ToughCoyote

    • ToughCoyoteToughCoyote
      ·13:05

      My view of FEDs rate future

      The Fed’s terminal interest rate futures are higher than a week ago. Not only that, the speed of interest rate cut expectations has also been delayed by almost three months compared to the previous week. It fell back to 4.5%, but this expectation has been delayed, and it will not be seen until March 2024. I remember that I shared my views on inflation in the United States and other mature economies last year. For all mature economies whose inflation once exceeded 5%, it is a very difficult and unbearable path for inflation to return to 2%. This process includes rising unemployment, falling wages, weak or even losses in corporate profits, and a decline in the new order index. But so far, I don't think the situation is as expected by the Fed or the market. Although the data I have seen for the time being is somewhat mixed, I haven't seen a signal that the Fed needs to cut interest rates first. Imagination is much longer, and don’t forget that the Fed is always half a beat or even a beat behind the economic data. Maybe the data will really weaken by then, but the Fed officials choose not to believe it, and continue to observe. The market does not believe it. It takes time to ferment the decision-making, and as a result, more potential risks that were not necessary to bear will be exposed one by one. At that time, I think the current market rebound may also come to an end, especially if the market finds out that it is mispriced, then it may be even more powerful if it has risen so high before. $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$  $Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$  @Daily_Discussion @TigerStars @Tiger_chat @MillionaireTiger 
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      My view of FEDs rate future
    • ToughCoyoteToughCoyote
      ·00:22

      Can ChatGPT replace investment decisions?

      Backgrounds ChatGPT is a chatbot software launched by OpenAI in November 2022. ChatGPT can continuously interact with humans in most fields, and when implemented, it became the fastest-growing consumer application in history. Just two months after ChatGPT was launched, its monthly active users exceeded 100 million at the end of January 2023, making it the consumer app with the fastest user growth rate in history. According to Sensor Tower data, it took 9 months for TikTok to reach 100 million users, while it took 2 and a half years for Instagram. In the opinion of many people, ChatGPT is more like a god: it can be a programmer and directly help you write programs; it can also help you with business planning and are clearly organized; it can even write articles and papers with strict logic... So is ChatGPT really that amazing? And can it replace investment decisions? For a brief summary of its advantages and disadvantages, please refer to ↓ Strength 1. ChatGPT optimizes the accuracy of matching between questions and answers, and the user experience is far better than traditional search engines 2. ChatGPT has strong command learning ability. The task instructions it can understand include not only answering questions, but also information retrieval, article writing, problem solving, programming, composing, etc. 3. ChatGPT can accurately capture the meaning of contextually determined pronouns and accurately identify intentions in multiple rounds of conversation Disadvantages 1. Due to model training methods, it is difficult to update data in real time 2. The cost of a single search is too high. It is estimated that the cost of generating a piece of information is around 1.3 cents, which is 3 to 4 times that of traditional search engines 3. The content generated by the statistical model is real and mixed, making it difficult for users to discern 4. Currently, ChatGPT can only do the most basic popular science research, and content that is highly subjective is still difficult to replace. Every field has its own set of research logic. Currently, ChatGPT has not been able to master 5. In terms of emotional companionship, it is currently impossible to provide scenario-based, professional and empathetic services like real people What is the impact in the field of investment? Hou Yanjun, founder of Houshi Tiancheng Investment, said in a small group in the morning, “In the field of investment, artificial intelligence can only do auxiliary work in the future. Investing is far more complicated than artificial intelligence.” Hou Yanjun said that the essence of the problem still lies in physics. Everyone has heard about the three body questions. Mathematically, when the three rigid spheres collide, the trajectories are not solved in the exact sense of the word. The only thing the Three Bodies can't deal with when they attack Earth is that scientific and technological means are unable to detect human thought processes. Because the human brain has hundreds of billions of nerve cells, the mind is generated by the electrical signals of neurons. There are hundreds of billions of interlinked circuits that link each other, more than the number of stars in the universe combined. This is just one person. However, the stock market, futures, bonds, etc. are made up of hundreds of millions of people's brain circuits. Therefore, from a biological or physical point of view, investment cannot be solved by artificial intelligence. This is even more true from a philosophical point of view. Does one artificial intelligence generate an investment idea, or do all artificial intelligence generate an idea? So is there still a market? There won't be a market. Another founder of quantitative private equity in Shenzhen said that it can bring little help; after all, it can only write simple strategies. Things that are strategically detailed still have to rely on expertise and experience to revise them in a timely manner. A brokerage investor said, “When customers lose money and want comfort, ChatGPT's answer makes sense, but it's obviously not cool. After AI, all content based on data, history, and statistical rules will probably be realized, and another technological innovation that will change the world will begin. Many positions will be replaced, and it is unknown whether humans are owners or being crushed by AI; as investors, you need to be better at communicating and communicating with customers heart and soul, because technical value can be easily replaced, but there is no substitute for genuine communication and down-to-earth companionship.” Summary 1. ChatGPT cannot completely replace traditional search engines in the short to medium term, and it is also difficult to change the current competitive pattern of the global search engine market. However, it is expected to accelerate the search engine evolution process and form a new search engine pattern dominated by traditional search engines and complemented by ChatGPT models in the medium term, which will lead to a significant increase in AI investment by traditional search engine giants such as Google. 2. The pangasius effect generated by ChatGPT is expected to drive the overall acceleration of the global AI industrialization process and the full advent of the AI-generated content era. 3. The success of ChatGPT will not bring disruptive newcomers to the search industry, but it will push search giants such as Google to speed up the iteration of big language models to support the new pattern of traditional search engines. 4. AI can do auxiliary work in the field of investment, but it cannot replace the work of investors and investors. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL)$ $Bilibili Inc.(BILI)$  @TigerStars @MillionaireTiger @Daily_Discussion @Tiger_chat 
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      Can ChatGPT replace investment decisions?
    • ToughCoyoteToughCoyote
      ·00:10

