading at more than 33x this year's net profits (ATVI, for reference, was trading at just 17x forward profits when I bought my stake).For those ATVI investors that want to have exposure to ATVI's IP, buying MSFT is a logical choice, although they should be clear about the fact that ATVI will only be a relatively small part of the much bigger MSFT. For those that want to deploy their money into a 100% gaming-focused pick, Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) could be a reasonable choice - its shares have become less expensive following the announcement of the Zynga (ZNGA) deal, and TTWO owns strong IP as well (e.g., GTA).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":579,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9002235633,"gmtCreate":1642026812266,"gmtModify":1676533671959,"author":{"id":"4088386203148510","authorId":"4088386203148510","name":"Divaker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e435a4bfc3b2b1a28ed7d3cae0516cf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088386203148510","authorIdStr":"4088386203148510"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9002235633","repostId":"1158975441","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158975441","pubTimestamp":1642001580,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1158975441?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-12 23:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Inflation Hits 39-Year High of 7%, Sets Stage for Fed Hike","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158975441","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"U.S. consumer prices soared last year by the most in nearly four decades, illustrating red-hot infla","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. consumer prices soared last year by the most in nearly four decades, illustrating red-hot inflation that sets the stage for the start of Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes as soon as March.</p><p>The consumer price index climbed 7% in 2021, the largest 12-month gain since June 1982, according to Labor Department data released Wednesday. The widely followed inflation gauge rose 0.5% from November, exceeding forecasts.</p><p>Excluding the volatile food and energy components, so-called core prices accelerated from a month earlier, rising by a larger-than-forecast 0.6%. The measure jumped 5.5% from a year earlier, the biggest advance since 1991.</p><p>The increase in the CPI was led by higher prices for shelter and used vehicles. Food costs also contributed. Energy prices, which were a key driver of inflation through most of 2021, fell last month.</p><p>The data bolster expectations that the Fed will begin raising interest rates in March, a sharp policy adjustment from the timeline projected just a few months ago. High inflation has proven more stubborn and widespread than the central bank predicted amid unprecedented demand for goods along with capacity constraints related to the supply of both labor and materials.</p><p>Meanwhile, the unemployment rate has now fallen below 4%. Against this evolving backdrop, some Fed policy makers have said that it could be appropriate to begin shrinking the central bank’s balance sheet soon after raising rates.</p><p>Market expectations for Fed tightening expected in March and 2022 as a whole were largely unchanged after the report. Yields on 10-year Treasuries remained lower with the dollar, while the S&amp;P 500 opened higher.</p><p>“In terms of where the Fed is on their dual mandate -- inflation and the labor market -- they’re basically there,” Michael Gapen, chief U.S. economist at Barclays Plc, said on Bloomberg Television. “I don’t really think anything stops them going in March except one of these kind of outlier events. I think they’re ready.”</p><p>The energy index declined 0.4% from November, the first monthly decline since April as gasoline prices slid. Food inflation climbed 0.5%, a slight deceleration from the previous month due to falling costs for meats.</p><p>“What we have now is a mismatch between demand and supply. We have very strong demand in areas where supply is constrained, particularly around goods, particularly around things like cars,” Fed Chair Jerome Powell told the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday.</p><p>Desperate to fill open positions, businesses are increasing pay to attract and retain workers, particularly at the lower end. But rising prices are eroding those wage advances. Inflation-adjusted average hourly earnings dropped 2.4% in December from a year earlier, the biggest drop since May, separate data showed Wednesday. However, compared with a month earlier, they rose 0.1%, the first gain in three months.</p><p>What Bloomberg Economics Says...</p><p>“The December CPI showed strong demand and supply bottlenecks still at play, with goods inflation driven higher by auto and apparel prices. A step-down in services prices may prove misleading, with shelter costs set to be a growing source of upward pressure in 2022.”</p><p>-- Andrew Husby and Yelena Shulyatyeva, economists</p><p>Shelter costs -- which are considered to be a more structural component of the CPI and make up about a third of the overall index -- rose 0.4% from the prior month. Other gauges of home prices and rents have surged last year, likely presaging a sharp acceleration in the report’s housing metrics this year and offering an enduring tailwind to inflation.</p><p>Omicron -- the dominant Covid-19 variant in the U.S. -- is poised to further disrupt already fragile supply chains as quarantines and illness prevent some employees from going to work. Spending on services like travel may slow, pushing down prices, but goods prices may move higher.