To The Moon

I am inclined to believe that it is a dead cat bounce, simply because there is more pain to come. Seeing reports, there are strong claims that Ali Khamenei's son is highly likely to become the next supreme leader (Mojtaba). Reports state that he is a hardliner, likely worse than his father, and this fact will instill more discomfort in Israel and Usa. This will push the pair to try to further pummel Iran into compliance with likely with more violence. Why more force? With the fact that Iran's attempt to expand the crisis into wider swathes of the middle east (with missiles and drones), as an attempt to push the other countries to pressure Usa to stop the war. Usa will see that they have to force the issue to prevent the new Khamenei from taking over and yet end the war, they will look to b

What an unfortunate timing for the Iran crisis to break out. Especially with SIA (and scoot) always playing on the safe side when instability breaks out, these issues will affect their operations earlier and longer. But this presents a good opportunity for people who want to enter at a better price.

Thankful. There is still opportunities to invest in things that are not just AI fads. I missed the chance when things went up, the Iran crisis cooled things down a little for an entry point $SBS Transit(S61.SI)$ [Grin]

Is it me, or does seem like everyone is overreacting and expressing sentiments of both extremes, some having enough enthusiasm that the market should be recovering, with others believing that it was a crash. Firstly, calling it a crash seems disingenuous at best and malicious at worst. Crash seems to imply something went seriously wrong out of nowhere, but almost everyone took a hit because of the Iran crisis. Anything outside of oil, defence related companies and safe assets like gold, was expected to take a hit. If anything, the rally now might be a false dawn with everyone wanting to delude themselves into believing that everything is fine. Secondly, with the president of the united states, everyone would do well to temper their expectations. He is too chaotic and whimsic

I am more in line with Goldman's view that the market has to correct itself before it can rally again, it is very obvious that things get out of hand in 2025, which was what led to slides even with good earnings results in early 2026. This would serve to stretch the runway further away from the AI bubble burst, but the bubble is getting bigger [Grin]

Defense stocks won't go wrong. Not only is it good now, munitions will have to be replenished. This will also be a learning point that one way attack drones are the wat forward, and militaries will pay more attention and divert more resources. The money will both benefit manufacturers of attack drones AND defence companies that can establish a low cost system against such unmanned aircrafts. A little surprised that gold is not as strong as I thought it would be. So crude and oil would be a good play too.

Ironic that Nflx came out of the WBD stronger even when it didn't succeed in the acquisition. Meanwhile WBD is floundering and Psky looks absolutely terrible. It would be a slap in the face if that acquisition ends up sinking both parties and Nflx ends up with their carcasses.

That is good advice, I have seen friends being irrational and going all in on bitcoin, because there's always the idea of making it rich out of nowhere. Technically they are not so emotional and throwing at the first sign of a slide, but the volatility is testing their resolve. It is hard to convince people to diversify, when they are not really investing, but looking to make quick and easy money.

I believe it will go on a little while simply because the us president does not seem to have a solid plan. While it is simple to say that the war seeks to force a regime change, it is worth taking into account the view that the bombardment and air superiority can only achieve so much on the ground. In the medium to long term, the idea of low(er) cost weapons, specifically one way attack drones, should become a priority for every nation's military force. Extrapolation would therefore mean that whoever comes up with a good and economical counter (not costly systems firing off missiles that cost millions of dollars) measure would rake in the money too.

I think it is worth looking at defense ETF, because there will be a need to replenish weapons used in the war. Middle Eastern allies of USA will likely want to beef up after suffering some hits. There will be demand and therefore investors can derive value. So $SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF(XAR)$ , $Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF(PPA)$ , $Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares(DFEN)$