      My review of Powell’s interview

      Federal Reserve Chairman Powell was interviewed by the host at the Economic Club of Washington last night and gave a speech. The content of the answer is that the mixed emotions of hawks and doves caused US stocks to fluctuate up and down for a while, and finally all closed up due to the strength of semiconductor technology stocks. The more dovish content is that Powell used the word disinflation again. He emphasized that the process of downward inflation in the United States has begun, especially the inflation on the commodity side, which accounts for about a quarter of the US GDP. But he thinks there is still a long way to go, because we are in the very early stages of falling inflation. Powell predicts that this year will be a year in which inflation will drop sharply, but not only this year, it must also go down to the 2% target next year. And this process cannot be smooth sailing, and there may be ups and downs in the middle, so Powell believes that it is necessary to continue to raise interest rates and maintain high interest rates for a period of time. Regarding non-agricultural employment, which was significantly higher than expected, Powell said that he did not expect it to be stronger than he imagined! (Even the chairman of the Federal Reserve can’t think of it. Can anyone guess it) 😂 He thinks the non-agricultural data shows that the Fed will feel that it will take a long time to fight against inflation, because the labor market is really too strong! He said that we will react to the numbers and if we continue to see strong jobs reports, the Fed will take more action and raise interest rates more than the market is currently expecting! This is more hawkish content, that is, the Fed may indeed change its original path of interest rate hikes and peak expectations because of the hot job market. $Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$ $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$  @TigerStars @Tiger_chat @Daily_Discussion 
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      My review of Powell’s interview
    • ToughCoyoteToughCoyote
      ·02-08 23:11
      In terms of performance, Meituan’s revenue in the third quarter of 2022 will be 62.62 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.2%; the net profit in the third quarter will be 1.22 billion yuan. Quarterly revenue from the core local commerce segment rose to 46.3 billion yuan, up 24.6% year-on-year. Operating profit increased from 4.2 billion yuan in the same period in 2021 to 9.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 124.6%. the Although the overall performance of Q4 is under pressure, after the "Yang Kang" in January, especially during the Spring Festival, consumption has recovered significantly. We expect Meituan to benefit significantly from the rebound in consumption in 23 years. the It is reported that Douyin will launch a national food delivery service on March 1. In this regard, Douyin insiders revealed that there is no plan to "launch the national food delivery service on March 1". Conducted in some pilot cities. the The takeaway business and the group-buying delivery are both Douyin’s local life services. The “group-buying delivery” project is still being piloted in Beijing, Shanghai, and Chengdu, and merchants in these three cities have recently opened up self-service settlement. In the future, depending on the pilot situation, consideration will be given to gradually expanding the pilot cities. There is currently no specific timetable. the From the perspective of business layout, Douyin is not familiar with the food delivery industry and has the idea of ​​asking for directions, but it is more likely that Douyin just wants to enter the same city social circle through intra-city content. Simply put, Douyin's appeal is to enter the same city as Meituan Ele.me, but the core of Douyin is still short video content and social aspects. the Meituan announced the launch of the first wave of social recruitment in 2023. This recruitment will provide job types including technology, business analysis, product, supply chain, operation, design, marketing, functional integration, finance, sales customer service and support, and open more than 2,200 specific jobs. Jobs in this category increased by more than 50% year-on-year in the first quarter of last year. Among them, technical positions such as software development engineers, test development engineers, and algorithm engineers account for the majority. $Meituan(03690)$  $HSI(HSI)$  @Daily_Discussion @TigerStars @MillionaireTiger 
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    • ToughCoyoteToughCoyote
      ·02-08 10:04

