$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Looking at the two recent corrections in late July and mid-September, both featured a 20 vs 10-MA death cross, with price action trapped within a descending channel. The message is pretty similar for the week; stay away from breakouts until the market decisively breaks out of its current channel/wedge which will coincide with the reclaims of both the 10-MA and 20-MA. This is not a market to force trades. But don't abandon the process. Continue diligently building your watchlist around relative strength in individual industry groups and leading names. No need to trade the market you have, but prepare for the market you want.
Today’s $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ price action has the look of a potential reversal, similar to the July 17 bounce. I’ve already taken three positions and am considering a fourth. But there’s a second scenario to keep in mind: the bounce could fade over the next 3–4 days, followed by a move below today’s low, much like July 23. The key is your timeframe and entry quality. If your setup offers a tight entry with a clear invalidation level, the opportunity may still be worth taking. If you’re trading a short-term bounce, chasing after the initial move can leave you exposed if momentum fades. Don’t confuse a reversal signal with confirmation. Know your holding timeframe, define the level that invalidates your thesis, and ask whether the market is still offer
Tough week. $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ , via $Tradr 2X Long BE Daily ETF(BEX)$ , came close to stopping out the final tranche within a single session. I also got stopped out of $Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ on T+2 this week. If you’ve been struggling with recent entries, you’re not alone. With a few exceptions like $P, this has been a difficult market for everyone. The important part is not avoiding every loss. It’s staying disciplined when the market isn’t giving you much to work with. Successful trading is never a straight line. There will be uncertainty, setbacks, mistakes, and periods when even good setups fail. Keep going. Learn from every loss. Adapt to the market. Shar
Sometimes the best trade is simply watching the price action evolve until the setup becomes actionable. $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ is a great example. Over the past few weeks, I’ve gone through 6 separate thought processes with 0 trades and 0 stop losses, while price continues to build and prove its resilience beneath the base. The bigger setup remains a potential 3-month-high breakout/retest, with the stock still roughly 20% below its all-time high. Here’s how the setup evolved: 1️⃣ Sept. 17 — Higher low + bullish flag A second higher low followed the Sept. 3–8 +25% flag pole, but the move came on low RVOL. Not actionable, and the breakout eventually failed. 2️⃣ Sept. 22 — Higher low rebuild $BE reclaimed the 10-MA after the Sept. 18 plunge and option