To The Moon

From what I see, an old school stock like $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ will do well as a dark horse. People will tire of the volatility of tech and AI and turn back to "traditional" businesses that continue making money without too much ups and downs.

Let us see when Warsh gets in and whether he will follow the president's orders to cut interest rates. For all the reactions that Trunp's announcement brought (precious metal big slump, equities going up) expecting that the new fed chair is a inflation hawk. Once he acquiesce to the president's pressure, the fed's supposed independence (because of th inflation hawk) illusion will pop and markets will be in chaos. We will see.

Also for the coinbase vote, the more likely result was a decline, considering how markets have been playing out these couple of weeks. Crypto is in for a rough ride, with trunp satisfied with the wealth he made when becoming president and is no longer helping to generate hype

Apprehensive. Everything looks a little frail right now, and there is a need to sort through the noise. I believe that the time was due for many overvalued companies to have a price reset. 2025 was a wild ride upwards for seemingly everyone. It is however not easy to know if the bigger companies like $Microsoft(MSFT)$ has looked into their problems and have a improved plan moving forward. Interesting to note that gold has not continued climbing even while stocks looked bad, I might want to pick up a little more if a big drop happens.

I think the market is using emergence of AI as an excuse to force a readjustment of the software companies. I for one do not want these AI programmes to do everything for me. I believe there is an opportunity to buy, the biggest issue is knowing whether these software companies have the right idea and direction in mind. This lesson is all the more reasons for software companies to properly work on their products without constantly relying on the AI crutch. Windows is a perfect example of not building on their success, instead they kept trying to chase easy value through their openai investment, then getting caught in no man's land. The software should use AI as a booster, not as a replacement, for what they do best. Constantly trying to short-change their users will only serve to doom the

I was reminded about the food industry, specifically fast food companies like $McDonald's(MCD)$ and $Chipotle Mexican Grill(CMG)$ , where they took out their covid lockdown "losses" on consumers by jacking prices up. Consumers realised that there is no longer good value to be had, which is the market these businesses built their fundamentals on. Then it was recently revealed that Chipotle's ceo said that the company could keep raising prices and customers would not mind. I might have remembered wrongly, but I recall seeing an article where a fast food chain had to commit to re-training a large proportion of its branches to serve correct portion sizes (they were serving lesser). The fast food industry

The fact that almost anything takes a hit whether earnings were good or bad showed that the market started to realise that it overpaid, so the prices have to come back down. However it is irrational to simply chalk everything up to AI, if investors really are punishing the share prices because of AI, then AI will be the one that is overvalued, and the bubble will simply grow bigger. I believe we are expecting too much of AI, falling for the hype because the companies keep throwing the cheap catch phrase around.

Feels like the market is starting to cool off on the overexuberance. There were signs that things were not going to be as exciting in 2026, but further growth was likely fueled by investors worried that they did not enter while it was going up. Everyone has started to acknowledge that unbridled enthusiasm is illogical and that it is slowly getting too overvalued, especially with the earnings results that were just released. Nothing too worrying, but expectations for banks were that it will slow down and results would not be as spectacular as everyone saw in 2025, so no, it will likely hover around 60, with a much more gradual uptrend.

I find it interesting that whether the results were good or bad, most companies looked at declines in the market. Seems like the common denominator is capital expenditure, also the bigger companies wanting to dabble with AI face the issue of likely having too much orders that they cannot fulfill, or have to worry about the likely shortage of memory. 2026 seems like a year where investors don't just splash their cash, things are now proceeding with more caution [Thinking]

A. bullish Gold's reasons for its strong ascend is still around: mainly volatility, to be specific, the us president... If anything, I am of the view that the recent slide was an overreaction to the new fed pick.