      Keep HODLING BiG TECH; here’s why you should do it too

      Recently, we have all heard the news about the price reduction of the iPhone 14 Pro series in China, and some media also pointed out that it may have an impact on Apple’s supply chain. But we might as well look at this matter from another angle: whether consumption power is gradually declining. China has already unblocked, and there should be retaliatory consumption. However, even the iPhone, which has relatively strong demand, has begun to cut prices, which not only reflects the fatigue of demand, but also reflects that brand merchants are not optimistic about the recovery of consumption power. In addition, potential risks cannot be ignored. Almost all consumer electronics industries predict that performance in the second half of the year will recover naturally with seasonal effects. Many analysts assume that profits in Q3 and Q4 will return to past peak levels when predicting the company's annual profits. However, if China is like other countries, consumption after unblocking is mainly invested in the service industry, catering industry, and tourism industry, then it may be too optimistic to expect consumption power or performance to recover quickly, or the time to clear warehouses to end earlier , and even this year's profit forecast has more room for downward revision. I don't want to say negative things, but in the process of the stock market rebound, we should avoid being affected by all kinds of good news, and buying an insurance for ourselves is not entirely a bad thing.... This is why I am holding on to $Apple(AAPL)$  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL)$ $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$  @TigerStars @MillionaireTiger @Tiger_chat 
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      Keep HODLING BiG TECH; here’s why you should do it too
    • ToughCoyoteToughCoyote
      ·02-07 23:59

      Has the interest rates peaked yet ?

