jfsrevg

Full Time Trader, Co-Funded LP

    • jfsrevgjfsrevg
      ·11-22 16:04

      $GAP - Post Earnings After Hours $25.50 +3.46 (+15.70%)

      $Gap, Inc(GAP)$ - Post Earnings After Hours $25.50 +3.46 (+15.70%)After-hours action on GAP is broke out above its 2021 gap resistance, a level that has seen significant whipsaw activity within the range over the past year. A tight range with LoD below 60% at open M30 (to allow 9.15AM price action of Flash PMI manufacturing and services data settle) with RVOL will be in my focus.ImageWhich of the following two Post Earnings Gaps is more likely to fail (break below its low)? Refer to charts of $Snowflake(SNOW)$ vs $21vianet(VNET)$ belowImageImage*Consider the share structure, price in mid-term technical structure, extension, and latest earnings*
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      $GAP - Post Earnings After Hours $25.50 +3.46 (+15.70%)
    • jfsrevgjfsrevg
      ·11-22 07:20

      Three Core Steps to Enhance Trading Performance

      I firmly believe that trading performance can be enhanced with a clear, 3-step big-picture blueprint. Focus on getting these core aspects right first;Step 1: Refine Your Screening ToolsReverse-engineer the biggest-performing stocks to identify common traits. Ensure your screening parameters are optimized to flag these setups early, before the move begins. You need to first stop missing key movers in your screener, before the move begins (not even a day late).Step 2: Master Holding with Sell RulesDevelop non-discretionary sell rules to eliminate emotional decision-making. This will help you hold winners longer and avoid premature exits. I didn’t hold $KC through a +100% move in 2 weeks because I’m brilliant—it’s because I follow my sell rule.Step 3: Perfect Your Sizing StrategySizing is the
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      Three Core Steps to Enhance Trading Performance
    • jfsrevgjfsrevg
      ·11-21 22:23

      BTCUSD is nearing 10x its ATR% from the 50-MA

      $Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund(FBTC)$ $iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$ $Grayscale Bitcoin Trust(GBTC)$ - BTCUSD is nearing 10x its ATR% from the 50-MA.I've noticed a few posts on my feed sold their holdings on 14/11, based on the prior day's bearish "Shooting Star" pattern. I initially thought I might be wrong to hold, but I continue to hold with small trim on the trade as it remains above the 10-MA. Pre-market now shows a further +3.5% gain, nearly a full ADR move.My personal view on $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ is also to avoid selling everything from yesterday's move. It's impossible to predict just how far a thematic rally
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      BTCUSD is nearing 10x its ATR% from the 50-MA
    • jfsrevgjfsrevg
      ·11-21 22:21

      $IOT - A promising growth story, but not ideal for swing traders

      $Samsara, Inc.(IOT)$ - A promising growth story, but not ideal for swing traders. A lesson to share.Since IOT's IPO in late 2021, I’ve taken four trades, all resulting in losses. Upon reflection, while two trades during Q1 2023 were likely unavoidable, the subsequent ones in January and March 2024 could have been avoided with the price action remained sloppy and choppy, failing to respect any of its moving averages consistently.It’s easy to get excited about an impending all-time high breakout for IOT, but one key lesson I’ve learned over the years is the importance of linearity in historical price action—providing the confidence that it won’t revisit your breakeven level too quickly. If you are very tight in designing your trade ideas (entry and s
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      $IOT - A promising growth story, but not ideal for swing traders
    • jfsrevgjfsrevg
      ·11-21 22:20

      $YMM - Demonstrating impressive growth with a solid post-IPO base

      $FULL TRUCK ALLIANC SPON ADS EACH REP 20 ORD SHS CL A(YMM)$ - Demonstrating impressive growth with a solid post-IPO base. If you're watching for the next wave of Chinese stimulus as a potential catalyst to revive Chinese stocks following Trump's proposed 60% tariff on Chinese goods, several Chinese names have shown notable resilience in their price action. YMM post ER +14.8% move remains beneath its 52-weeks high, coinciding with a classic major resistance at $10.10. The latest YoY quarterly growth announced yesterday was +90% EPS, +35% Sales. It's the biggest growth numbers in 4 quarters.Image
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      $YMM - Demonstrating impressive growth with a solid post-IPO base
    • jfsrevgjfsrevg
      ·11-21 22:19

      Nvidia's Post-Earnings Price Action Shows Fatigue Despite Strong Results

      here's what I observed: when companies like $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ and $GitLab, Inc.(GTLB)$ consistently beat earnings and revenue expectations for consecutive quarters, the post-earnings price action often shows signs of fatigue despite the strong results, the market get numb to this numbers and growth. instead, the focus and market expectations elevate toward their YoY growth in quarterly sales guidance in their earnings call. the same already happened to nvda in last quarters "Nvidia forecast fails to meet the loftiest estimates for AI star" NVDA After hours 142.20 −3.69 (-2.53%)Imageanother consideration is the magnitude of the ER beat to their market cap. even a 800% eps/sales beat has very minimal pric
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      Nvidia's Post-Earnings Price Action Shows Fatigue Despite Strong Results
    • jfsrevgjfsrevg
      ·11-20 09:02

      $ATAT - Earnings Before Market Open

      $Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited(ATAT)$ - Earnings Before Market Open After reaching a 10x ATR% extension from the 50-MA in early October, ATAT has now settled to just a 1.6x ATR% extension from the 50-MA—a textbook high-tight flag setup you’d want to see in your screener. ATAT is only 2Y IPO at $35mil avg dollar volume and any gap up from post earnings price action could see it reclaim its $29.50 all time high.ImageATAT is part of the IBD50 index.Image
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      $ATAT - Earnings Before Market Open
    • jfsrevgjfsrevg
      ·11-20 09:00

      $PLCE - Earnings This Week, Carrying 63% Short Float

      $Children's Place(PLCE)$ - Earnings This Week, Carrying 63% Short Float I’m really liking the full package we have on PLCE: 1. Share Structure: $190M market cap, 4M share float, 8.6% ADR, with an average daily dollar volume of $45M (3M shares traded). Short interest has surged to 63%, reminds me of those beaten-down meme stocks before their explosive rallies in 2021. 2. Technical Structure: The chart shows a textbook high-tight flag following a +250% rally after a +125% EPS beat from the last earnings. The price is consolidating within the flag with a 'U' shaped base, showing relative strength (RS) and trading above all moving averages. Current extension is just 1x ATR% above the 50-MA after pulling back from 15x ATR% from 50-MA.PLCE is going into
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      $PLCE - Earnings This Week, Carrying 63% Short Float
    • jfsrevgjfsrevg
      ·11-20 08:59

      $ACVA (Update) - Up 6.13% on Breakout Day

      $ACV Auctions Inc.(ACVA)$ (Update) - Up 6.13% on Breakout Day Positioned earlier today on a high RVOL entry with great liquidity with almost $90mil traded today. ADR% notched up further to 4.1% (ACVA came into my screen at 2.9% ADR), a sign of momentum development. Currently sitting at 3R based on full size, but it's still T+0. Would have taken partial profits if I was around for the close—let’s see how this develops.ImagePS: The key takeaway from this trade is the importance of ensuring your screening parameters are adjusted to identify setups before they break out, combined with the critical role of effective watchlist management (only sieve out stocks that breakdown from the initial hypothesis of setup, consolidation identified)
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      $ACVA (Update) - Up 6.13% on Breakout Day
     
     
     
     

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