</p><p>Nonetheless, the impact is expected to be temporary. Economists expect CPI growth to moderate to around 3% over the course of 2022, which will depend on supply chains normalizing and energy prices leveling off. However, higher rents, robust wage growth, subsequent waves of Covid-19 and lingering supply constraints all pose upside risks to the inflation outlook.</p><p>The persistently high inflation is also likely to maintain a high hurdle for President Joe Biden and Democrats to revive their roughly $2 trillion tax-and-spending package, after a key lawmaker, West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin, objected to the legislation in part because of the surge in prices.</p><p>On a December-December basis, the increase in the CPI was the largest advance since 1981.</p><p>The inflation environment changed markedly in 2021 compared with the prior year when a pandemic-related slowdown in demand led to the smallest calendar-year gain in the CPI since 2015.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Inflation Hits 39-Year High of 7%, Sets Stage for Fed Hike</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Inflation Hits 39-Year High of 7%, Sets Stage for Fed Hike\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-12 23:33 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/inflation-u-registers-biggest-annual-133249802.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. consumer prices soared last year by the most in nearly four decades, illustrating red-hot inflation that sets the stage for the start of Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes as soon as March.The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/inflation-u-registers-biggest-annual-133249802.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/inflation-u-registers-biggest-annual-133249802.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158975441","content_text":"U.S. consumer prices soared last year by the most in nearly four decades, illustrating red-hot inflation that sets the stage for the start of Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes as soon as March.The consumer price index climbed 7% in 2021, the largest 12-month gain since June 1982, according to Labor Department data released Wednesday. The widely followed inflation gauge rose 0.5% from November, exceeding forecasts.Excluding the volatile food and energy components, so-called core prices accelerated from a month earlier, rising by a larger-than-forecast 0.6%. The measure jumped 5.5% from a year earlier, the biggest advance since 1991.The increase in the CPI was led by higher prices for shelter and used vehicles. Food costs also contributed. Energy prices, which were a key driver of inflation through most of 2021, fell last month.The data bolster expectations that the Fed will begin raising interest rates in March, a sharp policy adjustment from the timeline projected just a few months ago. High inflation has proven more stubborn and widespread than the central bank predicted amid unprecedented demand for goods along with capacity constraints related to the supply of both labor and materials.Meanwhile, the unemployment rate has now fallen below 4%. Against this evolving backdrop, some Fed policy makers have said that it could be appropriate to begin shrinking the central bank’s balance sheet soon after raising rates.Market expectations for Fed tightening expected in March and 2022 as a whole were largely unchanged after the report. Yields on 10-year Treasuries remained lower with the dollar, while the S&P 500 opened higher.“In terms of where the Fed is on their dual mandate -- inflation and the labor market -- they’re basically there,” Michael Gapen, chief U.S. economist at Barclays Plc, said on Bloomberg Television. “I don’t really think anything stops them going in March except one of these kind of outlier events. I think they’re ready.”The energy index declined 0.4% from November, the first monthly decline since April as gasoline prices slid. Food inflation climbed 0.5%, a slight deceleration from the previous month due to falling costs for meats.“What we have now is a mismatch between demand and supply. We have very strong demand in areas where supply is constrained, particularly around goods, particularly around things like cars,” Fed Chair Jerome Powell told the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday.Desperate to fill open positions, businesses are increasing pay to attract and retain workers, particularly at the lower end. But rising prices are eroding those wage advances. Inflation-adjusted average hourly earnings dropped 2.4% in December from a year earlier, the biggest drop since May, separate data showed Wednesday. However, compared with a month earlier, they rose 0.1%, the first gain in three months.What Bloomberg Economics Says...“The December CPI showed strong demand and supply bottlenecks still at play, with goods inflation driven higher by auto and apparel prices. A step-down in services prices may prove misleading, with shelter costs set to be a growing source of upward pressure in 2022.”-- Andrew Husby and Yelena Shulyatyeva, economistsShelter costs -- which are considered to be a more structural component of the CPI and make up about a third of the overall index -- rose 0.4% from the prior month. Other gauges of home prices and rents have surged last year, likely presaging a sharp acceleration in the report’s housing metrics this year and offering an enduring tailwind to inflation.Omicron -- the dominant Covid-19 variant in the U.S. -- is poised to further disrupt already fragile supply chains as quarantines and illness prevent some employees from going to work. Spending on services like travel may slow, pushing down prices, but goods prices may move higher.Nonetheless, the impact is expected to be temporary. Economists expect CPI growth to moderate to around 3% over the course of 2022, which will depend on supply chains normalizing and energy prices leveling off. However, higher rents, robust wage growth, subsequent waves of Covid-19 and lingering supply constraints all pose upside risks to the inflation outlook.The persistently high inflation is also likely to maintain a high hurdle for President Joe Biden and Democrats to revive their roughly $2 trillion tax-and-spending package, after a key lawmaker, West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin, objected to the legislation in part because of the surge in prices.On a December-December basis, the increase in the CPI was the largest advance since 1981.The inflation environment changed markedly in 2021 compared with the prior year when a pandemic-related slowdown in demand led to the smallest calendar-year gain in the CPI since 2015.