      Since 2023, the stock market has maintained a strong performance.  Does this mean that the risk of economic recession is reduced?  Or is it because the Federal Reserve continues to maintain its austerity policy (interest rate hike), even if inflation is slowing down? Now the interest rate level of banks has not reduced the economy to a point where it is enough to turn to neutral (or loose) policies, while the economic news in the United States is still stable, and the FED must continue to maintain high interest rates to force credit crunch to the limit. The dilemma faced by the directors is: when the inflation rate will return to 2-3%, and the proportion of interest expenditure in the fiscal deficit in total expenditure is increasing (with chart). In my opinion, the FED needs to carefully balance economic growth and inflationary demand, and adjust policies appropriately to avoid the adverse impact of excessive austerity or looseness on the economy. Personally, I think that the current loan interest rate can be said to be too high or too low, depending on your perspective. Since long-term interest rates cannot be higher than the inflation rate or the growth rate of economic GDP, otherwise it will affect the solvency of the U.S. government, high interest rates have always been questioned. However, if interest rates are too low, I don't know when the inflation rate will return to 2%. The current statement that "the interest rate increase cycle is over" has not yet become a definite fact. In this "dilemma", there is no reason for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. Don't forget: the interest rate hike cycle is not completely over. This cycle may end in: First of all, let's consider the impact of U.S. deficit spending on the economy. Even though the United States has been in a fiscal deficit for nearly 20 years, the possibility of bankruptcy is still very small. Therefore, I personally think the sharp drop in the US dollar and the reversal of confidence in deficit spending are the most unlikely situations to happen. Second, the credit crisis with deteriorating creditworthiness is worrying. The problems caused by the rapid rise in interest rates in 2022 emerged in 2023, causing banks to refuse to lend. Although the high-growth stocks ARKK, cryptocurrency, SPAC and meme stocks have collapsed last year, they have not yet evolved into a widespread credit crisis, but there is still a need to be vigilant in 2023. Therefore, this crisis is still moderately possible. Third, the company's earnings per share gradually emerged in the process of recession, leading to the further collapse of the stock market, which are the three most likely things to happen. I think the Federal Reserve needs a stronger reason to cut interest rates than inflation slowing down. The simplest reason is that the stock market keeps falling. In fact, the Federal Reserve, like investors in the market, hopes to cut interest rates as soon as possible, because this can reduce the interest expenditure on treasury bonds and maintain the solvency of the Treasury Department. Even if stocks have risen in the market in recent years, I still don't plan to invest a large amount of new funds in the stock market today, because as long as the Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates, the stock market will not see meaningful growth. However, if the stock market does not fall, the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates! This cycle continues to plague us investors. $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$  $Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$  @Tiger_chat @MillionaireTiger @Daily_Discussion @TigerStars 
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      Has the interest rates peaked yet ?
    • ToughCoyoteToughCoyote
      ·02-07 13:46

      How to hedge in HSI pullback as retail trader ?

      I think the inverse ETF may not be able to hedge the risk of holding shares when the Hang Seng Index $HSI(HSI)$ is currently falling.  And its investment cost is relatively high,... it needs to copy the index through futures, there is the problem of rollover cost, and its management fee is relatively high. Regardless of whether it is hedging or short-term trading, using an inverse ETF does not count. On the contrary, it will be a better choice to do index options.  Because the cost is very low, the fee for a Hang Seng Index option is only HK$0.54 for the SFC levy and HK$10 for the Exchange. More cost-effective than ETFs. Moreover, it is good to use index options to do light, and it is good to do hedging. There are more choices and strategies than reverse ETFs.  For example, the current Hang Seng Index peaked and fell, but there will be support at 20,000 points. The 20,500-point put option on the Seng Seng Index can not only hedge risks by holding shares, but if the Hang Seng Index falls too much and falls sharply, the implied volatility of this put option will increase. In addition to its own increase in disguise, Increases with increased implied volatility are also included. So the benefits are much better than inverse ETFs. In terms of risk, the maximum loss is only the amount of the purchased option, and the risk is controllable. Although inverse ETFs can also control risks, such as setting stop loss levels, etc.  But after calculating the buried cost, you may lose more, and it is quite difficult to go back to your purchase price or even make money. On the contrary, we can choose the next month for the Hang Seng Index option, and it is calculated one by one.  Every point up or down is 50 Hong Kong dollars, I think it would be more appropriate and cost-effective to do hedging or shorting. @Tiger_chat @Daily_Discussion @TigerStars 
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      How to hedge in HSI pullback as retail trader ?
    • ToughCoyoteToughCoyote
      ·02-07 01:02