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":384,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9002235833,"gmtCreate":1642026788856,"gmtModify":1676533671951,"author":{"id":"4088386203148510","authorId":"4088386203148510","name":"Divaker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e435a4bfc3b2b1a28ed7d3cae0516cf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088386203148510","authorIdStr":"4088386203148510"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No brainer. Just buy and hodl. No paper hands!!","listText":"No brainer. Just buy and hodl. No paper hands!!","text":"No brainer. Just buy and hodl. No paper hands!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9002235833","repostId":"1114732808","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114732808","pubTimestamp":1641995536,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114732808?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-12 21:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Worth $10, But I'll Buy At $15","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114732808","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir's share price has fallen over 30% in the last 6 months, but fundamentals look strong","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir&#39;s share price has fallen over 30% in the last 6 months, but fundamentals look stronger than ever.</li><li>I see improved profitability in the future and a service that competitors will struggle to replicate.</li><li>Macro headwinds are a challenge, but just.</li><li>At worst, Palantir is worth $10, but I&#39;d definitely add at $15. There&#39;s still plenty of room for the company to surprise investors.</li></ul><p><b>Thesis Summary</b></p><p>Palantir’s(NYSE:PLTR)share price has fallen nearly 30% in the last six months amid a broader tech selloff. Bears have come out of the cave, with some going as far as declaring that the company is worth as little as $5 share.</p><p>Granted, the company has its problems, but it is still a pioneering company in a growing sector. Unlike the naysayers, I do believe that Palantir has a moat and I see evidence that it could achieve higher profitability as it scales.</p><p>What is Palantir’s “fair value”? Being conservative, I could go as low as $10/share, but the market won’t take it that low. At $15, this is a screaming buy due to its long-term potential. Growth in the private sector will be the definitive trend to watch for in the next decade.</p><p><b>Palantir does have a moat (for now)</b></p><p>One of the biggest areas of debate surrounding Palantir is the existence or lack of a “moat” around its business. When it comes to technology like AI, it can be hard for investors to understand just how “unique” a certain technology is.</p><p>Palantir offers Foundry for enterprises and Gotham for governments, which is an AI data analytics tool. Used in the right way and by the right people, it can be used to seamlessly sift through data and find patterns or trends that could potentially do anything from stopping a terrorist attack to optimizing supply chains.</p><p>Is this software unique? There are a lot of other companies in the lucrative space of data analytics, but few that have the capabilities of Palantir. Evidence of this, of course, is the large presence the company has achieved in the public sector. However, what is also misunderstood by many is that Palantir has amassed some of the best talent in the industry.</p><p>It is this combination of talent, which comes at the price of stock-based compensation, and a top of line software/AI, which give Palantir its moat.</p><p><b>Economies of scale are happening</b></p><p>The other main issue that people have with Palantir, is profitability. The company is losing cash every year and funding its operations through stock dilution. However, what people fail to see is that Palantir is funding growth and expansion. If the company wanted to, I believe it could indeed turn a profit as soon as next year. After all, the company has a levered FCF margin of around 35%.</p><p>But profitability isn’t what the company wants, as it is trying to grow revenues and expand. Having said that, for those that believe profitability is a pipedream, I found the most encouraging evidence of economies of scale in the latest earnings call presentation.During the Q&amp;A section, a very interesting point was made regarding the different modules that the company has been able to create for Foundry. In short, Palantir has been able to create specialized versions of Foundry which can be used for specific situations/industries. In other words, the company has been able to standardize its work to a degree. The data problems that one company faces, aren’t unique and from what I gather, Palantir can now deploy previously created modules to solve similar problems while decreasing the workload and deployment time.</p><p><b>How much is Palantir worth now and in the future?</b></p><p>With all of the above said, Palantir doesn’t seem to me like bad company. But is the valuation stretched? That depends on what multiples the market assigns, the actual growth rates, and the level of dilution we see moving forward.