      Baidu is my go trade in realm of ChatGPT..here’s why

      Baidu's $Baidu(BIDU)$ stock price soared by more than 16% on the past two days, and investors in the secondary market said they were both surprised and panicked. I don't know whether to make a profit for those who have got on the bus ahead of schedule, and those who haven't got on the bus don't know whether to get on the bus in time. What I'm afraid of is a high-level quilt cover. After all, the current stock price has doubled from the October 2022 low. The impact of the news is that on January 30, multi-channel information showed that Baidu was developing an AI dialogue service similar to Chat GPT. Reuters reported that Baidu plans to launch a standalone application of the product in March, and then gradually merge it into search engines. Obviously, Chat GPT, as a catalyst, has ushered in a dense crowd of funds in the short term. The question that everyone is most concerned about is whether the stock price rebound will continue. Is it a flash in the pan or a valuation revaluation? Investment has never been a simple linear deduction. First of all, without the impact of Chat GPT, is the Baidu value not worth an equivalent level of valuation repair? You should know that since the bottom of October-November last year, with the release of third-quarter results, cost reduction and efficiency have become the theme of companies, as well as the gradual relaxation of masks, the support of national economic signals and the slowdown in interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, science and network stocks have more than doubled, such as Alibaba and Beijing. Donghe Kuaishou, while Pinduoduo benefited from its eye-catching performance in the third quarter, more than tripled. In this way, under the general rise, Baidu has not been able to keep up with the rebound. You know, Baidu's non-GAAP net profit margin is also 23.4%, which is 24.3% for Pinduoduo and 16.3% for Alibaba. After careful investigation of the business, several companies are not bad. Although the growth rate is not as high as Pinduoduo, the valuation of Pinduoduoduo is also very high, with a market sales rate of 7.4 times, and Alibaba and Baidu are more than 2 times. Therefore, even without the hype of AIGC-related concepts, Baidu is still worth a popular repair. Secondly, what is Baidu's AI technology? Chat GPT detonates the AIGC application, how will Baidu occupy the position? The investment is in the future of an enterprise's continuous operation. Artificial intelligence must be the future trend of the technology industry, just as trams must be the future trend of the automotive industry. Baidu is one of the few artificial intelligence companies in the world to carry out full stack layout. The company has invested high research and development regardless of costs for many years. As of the second quarter of 22, core R&D expenses have accounted for more than 20% of Baidu's core revenue for seven consecutive quarters. According to Li Yanhong's speech at the Baidu Create AI Developer Conference, the AI part can be divided into four layers: chip layer, framework layer, model layer and application layer. From high-end chip Kunlun to the paddle deep learning framework, to the literary pre-training model, there are key self-developed technologies at each level, and there is a lot of feedback between each layer. Through continuous feedback, end-to-end optimization is achieved. The lower the technical architecture, the more common it is, and the more it is, the more specialized it will be. More universal means constantly lowering the threshold for the use of technology in the industry. More specialized is in-depth. Regarding the application scenarios of AIGC, Baidu has also done a lot, as shown in the figure below, which is sorted out for Soochow Securities: Combined with Baidu's news about the Chinese version of Chat GPT, this is a logical thing for Baidu. In the past of the epidemic, the economic recovery is imminent. Whether it is the support of national policies or the high demand of consumers, with Chat GPT as the introduction, Baidu ushered in a start to boost confidence and hope. The rise in stock prices in the past few days shows that the market believes that China ChatGPT will bring great value to Baidu. It is not only a catalyst, but also needs to be closely followed by us and not to be thrown out of the new era. Whether Baidu will continue to rise in the future depends on the fourth-quarter financial report in the short term. Whether the results of reducing costs and increasing efficiency will continue; in the medium and long term, it depends on the development of AI business and the outlook of 23 years. Whether to buy or not depends on you. $ Baidu. US $Baidu Group-SW.HK Statement: This article is only for learning and communication, and does not constitute investment advice. $XIAOMI-W(01810)$  $TENCENT(00700)$  $Bilibili Inc.(BILI)$  @Tiger_chat @MillionaireTiger @TigerStars  @Daily_Discussion 
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      Baidu is my go trade in realm of ChatGPT..here’s why
    • ToughCoyoteToughCoyote
      ·02-07 00:20

      Judging from chatgpt, how to invest as you get old?