</p><p>In a previous article, I forecasted the revenue growth of Palantir based on current trends and estimates, and also looked at a possible trajectory for the overall share growth based on financing needs and balance sheet structure.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f751d9a2d6909956f9ca75d692d1eb3\" tg-width=\"717\" tg-height=\"261\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir Growth</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d3c17b0966870585d0f4bc51a488ddb\" tg-width=\"728\" tg-height=\"759\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir Shares</span></p><p>The projections for 2021 are on the higher side, but the growth fits the overall narrative of the company of going from a 40% growth rate to a stabilized 30% CAGR over the next decade. Also, bear in mind Palantir has typically beaten its revenue forecasts.</p><p>With this revenue and share count, we can easily calculate a target share price, all we need is to assign a P/S multiple.</p><p>In 2021, Palantir has traded at a P/S of around 20 and as high as 30. While I agree that this is on the higher end of the spectrum, it is much more reasonable than assigning a P/S of 5. I would argue the best way to find a reasonable ratio, is to find a comparable company, and I’d say Splunk Inc(NASDAQ:SPLK)is a good start. Splunk, like Palantir, is in the data business, it has similar margins and even a presence in the public sector, making it a close competitor to Palantir.</p><p>Splunk currently has a P/S of around 7.6, but it has also grown revenues at only 10% in the last year, far below Palantir’s 43% growth rate. With this in mind, I could easily justify Palantir having a P/S of 15. Even if you believe both Palantir and Splunk are due for further multiple contractions I think a P/S of 10 for Palantir is as low as the market will go. With that said, I’ll establish a price range using a P/S of 10-15 and using my forecasts for 2022 and 2025.</p><p>Therefore, my price target for 2022 based on P/S would be $11.5-$15.2. By 2025, at the same P/S, the shares would be worth between $24.6-$37. Bear in mind this implies a significant multiple contraction compared to what we have seen in 2021.</p><p><b>Other considerations</b></p><p>I think $10 is a floor that Palantir won’t break. I’d be happy to scoop up those shares at that price, and even at $15. Palantir is well-positioned for long-term growth, and it could pleasantly surprise investors, especially if it can make more inroads in the private sector. For now, indeed, unprofitable companies like Palantir are not fashionable, due to the idea that the Fed will be raising rates “soon”. This is yet to be seen.</p><p>As I’ve mentioned before, inflation will struggle to remain high while money velocity is trending lower. Could we have already seen the highest levels of inflation? Without direct fiscal stimulus (literally sending people money) inflation won’t persist, and without inflation low rates, cheap money and high growth will remain good investments.</p><p><b>Takeaway</b></p><p>Certainly, anything could happen, and it’s important to have a diversified portfolio of companies, but at these prices, Palantir offers limited downside while holding the potential to surprise investors in the next few months and even years.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Worth $10, But I'll Buy At $15</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Worth $10, But I'll Buy At $15\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-12 21:52 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479204-palantir-stock-worth-10-dollars-buy-at-15><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir's share price has fallen over 30% in the last 6 months, but fundamentals look stronger than ever.I see improved profitability in the future and a service that competitors will struggle...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479204-palantir-stock-worth-10-dollars-buy-at-15\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479204-palantir-stock-worth-10-dollars-buy-at-15","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1114732808","content_text":"SummaryPalantir's share price has fallen over 30% in the last 6 months, but fundamentals look stronger than ever.I see improved profitability in the future and a service that competitors will struggle to replicate.Macro headwinds are a challenge, but just.At worst, Palantir is worth $10, but I'd definitely add at $15. There's still plenty of room for the company to surprise investors.Thesis SummaryPalantir’s(NYSE:PLTR)share price has fallen nearly 30% in the last six months amid a broader tech selloff. Bears have come out of the cave, with some going as far as declaring that the company is worth as little as $5 share.Granted, the company has its problems, but it is still a pioneering company in a growing sector. Unlike the naysayers, I do believe that Palantir has a moat and I see evidence that it could achieve higher profitability as it scales.What is Palantir’s “fair value”? Being conservative, I could go as low as $10/share, but the market won’t take it that low. At $15, this is a screaming buy due to its long-term potential. Growth in the private sector will be the definitive trend to watch for in the next decade.Palantir does have a moat (for now)One of the biggest areas of debate surrounding Palantir is the existence or lack of a “moat” around its business. When it comes to technology like AI, it can be hard for investors to understand just how “unique” a certain technology is.Palantir offers Foundry for enterprises and Gotham for governments, which is an AI data analytics tool. Used in the right way and by the right people, it can be used to seamlessly sift through data and find patterns or trends that could potentially do anything from stopping a terrorist attack