      Recently, chatgpt has earned a lot of attention, have questions to answer, and can even improvise. Compared with the browser search currently used, this type of robot can directly put the final result in front of us. If you think it's nothing, you can consider a time cost. For example, using a browser, open and search for something casually. 90% of it is useless content, and 9% of 10% of useful content may be repetitive. From searching to getting the final answer, the time cost must be very high. Chatgpt can do a lot of filtering, program, create, and do a lot of questions to replace people's thinking. Next, we can consider a question of how irreplaceable your work is. The irreplaceability here is not necessarily human beings, and artificial intelligence. Artificial intelligence and automation are the two biggest threats to workers at present. For example, intelligent driving has always been very controversial. In fact, compared with unmanned driving, which is very concerned, in practical applications, all kinds of express delivery vehicles and food delivery vehicles are already running continuously. Although they don't run fast enough, once it can run normally, the speed is only a matter of time. In terms of self-driving, such as radish running and taxi drivers, they have been operating at a very low price. The taxi price is very cheap. There is a driver sitting in the front row, and the speed is not fast enough. Automatic driving. Express delivery, takeaway and online car-hailing. At present, there are three industries with very high labor density, but these three industries are currently carrying out in-depth artificial intelligence research and development. Replacing manpower is the general trend. After all, once successful, labor costs can be greatly reduced. Of course, it is unrealistic to replace labor in the short term, but have you ever considered whether your job is still possible in the post-90s, post-00s and 2055? Will it have been replaced? I'm not creating anxiety, but you should plan your life well. You don't have to look at 30 years away, but it is very valuable to choose a good industry. At least you won't lag behind others. Automatic + intelligence is the two major tools that replace labor. For example, now the robot that delivers things in the hotel. Sometimes I don't want to see people when they stay in the hotel, right? Robots just alleviate this embarrassment, and if the hotel is small, it's okay. If it's very big, the advantage of robots delivering things will come out. For example, cleaning up, if the space is small, one person may have cleaned it up, but if the area is very large, the advantages of using equipment cleaning will come out. Before putting it, several people may be needed, but now you only need one person and one device. Maybe this equipment can work by yourself in a few years. If your position is constantly being replaced by technology, you must leave a good way for yourself. Although it is difficult to predict the future industry trend at present, many industries are obviously being banned. You either have capital or technology. Of course, you can also have physical strength, but physical strength will gradually fade with age. Try to find your irreplaceability. $Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ)$ $NIO Inc.(NIO)$  @MillionaireTiger @Tiger_chat @TigerStars @Daily_Discussion 
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      Judging from chatgpt, how to invest as you get old?
    • ToughCoyoteToughCoyote
      ·02-06 19:11
      I think the price cut of $Apple(AAPL)$ Apple products is to seize more market share. At present, the competition in China's mobile phone market is fierce, and different brands of mobile phones are also selling points with affordable prices and multi-functions as their selling points, and compete with Apple. In the fourth quarter of last year, Apple's iPhone shipped 73.2 million units in the global market, a year-on-year decrease of 11%; in the Chinese market, Apple's iPhone shipments were 16.4 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 24%. And affected by factors such as supply chain assembly during the epidemic, revenue from the iPhone business in the fourth quarter of last year fell.    Apple's latest financial report showed that the iPhone business revenue in the fourth quarter of last year was US$65.775 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 8%. Apple's Greater China revenue was $23.905 billion, down 7% year-on-year.  However, Apple is expected to restore the growth momentum of iPhone performance in the future, mainly due to the increase in the proportion of the high-end model iPhone 14 Pro/Pro Max version, thereby driving the increase in the average price of the product. In addition, the production and operation of Foxconn Zhengzhou Park has gradually returned to normal in December last year. Foxconn Zhengzhou Science and Technology Park recently announced that after the Spring Festival, Foxconn's employees' rework rate has approached 100%, with about 200,000 people. This is the first time to resume production after the epidemic, and it is expected that Apple's main supply chain is stable, thereby launching more products.  In the first quarter, Apple has a certain order correction for headphones, watches and Mac product lines; the mobile phone product line has been adjusted in the fourth quarter of last year, and the iPhone 14 Pro product line has been affected by a certain supply, so there is no latest adjustment. Based on the current macro environment at home and abroad, Apple's orders are still significantly better than other consumer electronics customer supply chains. In the medium and long term, Apple's AirPods, Apple Watch and other products have a low penetration rate, and the penetration rate is expected to continue to increase in the future, which will drive the continuous growth of product sales. This time, Apple's price reduction action may be to start its good brand and beer, so as to make customers love and loyalty to Apple products. Prepare for the price increase of new products in the future. So I think Apple's performance will be bright this year. $Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$ $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$  $Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL)$  @Daily_Discussion @TigerStars @Tiger_chat @MillionaireTiger 
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