to optimizing supply chains.Is this software unique? There are a lot of other companies in the lucrative space of data analytics, but few that have the capabilities of Palantir. Evidence of this, of course, is the large presence the company has achieved in the public sector. However, what is also misunderstood by many is that Palantir has amassed some of the best talent in the industry.It is this combination of talent, which comes at the price of stock-based compensation, and a top of line software/AI, which give Palantir its moat.Economies of scale are happeningThe other main issue that people have with Palantir, is profitability. The company is losing cash every year and funding its operations through stock dilution. However, what people fail to see is that Palantir is funding growth and expansion. If the company wanted to, I believe it could indeed turn a profit as soon as next year. After all, the company has a levered FCF margin of around 35%.But profitability isn’t what the company wants, as it is trying to grow revenues and expand. Having said that, for those that believe profitability is a pipedream, I found the most encouraging evidence of economies of scale in the latest earnings call presentation.During the Q&A section, a very interesting point was made regarding the different modules that the company has been able to create for Foundry. In short, Palantir has been able to create specialized versions of Foundry which can be used for specific situations/industries. In other words, the company has been able to standardize its work to a degree. The data problems that one company faces, aren’t unique and from what I gather, Palantir can now deploy previously created modules to solve similar problems while decreasing the workload and deployment time.How much is Palantir worth now and in the future?With all of the above said, Palantir doesn’t seem to me like bad company. But is the valuation stretched? That depends on what multiples the market assigns, the actual growth rates, and the level of dilution we see moving forward.In a previous article, I forecasted the revenue growth of Palantir based on current trends and estimates, and also looked at a possible trajectory for the overall share growth based on financing needs and balance sheet structure.Palantir GrowthPalantir SharesThe projections for 2021 are on the higher side, but the growth fits the overall narrative of the company of going from a 40% growth rate to a stabilized 30% CAGR over the next decade. Also, bear in mind Palantir has typically beaten its revenue forecasts.With this revenue and share count, we can easily calculate a target share price, all we need is to assign a P/S multiple.In 2021, Palantir has traded at a P/S of around 20 and as high as 30. While I agree that this is on the higher end of the spectrum, it is much more reasonable than assigning a P/S of 5. I would argue the best way to find a reasonable ratio, is to find a comparable company, and I’d say Splunk Inc(NASDAQ:SPLK)is a good start. Splunk, like Palantir, is in the data business, it has similar margins and even a presence in the public sector, making it a close competitor to Palantir.Splunk currently has a P/S of around 7.6, but it has also grown revenues at only 10% in the last year, far below Palantir’s 43% growth rate. With this in mind, I could easily justify Palantir having a P/S of 15. Even if you believe both Palantir and Splunk are due for further multiple contractions I think a P/S of 10 for Palantir is as low as the market will go. With that said, I’ll establish a price range using a P/S of 10-15 and using my forecasts for 2022 and 2025.Therefore, my price target for 2022 based on P/S would be $11.5-$15.2. By 2025, at the same P/S, the shares would be worth between $24.6-$37. Bear in mind this implies a significant multiple contraction compared to what we have seen in 2021.Other considerationsI think $10 is a floor that Palantir won’t break. I’d be happy to scoop up those shares at that price, and even at $15. Palantir is well-positioned for long-term growth, and it could pleasantly surprise investors, especially if it can make more inroads in the private sector. For now, indeed, unprofitable companies like Palantir are not fashionable, due to the idea that the Fed will be raising rates “soon”. This is yet to be seen.As I’ve mentioned before, inflation will struggle to remain high while money velocity is trending lower. Could we have already seen the highest levels of inflation? Without direct fiscal stimulus (literally sending people money) inflation won’t persist, and without inflation low rates, cheap money and high growth will remain good investments.TakeawayCertainly, anything could happen, and it’s important to have a diversified portfolio of companies, but at these prices, Palantir offers limited downside while holding the potential to surprise investors in the next few months and even years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9006424806,"gmtCreate":1641825133125,"gmtModify":1676533651148,"author":{"id":"4088386203148510","authorId":"4088386203148510","name":"Divaker","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e435a4bfc3b2b1a28ed7d3cae0516cf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088386203148510","authorIdStr":"4088386203148510"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>fundamentals best everything. Buy more with conviction. Sell if you're stupid.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>fundamentals best everything. Buy more with conviction. Sell if you're stupid.","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$fundamentals best everything. Buy more with conviction. Sell if you're stupid.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9006424806","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":776,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":true}